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2017 South Florida advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

USF Bulls (American East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 15
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
26-Aug at San Jose State 129 42-22 W 99% 22.2 85% 82% 62%
2-Sep Stony Brook N/A 31-17 W 100% 28.4 89% 38% 98%
15-Sep Illinois 118 47-23 W 96% 15.9 78% 89% 54%
21-Sep Temple 78 43-7 W 100% 46.7 96% 63% 98%
30-Sep at East Carolina 123 61-31 W 100% 28.8 89% 96% 55%
14-Oct Cincinnati 102 33-3 W 100% 29.8 90% 42% 97%
21-Oct at Tulane 89 34-28 W 40% -2.3 44% 77% 23%
28-Oct Houston 36 24-28 L 4% -15.7 21% 39% 25%
4-Nov at Connecticut 119 37-20 W 99% 23.4 86% 78% 80%
16-Nov Tulsa 116 27-20 W 88% 10.7 70% 48% 78%
24-Nov at Central Florida 7 42-49 L 65% 3.5 57% 82% 16%
23-Dec vs. Texas Tech 58 38-34 W 65% 3.4 57% 82% 23%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 33.5 28 23.0 28
Points Per Game 41.7 10 25.6 44
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.8% 78 33.6% 7 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.33 16 1.19 78 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.0 18 27.8 24 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.57 57 4.52 78 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 6.2 20 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.57
ACTUAL 10 15
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 91.1 103 113.8 28 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.8% 74 33.7% 6 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.02 27 0.97 92 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 91.8 111 110.5 31 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.1% 33 31.9% 8 38.5%
Power Success Rate 63.6% 94 55.2% 9 67.7%
Stuff Rate 20.5% 86 26.5% 6 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
D'Ernest Johnson RB 5'10, 208 SR 193 796 7 4.1 4.2 31.6% 0 (0)
Quinton Flowers QB 6'0, 210 SR 179 1181 11 6.6 5.9 50.8% 5 (3)
Darius Tice RB 5'10, 210 SR 178 943 11 5.3 5.2 40.4% 1 (1)
Trevon Sands RB 5'11, 201 SO 26 111 0 4.3 2.4 42.3% 1 (1)
Davion Sutton RB 6'0, 200 JR 10 47 0 4.7 3.1 40.0% 0 (0)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 6'5, 207 SR 8 108 1 13.5 14.6 62.5% 0 (0)
Deangelo Antoine WR 5'10, 185 SO 5 60 0 12.0 7.8 80.0% 0 (0)
Elijah Mack RB 6'0, 205 FR 3 10 0 3.3 0.5 33.3% 0 (0)
Brett Kean QB 6'1, 209 SO 3 6 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 88.9 102 114.7 18 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.3% 80 33.6% 11 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.84 6 1.39 47 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 96.1 78 138.9 12 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Quinton Flowers 6'0, 210 SR 188 354 2911 25 6 53.1% 17 4.6% 7.6
Brett Kean 6'1, 209 SO 7 11 64 0 0 63.6% 1 8.3% 4.7
Chris Oladokun 6'2, 184 FR 1 1 12 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 12.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 6'5, 207 SR 100 53 879 6 16.6 8.8 53.0% 42.0% 28.7%
Tyre McCants WR 5'11, 225 JR 56 36 686 7 19.1 12.3 64.3% 53.6% 16.0%
Darnell Salomon WR 6'3, 215 SO 54 32 512 5 16.0 9.5 59.3% 48.1% 15.5%
Temi Alaka WR 6'2, 205 SR 30 16 241 2 15.1 8.0 53.3% 46.7% 8.6%
Mitchell Wilcox TE 6'4, 248 SO 29 17 158 2 9.3 5.5 58.6% 41.4% 8.3%
Elkanah Dillon TE 6'5, 256 JR 21 11 119 0 10.8 5.7 52.4% 28.6% 6.0%
D'Ernest Johnson RB 5'10, 208 SR 19 11 153 2 13.9 8.1 57.9% 42.1% 5.4%
Deangelo Antoine WR 5'10, 185 SO 15 11 168 1 15.3 11.2 73.3% 53.3% 4.3%
Stanley Clerveaux WR 6'3, 207 JR 8 2 12 0 6.0 1.5 25.0% 12.5% 2.3%
Chris Barr WR 5'10, 175 JR 5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.4%
DeVontres Dukes WR 6'4, 203 FR 4 3 32 0 10.7 8.0 75.0% 75.0% 1.1%
Darius Tice RB 5'10, 210 SR 3 2 13 0 6.5 4.3 66.7% 66.7% 0.9%
Jernard Phillips WR 5'10, 180 FR 2 1 13 0 13.0 6.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Eric Mayes OL 6'4, 287 JR 1 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Trevor Steinke WR 5'11, 187 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Deatrick Nichols CB 5'10, 189 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 90.4 113 128.1 6 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.8% 91 35.2% 1 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.22 14 0.92 10 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.89 69 2.29 8 2.92
SD Sack Rate 4.0% 43 6.8% 30 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 90.6 97 92.7 93 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.3% 45 31.0% 79 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.64 34 1.70 109 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.70 17 3.13 60 3.22
PD Sack Rate 5.1% 28 9.6% 25 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 85.8 107 125.7 17
Q2 S&P+ 102.2 68 122.5 19
Q3 S&P+ 96.1 84 121.6 17
Q4 S&P+ 103.6 60 89.0 116
1st Down S&P+ 95.6 87 126.6 9
2nd Down S&P+ 93.2 97 103.2 61
3rd Down S&P+ 107.6 47 99.7 75
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 69.0% 24 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 42.0% 24 35.3%
Adj. Pace -5.0 1 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 81.1% 13 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.8% 63 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.7% 123 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 19.8% 12 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.8% 21 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 5.3% 36 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 7.6% 25 6.5%
PD to INC 35.6% 49 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Auggie Sanchez LB 6'2, 245 SR 65.0 10 (2) 18 2 (2) 0 44.0%
Deadrin Senat DT 6'1, 305 SR 50.5 10.5 (6) 16 0 (0) 0 12.1%
Deatrick Nichols CB 5'10, 189 SR 50.0 4 (0) 1 3 (12) 1 71.4%
Ronnie Hoggins CB 5'8, 175 JR 49.0 0 (0) 1 2 (8) 0 62.3%
Nico Sawtelle LB 6'2, 245 SO 44.0 4.5 (1.5) 5 2 (1) 0 30.8%
Greg Reaves LB 6'2, 236 SO 41.5 14 (4) 19 0 (3) 0 14.3%
Devin Abraham S 5'9, 189 SR 41.5 2 (1) 5 5 (2) 0 50.0%
Jaymon Thomas S 6'3, 195 JR 37.0 1 (0) 2 1 (3) 0 63.6%
Khalid McGee S 5'10, 198 JR 33.5 3.5 (0) 4 0 (0) 1 48.4%
Bruce Hector DT 6'2, 296 SR 32.0 13 (7) 13 0 (1) 1 13.2%
Tajee Fullwood CB 6'2, 210 SR 27.5 2 (0) 2 1 (0) 0 59.3%
Mazzi Wilkins CB 6'0, 176 JR 27.0 0.5 (0.5) 0 3 (9) 0 51.4%
Mike Love DE 6'4, 266 SR 23.0 11 (5.5) 10 0 (3) 0 3.6%
Josh Black LB 6'2, 252 JR 14.0 3 (0) 6 0 (1) 0 33.3%
Nate Ferguson CB 5'9, 180 JR 14.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 66.7%
Kirk Livingstone DE 6'4, 266 SO 12.0 5.5 (2) 7 0 (1) 0 12.5%
Kelvin Pinkney Jr. DL 6'3, 284 FR 11.5 3 (1.5) 2 0 (0) 0 12.5%
Danny Thomas LB 6'1, 215 JR 10.5 1.5 (0) 3 0 (1) 0 33.3%
Naytron Culpepper DB 6'1, 175 FR 10.0 0.5 (0) 1 0 (2) 0 72.7%
Mike Hampton DB 6'1, 170 FR 10.0 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 87.5%
Kevin Bronson DE 6'4, 275 JR 9.0 2.5 (0.5) 6 0 (0) 0 16.7%
Juwuan Brown DE 6'2, 255 JR 8.5 5 (3) 5 0 (0) 1 0.0%
Kevin Kegler DL 6'2, 280 FR 8.5 1 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 40.0%
Jimmy Bayes DE 6'3, 228 JR 6.5 0.5 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 14.3%
Keirston Johnson LB 6'0, 215 FR 6.0 1 (0) 2 1 (1) 0 33.3%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.1 73
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.32 20
Punt Success Rate 50.0% 101
Kickoff Success Rate 65.9% 92
Punt Return Success Rate 80.0% 5
Kick Return Success Rate 30.0% 119
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Emilio Nadelman 5'6, 173 SR 52-56 21-25 84.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jonathan Hernandez 6'4, 241 SR 61 43.4 10 17 14 50.8%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Emilio Nadelman 5'6, 173 SR 86 62.0 36 41.9% 0 5 0 0
Jonathan Hernandez 6'4, 241 SR 2 61.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tajee Fullwood 6'2, 210 SR 12 13.3 0 15 0 (0)
D'Ernest Johnson 5'10, 208 SR 9 5.7 0 5 0 (0)
Devon Jones-Stewart 6'1, 194 SR 1 14.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
D'Ernest Johnson 5'10, 208 SR 12 20.1 0 0 0 (0)
Tyre McCants 5'11, 225 JR 7 21.7 0 0 0 (0)
Chris Barr 5'10, 175 JR 4 16.3 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Nate Ferguson CB 5'9, 180 JR 11.0 5.7 23.1
Khalid McGee S 5'10, 198 JR 6.5 9.5 23.4
Trevon Sands RB 5'11, 201 SO 5.0 -2.0 22.3
Craig Watts S 6'0, 185 FR 3.5 19.2
Tajee Fullwood CB 6'2, 210 SR 3.5 4.5 31.5

Stats via SportSource Analytics