Updated on 1/3/18
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
East Carolina Pirates (American East)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.0 (-1.0) | S&P+ Rk: 123 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | James Madison | N/A | 14-34 | L | 0% | -32.0 | 6% | 13% | 19% |
| 9-Sep | at West Virginia | 63 | 20-56 | L | 0% | -40.1 | 5% | 27% | 3% |
| 16-Sep | Virginia Tech | 29 | 17-64 | L | 0% | -35.7 | 8% | 13% | 5% |
| 24-Sep | at Connecticut | 119 | 41-38 | W | |||||
| 30-Sep | South Florida | 15 | 31-61 | L | 0% | -28.8 | 11% | 45% | 4% |
| 7-Oct | Temple | 78 | 10-34 | L | 0% | -34.3 | 7% | 8% | 18% |
| 14-Oct | at Central Florida | 7 | 21-63 | L | 0% | -30.6 | 10% | 27% | 4% |
| 21-Oct | BYU | 101 | 33-17 | W | 85% | 9.4 | 69% | 66% | 58% |
| 4-Nov | at Houston | 36 | 27-52 | L | 8% | -13.0 | 25% | 69% | 9% |
| 11-Nov | Tulane | 89 | 24-31 | L | 16% | -9.2 | 29% | 46% | 33% |
| 18-Nov | Cincinnati | 102 | 48-20 | W | 90% | 12.0 | 73% | 84% | 52% |
| 25-Nov | at Memphis | 20 | 13-70 | L | 0% | -39.6 | 7% | 23% | 4% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 29.3 | 56 | 43.5 | 130 |
| Points Per Game | 24.9 | 97 | 45.0 | 130 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 40.7% | 79 | 50.6% | 130 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.15 | 74 | 1.38 | 127 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 27.0 | 121 | 29.4 | 64 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.05 | 104 | 5.34 | 127 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -11.8 | 129 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +0.75 |
||
| ACTUAL | -10 | 118 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 90.0 | 105 | 80.2 | 126 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 37.2% | 112 | 49.2% | 121 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.73 | 127 | 0.96 | 89 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 90.9 | 114 | 81.1 | 127 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 33.0% | 117 | 44.5% | 123 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 62.9% | 98 | 74.1% | 106 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 24.9% | 126 | 13.3% | 128 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Hussein Howe | RB | 5'9, 183 | SO | 96 | 419 | 3 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 38.5% | 2 (1) |
| Darius Pinnix | RB | 6'0, 225 | FR | 74 | 229 | 2 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 21.6% | 2 (2) |
| Thomas Sirk | QB | 6'4, 220 | SR | 57 | 219 | 3 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| Tyshon Dye | RB | 5'11, 220 | SR | 50 | 217 | 0 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 38.0% | 0 (0) |
| Derrell Scott | RB | 5'11, 194 | JR | 41 | 139 | 2 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 29.3% | 0 (0) |
| Devin Anderson | RB | 5'9, 208 | JR | 29 | 83 | 0 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 31.0% | 1 (1) |
| Gardner Minshew | QB | 6'2, 216 | JR | 10 | 18 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 30.0% | 1 (0) |
| Davon Grayson | WR | 6'2, 187 | SR | 6 | 40 | 0 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Reid Herring | QB | 6'3, 180 | FR | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 103.2 | 54 | 74.8 | 130 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 43.2% | 39 | 52.2% | 130 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.39 | 85 | 1.83 | 129 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 176 | 12 | 58.6 | 122 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Gardner Minshew | 6'2, 216 | JR | 174 | 304 | 2140 | 16 | 7 | 57.2% | 8 | 2.6% | 6.7 |
| Thomas Sirk | 6'4, 220 | SR | 132 | 238 | 1655 | 9 | 9 | 55.5% | 7 | 2.9% | 6.5 |
| Reid Herring | 6'3, 180 | FR | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 20.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Trevon Brown | WR | 6'2, 211 | JR | 105 | 60 | 1069 | 7 | 17.8 | 10.2 | 57.1% | 52.4% | 20.3% |
| Davon Grayson | WR | 6'2, 187 | SR | 90 | 59 | 886 | 6 | 15.0 | 9.8 | 65.6% | 55.6% | 17.4% |
| Quay Johnson | WR | 5'10, 184 | SR | 74 | 47 | 464 | 3 | 9.9 | 6.3 | 63.5% | 48.6% | 14.3% |
| Jimmy Williams | WR | 5'11, 198 | SR | 63 | 32 | 447 | 3 | 14.0 | 7.1 | 50.8% | 46.0% | 12.2% |
| Hussein Howe | RB | 5'9, 183 | SO | 40 | 30 | 219 | 0 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 75.0% | 40.0% | 7.8% |
| Deondre Farrier | WR | 6'1, 185 | SO | 37 | 24 | 211 | 3 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 64.9% | 37.8% | 7.2% |
| Tahj Deans | WR | 6'2, 186 | FR | 30 | 16 | 177 | 2 | 11.1 | 5.9 | 53.3% | 40.0% | 5.8% |
| Stephen Baggett | TE | 6'5, 247 | SR | 22 | 11 | 105 | 2 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 50.0% | 31.8% | 4.3% |
| Darius Pinnix | RB | 6'0, 225 | FR | 12 | 9 | 49 | 0 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 75.0% | 33.3% | 2.3% |
| Tyshon Dye | RB | 5'11, 220 | SR | 9 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 1.7% |
| Derrell Scott | RB | 5'11, 194 | JR | 7 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 10.3 | 4.4 | 42.9% | 14.3% | 1.4% |
| Malik Gray | WR | 6'1, 197 | JR | 6 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Sirk | QB | 6'4, 220 | SR | 5 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 9.3 | 5.6 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 1.0% |
| Mydreon Vines | WR | 6'1, 170 | FR | 4 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 19.5 | 9.8 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.8% |
| Cam Marshmon | WR | 5'9, 159 | SO | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 0.8% |
| Devin Anderson | RB | 5'9, 208 | JR | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 97.8 | 79 | 84.7 | 124 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 43.7% | 105 | 53.1% | 125 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.04 | 75 | 1.28 | 124 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.32 | 127 | 3.55 | 127 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 3.4% | 27 | 2.2% | 123 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 104.8 | 57 | 63.0 | 130 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 34.6% | 22 | 43.0% | 129 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.43 | 99 | 1.73 | 113 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.78 | 11 | 3.71 | 107 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 2.4% | 2 | 5.1% | 109 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 114.2 | 37 | 72.9 | 130 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 88.8 | 110 | 72.4 | 130 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 99.1 | 74 | 73.2 | 128 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 85.6 | 114 | 86.4 | 122 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 89.5 | 111 | 76.3 | 129 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 99.1 | 76 | 75.5 | 129 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 96.0 | 84 | 77.2 | 126 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 51.4% | 110 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 19.0% | 128 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | -0.2 | 59 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 73.7% | 73 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 60.4% | 58 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 34.2% | 79 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 9.9% | 130 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 3.0% | 113 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 1.5% | 129 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 5.3% | 104 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 32.5% | 81 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Korrin Wiggins | DB | 6'0, 200 | SR | 75.0 | 4 (0) | 6 | 1 (1) | 0 | 66.7% |
| Jordan Williams | ILB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 65.5 | 3 (0) | 12 | 0 (2) | 1 | 40.2% |
| Devon Sutton | DB | 5'11, 198 | SO | 49.5 | 5.5 (1) | 5 | 0 (3) | 1 | 67.6% |
| Aaron Ramseur | ILB | 6'1, 213 | FR | 43.0 | 2.5 (0) | 9 | 2 (0) | 0 | 34.5% |
| Bobby Fulp | DB | 6'4, 204 | SR | 37.0 | 1.5 (1) | 1 | 1 (2) | 0 | 70.5% |
| Cannon Gibbs | ILB | 6'2, 230 | JR | 35.5 | 0.5 (0) | 1 | 1 (1) | 0 | 60.0% |
| Colby Gore | DB | 5'11, 172 | SO | 31.0 | 1 (1) | 2 | 0 (4) | 0 | 64.9% |
| Kiante Anderson | DE | 6'4, 243 | SR | 28.5 | 6.5 (4.5) | 5 | 0 (0) | 2 | 37.1% |
| Chris Love | DB | 5'10, 180 | SR | 26.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 1 (4) | 0 | 89.3% |
| Davondre Robinson | DB | 6'0, 190 | FR | 25.0 | 1.5 (0) | 1 | 0 (1) | 0 | 78.8% |
| Tim Irvin | DB | 5'9, 192 | SO | 24.5 | 0.5 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 55.2% |
| Tyree Owens | DL | 6'4, 285 | JR | 21.0 | 3.5 (1.5) | 5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 20.0% |
| Jalen Price | DT | 6'2, 299 | SO | 18.5 | 1 (0) | 5 | 1 (0) | 0 | 18.5% |
| Corey Seargent | DB | 6'0, 168 | JR | 16.0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (2) | 0 | 52.6% |
| Austin Teague | DB | 6'0, 191 | SR | 15.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (1) | 1 | 78.6% |
| Alex Turner | DT | 6'2, 287 | SO | 11.5 | 1.5 (1) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 35.3% |
| Kendall Futrell | DE | 6'2, 230 | SO | 11.0 | 3 (1) | 2 | 0 (0) | 1 | 23.1% |
| Keyshawn Canady | DB | 6'0, 188 | FR | 11.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (3) | 0 | 72.7% |
| Gaelin Elmore | DE | 6'6, 275 | SR | 11.0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (1) | 0 | 35.7% |
| Chandon Hickerson | DE | 6'3, 231 | FR | 9.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 53.3% |
| Marcus Holton, Jr. | DB | 6'0, 165 | JR | 9.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (2) | 0 | 100.0% |
| Ray Tillman | ILB | 6'1, 207 | SR | 8.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 60.0% |
| Shaun James | DT | 6'4, 274 | JR | 8.0 | 0.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (2) | 0 | 16.7% |
| Travis Phillips | DB | 5'11, 178 | SR | 8.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (1) | 0 | 66.7% |
| Joe Carter | ILB | 6'2, 223 | JR | 8.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 33.3% |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.2 | 49 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.06 | 83 |
| Punt Success Rate | 60.8% | 50 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 83.9% | 25 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 0.0% | 130 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 35 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Jake Verity | 6'1, 170 | SO | 35-36 | 16-25 | 64.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Austin Barnes | 5'11, 217 | SR | 50 | 44.0 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 60.0% |
| Jake Verity | 6'1, 170 | SO | 3 | 37.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 66.7% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Caleb Pratt | 6'3, 197 | JR | 61 | 64.7 | 40 | 65.6% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake Verity | 6'1, 170 | SO | 1 | 9.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Quay Johnson | 5'10, 184 | SR | 3 | -0.7 | 0 | 10 | 0 (0) |
| Trevon Brown | 6'2, 211 | JR | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 (0) |
| Colby Gore | 5'11, 172 | SO | 1 | -5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Trevon Brown | 6'2, 211 | JR | 21 | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Chris Love | 5'10, 180 | SR | 13 | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Darius Pinnix | 6'0, 225 | FR | 4 | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Hussein Howe | RB | 5'9, 183 | SO | 5.5 | 4.0 | 25.4 |
| Austin Teague | DB | 6'0, 191 | SR | 5.5 | 4.7 | 22.0 |
| Nate Harvey | RB | 6'1, 223 | JR | 5.5 | 9.8 | 19.5 |
| Joe Carter | ILB | 6'2, 223 | JR | 3.5 | 21.0 | |
| Travis Phillips | DB | 5'11, 178 | SR | 2.0 | 21.3 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics