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2017 Central Florida advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

UCF Knights (American East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 13-0 | Second-order wins (diff.): 11.7 (-1.3) | S&P+ Rk: 7
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
31-Aug Florida International 92 61-17 W 100% 38.9 95% 97% 81%
23-Sep at Maryland 114 38-10 W 100% 24.7 86% 56% 92%
30-Sep Memphis 20 40-13 W 100% 32.5 95% 90% 78%
7-Oct at Cincinnati 102 51-23 W 100% 35.2 92% 93% 72%
14-Oct East Carolina 123 63-21 W 100% 30.6 89% 96% 73%
21-Oct at Navy 69 31-21 W 96% 16.6 82% 81% 64%
28-Oct Austin Peay N/A 73-33 W 100% 28.6 89% 96% 48%
4-Nov at SMU 67 31-24 W 93% 13.6 78% 62% 61%
11-Nov Connecticut 119 49-24 W 99% 22.5 85% 92% 43%
18-Nov at Temple 78 45-19 W 99% 22.0 88% 76% 80%
24-Nov South Florida 15 49-42 W 35% -3.5 44% 84% 18%
2-Dec Memphis 20 62-55 W 73% 5.8 65% 97% 8%
1-Jan vs. Auburn 10 34-27 W 75% 6.2 64% 60% 59%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 44.0 2 28.8 74
Points Per Game 52.3 1 27.4 58
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 49.0% 4 37.2% 23 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.44 5 1.30 114 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.4 10 25.8 5 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.26 6 4.38 60 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 9.3 5 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.97
ACTUAL 17 2
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 110.8 36 103.4 55 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.1% 44 38.7% 34 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.11 8 0.91 67 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 101.1 68 99.5 63 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.0% 34 37.8% 65 38.5%
Power Success Rate 58.3% 114 61.4% 27 67.7%
Stuff Rate 20.9% 90 19.6% 64 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Adrian Killins Jr. RB 5'8, 158 SO 124 795 10 6.4 9.2 37.1% 0 (0)
McKenzie Milton QB 5'11, 185 SO 97 683 8 7.0 4.9 55.7% 0 (0)
Otis Anderson WR 5'11, 164 FR 70 494 4 7.1 11.4 34.3% 1 (1)
Taj McGowan RB 6'1, 210 JR 69 235 8 3.4 3.9 29.0% 1 (1)
Cordarrian Richardson RB 6'0, 248 FR 45 161 2 3.6 2.8 35.6% 1 (0)
Greg McCrae RB 5'10, 175 FR 28 153 2 5.5 3.7 50.0% 0 (0)
Noah Vedral QB 6'2, 190 FR 16 85 2 5.3 2.6 56.3% 0 (0)
Jawon Hamilton RB 5'9, 199 SO 14 51 1 3.6 2.4 50.0% 1 (1)
Tre'Quan Smith WR 6'1, 210 JR 5 23 1 4.6 4.2 40.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 124.4 8 110.1 29 100.0
Passing Success Rate 52.9% 2 35.8% 24 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.73 12 1.71 122 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 197.8 9 96 77 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
McKenzie Milton 5'11, 185 SO 265 395 4037 37 9 67.1% 11 2.7% 9.8
Noah Vedral 6'2, 190 FR 22 29 276 1 0 75.9% 2 6.5% 8.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tre'Quan Smith WR 6'1, 210 JR 86 59 1171 13 19.9 13.6 68.6% 60.5% 21.1%
Dredrick Snelson WR 6'0, 206 SO 62 46 695 8 15.1 11.2 74.2% 58.1% 15.2%
Jordan Akins TE 6'4, 262 SR 47 32 515 4 16.1 11.0 68.1% 61.7% 11.5%
Gabriel Davis WR 6'3, 219 FR 44 27 391 4 14.5 8.9 61.4% 52.3% 10.8%
Otis Anderson WR 5'11, 164 FR 40 30 351 3 11.7 8.8 75.0% 55.0% 9.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. RB 5'8, 158 SO 32 25 169 1 6.8 5.3 78.1% 40.6% 7.8%
Marlon Williams WR 6'0, 222 FR 24 17 270 2 15.9 11.3 70.8% 70.8% 5.9%
Jordan Franks TE 6'3, 239 SR 15 12 120 0 10.0 8.0 80.0% 40.0% 3.7%
Cam Stewart WR 6'3, 203 JR 14 6 197 1 32.8 14.1 42.9% 42.9% 3.4%
Michael Colubiale TE 6'1, 223 SR 13 10 221 1 22.1 17.0 76.9% 76.9% 3.2%
Taj McGowan RB 6'1, 210 JR 9 7 36 0 5.1 4.0 77.8% 44.4% 2.2%
Alex Harris WR 6'0, 192 FR 6 6 80 0 13.3 13.3 100.0% 66.7% 1.5%
Emmanuel Logan-Greene WR 5'10, 171 FR 6 5 75 0 15.0 12.5 83.3% 66.7% 1.5%
Greg McCrae RB 5'10, 175 FR 3 2 13 0 6.5 4.3 66.7% 33.3% 0.7%
Jamiyus Pittman DL 6'1, 319 SR 2 1 4 1 4.0 2.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Cordarrian Richardson RB 6'0, 248 FR 2 1 3 0 3.0 1.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 116.5 10 108.8 30 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 52.4% 9 41.0% 17 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.34 5 1.10 85 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.78 84 2.69 45 2.92
SD Sack Rate 2.4% 6 3.4% 99 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 125.1 11 102.7 61 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 39.9% 4 29.7% 65 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.81 9 1.85 128 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.35 58 3.71 107 3.22
PD Sack Rate 3.6% 10 7.7% 63 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 130.8 7 101.7 60
Q2 S&P+ 130.5 9 113.3 35
Q3 S&P+ 127.3 13 104.4 54
Q4 S&P+ 101.3 71 103.6 48
1st Down S&P+ 124.9 9 112.4 26
2nd Down S&P+ 121.9 14 105.1 50
3rd Down S&P+ 121.2 17 92.4 97
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.8% 82 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.2% 57 35.3%
Adj. Pace -2.3 22 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.8% 21 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.4% 73 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 29.7% 104 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.5% 56 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.8% 89 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 6.1% 14 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 6.4% 70 6.5%
PD to INC 33.3% 69 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Pat Jasinski ILB 6'1, 233 JR 76.0 8.5 (1) 20 1 (2) 1 31.4%
Chequan Burkett ILB 6'2, 230 SR 64.0 4.5 (1.5) 19 1 (3) 1 33.3%
Shaquem Griffin LB 6'2, 229 SR 59.0 13.5 (7) 13 1 (3) 2 27.0%
Tre Neal DB 6'1, 215 JR 54.5 2 (0) 6 3 (3) 1 61.2%
Kyle Gibson DB 5'11, 182 JR 53.0 2 (0) 1 4 (4) 1 79.7%
Titus Davis OLB 6'3, 248 JR 48.0 5 (1.5) 23 1 (0) 1 35.6%
Mike Hughes DB 5'11, 191 JR 43.0 0.5 (0) 0 4 (11) 1 65.3%
Tony Guerad DL 6'4, 310 SR 38.0 9 (2) 10 0 (1) 0 19.2%
Jamiyus Pittman DL 6'1, 319 SR 35.5 7.5 (4.5) 10 0 (0) 0 8.5%
Richie Grant DB 6'0, 186 FR 28.5 1 (0) 1 0 (2) 1 66.7%
Brandon Moore DB 6'0, 186 FR 28.0 2.5 (0) 2 1 (8) 1 54.8%
Gabriel Luyanda ILB 6'5, 250 JR 24.5 4.5 (1) 6 0 (1) 0 35.0%
Nevelle Clarke DB 6'1, 185 SO 23.0 2 (0) 0 1 (3) 0 56.0%
Nate Evans ILB 6'1, 241 SO 18.5 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 66.7%
Antwan Collier DB 6'3, 184 FR 16.0 1 (0) 1 1 (1) 1 44.4%
Trysten Hill DL 6'2, 330 SO 14.5 4 (2) 7 0 (0) 0 10.0%
Shawn Burgess-Becker OLB 6'2, 224 SO 13.5 2 (2) 0 0 (0) 1 50.0%
A.J. Wooten DL 6'5, 285 JR 12.0 0.5 (0.5) 1 0 (0) 1 33.3%
Eric Mitchell OLB 6'2, 238 FR 12.0 0 (0) 4 0 (0) 1 50.0%
Joey Connors DL 6'1, 313 JR 10.5 3.5 (2) 4 0 (4) 0 6.7%
Case Harrison WR 6'0, 205 SR 10.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Seyvon Lowry DL 6'3, 287 SR 9.0 0.5 (0) 3 2 (1) 0 23.1%
Rashard Causey DB 6'0, 195 JR 8.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 40.0%
Josh Odigie DL 6'3, 265 SR 7.0 2 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 25.0%
Greg McCrae RB 5'10, 175 FR 7.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.2 52
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.02 75
Punt Success Rate 60.0% 54
Kickoff Success Rate 64.8% 97
Punt Return Success Rate 70.6% 13
Kick Return Success Rate 61.1% 9
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Matthew Wright 6'0, 179 JR 80-81 13-18 72.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Mac Loudermilk 6'1, 234 JR 46 39.6 0 26 24 108.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Matthew Wright 6'0, 179 JR 104 60.2 23 22.1% 0 4 1 1
Dylan Barnas 5'8, 175 SO 1 56.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Mike Hughes 5'11, 191 JR 14 16.6 1 18 1 (0)
Chris Johnson 5'10, 190 SR 2 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Taj McGowan 6'1, 210 JR 1 17.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Mike Hughes 5'11, 191 JR 20 31.8 2 0 0 (0)
Adrian Killins Jr. 5'8, 158 SO 5 15.0 0 0 0 (0)
Richie Grant 6'0, 186 FR 4 18.8 0 0 1 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Case Harrison WR 6'0, 205 SR 10.0 11.0 16.2
Richie Grant DB 6'0, 186 FR 9.5 19.6
Gabriel Luyanda ILB 6'5, 250 JR 8.5 21.4
Shawn Burgess-Becker OLB 6'2, 224 SO 8.0 15.6
Antwan Collier DB 6'3, 184 FR 8.0 25.6

Stats via SportSource Analytics