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2017 Kansas State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Kansas State Wildcats (Big 12)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.8 (-1.2) | S&P+ Rk: 64
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Central Arkansas N/A 55-19 W 100% 29.3 89% 95% 67%
9-Sep Charlotte 124 55-7 W 100% 34.0 91% 93% 87%
16-Sep at Vanderbilt 80 7-14 L 28% -5.4 37% 8% 87%
30-Sep Baylor 106 33-20 W 98% 19.5 82% 71% 77%
7-Oct at Texas 50 34-40 L 8% -13.1 24% 61% 15%
14-Oct TCU 14 6-26 L 0% -26.4 12% 9% 44%
21-Oct Oklahoma 9 35-42 L 37% -3.0 44% 84% 18%
28-Oct at Kansas 125 30-20 W 82% 8.5 67% 58% 69%
4-Nov at Texas Tech 58 42-35 W 21% -7.3 33% 61% 25%
11-Nov West Virginia 63 23-28 L 9% -12.3 25% 36% 28%
18-Nov at Oklahoma State 12 45-40 W 65% 3.4 59% 80% 18%
25-Nov Iowa State 44 20-19 W 39% -2.5 45% 24% 68%
26-Dec vs. UCLA 77 35-17 W 92% 13.2 76% 69% 69%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 29.6 52 29.1 78
Points Per Game 35.0 36 27.3 55
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.2% 85 43.0% 84 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.25 30 1.18 76 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 34.1 2 27.1 15 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.61 51 4.30 55 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 9.1 9 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.36
ACTUAL 10 15
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 106.0 56 109.0 39 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.5% 77 38.4% 33 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.06 15 0.83 28 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 103.2 54 101.2 58 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.8% 39 33.8% 21 38.5%
Power Success Rate 70.3% 45 52.2% 6 67.7%
Stuff Rate 22.0% 108 20.1% 57 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Alex Barnes RB 6'1, 227 SO 146 819 7 5.6 6.8 39.0% 0 (0)
Alex Delton QB 6'0, 200 SO 97 533 8 5.5 6.5 39.2% 2 (1)
Jesse Ertz QB 6'3, 212 SR 58 362 3 6.2 4.2 58.6% 0 (0)
Skylar Thompson QB 6'2, 209 FR 54 316 3 5.9 5.7 40.7% 1 (1)
Dalvin Warmack RB 5'8, 187 JR 48 252 3 5.3 7.1 31.3% 0 (0)
Justin Silmon RB 5'10, 195 JR 43 225 0 5.2 6.8 34.9% 0 (0)
Winston Dimel FB 6'1, 235 JR 21 61 4 2.9 2.2 33.3% 0 (0)
Mike McCoy RB 6'2, 233 FR 10 55 1 5.5 1.9 70.0% 0 (0)
Tyler Burns RB 5'11, 215 FR 10 30 0 3.0 0.7 30.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 91.8 93 95.4 85 100.0
Passing Success Rate 38.1% 94 46.3% 114 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.59 32 1.39 51 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 68 118 78.2 100 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Jesse Ertz 6'3, 212 SR 55 100 930 7 3 55.0% 7 6.5% 8.4
Alex Delton 6'0, 200 SO 49 85 637 3 2 57.6% 4 4.5% 6.8
Skylar Thompson 6'2, 209 FR 51 83 689 5 3 61.4% 15 15.3% 6.5

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Isaiah Zuber WR 6'0, 182 SO 79 51 510 4 10.0 6.5 64.6% 46.8% 30.6%
Byron Pringle WR 6'2, 205 JR 58 30 724 6 24.1 12.5 51.7% 43.1% 22.5%
Dominique Heath WR 5'9, 175 JR 35 22 196 1 8.9 5.6 62.9% 48.6% 13.6%
Dalton Schoen WR 6'1, 205 SO 32 23 470 3 20.4 14.7 71.9% 56.2% 12.4%
Winston Dimel FB 6'1, 235 JR 12 8 91 1 11.4 7.6 66.7% 50.0% 4.7%
Isaiah Harris WR 5'8, 166 SO 11 5 138 1 27.6 12.6 45.5% 45.5% 4.3%
Alex Barnes RB 6'1, 227 SO 9 5 29 0 5.8 3.2 55.6% 22.2% 3.5%
Zach Reuter WR 6'3, 197 JR 7 4 49 0 12.3 7.0 57.1% 28.6% 2.7%
Dayton Valentine TE 6'4, 270 JR 5 2 10 0 5.0 2.0 40.0% 20.0% 1.9%
Dalvin Warmack RB 5'8, 187 JR 3 2 33 0 16.5 11.0 66.7% 66.7% 1.2%
Carlos Strickland II WR 6'4, 212 SO 2 1 11 0 11.0 5.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.8%
Justin Silmon RB 5'10, 195 JR 2 2 9 0 4.5 4.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Alex Delton QB 6'0, 200 SO 2 1 -11 0 -11.0 -5.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Tyler Burns RB 5'11, 215 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 101.2 65 101.1 58 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.9% 52 48.3% 90 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.12 39 1.02 50 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.88 71 2.90 63 2.92
SD Sack Rate 5.7% 79 2.9% 112 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 87.4 110 102.3 62 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 24.7% 121 30.1% 72 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.74 14 1.80 124 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.19 72 2.18 5 3.22
PD Sack Rate 11.0% 111 6.6% 84 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 91.8 92 102.5 58
Q2 S&P+ 115.3 27 100.6 69
Q3 S&P+ 107.0 52 107.8 41
Q4 S&P+ 98.0 83 100.7 58
1st Down S&P+ 97.8 71 115.3 19
2nd Down S&P+ 114.1 33 95.6 86
3rd Down S&P+ 93.7 91 85.8 114
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 74.2% 8 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 37.9% 46 35.3%
Adj. Pace +3.1 124 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 85.5% 2 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 48.5% 129 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 26.0% 126 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.9% 81 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.5% 71 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 3.1% 100 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 7.2% 38 6.5%
PD to INC 32.2% 87 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Jayd Kirby LB 6'2, 222 SR 87.5 11.5 (4) 12 0 (4) 3 40.0%
Trent Tanking LB 6'2, 225 SR 84.0 3.5 (0) 14 0 (4) 1 37.5%
Denzel Goolsby DB 5'11, 192 SO 71.5 2 (1) 2 2 (4) 1 78.9%
Kendall Adams DB 6'1, 221 JR 57.0 1 (0) 1 3 (3) 0 67.3%
Duke Shelley DB 5'9, 178 JR 54.5 4 (1) 1 2 (11) 1 77.4%
D.J. Reed DB 5'9, 188 JR 44.0 4.5 (0) 4 4 (9) 1 55.0%
Will Geary DT 6'0, 306 SR 36.0 9 (4.5) 11 0 (1) 1 17.5%
Reggie Walker DE 6'2, 242 SO 30.5 6 (2) 7 0 (0) 1 24.2%
Cre Moore DB 6'0, 184 SR 28.5 1 (0) 2 1 (3) 0 79.3%
Tanner Wood DE 6'5, 260 SR 28.0 5 (2) 5 0 (4) 0 29.0%
Elijah Sullivan LB 6'0, 220 SO 25.0 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 2 50.0%
AJ Parker DB 5'11, 166 FR 21.5 1.5 (0) 1 0 (3) 0 72.7%
Eli Walker DB 6'3, 210 JR 19.5 2 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 47.1%
Trey Dishon DT 6'2, 311 SO 18.5 4 (1) 5 0 (3) 0 22.2%
Kyle Ball DE 6'2, 241 SO 16.0 3.5 (2.5) 1 0 (0) 1 8.3%
Johnathan Durham DB 6'0, 185 SO 11.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 57.1%
Bronson Massie DE 6'4, 231 FR 8.5 0 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 33.3%
Davis Clark DE 6'2, 260 SR 7.5 2 (2) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Sean Newlan DB 6'2, 206 SR 7.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
Colby Moore DB 6'1, 200 JR 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
Brogan Barry DB 6'2, 200 SR 6.0 1 (1) 0 (1) 1
Walter Neil, Jr. DB 5'9, 165 FR 6.0 1 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
Joe Davies DT 6'3, 275 SO 5.0 1.5 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Chase Johnston LB 6'3, 231 SO 5.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Ian Rudzik LB 6'1, 229 FR 5.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.8 2
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.39 10
Punt Success Rate 62.7% 36
Kickoff Success Rate 84.7% 21
Punt Return Success Rate 71.4% 10
Kick Return Success Rate 73.2% 2
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Matthew McCrane 5'10, 165 SR 48-48 21-26 80.8%
Nick McLellan 6'2, 180 SO 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Nick Walsh 5'11, 207 SR 57 43.6 6 24 18 73.7%
Mitch Lochbihler 6'6, 241 SR 2 49.5 0 1 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Matthew McCrane 5'10, 165 SR 63 61.1 33 52.4% 0 1 0 0
Mitch Lochbihler 6'6, 241 SR 19 62.3 10 52.6% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
D.J. Reed 5'9, 188 JR 17 14.9 1 4 3 (1)
Dominique Heath 5'9, 175 JR 6 13.0 0 3 0 (0)
Byron Pringle 6'2, 205 JR 5 11.2 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
D.J. Reed 5'9, 188 JR 17 34.2 1 0 1 (0)
Byron Pringle 6'2, 205 JR 16 26.1 1 0 0 (0)
Dayton Valentine 6'4, 270 JR 5 9.4 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Elijah Sullivan LB 6'0, 220 SO 8.5 6.3 17.0
Chase Johnston LB 6'3, 231 SO 5.0 13.0 13.0
Colby Moore DB 6'1, 200 JR 4.5 20.6
Brogan Barry DB 6'2, 200 SR 4.0 9.8
Ian Rudzik LB 6'1, 229 FR 4.0 10.6

Stats via SportSource Analytics