clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2017 TCU advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

TCU Horned Frogs (Big 12)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.5 (-0.5) | S&P+ Rk: 14
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Jackson State N/A 63-0 W 100% 47.0 93% 97% 98%
9-Sep at Arkansas 91 28-7 W 100% 29.0 90% 64% 93%
16-Sep SMU 67 56-36 W 99% 21.0 86% 95% 38%
23-Sep at Oklahoma State 12 44-31 W 76% 6.5 66% 83% 32%
7-Oct West Virginia 63 31-24 W 67% 4.1 60% 64% 48%
14-Oct at Kansas State 64 26-6 W 100% 26.4 91% 56% 91%
21-Oct Kansas 125 43-0 W 100% 43.0 93% 88% NULL
28-Oct at Iowa State 44 7-14 L 65% 3.6 59% 15% 95%
4-Nov Texas 50 24-7 W 100% 27.5 92% 49% 97%
11-Nov at Oklahoma 9 20-38 L 6% -14.7 23% 47% 22%
18-Nov at Texas Tech 58 27-3 W 92% 13.0 76% 25% 86%
24-Nov Baylor 106 45-22 W 98% 19.6 82% 84% 65%
2-Dec vs. Oklahoma 9 17-41 L 4% -16.6 20% 27% 29%
28-Dec vs. Stanford 32 39-37 W 42% -2.0 46% 74% 23%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 31.2 39 20.8 16
Points Per Game 36.2 30 20.5 14
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.4% 23 33.8% 8 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.20 44 1.39 128 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.4 27 27.4 18 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.59 54 3.50 8 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.5 45 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.17
ACTUAL 3 45
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 113.7 23 140.2 3 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 46.7% 23 31.0% 1 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.93 50 0.95 80 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 105.6 42 127.1 4 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.6% 26 28.0% 2 38.5%
Power Success Rate 58.2% 115 68.6% 74 67.7%
Stuff Rate 22.5% 114 25.5% 8 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Kyle Hicks RB 5'10, 210 SR 139 637 4 4.6 4.1 37.4% 1 (1)
Darius Anderson RB 5'11, 205 SO 128 768 8 6.0 4.7 46.9% 2 (1)
Kenny Hill QB 6'1, 212 SR 85 448 5 5.3 4.0 47.1% 5 (1)
Sewo Olonilua RB 6'3, 225 SO 64 330 7 5.2 6.6 32.8% 2 (0)
Kenedy Snell RB 5'8, 170 FR 25 88 1 3.5 4.6 36.0% 0 (0)
Shawn Robinson QB 6'2, 225 FR 22 169 0 7.7 10.1 54.5% 5 (1)
KaVontae Turpin WR 5'9, 153 JR 11 86 2 7.8 15.6 36.4% 1 (1)
Jalen Reagor WR 5'11, 185 FR 10 83 0 8.3 6.3 60.0% 1 (0)
Grayson Muehlstein QB 6'4, 210 JR 4 23 0 5.8 6.7 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 99.8 68 118.1 15 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.0% 34 36.2% 30 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.51 47 1.70 119 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 125.5 33 136.6 15 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Kenny Hill 6'1, 212 SR 269 400 3152 23 8 67.3% 17 4.1% 7.3
Shawn Robinson 6'2, 225 FR 13 27 184 3 0 48.1% 1 3.6% 6.2

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
John Diarse WR 6'1, 214 SR 65 35 575 3 16.4 8.9 53.8% 50.8% 15.5%
Jalen Reagor WR 5'11, 185 FR 57 33 576 8 17.5 10.1 57.9% 42.1% 13.6%
Desmon White WR 5'7, 160 SR 56 41 425 5 10.4 7.6 73.2% 50.0% 13.4%
KaVontae Turpin WR 5'9, 153 JR 53 41 392 1 9.6 7.4 77.4% 52.8% 12.6%
Kyle Hicks RB 5'10, 210 SR 33 30 291 1 9.7 8.8 90.9% 57.6% 7.9%
Jaelan Austin WR 6'2, 202 JR 31 15 242 0 16.1 7.8 48.4% 45.2% 7.4%
Sewo Olonilua RB 6'3, 225 SO 20 19 166 0 8.7 8.3 95.0% 40.0% 4.8%
Shaun Nixon WR 5'10, 203 JR 14 12 135 1 11.3 9.6 85.7% 64.3% 3.3%
Ty Slanina WR 6'0, 207 SR 14 10 76 0 7.6 5.4 71.4% 35.7% 3.3%
Dylan Thomas WR 6'1, 200 SO 14 9 59 1 6.6 4.2 64.3% 35.7% 3.3%
Jarrison Stewart WR 6'0, 197 JR 12 9 102 1 11.3 8.5 75.0% 66.7% 2.9%
Cole Hunt TE 6'7, 255 SR 12 7 63 0 9.0 5.3 58.3% 41.7% 2.9%
Darius Anderson RB 5'11, 205 SO 11 9 57 0 6.3 5.2 81.8% 18.2% 2.6%
Kenedy Snell RB 5'8, 170 FR 7 5 93 2 18.6 13.3 71.4% 42.9% 1.7%
Isaiah Graham WR 6'1, 185 SO 6 2 16 0 8.0 2.7 33.3% 16.7% 1.4%
Emanuel Porter WR 6'4, 210 SR 5 2 14 1 7.0 2.8 40.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 101.9 62 119.8 10 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.2% 34 39.4% 8 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.06 57 1.30 126 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.05 44 2.49 18 2.92
SD Sack Rate 5.1% 68 6.7% 31 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 115.4 29 137.9 7 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 36.0% 16 24.3% 9 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.66 29 1.62 97 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.02 91 1.68 1 3.22
PD Sack Rate 3.9% 13 9.2% 30 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 98.5 75 118.8 27
Q2 S&P+ 98.2 83 137.0 6
Q3 S&P+ 123.4 17 128.5 9
Q4 S&P+ 99.0 80 149.1 1
1st Down S&P+ 101.2 61 137.5 4
2nd Down S&P+ 100.5 70 128.9 7
3rd Down S&P+ 121.1 18 117.9 21
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.0% 63 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.2% 59 35.3%
Adj. Pace +0.7 77 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.8% 53 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.3% 113 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.9% 122 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 19.5% 16 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.3% 15 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 4.2% 70 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 8.0% 19 6.5%
PD to INC 35.3% 55 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Travin Howard LB 6'1, 213 SR 84.0 7 (1) 11 1 (7) 0 35.1%
Ridwan Issahaku S 6'1, 196 JR 55.5 6 (2) 7 1 (5) 0 46.2%
Nick Orr S 5'10, 187 SR 52.5 3 (0) 7 3 (5) 0 55.4%
Mat Boesen DE 6'4, 240 SR 52.0 15 (11.5) 11 0 (0) 3 25.0%
Ty Summers LB 6'2, 242 JR 50.0 8 (4) 16 1 (5) 1 23.4%
Ben Banogu DE 6'4, 245 JR 39.0 16.5 (8.5) 12 0 (1) 3 16.3%
Niko Small S 5'10, 194 JR 34.0 1 (0) 5 0 (5) 1 66.7%
Ranthony Texada CB 5'10, 170 SR 30.0 2 (2) 0 1 (14) 1 68.8%
Innis Gaines S 6'2, 201 SO 29.5 6 (2) 8 1 (3) 2 30.3%
Arico Evans LB 6'2, 215 JR 26.5 0.5 (0) 2 0 (2) 0 40.5%
Markell Simmons S 6'1, 200 JR 25.5 1 (0) 1 1 (1) 0 65.2%
Jeff Gladney CB 6'0, 187 SO 25.5 0 (0) 0 2 (5) 0 75.0%
Montrel Wilson LB 6'3, 225 SO 23.0 3 (0) 4 0 (2) 0 23.3%
Ross Blacklock DT 6'4, 326 FR 20.5 6.5 (2) 10 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Sammy Douglas LB 6'3, 215 SR 20.5 0.5 (0) 5 0 (0) 1 30.0%
Chris Bradley DT 6'2, 275 SR 18.5 4.5 (1.5) 10 1 (0) 0 16.0%
Corey Bethley DL 6'2, 302 FR 17.5 3.5 (1) 11 0 (0) 0 19.2%
L.J. Collier DT 6'4, 279 JR 13.0 4.5 (4) 2 1 (0) 0 16.7%
Michael Epley DE 6'3, 255 JR 11.0 2 (0) 5 0 (0) 0 21.4%
Joseph Broadnax Jr. DT 6'0, 308 JR 10.0 3.5 (1.5) 2 0 (1) 0 7.1%
Julius Lewis CB 5'10, 176 JR 8.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 70.0%
Garret Wallow S 6'2, 215 FR 6.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Tony James CB 5'10, 162 JR 6.0 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 100.0%
Alec Dunham LB 6'1, 227 JR 5.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Michael Downing Jr. S 5'11, 188 SR 5.5 0 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 50.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 9
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.22 33
Punt Success Rate 62.1% 40
Kickoff Success Rate 77.8% 46
Punt Return Success Rate 57.1% 36
Kick Return Success Rate 70.4% 3
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jonathan Song 5'10, 170 SO 39-41 8-8 100.0%
Cole Bunce 5'10, 165 SO 16-18 6-7 85.7%
Brandon Ritchie 5'11, 195 SO 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Adam Nunez 6'0, 184 SO 62 39.3 4 26 30 90.3%
Andrew David 5'9, 179 SO 6 42.8 0 3 2 83.3%
Kenny Hill 6'1, 212 SR 1 32.0 1 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Cole Bunce 5'10, 165 SO 89 61.8 34 38.2% 4 4 0 0
Brandon Ritchie 5'11, 195 SO 1 64.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
KaVontae Turpin 5'9, 153 JR 16 16.3 1 26 0 (0)
Desmon White 5'7, 160 SR 5 17.4 1 2 1 (0)
Ben Banogu 6'4, 245 JR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
KaVontae Turpin 5'9, 153 JR 15 30.8 1 0 0 (0)
Jalen Reagor 5'11, 185 FR 4 30.5 0 0 0 (0)
Sewo Olonilua 6'3, 225 SO 3 16.7 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
TreVontae Hights WR 6'3, 192 SO 5.0 15.5
Jarrison Stewart WR 6'0, 197 JR 4.5 16.2
Garret Wallow S 6'2, 215 FR 4.5 2.0 15.3
Innis Gaines S 6'2, 201 SO 4.0 14.3
Sammy Douglas LB 6'3, 215 SR 4.0 15.3

Stats via SportSource Analytics