clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2017 Texas Tech advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Big 12)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.0 (0.0) | S&P+ Rk: 58
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Eastern Washington N/A 56-10 W 100% 39.8 92% 94% 87%
16-Sep Arizona State 81 52-45 W 96% 16.5 80% 94% 23%
23-Sep at Houston 36 27-24 W 36% -3.2 44% 62% 30%
30-Sep Oklahoma State 12 34-41 L 1% -20.2 17% 51% 12%
7-Oct at Kansas 125 65-19 W 100% 38.0 92% 98% 70%
14-Oct at West Virginia 63 35-46 L 62% 2.8 57% 81% 25%
21-Oct Iowa State 44 13-31 L 5% -15.5 20% 20% 46%
28-Oct at Oklahoma 9 27-49 L 3% -16.8 20% 66% 12%
4-Nov Kansas State 64 35-42 L 79% 7.3 67% 75% 39%
11-Nov vs. Baylor 106 38-24 W 48% -0.5 46% 60% 41%
18-Nov TCU 14 3-27 L 8% -13.0 26% 14% 75%
24-Nov at Texas 50 27-23 W 23% -6.7 36% 24% 56%
23-Dec vs. South Florida 15 34-38 L 35% -3.4 44% 77% 18%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 33.6 24 30.3 88
Points Per Game 37.2 23 34.9 107
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.0% 43 43.9% 91 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.25 31 1.13 47 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.4 44 30.0 80 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.27 83 4.51 77 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 7.2 15 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.48
ACTUAL 11 13
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 119.1 15 101.6 59 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 43.9% 50 41.9% 67 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.87 80 0.85 39 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 118 10 94.3 91 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.9% 71 36.1% 52 38.5%
Power Success Rate 66.0% 78 61.7% 31 67.7%
Stuff Rate 18.8% 54 15.7% 110 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Justin Stockton RB 5'10, 205 SR 132 797 4 6.0 7.0 39.4% 2 (2)
Tre King RB 5'11, 190 JR 131 623 5 4.8 4.1 37.4% 1 (1)
Desmond Nisby RB 6'1, 235 JR 62 273 7 4.4 4.8 33.9% 2 (2)
Nic Shimonek QB 6'3, 225 SR 32 145 1 4.5 3.2 40.6% 3 (1)
Demarcus Felton RB 5'7, 205 JR 22 102 0 4.6 2.8 36.4% 0 (0)
McLane Carter QB 6'3, 215 SO 13 27 1 2.1 3.4 23.1% 0 (0)
Mason Reed FB 6'2, 220 JR 7 25 0 3.6 1.0 42.9% 0 (0)
Cameron Batson WR 5'9, 175 SR 6 38 0 6.3 4.0 66.7% 5 (0)
Keke Coutee WR 5'11, 180 JR 5 15 0 3.0 3.9 20.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 109.5 35 95.0 89 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.0% 32 45.6% 113 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.51 48 1.36 36 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 116.8 44 59.4 119 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nic Shimonek 6'3, 225 SR 328 493 3963 33 10 66.5% 27 5.2% 7.2
McLane Carter 6'3, 215 SO 23 46 359 2 2 50.0% 2 4.2% 6.9
Jett Duffey 6'1, 200 FR 2 2 16 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 8.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Keke Coutee WR 5'11, 180 JR 121 93 1429 10 15.4 11.8 76.9% 58.7% 23.9%
Dylan Cantrell WR 6'3, 220 SR 114 71 816 7 11.5 7.2 62.3% 52.6% 22.5%
Cameron Batson WR 5'9, 175 SR 73 61 510 5 8.4 7.0 83.6% 49.3% 14.4%
T.J. Vasher WR 6'6, 190 FR 56 29 545 6 18.8 9.7 51.8% 44.6% 11.0%
Justin Stockton RB 5'10, 205 SR 37 27 235 1 8.7 6.4 73.0% 40.5% 7.3%
Derrick Willies WR 6'4, 210 SR 31 18 304 3 16.9 9.8 58.1% 48.4% 6.1%
Tre King RB 5'11, 190 JR 19 17 104 0 6.1 5.5 89.5% 47.4% 3.7%
Quan Shorts WR 6'2, 195 SO 15 9 109 2 12.1 7.3 60.0% 40.0% 3.0%
Ja'Deion High WR 5'11, 190 SR 12 7 58 0 8.3 4.8 58.3% 33.3% 2.4%
Antoine Wesley WR 6'5, 185 SO 11 10 137 0 13.7 12.5 90.9% 54.5% 2.2%
Donta Thompson WR 6'5, 225 SO 4 1 20 0 20.0 5.0 25.0% 25.0% 0.8%
Mason Reed FB 6'2, 220 JR 3 3 28 1 9.3 9.3 100.0% 66.7% 0.6%
De'Quan Bowman WR 5'11, 190 JR 3 2 11 0 5.5 3.7 66.7% 33.3% 0.6%
JoJo Robinson WR 5'11, 195 JR 2 2 26 0 13.0 13.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.4%
Tyler Carr DL 6'4, 260 FR 2 2 14 0 7.0 7.0 100.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Demarcus Felton RB 5'7, 205 JR 2 2 13 0 6.5 6.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 113.8 17 99.5 68 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.1% 37 47.9% 84 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.18 20 1.06 68 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.83 77 3.01 77 2.92
SD Sack Rate 3.5% 30 2.6% 118 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 111.8 36 99.0 73 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.3% 45 32.1% 91 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.46 85 1.46 47 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.76 13 3.28 76 3.22
PD Sack Rate 8.4% 79 5.2% 107 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 129.6 10 99.5 68
Q2 S&P+ 100.8 73 112.1 37
Q3 S&P+ 118.9 26 104.5 52
Q4 S&P+ 104.0 57 91.5 103
1st Down S&P+ 119.9 14 98.1 79
2nd Down S&P+ 99.5 75 107.8 45
3rd Down S&P+ 114.8 32 104.0 56
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 48.3% 119 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 24.9% 119 35.3%
Adj. Pace -1.4 33 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 83.0% 9 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.6% 122 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.8% 101 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.6% 105 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.9% 60 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 1.8% 127 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 6.9% 48 6.5%
PD to INC 34.9% 56 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Jah'Shawn Johnson DB 5'10, 185 JR 82.5 4 (0) 6 0 (5) 1 60.4%
Dakota Allen LB 6'1, 235 JR 80.0 6 (2) 11 2 (4) 1 37.0%
Jordyn Brooks LB 6'1, 240 SO 69.5 0.5 (0) 5 1 (2) 0 44.3%
Vaughnte Dorsey DB 5'11, 200 JR 49.5 1.5 (0) 3 1 (3) 1 71.9%
Damarcus Fields DB 6'0, 200 FR 44.5 0 (0) 1 1 (7) 1 76.6%
Kolin Hill DL 6'2, 245 JR 38.0 6 (2) 4 0 (4) 2 54.5%
Justus Parker DB 6'0, 210 SO 38.0 2.5 (0) 5 4 (4) 4 48.8%
Broderick Washington, Jr. DL 6'3, 295 SO 36.5 2 (2) 5 0 (0) 1 31.8%
Octavious Morgan DB 6'0, 205 JR 34.5 1 (0) 1 0 (8) 0 82.5%
Mychealon Thomas DL 6'2, 320 SR 33.0 3 (1) 7 1 (0) 0 2.4%
Tony Jones DL 6'2, 225 JR 27.0 7 (4) 4 1 (1) 0 33.3%
Desmon Smith DB 6'2, 190 SO 27.0 1 (0) 1 1 (3) 0 66.7%
Jaylon Lane DB 6'2, 190 JR 26.0 1 (0) 0 0 (3) 0 77.8%
Eli Howard DL 6'4, 260 SO 23.5 8.5 (5.5) 5 0 (3) 3 7.4%
Douglas Coleman III DB 6'1, 185 SO 20.5 1 (0) 1 1 (1) 1 61.9%
Riko Jeffers LB 6'2, 245 FR 19.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Kisean Allen DB 5'11, 180 JR 15.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 92.3%
Willie Sykes DB 6'0, 185 SO 12.0 2 (1) 1 1 (2) 0 57.1%
Quentin Yontz DL 6'2, 260 JR 9.0 2 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 22.2%
Lonzell Gilmore DL 6'3, 260 SO 8.5 2 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Zach Barnes DL 6'3, 260 SR 7.5 1.5 (1.5) 0 0 (0) 1 33.3%
Brayden Stringer LB 6'2, 220 SO 7.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 42.9%
D.J. Polite-Bray DB 6'0, 190 SR 6.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 83.3%
Kevin Moore DB 6'1, 200 SO 5.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Nick McCann DL 6'2, 310 FR 4.0 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 0.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 109
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.72 122
Punt Success Rate 62.3% 39
Kickoff Success Rate 70.7% 78
Punt Return Success Rate 27.8% 119
Kick Return Success Rate 48.4% 43
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Clayton Hatfield 5'10, 185 JR 22-22 6-10 60.0%
Michael Barden 5'11, 180 JR 23-24 4-8 50.0%
Michael Ewton 5'7, 155 FR 9-10 1-3 33.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Dominic Panazzolo 6'5, 210 JR 60 41.4 2 27 16 71.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Michael Barden 5'11, 180 JR 74 63.7 40 54.1% 0 5 1 1
Matthew Cluck 6'0, 210 JR 7 63.9 2 28.6% 0 2 0 0
Clayton Hatfield 5'10, 185 JR 1 64.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Cameron Batson 5'9, 175 SR 17 5.4 0 10 2 (0)
Ja'Deion High 5'11, 190 SR 1 11.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Cameron Batson 5'9, 175 SR 14 22.0 0 0 0 (0)
Keke Coutee 5'11, 180 JR 10 31.5 1 0 0 (0)
Justus Parker 6'0, 210 SO 3 10.0 0 0 1 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Riko Jeffers LB 6'2, 245 FR 6.5 12.0 21.3
Kevin Moore DB 6'1, 200 SO 5.0 5.5 31.5
Kisean Allen DB 5'11, 180 JR 4.0 29.0
Tre King RB 5'11, 190 JR 3.0 23.7
Damarcus Fields DB 6'0, 200 FR 3.0 1.5 43.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics