Updated on 1/13/2017
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
Baylor Bears (Big 12)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.8 (0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 50 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | Northwestern State | N/A | 55-7 | W | 100% | 57.9 | 90% | 65% | 92% |
| 10-Sep | SMU | 90 | 40-13 | W | 97% | 14.7 | 73% | 44% | 80% |
| 16-Sep | at Rice | 121 | 38-10 | W | 100% | 31.7 | 85% | 61% | 88% |
| 24-Sep | Oklahoma State | 22 | 35-24 | W | 97% | 15.1 | 89% | 78% | 94% |
| 1-Oct | at Iowa State | 64 | 45-42 | W | 75% | 5.4 | 58% | 86% | 19% |
| 15-Oct | Kansas | 104 | 49-7 | W | 100% | 36.8 | 90% | 72% | 93% |
| 29-Oct | at Texas | 36 | 34-35 | L | 48% | -0.3 | 57% | 71% | 34% |
| 5-Nov | TCU | 47 | 22-62 | L | 0% | -21.9 | 15% | 40% | 10% |
| 12-Nov | at Oklahoma | 10 | 24-45 | L | 1% | -17.8 | 36% | 47% | 41% |
| 19-Nov | Kansas State | 31 | 21-42 | L | 3% | -14.7 | 26% | 39% | 42% |
| 25-Nov | vs. Texas Tech | 66 | 35-54 | L | 0% | -21.5 | 11% | 30% | 19% |
| 3-Dec | at West Virginia | 29 | 21-24 | L | 57% | 1.3 | 63% | 39% | 81% |
| 27-Dec | vs. Boise State | 19 | 31-12 | W | 99% | 20.0 | 95% | 91% | 97% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 34.1 | 38 | 28.3 | 58 |
| Points Per Game | 34.6 | 35 | 29.0 | 71 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.27 | 62 | 1.21 | 36 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 45.5% | 30 | 42.7% | 66 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.8 | 60 | 29.1 | 61 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.32 | 83 | 4.22 | 42 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -7.09 | 121 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +0.80 |
||
| ACTUAL | -5 | 97 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 105.6 | 52 | 101.4 | 58 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 48.9% | 15 | 44.5% | 80 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.06 | 64 | 0.95 | 15 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 107.9 | 39 | 102.8 | 59 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 40.7% | 58 | 39.9% | 77 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 74.0% | 29 | 83.3% | 126 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.6% | 7 | 18.9% | 66 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Terence Williams | RB | 6'1, 220 | SO | 185 | 1048 | 11 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 38.9% | 3 (1) |
| Shock Linwood | RB | 5'9, 200 | SR | 139 | 751 | 2 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 41.7% | 2 (0) |
| JaMycal Hasty | RB | 5'9, 200 | FR | 119 | 623 | 3 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 42.9% | 1 (1) |
| Seth Russell | QB | 6'3, 220 | SR | 81 | 573 | 8 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 53.1% | 3 (1) |
| Wyatt Schrepfer | RB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 32 | 111 | 0 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 18.8% | 2 (2) |
| Blake Lynch | WR | 6'3, 210 | FR | 12 | 80 | 0 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 50.0% | 3 (2) |
| Zach Smith | QB | 6'4, 235 | FR | 12 | 28 | 1 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 16.7% | 4 (2) |
| Ishmael Zamora | WR | 6'4, 215 | SO | 5 | 27 | 0 | 5.4 | 10.5 | 20.0% | 3 (2) |
| Lynx Hawthorne | WR | 6'0, 195 | SR | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 40.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 101.2 | 63 | 103.6 | 50 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 41.7% | 55 | 40.5% | 61 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.55 | 36 | 1.58 | 110 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 109.8 | 43 | 110.2 | 42 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Seth Russell | 6'3, 220 | SR | 152 | 278 | 2126 | 20 | 8 | 54.7% | 13 | 4.5% | 7.1 |
| Zach Smith | 6'4, 235 | FR | 116 | 196 | 1526 | 13 | 7 | 59.2% | 13 | 6.2% | 7.0 |
| Preston Heard | 5'11, 195 | FR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Zack Bennema | 6'4, 225 | FR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| KD Cannon | WR | 6'0, 180 | JR | 139 | 87 | 1215 | 13 | 14.0 | 8.7 | 62.6% | 51.8% | 30.5% |
| Ishmael Zamora | WR | 6'4, 215 | SO | 108 | 63 | 809 | 8 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 58.3% | 47.2% | 23.7% |
| Chris Platt | WR | 5'11, 170 | SO | 70 | 35 | 567 | 4 | 16.2 | 8.1 | 50.0% | 45.7% | 15.4% |
| Blake Lynch | WR | 6'3, 210 | FR | 52 | 34 | 404 | 3 | 11.9 | 7.8 | 65.4% | 48.1% | 11.4% |
| Pooh Stricklin | WR | 6'1, 185 | FR | 26 | 13 | 226 | 2 | 17.4 | 8.7 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 5.7% |
| Quan Jones | WR | 6'5, 215 | JR | 9 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 11.2 | 6.2 | 55.6% | 55.6% | 2.0% |
| Lynx Hawthorne | WR | 6'0, 195 | SR | 8 | 6 | 106 | 0 | 17.7 | 13.3 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Feuerbacher | TE | 6'4, 265 | JR | 8 | 7 | 104 | 2 | 14.9 | 13.0 | 87.5% | 75.0% | 1.8% |
| Denzel Mims | WR | 6'3, 200 | FR | 8 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 1.8% |
| Sam Tecklenburg | TE | 6'3, 270 | FR | 7 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 1.5% |
| Jared Atkinson | WR | 6'2, 210 | FR | 6 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 11.0 | 7.3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 1.3% |
| JaMycal Hasty | RB | 5'9, 200 | FR | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 8.7 | 6.5 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.9% |
| Terence Williams | RB | 6'1, 220 | SO | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 11.0 | 7.3 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 0.7% |
| Shock Linwood | RB | 5'9, 200 | SR | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| Zach Smith | QB | 6'4, 235 | FR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Davion Hall | S | 6'2, 205 | JR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 101.1 | 64 | 107.7 | 39 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 50.1% | 36 | 47.2% | 62 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.10 | 71 | 1.04 | 31 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.30 | 19 | 2.93 | 65 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.3% | 50 | 5.4% | 53 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 110.9 | 41 | 97.6 | 80 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 35.2% | 24 | 32.3% | 79 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.82 | 44 | 1.82 | 97 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 4.02 | 9 | 3.41 | 86 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 7.9% | 65 | 8.0% | 53 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 97.0 | 86 | 106.2 | 42 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 109.5 | 46 | 112.1 | 33 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 103.4 | 60 | 103.0 | 52 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 102.4 | 62 | 126.3 | 7 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 102.5 | 58 | 116.6 | 17 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 104.2 | 58 | 118.9 | 18 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 99.4 | 81 | 94.2 | 88 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 59.3% | 72 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 39.9% | 24 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +14.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 82.2% | 14 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 64.8% | 25 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 34.3% | 66 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 16.7% | 42 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.3% | 74 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.1% | 102 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 9.2% | 3 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 33.3% | 58 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Aiavion Edwards | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 81.0 | 9.7% | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Young | LB | 5'10, 225 | JR | 75.5 | 9.1% | 9.0 | 4.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Orion Stewart | S | 6'2, 205 | SR | 63.5 | 7.6% | 5.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Travon Blanchard | DB | 6'2, 205 | JR | 60.5 | 7.3% | 9.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| K.J. Smith | DE | 6'2, 260 | JR | 54.5 | 6.6% | 12.0 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Raaquan Davis | LB | 6'2, 230 | JR | 44.5 | 5.4% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Chance Waz | S | 6'0, 185 | JR | 44.5 | 5.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Davion Hall | S | 6'2, 205 | JR | 44.0 | 5.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Patrick Levels | DB | 5'11, 195 | SR | 43.0 | 5.2% | 12.0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ira Lewis | DT | 6'3, 300 | SO | 28.5 | 3.4% | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tion Wright | CB | 5'10, 180 | SR | 28.5 | 3.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Tyrone Hunt | DE | 6'5, 275 | FR | 25.0 | 3.0% | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Williams | LB | 6'0, 220 | FR | 24.5 | 2.9% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Greg Roberts | DE | 6'6, 260 | SO | 21.5 | 2.6% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Clay Johnston | LB | 6'3, 220 | FR | 20.0 | 2.4% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Jones | DE | 6'3, 245 | SO | 19.5 | 2.3% | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Reid | CB | 5'11, 190 | SR | 19.5 | 2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| Lenoy Jones Jr. | LB | 6'1, 225 | FR | 18.5 | 2.2% | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Grayland Arnold | CB | 5'10, 185 | FR | 18.5 | 2.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Jamie Jacobs | DE | 6'5, 255 | SO | 14.0 | 1.7% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jameson Houston | CB | 6'2, 200 | FR | 14.0 | 1.7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Verkedric Vaughns | CB | 5'10, 195 | SO | 14.0 | 1.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| Henry Black | S | 6'0, 200 | FR | 7.0 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Jaynes | DB | 6'2, 210 | JR | 6.5 | 0.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bravvion Roy | DT | 6'2, 320 | FR | 6.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.2 | 110 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.39 | 114 |
| Punt Success Rate | 54.4% | 79 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 82.7% | 22 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 73.9% | 10 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 25.7% | 125 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Chris Callahan | 5'9, 205 | JR | 53-54 | 10-15 | 66.7% |
| Connor Martin | 5'9, 175 | FR | 5-5 | 0-0 | #DIV/0! |
| Drew Galitz | 6'0, 205 | SO | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Drew Galitz | 6'0, 205 | SO | 54 | 41.6 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 68.5% |
| Preston Heard | 5'11, 195 | FR | 1 | 35.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Seth Russell | 6'3, 220 | SR | 1 | 42.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Drew Galitz | 6'0, 205 | SO | 80 | 62.8 | 22 | 27.5% | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Connor Martin | 5'9, 175 | FR | 1 | 59.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Tony Nicholson | 5'10, 185 | FR | 19 | 10.2 | 0 | 19 | 2 (1) |
| Trevor White | 5'7, 165 | SO | 4 | 7.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Tony Nicholson | 5'10, 185 | FR | 18 | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| JaMycal Hasty | 5'9, 200 | FR | 8 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Patrick Levels | 5'11, 195 | SR | 6 | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics