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2016 Baylor advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Baylor Bears (Big 12)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.8 (0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 50
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Northwestern State N/A 55-7 W 100% 57.9 90% 65% 92%
10-Sep SMU 90 40-13 W 97% 14.7 73% 44% 80%
16-Sep at Rice 121 38-10 W 100% 31.7 85% 61% 88%
24-Sep Oklahoma State 22 35-24 W 97% 15.1 89% 78% 94%
1-Oct at Iowa State 64 45-42 W 75% 5.4 58% 86% 19%
15-Oct Kansas 104 49-7 W 100% 36.8 90% 72% 93%
29-Oct at Texas 36 34-35 L 48% -0.3 57% 71% 34%
5-Nov TCU 47 22-62 L 0% -21.9 15% 40% 10%
12-Nov at Oklahoma 10 24-45 L 1% -17.8 36% 47% 41%
19-Nov Kansas State 31 21-42 L 3% -14.7 26% 39% 42%
25-Nov vs. Texas Tech 66 35-54 L 0% -21.5 11% 30% 19%
3-Dec at West Virginia 29 21-24 L 57% 1.3 63% 39% 81%
27-Dec vs. Boise State 19 31-12 W 99% 20.0 95% 91% 97%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 34.1 38 28.3 58
Points Per Game 34.6 35 29.0 71
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.27 62 1.21 36 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.5% 30 42.7% 66 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.8 60 29.1 61 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.32 83 4.22 42 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -7.09 121 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.80
ACTUAL -5 97
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 105.6 52 101.4 58 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 48.9% 15 44.5% 80 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.06 64 0.95 15 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 107.9 39 102.8 59 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.7% 58 39.9% 77 39.7%
Power Success Rate 74.0% 29 83.3% 126 67.9%
Stuff Rate 13.6% 7 18.9% 66 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Terence Williams RB 6'1, 220 SO 185 1048 11 5.7 5.2 38.9% 3 (1)
Shock Linwood RB 5'9, 200 SR 139 751 2 5.4 4.8 41.7% 2 (0)
JaMycal Hasty RB 5'9, 200 FR 119 623 3 5.2 3.8 42.9% 1 (1)
Seth Russell QB 6'3, 220 SR 81 573 8 7.1 6.1 53.1% 3 (1)
Wyatt Schrepfer RB 5'10, 205 JR 32 111 0 3.5 4.9 18.8% 2 (2)
Blake Lynch WR 6'3, 210 FR 12 80 0 6.7 5.1 50.0% 3 (2)
Zach Smith QB 6'4, 235 FR 12 28 1 2.3 5.3 16.7% 4 (2)
Ishmael Zamora WR 6'4, 215 SO 5 27 0 5.4 10.5 20.0% 3 (2)
Lynx Hawthorne WR 6'0, 195 SR 5 7 0 1.4 4.7 40.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 101.2 63 103.6 50 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.7% 55 40.5% 61 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.55 36 1.58 110 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 109.8 43 110.2 42 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Seth Russell 6'3, 220 SR 152 278 2126 20 8 54.7% 13 4.5% 7.1
Zach Smith 6'4, 235 FR 116 196 1526 13 7 59.2% 13 6.2% 7.0
Preston Heard 5'11, 195 FR 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0
Zack Bennema 6'4, 225 FR 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
KD Cannon WR 6'0, 180 JR 139 87 1215 13 14.0 8.7 62.6% 51.8% 30.5%
Ishmael Zamora WR 6'4, 215 SO 108 63 809 8 12.8 7.5 58.3% 47.2% 23.7%
Chris Platt WR 5'11, 170 SO 70 35 567 4 16.2 8.1 50.0% 45.7% 15.4%
Blake Lynch WR 6'3, 210 FR 52 34 404 3 11.9 7.8 65.4% 48.1% 11.4%
Pooh Stricklin WR 6'1, 185 FR 26 13 226 2 17.4 8.7 50.0% 46.2% 5.7%
Quan Jones WR 6'5, 215 JR 9 5 56 0 11.2 6.2 55.6% 55.6% 2.0%
Lynx Hawthorne WR 6'0, 195 SR 8 6 106 0 17.7 13.3 75.0% 50.0% 1.8%
Jordan Feuerbacher TE 6'4, 265 JR 8 7 104 2 14.9 13.0 87.5% 75.0% 1.8%
Denzel Mims WR 6'3, 200 FR 8 4 24 0 6.0 3.0 50.0% 25.0% 1.8%
Sam Tecklenburg TE 6'3, 270 FR 7 3 40 1 13.3 5.7 42.9% 42.9% 1.5%
Jared Atkinson WR 6'2, 210 FR 6 4 44 0 11.0 7.3 66.7% 66.7% 1.3%
JaMycal Hasty RB 5'9, 200 FR 4 3 26 0 8.7 6.5 75.0% 50.0% 0.9%
Terence Williams RB 6'1, 220 SO 3 2 22 0 11.0 7.3 66.7% 33.3% 0.7%
Shock Linwood RB 5'9, 200 SR 3 2 6 0 3.0 2.0 66.7% 0.0% 0.7%
Zach Smith QB 6'4, 235 FR 1 1 3 0 3.0 3.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Davion Hall S 6'2, 205 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 101.1 64 107.7 39 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 50.1% 36 47.2% 62 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.10 71 1.04 31 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.30 19 2.93 65 2.98
SD Sack Rate 4.3% 50 5.4% 53 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 110.9 41 97.6 80 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 35.2% 24 32.3% 79 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.82 44 1.82 97 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 4.02 9 3.41 86 3.24
PD Sack Rate 7.9% 65 8.0% 53 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 97.0 86 106.2 42
Q2 S&P+ 109.5 46 112.1 33
Q3 S&P+ 103.4 60 103.0 52
Q4 S&P+ 102.4 62 126.3 7
1st Down S&P+ 102.5 58 116.6 17
2nd Down S&P+ 104.2 58 118.9 18
3rd Down S&P+ 99.4 81 94.2 88
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.3% 72 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.9% 24 34.6%
Adj. Pace +14.0 2 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 82.2% 14 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.8% 25 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.3% 66 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.7% 42 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.3% 74 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.1% 102 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 9.2% 3 6.4%
PD to INC 33.3% 58 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Aiavion Edwards LB 6'1, 230 SR 81.0 9.7% 5.5 2.5 0 0 0
Taylor Young LB 5'10, 225 JR 75.5 9.1% 9.0 4.5 0 1 0
Orion Stewart S 6'2, 205 SR 63.5 7.6% 5.0 1.0 6 5 0
Travon Blanchard DB 6'2, 205 JR 60.5 7.3% 9.0 1.5 1 5 1
K.J. Smith DE 6'2, 260 JR 54.5 6.6% 12.0 7.0 0 0 1
Raaquan Davis LB 6'2, 230 JR 44.5 5.4% 2.5 1.0 0 1 0
Chance Waz S 6'0, 185 JR 44.5 5.4% 0.0 0.0 0 3 0
Davion Hall S 6'2, 205 JR 44.0 5.3% 2.0 0.0 1 3 1
Patrick Levels DB 5'11, 195 SR 43.0 5.2% 12.0 5.5 0 0 3
Ira Lewis DT 6'3, 300 SO 28.5 3.4% 7.5 3.0 0 0 0
Tion Wright CB 5'10, 180 SR 28.5 3.4% 0.0 0.0 0 4 1
Tyrone Hunt DE 6'5, 275 FR 25.0 3.0% 5.0 2.0 0 0 0
Jordan Williams LB 6'0, 220 FR 24.5 2.9% 3.0 1.0 0 0 1
Greg Roberts DE 6'6, 260 SO 21.5 2.6% 3.5 0.0 0 3 1
Clay Johnston LB 6'3, 220 FR 20.0 2.4% 4.0 0.0 1 0 0
Xavier Jones DE 6'3, 245 SO 19.5 2.3% 7.5 1.0 0 0 1
Ryan Reid CB 5'11, 190 SR 19.5 2.3% 0.0 0.0 3 8 0
Lenoy Jones Jr. LB 6'1, 225 FR 18.5 2.2% 3.5 1.0 0 0 1
Grayland Arnold CB 5'10, 185 FR 18.5 2.2% 2.0 0.0 0 4 0
Jamie Jacobs DE 6'5, 255 SO 14.0 1.7% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0
Jameson Houston CB 6'2, 200 FR 14.0 1.7% 0.5 0.0 0 4 1
Verkedric Vaughns CB 5'10, 195 SO 14.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 7 1
Henry Black S 6'0, 200 FR 7.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Tyler Jaynes DB 6'2, 210 JR 6.5 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Bravvion Roy DT 6'2, 320 FR 6.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.2 110
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.39 114
Punt Success Rate 54.4% 79
Kickoff Success Rate 82.7% 22
Punt Return Success Rate 73.9% 10
Kick Return Success Rate 25.7% 125
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Chris Callahan 5'9, 205 JR 53-54 10-15 66.7%
Connor Martin 5'9, 175 FR 5-5 0-0 #DIV/0!
Drew Galitz 6'0, 205 SO 0-0 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Drew Galitz 6'0, 205 SO 54 41.6 3 24 13 68.5%
Preston Heard 5'11, 195 FR 1 35.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Seth Russell 6'3, 220 SR 1 42.0 1 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Drew Galitz 6'0, 205 SO 80 62.8 22 27.5% 0 4 2 0
Connor Martin 5'9, 175 FR 1 59.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tony Nicholson 5'10, 185 FR 19 10.2 0 19 2 (1)
Trevor White 5'7, 165 SO 4 7.3 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tony Nicholson 5'10, 185 FR 18 18.8 0 0 0 (0)
JaMycal Hasty 5'9, 200 FR 8 20.0 0 0 0 (0)
Patrick Levels 5'11, 195 SR 6 21.2 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics