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2015 Baylor advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Baylor Bears (Big 12)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 14
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
4-Sep at SMU 104 56-21 W 100% 26.9 85% 84% 42%
12-Sep Lamar N/A 66-31 W 100% 27.6 74% 90% 43%
26-Sep Rice 119 70-17 W 100% 52.7 89% 97% 81%
3-Oct vs. Texas Tech 62 63-35 W 99% 19.2 92% 95% 58%
10-Oct at Kansas 127 66-7 W 100% 38.9 61% 84% 62%
17-Oct West Virginia 24 62-38 W 98% 16.3 89% 93% 56%
24-Oct Iowa State 70 45-27 W 100% 26.5 79% 67% 91%
5-Nov at Kansas State 84 31-24 W 91% 10.5 46% 79% 29%
14-Nov Oklahoma 4 34-44 L 33% -3.5 54% 76% 69%
21-Nov at Oklahoma State 33 45-35 W 93% 12.0 79% 84% 75%
27-Nov at TCU 26 21-28 L 30% -4.1 43% 21% 96%
5-Dec Texas 72 17-23 L 29% -4.5 18% 24% 44%
29-Dec vs. North Carolina 29 49-38 W 89% 10.0 85% 99% 50%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 43.7 1 28.2 64
Points Per Game 48.1 1 28.3 79
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.38 19 1.20 37 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 50.3% 5 39.3% 49 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.3 55 30.6 87 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.63 4 4.91 90 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 1.75 53 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.67
ACTUAL 0 66
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 112.7 26 116.9 18 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 52.1% 4 41.2% 57 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.09 54 0.94 14 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 110.4 23 113.1 19 100.0
Opportunity Rate 49.0% 1 35.6% 35 38.9%
Power Success Rate 76.1% 14 61.7% 36 66.3%
Stuff Rate 13.0% 2 23.0% 26 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Shock Linwood RB 5'9, 200 JR 198 1329 10 6.7 5.6 50.5% 1 (1)
Johnny Jefferson RB 5'10, 210 SO 136 1000 8 7.4 5.6 54.4% 2 (2)
Devin Chafin RB 6'0, 225 JR 121 583 9 4.8 2.4 43.0% 3 (2)
Terence Williams RB 6'2, 215 FR 88 556 3 6.3 4.3 51.1% 0 (0)
Seth Russell QB 6'3, 220 JR 46 414 6 9.0 9.4 52.2% 2 (1)
Chris Johnson QB 6'5, 235 SO 33 113 1 3.4 2.5 42.4% 4 (3)
Jarrett Stidham QB 6'3, 210 FR 27 119 2 4.4 2.4 40.7% 1 (1)
Corey Coleman WR 5'11, 190 JR 24 105 0 4.4 6.3 37.5% 0 (0)
Lynx Hawthorne WR 6'0, 205 JR 16 145 2 9.1 7.9 62.5% 2 (2)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 128.6 9 110.4 35 100.0
Passing Success Rate 47.4% 12 36.9% 30 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.91 4 1.57 97 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 197.9 10 99.9 66 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Seth Russell 6'3, 220 JR 119 200 2104 29 6 59.5% 3 1.5% 10.3
Jarrett Stidham 6'3, 210 FR 75 109 1265 12 2 68.8% 9 7.6% 10.3
Chris Johnson 6'5, 235 SO 22 50 302 3 3 44.0% 2 3.8% 5.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Corey Coleman WR 5'11, 190 JR 121 74 1363 20 18.4 11.3 61.2% 52.1% 32.4%
KD Cannon WR 6'0, 180 SO 92 51 881 6 17.3 9.6 55.4% 48.9% 24.7%
Jay Lee WR 6'3, 220 SR 59 38 758 8 20.0 12.9 64.4% 59.3% 15.8%
Chris Platt WR 5'11, 170 FR 24 11 155 1 14.1 6.5 45.8% 37.5% 6.4%
Davion Hall WR 6'2, 205 SO 14 5 77 1 15.4 5.5 35.7% 35.7% 3.8%
Ishmael Zamora WR 6'4, 220 FR 12 10 156 2 15.6 13.0 83.3% 75.0% 3.2%
Lynx Hawthorne WR 6'0, 205 JR 12 10 95 1 9.5 7.9 83.3% 66.7% 3.2%
Shock Linwood RB 5'9, 200 JR 9 9 71 1 7.9 7.9 100.0% 66.7% 2.4%
Gus Penning TE 6'6, 250 SR 8 6 109 0 18.2 13.6 75.0% 62.5% 2.1%
Johnny Jefferson RB 5'10, 210 SO 4 4 17 0 4.3 4.3 100.0% 25.0% 1.1%
Devin Chafin RB 6'0, 225 JR 4 2 9 1 4.5 2.3 50.0% 25.0% 1.1%
Chris Johnson QB 6'5, 235 SO 3 3 37 0 12.3 12.3 100.0% 66.7% 0.8%
Quan Jones WR 6'5, 220 SO 3 3 34 0 11.3 11.3 100.0% 66.7% 0.8%
LaQuan McGowan TE 6'7, 410 SR 3 2 23 2 11.5 7.7 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Terence Williams RB 6'2, 215 FR 2 2 7 0 3.5 3.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Jordan Feuerbacher TE 6'4, 255 SO 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 121.6 7 118.7 11 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 57.6% 1 43.6% 43 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.24 14 1.01 23 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.84 1 2.59 24 2.90
SD Sack Rate 2.2% 15 6.0% 35 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 104.4 54 103.4 60 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.7% 74 31.3% 71 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.14 5 1.70 48 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.08 78 3.62 107 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.0% 38 8.8% 37 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 135.0 4 107.5 40
Q2 S&P+ 105.4 54 122.6 12
Q3 S&P+ 127.5 11 115.5 25
Q4 S&P+ 109.2 39 101.9 62
1st Down S&P+ 118.7 17 114.7 24
2nd Down S&P+ 115.7 28 107.5 46
3rd Down S&P+ 116.9 23 115.7 25
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.5% 35 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 55.0% 6 34.0%
Adj. Pace +15.5 1 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 80.5% 22 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 67.0% 12 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.6% 61 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.4% 40 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.9% 20 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.9% 102 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.5% 24 6.3%
PD to INC 30.5% 82 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Grant Campbell LB 6'1, 230 SR 80.0 10.2% 5.0 2.5 0 1 0 0
Travon Blanchard DB 6'2, 205 SO 75.0 9.5% 7.5 2.0 2 6 4 0
Taylor Young LB 5'10, 225 SO 70.0 8.9% 13.5 4.0 0 1 0 0
Chance Waz S 6'0, 185 SO 62.0 7.9% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Orion Stewart S 6'2, 200 JR 57.0 7.3% 1.5 1.0 1 3 1 0
Aiavion Edwards LB 6'1, 225 JR 50.0 6.4% 4.0 2.0 0 2 1 0
Jamal Palmer DE 6'3, 250 SR 48.5 6.2% 14.5 5.5 0 1 4 0
Xavien Howard CB 6'2, 200 JR 39.5 5.0% 1.0 0.0 5 10 0 1
Taion Sells S 5'10, 185 JR 39.0 5.0% 3.5 0.0 1 3 0 0
Shawn Oakman DE 6'9, 275 SR 37.5 4.8% 14.5 4.5 0 0 2 0
Andrew Billings DT 6'2, 310 JR 35.0 4.5% 14.0 5.5 0 0 1 0
Ryan Reid CB 5'11, 190 JR 24.5 3.1% 1.0 0.0 3 8 0 0
Beau Blackshear DL 6'4, 300 SR 20.0 2.5% 4.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Raaquan Davis LB 6'2, 225 SO 19.5 2.5% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
K.J. Smith DE 6'2, 260 SO 19.0 2.4% 5.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Patrick Levels DB 5'11, 195 JR 16.0 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0 2 1 0
Terrell Burt S 5'10, 185 SR 15.5 2.0% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
Davion Hall WR 6'2, 205 SO 11.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Brian Nance DE 6'3, 245 SO 7.5 1.0% 3.0 2.0 0 1 2 0
Lee Bristow TE 6'3, 255 SR 6.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kendall Ehrlich LB 6'1, 225 JR 6.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Alfred Pullom S 6'2, 195 SO 6.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kaleb Moore WR 6'0, 205 JR 5.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Terrence Singleton CB 5'11, 200 JR 5.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Byron Bonds DT 6'2, 290 JR 4.5 0.6% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.3 118
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.33 113
Punt Success Rate 54.9% 67
Kickoff Success Rate 66.4% 83
Punt Return Success Rate 40.0% 97
Kick Return Success Rate 44.8% 69
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Chris Callahan 5'9, 200 SO 83-83 8-13 61.5%
Spencer Evans 6'1, 200 SO 0-0 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Drew Galitz 6'0, 195 FR 40 40.7 0 15 11 65.0%
Jarrett Stidham 6'3, 210 FR 2 28.5 0 0 1 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Spencer Evans 6'1, 200 SO 106 60.0 39 36.8% 3 3 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Lynx Hawthorne 6'0, 205 JR 10 5.0 0 30 2 (2)
Corey Coleman 5'11, 190 JR 3 3.0 0 3 0 (0)
Orion Stewart 6'2, 200 JR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chris Platt 5'11, 170 FR 13 27.6 0 0 1 (0)
KD Cannon 6'0, 180 SO 7 16.3 0 0 2 (0)
Ishmael Zamora 6'4, 220 FR 5 28.4 0 1 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics