Updated on 8/20/2016
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
Baylor Bears (Big 12)
2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 14 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
4-Sep | at SMU | 104 | 56-21 | W | 100% | 26.9 | 85% | 84% | 42% |
12-Sep | Lamar | N/A | 66-31 | W | 100% | 27.6 | 74% | 90% | 43% |
26-Sep | Rice | 119 | 70-17 | W | 100% | 52.7 | 89% | 97% | 81% |
3-Oct | vs. Texas Tech | 62 | 63-35 | W | 99% | 19.2 | 92% | 95% | 58% |
10-Oct | at Kansas | 127 | 66-7 | W | 100% | 38.9 | 61% | 84% | 62% |
17-Oct | West Virginia | 24 | 62-38 | W | 98% | 16.3 | 89% | 93% | 56% |
24-Oct | Iowa State | 70 | 45-27 | W | 100% | 26.5 | 79% | 67% | 91% |
5-Nov | at Kansas State | 84 | 31-24 | W | 91% | 10.5 | 46% | 79% | 29% |
14-Nov | Oklahoma | 4 | 34-44 | L | 33% | -3.5 | 54% | 76% | 69% |
21-Nov | at Oklahoma State | 33 | 45-35 | W | 93% | 12.0 | 79% | 84% | 75% |
27-Nov | at TCU | 26 | 21-28 | L | 30% | -4.1 | 43% | 21% | 96% |
5-Dec | Texas | 72 | 17-23 | L | 29% | -4.5 | 18% | 24% | 44% |
29-Dec | vs. North Carolina | 29 | 49-38 | W | 89% | 10.0 | 85% | 99% | 50% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 43.7 | 1 | 28.2 | 64 |
Points Per Game | 48.1 | 1 | 28.3 | 79 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.38 | 19 | 1.20 | 37 | 1.27 |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 50.3% | 5 | 39.3% | 49 | 40.3% |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 30.3 | 55 | 30.6 | 87 | 29.9 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.63 | 4 | 4.91 | 90 | 4.67 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 1.75 | 53 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.67 |
||
ACTUAL | 0 | 66 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 112.7 | 26 | 116.9 | 18 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 52.1% | 4 | 41.2% | 57 | 42.3% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 1.09 | 54 | 0.94 | 14 | 1.08 |
Adj. Line Yards | 110.4 | 23 | 113.1 | 19 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 49.0% | 1 | 35.6% | 35 | 38.9% |
Power Success Rate | 76.1% | 14 | 61.7% | 36 | 66.3% |
Stuff Rate | 13.0% | 2 | 23.0% | 26 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Shock Linwood | RB | 5'9, 200 | JR | 198 | 1329 | 10 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 50.5% | 1 (1) |
Johnny Jefferson | RB | 5'10, 210 | SO | 136 | 1000 | 8 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 54.4% | 2 (2) |
Devin Chafin | RB | 6'0, 225 | JR | 121 | 583 | 9 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 43.0% | 3 (2) |
Terence Williams | RB | 6'2, 215 | FR | 88 | 556 | 3 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 51.1% | 0 (0) |
Seth Russell | QB | 6'3, 220 | JR | 46 | 414 | 6 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 52.2% | 2 (1) |
Chris Johnson | QB | 6'5, 235 | SO | 33 | 113 | 1 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 42.4% | 4 (3) |
Jarrett Stidham | QB | 6'3, 210 | FR | 27 | 119 | 2 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 40.7% | 1 (1) |
Corey Coleman | WR | 5'11, 190 | JR | 24 | 105 | 0 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 37.5% | 0 (0) |
Lynx Hawthorne | WR | 6'0, 205 | JR | 16 | 145 | 2 | 9.1 | 7.9 | 62.5% | 2 (2) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 128.6 | 9 | 110.4 | 35 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 47.4% | 12 | 36.9% | 30 | 40.3% |
Passing IsoPPP | 1.91 | 4 | 1.57 | 97 | 1.49 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 197.9 | 10 | 99.9 | 66 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Seth Russell | 6'3, 220 | JR | 119 | 200 | 2104 | 29 | 6 | 59.5% | 3 | 1.5% | 10.3 |
Jarrett Stidham | 6'3, 210 | FR | 75 | 109 | 1265 | 12 | 2 | 68.8% | 9 | 7.6% | 10.3 |
Chris Johnson | 6'5, 235 | SO | 22 | 50 | 302 | 3 | 3 | 44.0% | 2 | 3.8% | 5.7 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Corey Coleman | WR | 5'11, 190 | JR | 121 | 74 | 1363 | 20 | 18.4 | 11.3 | 61.2% | 52.1% | 32.4% |
KD Cannon | WR | 6'0, 180 | SO | 92 | 51 | 881 | 6 | 17.3 | 9.6 | 55.4% | 48.9% | 24.7% |
Jay Lee | WR | 6'3, 220 | SR | 59 | 38 | 758 | 8 | 20.0 | 12.9 | 64.4% | 59.3% | 15.8% |
Chris Platt | WR | 5'11, 170 | FR | 24 | 11 | 155 | 1 | 14.1 | 6.5 | 45.8% | 37.5% | 6.4% |
Davion Hall | WR | 6'2, 205 | SO | 14 | 5 | 77 | 1 | 15.4 | 5.5 | 35.7% | 35.7% | 3.8% |
Ishmael Zamora | WR | 6'4, 220 | FR | 12 | 10 | 156 | 2 | 15.6 | 13.0 | 83.3% | 75.0% | 3.2% |
Lynx Hawthorne | WR | 6'0, 205 | JR | 12 | 10 | 95 | 1 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 83.3% | 66.7% | 3.2% |
Shock Linwood | RB | 5'9, 200 | JR | 9 | 9 | 71 | 1 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 2.4% |
Gus Penning | TE | 6'6, 250 | SR | 8 | 6 | 109 | 0 | 18.2 | 13.6 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 2.1% |
Johnny Jefferson | RB | 5'10, 210 | SO | 4 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 100.0% | 25.0% | 1.1% |
Devin Chafin | RB | 6'0, 225 | JR | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 1.1% |
Chris Johnson | QB | 6'5, 235 | SO | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 0.8% |
Quan Jones | WR | 6'5, 220 | SO | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 11.3 | 11.3 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 0.8% |
LaQuan McGowan | TE | 6'7, 410 | SR | 3 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 11.5 | 7.7 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.8% |
Terence Williams | RB | 6'2, 215 | FR | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.5% |
Jordan Feuerbacher | TE | 6'4, 255 | SO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 121.6 | 7 | 118.7 | 11 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 57.6% | 1 | 43.6% | 43 | 46.5% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.24 | 14 | 1.01 | 23 | 1.11 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.84 | 1 | 2.59 | 24 | 2.90 |
SD Sack Rate | 2.2% | 15 | 6.0% | 35 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 104.4 | 54 | 103.4 | 60 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 29.7% | 74 | 31.3% | 71 | 30.7% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 2.14 | 5 | 1.70 | 48 | 1.77 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.08 | 78 | 3.62 | 107 | 3.20 |
PD Sack Rate | 6.0% | 38 | 8.8% | 37 | 7.5% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 135.0 | 4 | 107.5 | 40 |
Q2 S&P+ | 105.4 | 54 | 122.6 | 12 |
Q3 S&P+ | 127.5 | 11 | 115.5 | 25 |
Q4 S&P+ | 109.2 | 39 | 101.9 | 62 |
1st Down S&P+ | 118.7 | 17 | 114.7 | 24 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 115.7 | 28 | 107.5 | 46 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 116.9 | 23 | 115.7 | 25 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 64.5% | 35 | 60.4% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 55.0% | 6 | 34.0% |
Adj. Pace | +15.5 | 1 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 80.5% | 22 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 67.0% | 12 | 60.3% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 34.6% | 61 | 33.9% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 17.4% | 40 | 16.0% |
DL Havoc Rate | 6.9% | 20 | 5.1% |
LB Havoc Rate | 2.9% | 102 | 4.5% |
DB Havoc Rate | 7.5% | 24 | 6.3% |
PD to INC | 30.5% | 82 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
Grant Campbell | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 80.0 | 10.2% | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Travon Blanchard | DB | 6'2, 205 | SO | 75.0 | 9.5% | 7.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
Taylor Young | LB | 5'10, 225 | SO | 70.0 | 8.9% | 13.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Chance Waz | S | 6'0, 185 | SO | 62.0 | 7.9% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Orion Stewart | S | 6'2, 200 | JR | 57.0 | 7.3% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Aiavion Edwards | LB | 6'1, 225 | JR | 50.0 | 6.4% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Jamal Palmer | DE | 6'3, 250 | SR | 48.5 | 6.2% | 14.5 | 5.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Xavien Howard | CB | 6'2, 200 | JR | 39.5 | 5.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
Taion Sells | S | 5'10, 185 | JR | 39.0 | 5.0% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Shawn Oakman | DE | 6'9, 275 | SR | 37.5 | 4.8% | 14.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Andrew Billings | DT | 6'2, 310 | JR | 35.0 | 4.5% | 14.0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Ryan Reid | CB | 5'11, 190 | JR | 24.5 | 3.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Beau Blackshear | DL | 6'4, 300 | SR | 20.0 | 2.5% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raaquan Davis | LB | 6'2, 225 | SO | 19.5 | 2.5% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
K.J. Smith | DE | 6'2, 260 | SO | 19.0 | 2.4% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Patrick Levels | DB | 5'11, 195 | JR | 16.0 | 2.0% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Terrell Burt | S | 5'10, 185 | SR | 15.5 | 2.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Davion Hall | WR | 6'2, 205 | SO | 11.5 | 1.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brian Nance | DE | 6'3, 245 | SO | 7.5 | 1.0% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Lee Bristow | TE | 6'3, 255 | SR | 6.0 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kendall Ehrlich | LB | 6'1, 225 | JR | 6.0 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alfred Pullom | S | 6'2, 195 | SO | 6.0 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kaleb Moore | WR | 6'0, 205 | JR | 5.5 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Terrence Singleton | CB | 5'11, 200 | JR | 5.0 | 0.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Byron Bonds | DT | 6'2, 290 | JR | 4.5 | 0.6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. |
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | -1.3 | 118 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | -0.33 | 113 |
Punt Success Rate | 54.9% | 67 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 66.4% | 83 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 40.0% | 97 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 44.8% | 69 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Chris Callahan | 5'9, 200 | SO | 83-83 | 8-13 | 61.5% |
Spencer Evans | 6'1, 200 | SO | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
Drew Galitz | 6'0, 195 | FR | 40 | 40.7 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 65.0% |
Jarrett Stidham | 6'3, 210 | FR | 2 | 28.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Spencer Evans | 6'1, 200 | SO | 106 | 60.0 | 39 | 36.8% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Lynx Hawthorne | 6'0, 205 | JR | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 (2) |
Corey Coleman | 5'11, 190 | JR | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 (0) |
Orion Stewart | 6'2, 200 | JR | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Chris Platt | 5'11, 170 | FR | 13 | 27.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
KD Cannon | 6'0, 180 | SO | 7 | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 (0) |
Ishmael Zamora | 6'4, 220 | FR | 5 | 28.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics