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2016 Illinois advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Illinois Fighting Illini (Big Ten West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 95
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Murray State N/A 52-3 W 100% 51.5 89% 67% 81%
10-Sep North Carolina 21 23-48 L 1% -20.1 24% 24% 33%
17-Sep Western Michigan 35 10-34 L 8% -11.1 43% 39% 79%
1-Oct at Nebraska 46 16-31 L 10% -10.2 37% 40% 33%
8-Oct Purdue 105 31-34 L 44% -1.1 34% 46% 10%
15-Oct at Rutgers 114 24-7 W 84% 7.7 49% 17% 38%
22-Oct at Michigan 3 8-41 L 0% -43.6 16% 30% 32%
29-Oct Minnesota 42 17-40 L 2% -15.9 27% 10% 51%
5-Nov Michigan State 57 31-27 W 69% 3.9 63% 57% 54%
12-Nov at Wisconsin 11 3-48 L 0% -42.5 10% 10% 4%
19-Nov Iowa 30 0-28 L 0% -27.0 15% 2% 58%
26-Nov at Northwestern 49 21-42 L 8% -11.2 33% 48% 15%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 21.8 114 28.3 59
Points Per Game 19.7 121 31.9 94
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.32 44 1.22 44 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 37.0% 117 45.3% 105 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.6 67 33.7 124 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.88 115 4.44 64 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -4.98 105 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.24
ACTUAL -2 78
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 100.6 72 82.9 124 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 37.6% 116 46.7% 102 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.35 4 1.12 81 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 94.4 102 89.9 105 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.1% 88 40.7% 83 39.7%
Power Success Rate 56.5% 118 75.5% 109 67.9%
Stuff Rate 24.0% 120 20.1% 48 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Kendrick Foster RB 5'9, 200 JR 126 720 7 5.7 7.3 37.3% 0 (0)
Reggie Corbin RB 5'10, 185 FR 86 523 2 6.1 7.3 40.7% 1 (1)
Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB 5'10, 210 SO 60 301 3 5.0 10.3 26.7% 3 (0)
Chayce Crouch QB 6'4, 225 SO 26 191 2 7.3 5.3 57.7% 1 (1)
Tre Nation RB 5'11, 220 FR 11 59 0 5.4 3.8 45.5% 0 (0)
Wes Lunt QB 6'5, 225 SR 8 36 0 4.5 4.5 50.0% 5 (2)
Jeff George, Jr. QB 6'3, 205 FR 7 -9 0 -1.3 6.9 14.3% 4 (2)
Joe Spencer OL 6'4, 300 SR 2 17 0 8.5 6.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Malik Turner WR 6'3, 205 JR 2 5 0 2.5 0.5 50.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 90.3 93 94.0 87 100.0
Passing Success Rate 36.5% 107 43.3% 83 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.29 116 1.39 24 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 111 42 128 22 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Wes Lunt 6'5, 225 SR 127 232 1376 8 3 54.7% 14 5.7% 5.3
Jeff George, Jr. 6'3, 205 FR 38 94 470 4 5 40.4% 3 3.1% 4.4
Chayce Crouch 6'4, 225 SO 18 32 249 1 1 56.3% 3 8.6% 6.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Malik Turner WR 6'3, 205 JR 92 48 712 6 14.8 7.7 52.2% 41.3% 26.5%
Zach Grant WR 6'0, 195 SR 51 26 265 1 10.2 5.2 51.0% 43.1% 14.7%
Justin Hardee WR 6'1, 200 SR 46 25 314 0 12.6 6.8 54.3% 41.3% 13.3%
Sam Mays WR 6'3, 200 SO 27 13 158 1 12.2 5.9 48.1% 40.7% 7.8%
D.J. Taylor WR 6'0, 190 SR 20 7 65 0 9.3 3.3 35.0% 30.0% 5.8%
Reggie Corbin RB 5'10, 185 FR 16 10 112 0 11.2 7.0 62.5% 43.8% 4.6%
Kendrick Foster RB 5'9, 200 JR 15 9 54 2 6.0 3.6 60.0% 26.7% 4.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB 5'10, 210 SO 14 9 89 0 9.9 6.4 64.3% 7.1% 4.0%
Andrew Davis TE 6'6, 230 SR 12 5 39 0 7.8 3.3 41.7% 33.3% 3.5%
Dominic Thieman WR 6'3, 190 FR 12 6 32 0 5.3 2.7 50.0% 33.3% 3.5%
Ainslie Johnson TE 6'2, 230 SR 9 6 86 2 14.3 9.6 66.7% 44.4% 2.6%
Tyler White TE 6'5, 255 SR 9 6 43 0 7.2 4.8 66.7% 44.4% 2.6%
Desmond Cain WR 5'11, 185 SO 8 5 61 1 12.2 7.6 62.5% 62.5% 2.3%
Nathan Echard RB 6'2, 235 JR 5 4 51 0 12.8 10.2 80.0% 80.0% 1.4%
Caleb Reams TE 6'3, 240 FR 5 2 9 0 4.5 1.8 40.0% 40.0% 1.4%
Austin Roberts RB 6'2, 230 SO 2 2 5 0 2.5 2.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 97.5 85 93.4 97 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 42.3% 119 49.8% 89 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.20 32 1.03 30 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.63 111 3.02 73 2.98
SD Sack Rate 5.3% 71 9.0% 9 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 91.5 101 77.6 125 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 26.5% 112 35.1% 110 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.69 87 1.83 99 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.24 74 3.81 115 3.24
PD Sack Rate 5.6% 32 6.2% 92 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 83.8 114 89.6 107
Q2 S&P+ 111.8 42 104.9 52
Q3 S&P+ 103.9 59 89.1 109
Q4 S&P+ 80.8 124 88.4 110
1st Down S&P+ 96.7 82 104.7 49
2nd Down S&P+ 98.7 79 83.0 120
3rd Down S&P+ 84.2 111 84.9 114
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.2% 96 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 33.0% 72 34.6%
Adj. Pace -12.9 128 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 59.6% 125 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 69.7% 8 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.5% 32 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.1% 52 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 8.5% 9 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 2.7% 114 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.9% 113 6.4%
PD to INC 28.9% 107 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Hardy Nickerson LB 6'0, 230 SR 72.5 10.0% 5.5 2.0 2 0 0
Tré Watson LB 6'2, 235 SO 70.0 9.7% 4.5 0.0 0 1 3
Patrick Nelson DB 6'0, 210 FR 54.5 7.5% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0
Jaylen Dunlap DB 6'1, 190 JR 52.0 7.2% 4.5 0.0 0 11 0
Stanley Green DB 5'11, 195 FR 46.0 6.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 3
Carroll Phillips DL 6'3, 240 SR 43.0 5.9% 20.0 9.0 0 0 1
Dawuane Smoot DL 6'3, 255 SR 43.0 5.9% 15.0 5.0 0 1 2
Gimel President DL 6'4, 275 SR 29.5 4.1% 12.5 4.5 0 1 1
Taylor Barton DB 6'1, 215 SR 26.5 3.7% 3.0 0.0 1 1 0
Darius Mosely DB 5'11, 190 SR 25.5 3.5% 1.0 0.0 2 2 0
Chunky Clements DL 6'3, 295 SR 25.0 3.4% 7.0 3.5 0 1 1
Julian Jones LB 6'2, 215 SO 24.0 3.3% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Rob Bain DL 6'3, 295 SR 21.5 3.0% 3.5 1.0 0 0 1
Jamal Milan DL 6'2, 300 FR 19.0 2.6% 3.5 1.0 0 0 2
Chris James DB 5'11, 190 SO 17.5 2.4% 1.5 0.5 0 3 0
Cameron Watkins DB 6'0, 190 FR 16.0 2.2% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0
Dillan Cazley DB 5'10, 190 SR 15.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0
Darwyn Kelly DB 6'1, 210 JR 14.0 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
James Crawford LB 6'2, 220 JR 12.0 1.7% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Kenyon Jackson DL 6'0, 290 FR 12.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Tito Odenigbo DL 6'3, 290 SO 9.5 1.3% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0
Julian Hylton DB 6'0, 205 SO 9.5 1.3% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0
Dele Harding LB 6'1, 230 FR 8.5 1.2% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Frank Sumpter DB 5'10, 180 FR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Ahmari Hayes DB 6'3, 200 JR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.2 60
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.10 48
Punt Success Rate 56.6% 60
Kickoff Success Rate 72.5% 68
Punt Return Success Rate 43.5% 92
Kick Return Success Rate 42.5% 72
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Chase McLaughlin 6'1, 175 SO 26-26 12-17 70.6%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ryan Frain 6'2, 220 SR 53 40.1 4 12 18 56.6%
David Reisner 6'0, 205 SR 23 40.6 1 6 4 43.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Chase McLaughlin 6'1, 175 SO 34 61.8 15 44.1% 0 2 0 0
Ryan Frain 6'2, 220 SR 10 64.6 4 40.0% 1 0 0 0
David Reisner 6'0, 205 SR 7 59.4 1 14.3% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Darius Mosely 5'11, 190 SR 21 4.9 0 7 3 (2)
D.J. Taylor 6'0, 190 SR 1 -1.0 0 3 1 (0)
Zach Grant 6'0, 195 SR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Kendrick Foster 5'9, 200 JR 28 19.8 0 0 0 (0)
Nathan Echard 6'2, 235 JR 5 20.4 0 0 1 (1)
Darius Mosely 5'11, 190 SR 3 19.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics