Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
Northwestern Wildcats (Big Ten West)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 49 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 4-Sep | Western Michigan | 35 | 21-22 | L | 65% | 3.0 | 77% | 72% | 91% |
| 10-Sep | Illinois State | N/A | 7-9 | L | 23% | -5.8 | 35% | 3% | 63% |
| 17-Sep | Duke | 72 | 24-13 | W | 76% | 5.6 | 64% | 40% | 70% |
| 24-Sep | Nebraska | 46 | 13-24 | L | 6% | -12.4 | 36% | 44% | 23% |
| 1-Oct | at Iowa | 30 | 38-31 | W | 88% | 9.4 | 85% | 77% | 70% |
| 15-Oct | at Michigan State | 57 | 54-40 | W | 46% | -0.9 | 55% | 80% | 14% |
| 22-Oct | Indiana | 53 | 24-14 | W | 73% | 4.8 | 73% | 58% | 75% |
| 29-Oct | at Ohio State | 5 | 20-24 | L | 46% | -0.8 | 81% | 83% | 58% |
| 5-Nov | Wisconsin | 11 | 7-21 | L | 15% | -8.1 | 59% | 30% | 74% |
| 12-Nov | at Purdue | 105 | 45-17 | W | 100% | 24.9 | 85% | 83% | 61% |
| 19-Nov | at Minnesota | 42 | 12-29 | L | 4% | -14.1 | 33% | 16% | 49% |
| 26-Nov | Illinois | 95 | 42-21 | W | 92% | 11.2 | 68% | 70% | 35% |
| 28-Dec | vs. Pittsburgh | 20 | 31-24 | W | 23% | -5.9 | 56% | 42% | 63% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 29.8 | 63 | 24.0 | 32 |
| Points Per Game | 26.0 | 86 | 22.2 | 24 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.25 | 72 | 1.20 | 31 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 39.9% | 99 | 41.4% | 52 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 28.8 | 87 | 30.2 | 87 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.37 | 82 | 3.56 | 8 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 2.11 | 52 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +2.65 |
||
| ACTUAL | 9 | 14 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 98.0 | 85 | 107.7 | 37 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 36.7% | 119 | 41.1% | 47 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.24 | 16 | 0.97 | 20 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 101.8 | 68 | 113.6 | 17 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 33.6% | 118 | 34.2% | 20 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 66.7% | 74 | 77.3% | 120 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.7% | 115 | 21.7% | 36 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Justin Jackson | RB | 5'11, 193 | JR | 298 | 1524 | 15 | 5.1 | 7.0 | 32.2% | 1 (1) |
| Clayton Thorson | QB | 6'4, 220 | SO | 59 | 309 | 5 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 33.9% | 7 (6) |
| John Moten IV | RB | 6'0, 202 | FR | 57 | 340 | 2 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 50.9% | 0 (0) |
| Solomon Vault | WR | 5'10, 190 | JR | 11 | 26 | 0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 18.2% | 0 (0) |
| Auston Anderson | RB | 5'9, 190 | SO | 7 | 22 | 0 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 14.3% | 0 (0) |
| Corey Acker | RB | 5'9, 175 | JR | 4 | -2 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| Matt Alviti | QB | 6'0, 200 | JR | 3 | 12 | 0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| Tom Hruby | LB | 6'3, 240 | SR | 3 | -2 | 0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (0) |
| Jelani Roberts | WR | 5'8, 166 | SO | 3 | -4 | 0 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 98.0 | 73 | 103.6 | 49 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 42.5% | 44 | 41.6% | 69 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.26 | 121 | 1.41 | 36 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 87 | 93 | 87.4 | 91 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Clayton Thorson | 6'4, 220 | SO | 280 | 478 | 3182 | 22 | 9 | 58.6% | 38 | 7.4% | 5.8 |
| Matt Alviti | 6'0, 200 | JR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 50.0% | -3.5 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Austin Carr | WR | 6'1, 200 | SR | 131 | 90 | 1247 | 12 | 13.9 | 9.5 | 68.7% | 60.3% | 27.9% |
| Flynn Nagel | WR | 5'11, 181 | SO | 65 | 40 | 447 | 2 | 11.2 | 6.9 | 61.5% | 49.2% | 13.9% |
| Justin Jackson | RB | 5'11, 193 | JR | 54 | 35 | 219 | 0 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 64.8% | 33.3% | 11.5% |
| Garrett Dickerson | SB | 6'3, 240 | JR | 49 | 34 | 318 | 5 | 9.4 | 6.5 | 69.4% | 44.9% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Scanlan | WR | 6'2, 215 | SR | 46 | 29 | 331 | 0 | 11.4 | 7.2 | 63.0% | 52.2% | 9.8% |
| Macan Wilson | WR | 6'0, 186 | JR | 41 | 22 | 306 | 1 | 13.9 | 7.5 | 53.7% | 48.8% | 8.7% |
| Solomon Vault | WR | 5'10, 190 | JR | 36 | 15 | 164 | 2 | 10.9 | 4.6 | 41.7% | 27.8% | 7.7% |
| Bennett Skowronek | WR | 6'4, 210 | FR | 27 | 8 | 70 | 0 | 8.8 | 2.6 | 29.6% | 29.6% | 5.8% |
| Cameron Green | SB | 6'3, 210 | FR | 7 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 1.5% |
| John Moten IV | RB | 6'0, 202 | FR | 4 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 14.7 | 11.0 | 75.0% | 75.0% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Fessler | WR | 6'4, 215 | FR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.4% |
| James Prather | SB | 6'4, 230 | SO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
| Auston Anderson | RB | 5'9, 190 | SO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
| Matt Micucci | PK | 5'11, 190 | SR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Marcus McShepard | DB | 5'11, 200 | JR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ifeadi Odenigbo | DL | 6'3, 265 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 100.0 | 71 | 98.5 | 70 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 45.3% | 95 | 48.8% | 79 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.05 | 92 | 1.09 | 56 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.74 | 102 | 2.86 | 53 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.5% | 82 | 2.3% | 120 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 98.7 | 79 | 121.3 | 16 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 29.3% | 84 | 25.4% | 14 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.84 | 37 | 1.62 | 23 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.88 | 98 | 1.87 | 4 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 10.1% | 101 | 8.5% | 46 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 98.6 | 81 | 116.8 | 23 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 102.2 | 66 | 106.5 | 49 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 112.3 | 34 | 99.7 | 65 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 83.4 | 121 | 97.5 | 73 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 99.2 | 72 | 93.4 | 91 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 92.4 | 99 | 118.8 | 20 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 109.8 | 42 | 114.8 | 29 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 50.9% | 110 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 35.2% | 49 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +3.0 | 34 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 77.7% | 36 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 57.5% | 89 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 27.5% | 118 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 16.1% | 51 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 5.2% | 52 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 4.1% | 64 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.7% | 45 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 36.3% | 35 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Godwin Igwebuike | S | 6'0, 205 | JR | 93.0 | 12.5% | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Anthony Walker, Jr. | LB | 6'1, 245 | JR | 83.5 | 11.2% | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Nate Hall | LB | 6'2, 230 | SO | 58.0 | 7.8% | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Montre Hartage | CB | 6'0, 190 | SO | 54.0 | 7.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Jaylen Prater | LB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 46.0 | 6.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Queiro | S | 6'3, 200 | JR | 42.5 | 5.7% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Trae Williams | DB | 5'11, 200 | FR | 37.5 | 5.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Joseph Jones | LB | 6'1, 235 | SR | 36.0 | 4.8% | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jared McGee | S | 6'1, 215 | SO | 31.0 | 4.2% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Xavier Washington | DE | 6'1, 243 | JR | 29.0 | 3.9% | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brett Walsh | LB | 6'1, 215 | JR | 29.0 | 3.9% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Robbins | DL | 6'5, 305 | SR | 25.0 | 3.3% | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Marcus McShepard | DB | 5'11, 200 | JR | 25.0 | 3.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Tyler Lancaster | DL | 6'3, 310 | JR | 21.0 | 2.8% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Gaziano | DL | 6'4, 265 | FR | 19.5 | 2.6% | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ifeadi Odenigbo | DL | 6'3, 265 | SR | 19.0 | 2.5% | 12.0 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan Thompson | DL | 6'3, 290 | SO | 14.0 | 1.9% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Fred Wyatt | DL | 6'4, 285 | SO | 13.0 | 1.7% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Fox | LB | 6'2, 245 | FR | 9.5 | 1.3% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Miller | DL | 6'3, 260 | FR | 9.5 | 1.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alonzo Mayo | DB | 5'11, 170 | FR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Harris | CB | 5'11, 184 | SR | 6.0 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Greg Kuhar | DL | 6'3, 309 | SR | 5.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Goens | DL | 6'3, 250 | FR | 4.0 | 0.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Acker | RB | 5'9, 175 | JR | 4.0 | 0.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.2 | 109 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.40 | 118 |
| Punt Success Rate | 50.7% | 94 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 69.2% | 80 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 40.0% | 105 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 51.7% | 29 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Jack Mitchell | 6'3, 210 | SR | 42-43 | 8-12 | 66.7% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Hunter Niswander | 6'5, 240 | JR | 73 | 41.3 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 54.8% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Jack Mitchell | 6'3, 210 | SR | 65 | 61.3 | 32 | 49.2% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Flynn Nagel | 5'11, 181 | SO | 20 | 6.6 | 0 | 22 | 0 (0) |
| Matthew Harris | 5'11, 184 | SR | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Solomon Vault | 5'10, 190 | JR | 23 | 24.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Flynn Nagel | 5'11, 181 | SO | 5 | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Garrett Dickerson | 6'3, 240 | JR | 1 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics