clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2016 Central Michigan advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

CMU Chippewas (MAC West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.2 (-0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 99
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep Presbyterian N/A 49-3 W 100% 39.3 67% 27% 81%
10-Sep at Oklahoma State 22 30-27 W 73% 4.8 73% 58% 90%
17-Sep UNLV 110 44-21 W 100% 22.0 79% 81% 73%
24-Sep at Virginia 88 35-49 L 1% -18.0 9% 54% 1%
1-Oct Western Michigan 35 10-49 L 0% -36.7 8% 10% 22%
8-Oct Ball State 84 24-21 W 35% -3.1 36% 31% 61%
15-Oct at Northern Illinois 77 34-28 W 88% 9.2 70% 43% 95%
22-Oct at Toledo 34 17-31 L 11% -9.7 42% 37% 90%
29-Oct Kent State 113 24-27 L 19% -6.9 20% 18% 33%
4-Nov at Miami-OH 98 17-37 L 4% -13.6 18% 49% 6%
15-Nov Ohio 92 27-20 W 62% 2.3 51% 54% 69%
22-Nov at Eastern Michigan 82 21-26 L 28% -4.6 34% 58% 12%
19-Dec vs. Tulsa 54 10-55 L 0% -27.8 11% 17% 24%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 26.7 85 32.5 88
Points Per Game 26.3 82 30.3 79
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.33 37 1.29 81 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.1% 95 43.1% 73 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.9 108 30.8 96 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.51 70 4.81 96 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -7.89 122 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.73
ACTUAL -6 104
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 91.7 105 96.8 80 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.3% 99 43.1% 70 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.06 61 1.14 95 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 90 110 104.5 48 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.4% 99 38.8% 58 39.7%
Power Success Rate 77.4% 13 81.1% 125 67.9%
Stuff Rate 18.4% 59 19.6% 56 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jahray Hayes RB 5'11, 215 SR 144 486 9 3.4 2.0 31.9% 4 (2)
Devon Spalding RB 5'11, 205 JR 138 758 6 5.5 7.6 34.8% 5 (3)
Jonathan Ward RB 6'0, 185 FR 36 200 2 5.6 4.5 41.7% 0 (0)
Cooper Rush QB 6'3, 230 SR 31 227 1 7.3 5.6 67.7% 6 (2)
Mark Chapman WR 6'0, 180 JR 6 71 0 11.8 16.4 50.0% 0 (0)
Matt Krause RB 5'10, 205 FR 4 20 0 5.0 1.3 75.0% 0 (0)
Jay Roberson RB 6'2, 215 JR 3 1 0 0.3 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Corey Willis WR 5'10, 175 JR 2 4 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 96.1 80 98.5 70 100.0
Passing Success Rate 40.0% 74 43.1% 82 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.53 48 1.42 42 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 86.5 94 85.7 94 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Cooper Rush 6'3, 230 SR 278 465 3540 23 16 59.8% 37 7.4% 6.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Corey Willis WR 5'10, 175 JR 106 71 1078 8 15.2 10.2 67.0% 54.7% 24.0%
Tyler Conklin TE 6'4, 240 JR 76 42 560 6 13.3 7.4 55.3% 47.4% 17.2%
Mark Chapman WR 6'0, 180 JR 68 44 592 4 13.5 8.7 64.7% 50.0% 15.4%
Devon Spalding RB 5'11, 205 JR 38 31 204 1 6.6 5.4 81.6% 36.8% 8.6%
Brandon Childress WR 6'2, 195 FR 36 23 327 1 14.2 9.1 63.9% 44.4% 8.1%
Jahray Hayes RB 5'11, 215 SR 22 12 120 0 10.0 5.5 54.5% 31.8% 5.0%
Jesse Kroll WR 6'3, 210 SR 18 13 223 2 17.2 12.4 72.2% 61.1% 4.1%
Joe Bacci RB 6'1, 245 SR 16 10 90 0 9.0 5.6 62.5% 37.5% 3.6%
Anthony Rice WR 6'0, 185 SR 14 5 56 0 11.2 4.0 35.7% 21.4% 3.2%
Jonathan Ward RB 6'0, 185 FR 11 8 69 0 8.6 6.3 72.7% 36.4% 2.5%
Austin Stewart WR 6'6, 210 SR 8 6 65 0 10.8 8.1 75.0% 50.0% 1.8%
Eric Cooper WR 5'11, 205 JR 8 4 41 0 10.3 5.1 50.0% 37.5% 1.8%
Zach Crouch TE 6'5, 240 JR 4 4 86 0 21.5 21.5 100.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Damon Terry WR 6'0, 200 FR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Jay Roberson RB 6'2, 215 JR 2 2 11 0 5.5 5.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Jamil Sabbagh WR 5'9, 200 FR 2 1 6 0 6.0 3.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 97.0 86 95.0 87 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.8% 85 49.4% 86 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.17 44 1.13 77 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.76 100 2.92 62 2.98
SD Sack Rate 4.2% 49 3.9% 91 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 92.6 99 100.5 66 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.8% 93 31.0% 62 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.85 35 1.76 79 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.62 113 3.17 61 3.24
PD Sack Rate 9.3% 91 5.3% 109 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 81.6 117 97.0 79
Q2 S&P+ 105.3 58 97.7 78
Q3 S&P+ 93.3 92 100.4 61
Q4 S&P+ 99.4 75 103.7 54
1st Down S&P+ 91.8 104 99.8 65
2nd Down S&P+ 90.0 109 96.5 79
3rd Down S&P+ 111.5 34 104.0 59
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.3% 108 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 22.8% 120 34.6%
Adj. Pace -6.0 112 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 80.7% 17 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.3% 114 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.2% 51 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.4% 68 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.0% 59 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.5% 50 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.8% 84 6.4%
PD to INC 34.9% 46 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Nathan Ricketts LB 6'3, 235 SR 71.5 10.5% 9.5 1.0 2 5 1
Malik Fountain LB 6'2, 230 SO 71.0 10.4% 10.0 1.0 0 1 1
Joe Ostman DL 6'3, 255 JR 55.0 8.1% 13.5 9.0 0 0 2
Josh Cox DB 5'11, 190 JR 47.0 6.9% 2.0 0.0 3 5 0
Tony Annese DB 6'1, 215 SR 46.0 6.7% 0.0 0.0 1 4 1
Amari Coleman DB 5'11, 188 JR 45.5 6.7% 2.0 0.0 4 15 0
Otis Kearney DB 6'0, 200 SO 43.5 6.4% 3.5 0.0 0 2 0
Alex Briones LB 6'2, 240 SO 40.0 5.9% 1.5 0.5 0 2 1
Winslow Chapman DB 6'0, 190 SR 32.0 4.7% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0
Mike Danna DL 6'2, 250 FR 27.5 4.0% 4.5 1.5 0 0 1
Tyree Waller LB 6'1, 220 JR 25.5 3.7% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0
Kelby Latta DL 6'4, 310 SR 21.5 3.2% 5.5 2.0 0 3 0
Jabari Dean DL 6'2, 290 SR 18.5 2.7% 2.5 1.5 0 0 0
Chris Kantzavelos DL 6'3, 260 JR 17.5 2.6% 3.0 1.0 0 1 0
Sean Bunting DB 6'1, 180 FR 15.0 2.2% 0.0 0.0 2 5 0
Trevor Apsey LB 6'0, 215 SO 9.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Gary Jones DB 6'2, 215 JR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Zach Oakley DB 6'1, 205 SO 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nate Brisson-Fast DL 6'5, 260 SO 7.5 1.1% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0
Carlos Clark LB 6'0, 235 FR 7.0 1.0% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Colton Odykirk DB 6'2, 200 SR 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Michael Oliver LB 5'11, 235 FR 6.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Donny Kyre DL 6'2, 250 JR 5.0 0.7% 1.0 0.0 0 0 1
D'Andre Dill DL 6'1, 310 FR 4.0 0.6% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0
Michael Steinhauer DL 6'3, 295 JR 4.0 0.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.5 124
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.65 122
Punt Success Rate 53.1% 83
Kickoff Success Rate 57.7% 105
Punt Return Success Rate 69.2% 18
Kick Return Success Rate 37.9% 92
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Brian Eavey 6'2, 205 SR 42-42 8-17 47.1%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jack Sheldon 6'1, 180 SO 45 40.6 5 10 16 57.8%
Cooper Mojsiejenko 6'4, 215 SO 17 40.8 0 5 5 58.8%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Brian Eavey 6'2, 205 SR 34 59.5 9 26.5% 0 1 1 0
Kaden Keon 5'9, 180 FR 26 58.0 3 11.5% 0 0 2 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Emmett Thomas 5'10, 175 SO 12 5.1 0 22 2 (0)
Winslow Chapman 6'0, 190 SR 2 9.5 0 0 0 (0)
Anthony Rice 6'0, 185 SR 0 0.0 0 4 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Gary Jones 6'2, 215 JR 5 10.2 0 0 1 (0)
Zach Oakley 6'1, 205 SO 3 16.3 0 0 0 (0)
Amari Coleman 5'11, 188 JR 2 18.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics