clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2016 Toledo advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Toledo Rockets (MAC West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.5 (1.5) | S&P+ Rk: 34
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
2-Sep at Arkansas State 80 31-10 W 100% 30.6 93% 90% 96%
10-Sep Maine N/A 45-3 W 100% 35.0 80% 59% 59%
17-Sep Fresno State 116 52-17 W 100% 32.7 85% 86% 70%
30-Sep at BYU 37 53-55 L 64% 2.8 64% 99% 4%
8-Oct at Eastern Michigan 82 35-20 W 93% 11.4 68% 64% 86%
15-Oct Bowling Green 111 42-35 W 71% 4.4 40% 69% 9%
22-Oct Central Michigan 99 31-17 W 89% 9.7 64% 54% 71%
27-Oct Ohio 92 26-31 L 74% 5.1 55% 94% 20%
2-Nov at Akron 109 48-17 W 99% 19.8 76% 87% 42%
9-Nov vs. Northern Illinois 77 31-24 W 68% 3.6 55% 62% 57%
16-Nov Ball State 84 37-19 W 89% 9.7 64% 58% 85%
25-Nov at Western Michigan 35 35-55 L 17% -7.6 44% 86% 39%
17-Dec vs. Appalachian State 40 28-31 L 90% 9.9 81% 85% 73%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 38.1 16 29.9 70
Points Per Game 38.0 19 25.7 48
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.35 30 1.38 116 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 48.1% 12 38.1% 29 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.0 121 27.1 20 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.33 8 4.40 60 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.15 70 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.60
ACTUAL -4 90
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 106.8 47 98.3 73 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.4% 47 37.7% 21 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.00 97 1.32 123 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 111.1 28 97.5 78 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.9% 23 36.4% 37 39.7%
Power Success Rate 83.3% 3 70.4% 84 67.9%
Stuff Rate 14.9% 10 20.3% 45 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Kareem Hunt RB 6'0, 225 SR 262 1475 10 5.6 4.3 45.4% 0 (0)
Terry Swanson RB 5'10, 200 JR 116 583 4 5.0 4.7 37.1% 1 (1)
Damion Jones-Moore RB 5'7, 178 SR 50 279 0 5.6 4.4 44.0% 0 (0)
Art Thompkins RB 5'8, 178 FR 29 235 3 8.1 5.3 62.1% 1 (0)
Logan Woodside QB 6'2, 201 JR 23 49 0 2.1 1.6 26.1% 3 (1)
Brad Smith RB 5'8, 195 JR 6 19 0 3.2 1.7 16.7% 0 (0)
Michael Julian QB 6'5, 232 JR 2 7 0 3.5 0.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Corey Jones WR 5'9, 165 SR 2 6 0 3.0 0.0 0.0% 4 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 133.0 7 104.8 45 100.0
Passing Success Rate 50.9% 6 38.6% 42 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.69 16 1.44 54 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 166.4 16 107.1 52 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Logan Woodside 6'2, 201 JR 289 418 4129 45 9 69.1% 14 3.2% 9.4
Michael Julian 6'5, 232 JR 2 5 67 1 0 40.0% 0 0.0% 13.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Cody Thompson WR 6'2, 200 JR 97 64 1269 11 19.8 13.1 66.0% 57.7% 23.7%
Corey Jones WR 5'9, 165 SR 87 66 817 5 12.4 9.4 75.9% 47.1% 21.2%
Michael Roberts TE 6'5, 270 SR 66 45 533 16 11.8 8.1 68.2% 60.6% 16.1%
Jon'Vea Johnson WR 6'0, 185 SO 58 40 773 10 19.3 13.3 69.0% 65.5% 14.1%
Kareem Hunt RB 6'0, 225 SR 44 41 403 1 9.8 9.2 93.2% 54.5% 10.7%
Terry Swanson RB 5'10, 200 JR 14 10 74 1 7.4 5.3 71.4% 28.6% 3.4%
Zach Yousey WR 6'1, 196 SR 8 6 146 2 24.3 18.3 75.0% 75.0% 2.0%
Danzel McKinley-Lewis WR 5'10, 180 FR 8 7 70 0 10.0 8.8 87.5% 50.0% 2.0%
Darryl Richards WR 6'3, 185 JR 8 2 21 0 10.5 2.6 25.0% 25.0% 2.0%
Art Thompkins RB 5'8, 178 FR 5 3 29 0 9.7 5.8 60.0% 40.0% 1.2%
Desmond Phillips WR 5'10, 170 FR 5 2 27 0 13.5 5.4 40.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Damion Jones-Moore RB 5'7, 178 SR 4 3 14 0 4.7 3.5 75.0% 25.0% 1.0%
D'Vario Montgomery WR 6'6, 213 SR 2 1 14 0 14.0 7.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Adam Kulon TE 6'4, 258 JR 2 1 6 0 6.0 3.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Delando Johnson DB 6'1, 205 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Jordan Fisher TE 6'3, 232 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 115.0 20 101.6 53 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 50.8% 26 41.8% 19 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.19 35 1.26 120 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.36 13 2.79 42 2.98
SD Sack Rate 2.9% 23 2.1% 121 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 131.0 8 100.5 67 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 41.2% 4 31.5% 69 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.85 36 1.66 34 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.47 44 3.83 116 3.24
PD Sack Rate 4.1% 14 8.0% 53 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 114.9 36 105.3 45
Q2 S&P+ 103.8 65 120.5 17
Q3 S&P+ 145.9 2 96.0 83
Q4 S&P+ 129.2 3 84.1 118
1st Down S&P+ 121.6 10 98.0 71
2nd Down S&P+ 116.2 25 95.5 85
3rd Down S&P+ 140.8 3 106.9 52
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.4% 75 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.0% 57 34.6%
Adj. Pace +0.3 59 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.9% 80 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.2% 64 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.1% 68 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.8% 84 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.3% 48 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.3% 96 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.1% 68 6.4%
PD to INC 27.3% 117 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
DeJuan Rogers DB 6'0, 190 SR 74.5 10.5% 2.5 0.5 1 6 0
Ja'Wuan Woodley LB 5'11, 233 JR 66.5 9.4% 13.0 3.5 0 2 2
John Stepec DE 6'3, 256 SR 57.5 8.1% 14.0 4.5 0 3 2
Tyler Taafe LB 6'1, 220 SO 51.0 7.2% 6.0 0.5 0 2 0
Connery Swift DB 5'11, 198 SR 50.0 7.0% 1.5 0.0 2 7 0
Olasunkanmi Adeniyi DE 6'2, 252 SO 41.0 5.8% 8.0 4.0 0 0 0
Trevon Mathis CB 6'0, 174 JR 40.0 5.6% 1.0 0.0 1 2 1
Treyvon Hester DT 6'3, 300 SR 30.5 4.3% 8.0 5.0 0 1 1
Ka'dar Hollman DB 6'0, 190 SO 29.0 4.1% 0.0 0.0 0 8 0
Josh Teachey CB 5'11, 185 SO 27.5 3.9% 5.0 1.0 0 0 0
Marquise Moore DT 6'0, 300 JR 26.5 3.7% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jeremi Powell LB 6'2, 210 SR 25.5 3.6% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0
Jordan Martin DB 6'3, 206 JR 20.5 2.9% 0.5 0.0 0 4 0
DeDarallo Blue S 6'0, 195 FR 19.5 2.7% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Jack Linch LB 6'0, 226 JR 19.5 2.7% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
Tuzar Skipper DL 6'3, 245 JR 16.0 2.3% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Aaron Covington CB 5'9, 176 FR 14.0 2.0% 0.0 0.0 1 3 0
Zach Quinn DE 6'3, 225 JR 12.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Marc Remy DB 5'11, 190 SR 11.0 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 3 0
Marcus Whitfield CB 6'0, 178 SO 10.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Delando Johnson DB 6'1, 205 SR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0
Daniel Davis DE 6'3, 265 JR 7.5 1.1% 3.0 0.5 0 0 0
Richard Olekanma LB 6'2, 245 SO 6.0 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nate Childress DL 6'3, 292 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jordan Williams S 5'10, 180 FR 4.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.8 95
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.08 80
Punt Success Rate 55.6% 65
Kickoff Success Rate 69.3% 79
Punt Return Success Rate 45.8% 81
Kick Return Success Rate 34.0% 105
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jameson Vest 5'10, 196 SO 61-62 13-19 68.4%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Nick Ellis 5'10, 175 SR 54 43.1 8 16 14 55.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Samuel Vucelich 5'11, 182 JR 81 60.2 18 22.2% 0 3 0 0
Josh Rode 6'0, 185 SR 4 59.5 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Jameson Vest 5'10, 196 SO 2 61.5 0 0.0% 0 0 1 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Corey Jones 5'9, 165 SR 19 9.6 1 30 3 (0)
Cody Thompson 6'2, 200 JR 2 7.5 0 0 0 (0)
Danzel McKinley-Lewis 5'10, 180 FR 2 6.0 0 3 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Corey Jones 5'9, 165 SR 34 19.7 0 0 1 (1)
Art Thompkins 5'8, 178 FR 12 16.8 0 0 1 (0)
Jack Linch 6'0, 226 JR 1 24.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics