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2016 Fresno State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Fresno State Bulldogs (MWC West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 1-11 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.3 (1.3) | S&P+ Rk: 116
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Nebraska 46 10-43 L 0% -29.4 9% 12% 12%
10-Sep Sacramento State N/A 31-3 W 100% 37.6 77% 15% 85%
17-Sep at Toledo 34 17-52 L 0% -32.7 10% 14% 14%
24-Sep Tulsa 54 41-48 L 37% -2.5 52% 73% 54%
1-Oct at UNLV 110 20-45 L 1% -19.2 7% 9% 22%
8-Oct at Nevada 124 22-27 L 28% -4.6 19% 32% 32%
14-Oct San Diego State 33 3-17 L 0% -21.6 18% 25% 80%
22-Oct at Utah State 70 20-38 L 5% -12.6 22% 17% 27%
28-Oct Air Force 62 21-31 L 16% -7.8 35% 28% 71%
5-Nov at Colorado State 38 0-37 L 0% -44.7 4% 2% 30%
19-Nov Hawaii 97 13-14 L 15% -8.0 23% 12% 49%
26-Nov San Jose State 112 14-16 L 26% -5.0 22% 2% 64%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 17.8 123 31.6 83
Points Per Game 17.7 124 30.9 83
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.19 101 1.12 3 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 35.1% 126 45.9% 108 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.2 100 30.3 88 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.55 125 4.86 102 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.89 98 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.13
ACTUAL -9 116
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 73.5 128 95.6 84 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 35.1% 124 49.8% 116 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.96 111 0.93 10 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 77 128 91 102 100.0
Opportunity Rate 31.1% 123 45.3% 122 39.7%
Power Success Rate 61.4% 105 75.0% 102 67.9%
Stuff Rate 25.2% 123 14.0% 122 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Dontel James RB 6'0, 216 JR 208 697 5 3.4 3.5 27.9% 3 (2)
Chason Virgil QB 6'1, 190 FR 57 303 2 5.3 6.8 38.6% 3 (0)
Zach Kline QB 6'2, 216 SR 38 183 1 4.8 4.2 44.7% 1 (1)
Josh Hokit LB 6'2, 215 FR 27 130 0 4.8 3.1 40.7% 0 (0)
Treyvon Green RB 5'8, 163 FR 24 108 0 4.5 3.9 29.2% 0 (0)
Jamire Jordan WR 5'10, 173 SO 19 83 1 4.4 13.5 21.1% 0 (0)
Dejonte O'Neal RB 5'6, 168 SO 16 57 1 3.6 4.2 31.3% 0 (0)
Bryson Oglesby RB 5'11, 196 FR 9 39 0 4.3 7.7 22.2% 0 (0)
Justin Rice RB 6'2, 205 FR 8 8 0 1.0 1.1 12.5% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 80.3 120 102.5 56 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.1% 117 38.4% 40 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.42 85 1.59 113 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 92.1 86 79.4 101 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Chason Virgil 6'1, 190 FR 166 322 2021 13 10 51.6% 21 6.1% 5.5
Zach Kline 6'2, 216 SR 42 79 523 0 2 53.2% 10 11.2% 5.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
KeeSean Johnson WR 6'1, 197 SO 111 66 773 6 11.7 7.0 59.5% 40.5% 29.4%
Jamire Jordan WR 5'10, 173 SO 83 45 713 2 15.8 8.6 54.2% 41.0% 22.0%
Aaron Peck WR 6'3, 225 SR 76 46 630 3 13.7 8.3 60.5% 43.4% 20.1%
Delvon Hardaway WR 6'1, 190 JR 28 10 122 0 12.2 4.4 35.7% 28.6% 7.4%
Kyle Riddering TE 6'5, 223 SO 16 7 33 0 4.7 2.1 43.8% 12.5% 4.2%
Chad Olsen TE 6'4, 242 JR 12 6 85 0 14.2 7.1 50.0% 50.0% 3.2%
Michael Martens WR 6'2, 205 SR 12 6 81 0 13.5 6.8 50.0% 50.0% 3.2%
Justin Allen WR 5'11, 186 SO 8 4 36 0 9.0 4.5 50.0% 50.0% 2.1%
Dejonte O'Neal RB 5'6, 168 SO 8 7 18 0 2.6 2.3 87.5% 37.5% 2.1%
Dontel James RB 6'0, 216 JR 7 3 9 0 3.0 1.3 42.9% 14.3% 1.9%
Jared Rice TE 6'5, 216 FR 5 4 6 2 1.5 1.2 80.0% 40.0% 1.3%
Treyvon Green RB 5'8, 163 FR 4 2 23 0 11.5 5.8 50.0% 50.0% 1.1%
Justin Rice RB 6'2, 205 FR 2 2 22 0 11.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
James Bailey OLB 6'1, 220 SO 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Chason Virgil QB 6'1, 190 FR 1 1 9 0 9.0 9.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Zach Kline QB 6'2, 216 SR 1 1 4 0 4.0 4.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 75.3 128 98.7 67 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 40.0% 126 52.2% 116 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.95 125 0.97 3 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.33 125 3.45 120 2.98
SD Sack Rate 6.8% 104 5.0% 60 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 85.4 110 97.7 79 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.1% 107 29.5% 47 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.77 58 1.82 94 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.78 104 3.34 74 3.24
PD Sack Rate 6.4% 43 5.0% 111 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 72.9 125 107.6 40
Q2 S&P+ 84.0 122 86.5 109
Q3 S&P+ 75.5 127 96.1 81
Q4 S&P+ 83.0 122 99.2 68
1st Down S&P+ 73.5 128 104.6 51
2nd Down S&P+ 76.0 127 89.9 104
3rd Down S&P+ 93.8 98 96.1 83
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.1% 61 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 32.7% 75 34.6%
Adj. Pace -1.8 75 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.0% 91 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 74.7% 2 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 43.3% 7 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 11.7% 126 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 1.4% 126 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.9% 37 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.2% 106 6.4%
PD to INC 36.0% 37 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Stratton Brown DB 6'1, 193 SR 86.0 12.0% 5.5 1.0 1 4 1
Jeff Camilli ILB 6'3, 272 SR 80.5 11.2% 9.0 4.0 0 2 1
Tyquwan Glass DB 5'11, 193 SR 48.5 6.7% 1.5 0.0 2 9 1
James Bailey OLB 6'1, 220 SO 45.5 6.3% 5.0 0.5 0 4 0
DeShawn Potts DB 5'11, 191 SO 44.0 6.1% 1.0 0.0 0 5 0
Jamal Ellis DB 5'10, 176 SR 43.5 6.1% 0.0 0.0 2 5 0
Robert Stanley ILB 6'3, 241 JR 41.5 5.8% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nela Otukolo ILB 5'11, 250 SO 37.5 5.2% 5.5 1.5 0 1 1
Tobenna Okeke OLB 6'2, 243 JR 37.0 5.1% 2.5 2.5 0 0 1
Malik Forrester DL 6'1, 320 JR 29.5 4.1% 5.0 1.0 0 0 0
Trent Soechting LB 6'3, 218 SO 26.5 3.7% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Mike Bell DB 6'3, 188 FR 26.0 3.6% 2.5 0.0 0 1 0
Nick Kristofors DL 6'3, 261 SR 23.5 3.3% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0
Nathan Madsen NG 6'4, 290 JR 16.5 2.3% 1.5 1.5 0 0 0
Brandon Hughes OLB 6'3, 220 SR 15.5 2.2% 4.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jeffrey Allison LB 6'0, 255 FR 14.5 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Juju Hughes DB 5'10, 179 FR 13.0 1.8% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Patrick Belony DL 6'1, 317 SO 10.0 1.4% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Austin Vaimili DE 6'5, 262 JR 9.5 1.3% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Alan Wright DB 6'0, 184 SR 7.5 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Justin Green OLB 6'3, 203 JR 7.0 1.0% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Anthoula Kelly DB 5'9, 190 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Kyle Hendrickson DL 6'4, 254 SO 6.0 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Josh Hokit LB 6'2, 215 FR 6.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Dalen Jones DB 6'1, 205 SR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.5 41
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.47 13
Punt Success Rate 44.4% 113
Kickoff Success Rate 80.0% 37
Punt Return Success Rate 47.8% 72
Kick Return Success Rate 39.0% 87
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Kody Kroening 5'11, 177 JR 23-23 15-17 88.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Blake Cusick 6'1, 192 FR 78 38.3 2 48 16 82.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Nick Van Valkenburg 6'0, 159 FR 29 61.8 6 20.7% 0 2 0 0
Jimmy Camacho 5'10, 181 JR 20 60.9 6 30.0% 0 1 0 0
Kody Kroening 5'11, 177 JR 1 53.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tyquwan Glass 5'11, 193 SR 15 6.5 0 16 1 (0)
KeeSean Johnson 6'1, 197 SO 6 6.0 0 8 1 (0)
Juju Hughes 5'10, 179 FR 1 11.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jamire Jordan 5'10, 173 SO 12 21.1 0 0 0 (0)
KeeSean Johnson 6'1, 197 SO 11 20.6 0 0 0 (0)
Dejonte O'Neal 5'6, 168 SO 8 30.1 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics