Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
Arkansas State Red Wolves (Sun Belt)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.1 (1.1) | S&P+ Rk: 80 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | Toledo | 34 | 10-31 | L | 0% | -30.6 | 8% | 7% | 58% |
| 10-Sep | at Auburn | 13 | 14-51 | L | 0% | -33.7 | 8% | 48% | 12% |
| 16-Sep | at Utah State | 70 | 20-34 | L | 41% | -1.8 | 35% | 26% | 55% |
| 24-Sep | Central Arkansas | N/A | 23-28 | L | 74% | 5.1 | 27% | 17% | 32% |
| 5-Oct | Georgia Southern | 91 | 27-26 | W | 73% | 4.9 | 44% | 62% | 49% |
| 15-Oct | South Alabama | 93 | 17-7 | W | 77% | 5.8 | 49% | 16% | 98% |
| 29-Oct | UL-Monroe | 126 | 51-10 | W | 100% | 42.1 | 84% | 66% | 91% |
| 3-Nov | at Georgia State | 108 | 31-16 | W | 58% | 1.5 | 32% | 11% | 78% |
| 12-Nov | New Mexico State | 119 | 41-22 | W | 99% | 19.3 | 59% | 60% | 69% |
| 17-Nov | at Troy | 63 | 35-3 | W | 100% | 29.4 | 92% | 92% | 98% |
| 26-Nov | at UL-Lafayette | 102 | 19-24 | L | 88% | 9.2 | 50% | 65% | 48% |
| 3-Dec | at Texas State | 128 | 36-14 | W | 100% | 22.1 | 41% | 24% | 58% |
| 17-Dec | vs. Central Florida | 75 | 31-13 | W | 96% | 13.9 | 69% | 49% | 89% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 22.2 | 113 | 24.5 | 34 |
| Points Per Game | 27.3 | 74 | 21.5 | 19 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.37 | 22 | 1.23 | 49 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 38.2% | 113 | 34.2% | 5 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 30.2 | 56 | 27.3 | 24 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.89 | 114 | 3.81 | 17 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 0.73 | 64 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.64 |
||
| ACTUAL | 5 | 34 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 86.2 | 116 | 108.4 | 35 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 38.7% | 110 | 36.2% | 15 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.00 | 95 | 1.02 | 39 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 83.4 | 121 | 106.1 | 43 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 32.2% | 120 | 32.1% | 8 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 61.0% | 109 | 66.7% | 58 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 24.9% | 122 | 22.8% | 23 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Warren Wand | RB | 5'5, 179 | SO | 200 | 879 | 7 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 33.5% | 3 (1) |
| Johnston White | RB | 5'11, 188 | JR | 105 | 472 | 5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 34.3% | 2 (1) |
| Chad Voytik | QB | 6'1, 215 | SR | 70 | 217 | 4 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 22.9% | 2 (1) |
| Justice Hansen | QB | 6'4, 207 | SO | 60 | 257 | 1 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 33.3% | 8 (2) |
| Daryl Rollins-Davis | RB | 5'9, 163 | SO | 23 | 104 | 1 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 39.1% | 0 (0) |
| Logan Moragne | RB | 5'9, 203 | SO | 9 | 22 | 0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 22.2% | 0 (0) |
| Cam Echols-Luper | WR | 6'0, 192 | JR | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 28.6% | 2 (1) |
| Armond Weh-Weh | RB | 6'0, 205 | JR | 5 | 29 | 1 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 40.0% | 0 (0) |
| Jamal Jones | RB | 5'9, 183 | FR | 3 | -1 | 0 | -0.3 | 2.4 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 98.6 | 70 | 115.6 | 21 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 37.6% | 96 | 32.3% | 7 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.75 | 10 | 1.46 | 62 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 76.8 | 109 | 152.9 | 9 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Justice Hansen | 6'4, 207 | SO | 197 | 340 | 2719 | 19 | 8 | 57.9% | 19 | 5.3% | 7.2 |
| Chad Voytik | 6'1, 215 | SR | 32 | 57 | 363 | 1 | 1 | 56.1% | 9 | 13.6% | 4.7 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Blake Mack | TE | 6'3, 245 | JR | 61 | 34 | 652 | 3 | 19.2 | 10.7 | 55.7% | 45.9% | 16.0% |
| Kendall Sanders | WR | 6'0, 198 | SR | 50 | 38 | 553 | 7 | 14.6 | 11.1 | 76.0% | 44.0% | 13.1% |
| Cam Echols-Luper | WR | 6'0, 192 | JR | 45 | 26 | 407 | 1 | 15.7 | 9.0 | 57.8% | 40.0% | 11.8% |
| Chris Murray | WR | 5'9, 181 | JR | 43 | 22 | 327 | 1 | 14.9 | 7.6 | 51.2% | 41.9% | 11.3% |
| Dijon Paschal | WR | 6'1, 209 | JR | 42 | 22 | 308 | 3 | 14.0 | 7.3 | 52.4% | 42.9% | 11.0% |
| Warren Wand | RB | 5'5, 179 | SO | 36 | 24 | 279 | 3 | 11.6 | 7.8 | 66.7% | 47.2% | 9.4% |
| Omar Bayless | WR | 6'3, 198 | FR | 31 | 14 | 132 | 1 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 45.2% | 29.0% | 8.1% |
| Christian Booker | WR | 5'11, 174 | JR | 23 | 19 | 194 | 0 | 10.2 | 8.4 | 82.6% | 47.8% | 6.0% |
| Sterling Stowers | WR | 5'10, 191 | JR | 17 | 11 | 82 | 1 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 64.7% | 29.4% | 4.5% |
| Justin McInnis | WR | 6'6, 202 | JR | 15 | 10 | 83 | 1 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 66.7% | 40.0% | 3.9% |
| Johnston White | RB | 5'11, 188 | JR | 8 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 9.1 | 8.0 | 87.5% | 37.5% | 2.1% |
| Daryl Rollins-Davis | RB | 5'9, 163 | SO | 3 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 0.8% |
| Chris Humes | DB | 5'11, 206 | SR | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Jaylon Marshall | WR | 6'2, 185 | FR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Logan Moragne | RB | 5'9, 203 | SO | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Darveon Brown | WR | 5'11, 177 | FR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 91.7 | 102 | 112.7 | 22 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 43.4% | 112 | 38.7% | 3 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.16 | 46 | 1.01 | 16 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.51 | 118 | 2.55 | 19 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.8% | 63 | 9.4% | 6 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 97.4 | 82 | 108.3 | 43 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 28.7% | 95 | 26.8% | 22 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.92 | 18 | 1.75 | 74 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.44 | 121 | 2.54 | 13 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 7.9% | 65 | 9.7% | 20 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 87.1 | 103 | 127.5 | 12 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 93.0 | 99 | 94.3 | 88 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 101.4 | 65 | 102.1 | 54 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 96.5 | 89 | 122.9 | 10 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 89.3 | 113 | 111.0 | 30 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 99.9 | 76 | 113.4 | 30 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 80.9 | 117 | 100.0 | 68 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 65.1% | 33 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 23.8% | 118 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | -1.0 | 69 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 65.9% | 118 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 59.4% | 69 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 32.1% | 88 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 21.1% | 5 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 8.8% | 5 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.7% | 78 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 8.3% | 13 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 30.4% | 94 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Xavier Woodson-Luster | LB | 6'1, 207 | SR | 71.0 | 9.4% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Justin Clifton | DB | 6'0, 206 | SO | 69.0 | 9.2% | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Money Hunter | DB | 6'1, 180 | SR | 62.0 | 8.2% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Kyle Wilson | LB | 6'0, 228 | JR | 56.0 | 7.4% | 16.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Brown | DB | 6'2, 208 | SR | 53.0 | 7.0% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Chris Odom | DE | 6'3, 256 | SR | 40.5 | 5.4% | 17.5 | 12.5 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Von Rolland-Jones | DE | 6'2, 244 | JR | 39.5 | 5.2% | 21.0 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chris Humes | DB | 5'11, 206 | SR | 37.5 | 5.0% | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Waylon Roberson | DL | 6'2, 341 | SR | 31.5 | 4.2% | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Blaise Taylor | DB | 5'9, 165 | JR | 29.0 | 3.9% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Dee Liner | DL | 6'3, 325 | JR | 22.0 | 2.9% | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khari Lain | LB | 5'10, 196 | JR | 22.0 | 2.9% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B.J. Edmonds | DB | 6'0, 202 | FR | 21.0 | 2.8% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Quanterio Heath | LB | 6'2, 217 | SR | 20.0 | 2.7% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Ellis | LB | 6'2, 212 | FR | 15.0 | 2.0% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Chase Robison | DE | 6'4, 244 | SR | 14.5 | 1.9% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nehemiah Wagner | DB | 6'0, 167 | JR | 14.0 | 1.9% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Bo Sentimore | DB | 6'0, 180 | SR | 13.5 | 1.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake Swalley | DL | 6'2, 286 | SR | 12.5 | 1.7% | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tajhea Chambers | LB | 6'2, 246 | FR | 11.5 | 1.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Griffin Riggs | DE | 6'3, 253 | SO | 11.0 | 1.5% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarrod Chandler | DE | 6'2, 225 | SO | 9.5 | 1.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Byner | DB | 5'11, 173 | JR | 9.0 | 1.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Darrius Rosser | DE | 6'3, 273 | SR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb Caston | DE | 6'2, 240 | JR | 7.0 | 0.9% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.4 | 120 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.39 | 115 |
| Punt Success Rate | 40.0% | 117 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 82.1% | 26 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 58 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 39.1% | 86 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| J.D. Houston | 5'11, 175 | SR | 36-41 | 12-18 | 66.7% |
| Sawyer Williams | 5'11, 205 | FR | 4-4 | 1-1 | 100.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Damon Foncham | 5'8, 196 | FR | 73 | 39.2 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 54.8% |
| Cam Echols-Luper | 6'0, 192 | JR | 2 | 38.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Sawyer Williams | 5'11, 205 | FR | 72 | 61.0 | 15 | 20.8% | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Blaise Taylor | 5'9, 165 | JR | 29 | 7.8 | 1 | 17 | 0 (0) |
| Cam Echols-Luper | 6'0, 192 | JR | 6 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 (1) |
| Johnston White | 5'11, 188 | JR | 2 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Daryl Rollins-Davis | 5'9, 163 | SO | 17 | 25.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Blaise Taylor | 5'9, 165 | JR | 6 | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Cam Echols-Luper | 6'0, 192 | JR | 2 | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics