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2015 Arizona advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Arizona Wildcats (Pac-12 South)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.9 (-0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 77
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep UTSA 113 42-32 W 54% 0.8 62% 45% 26%
12-Sep at Nevada 99 44-20 W 99% 20.3 95% 90% 89%
19-Sep Northern Arizona N/A 77-13 W 100% 35.7 72% 91% 26%
26-Sep UCLA 23 30-56 L 2% -15.7 50% 65% 6%
3-Oct at Stanford 10 17-55 L 0% -32.6 25% 28% 13%
10-Oct Oregon State 102 44-7 W 100% 23.8 55% 72% 42%
17-Oct at Colorado 98 38-31 W 88% 9.4 43% 82% 33%
24-Oct Washington State 63 42-45 L 35% -3.1 27% 94% 9%
31-Oct at Washington 12 3-49 L 0% -45.5 10% 5% 9%
7-Nov at USC 17 30-38 L 17% -7.6 17% 36% 54%
14-Nov Utah 27 37-30 W 90% 10.4 76% 97% 66%
21-Nov at Arizona State 57 37-52 L 11% -9.6 13% 50% 18%
19-Dec vs. New Mexico 101 45-37 W 96% 14.4 69% 77% 53%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 34.6 33 35.4 109
Points Per Game 37.4 20 35.8 107
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.39 17 1.30 86 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.9% 49 44.1% 91 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.8 66 29.1 54 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.23 28 5.28 116 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -2.33 89 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.64
ACTUAL -4 92
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 107.0 45 100.3 65 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 44.1% 50 45.3% 92 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.16 28 0.99 36 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 95.6 94 97.6 77 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.8% 29 39.2% 76 38.9%
Power Success Rate 64.8% 74 78.3% 117 66.3%
Stuff Rate 18.5% 48 16.8% 101 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Nick Wilson RB 5'10, 199 SO 133 725 8 5.5 5.5 40.6% 2 (2)
Jared Baker RB 5'8, 192 SR 132 798 9 6.0 7.8 36.4% 1 (0)
Jerrard Randall QB 6'1, 185 SR 77 710 5 9.2 10.2 53.2% 3 (1)
Anu Solomon QB 6'2, 205 SO 47 295 3 6.3 4.7 51.1% 8 (1)
Orlando Bradford RB 5'8, 202 FR 47 208 3 4.4 4.4 27.7% 0 (0)
Brandon Dawkins QB 6'3, 195 FR 22 217 2 9.9 16.2 40.9% 2 (0)
Jonathan Haden RB 5'6, 181 FR 7 44 0 6.3 3.3 57.1% 0 (0)
Zach Green RB 5'10, 220 SO 7 43 0 6.1 4.2 42.9% 0 (0)
Tyrell Johnson WR 5'7, 160 SO 5 21 0 4.2 3.1 40.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 105.2 51 80.9 121 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.9% 51 42.7% 88 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.60 31 1.67 117 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 102.8 57 72.6 108 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Anu Solomon 6'2, 205 SO 205 330 2667 20 5 62.1% 20 5.7% 7.3
Jerrard Randall 6'1, 185 SR 47 95 518 5 3 49.5% 1 1.0% 5.3
Brandon Dawkins 6'3, 195 FR 20 38 338 2 2 52.6% 10 20.8% 6.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Cayleb Jones WR 6'3, 215 JR 93 55 908 5 16.5 9.8 59.1% 49.5% 21.5%
Nate Phillips WR 5'7, 180 JR 75 44 564 4 12.8 7.5 58.7% 49.3% 17.3%
Johnny Jackson FS 5'10, 184 SR 73 50 612 5 12.2 8.4 68.5% 49.3% 16.9%
David Richards WR 6'4, 213 SR 60 42 547 6 13.0 9.1 70.0% 58.3% 13.9%
Samajie Grant WR 5'9, 177 JR 51 31 301 2 9.7 5.9 60.8% 47.1% 11.8%
Jared Baker RB 5'8, 192 SR 18 11 101 1 9.2 5.6 61.1% 33.3% 4.2%
Trey Griffey WR 6'3, 195 JR 14 11 284 1 25.8 20.3 78.6% 57.1% 3.2%
Josh Kern TE 6'5, 229 JR 13 8 59 1 7.4 4.5 61.5% 38.5% 3.0%
Tyrell Johnson WR 5'7, 160 SO 8 5 41 1 8.2 5.1 62.5% 25.0% 1.8%
Nick Wilson RB 5'10, 199 SO 6 4 52 0 13.0 8.7 66.7% 50.0% 1.4%
Shun Brown WR 5'8, 167 FR 6 4 24 0 6.0 4.0 66.7% 16.7% 1.4%
Jonathan Haden RB 5'6, 181 FR 6 3 21 0 7.0 3.5 50.0% 50.0% 1.4%
Jamardre Cobb RB 6'0, 239 FR 4 3 19 1 6.3 4.8 75.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Tony Ellison WR 5'11, 176 FR 3 1 13 0 13.0 4.3 33.3% 33.3% 0.7%
Darrell Cloy Jr. TE 6'2, 255 FR 1 1 6 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Abraham Mendivil WR 6'1, 194 SO 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 100.4 66 96.7 81 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.3% 70 49.0% 91 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.14 48 1.05 42 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.82 74 2.93 76 2.90
SD Sack Rate 5.7% 81 2.6% 116 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 122.5 18 78.8 123 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.9% 31 33.0% 94 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.16 4 2.14 125 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.64 28 3.39 84 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.0% 57 7.3% 66 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 107.9 51 96.7 79
Q2 S&P+ 105.8 52 79.7 123
Q3 S&P+ 107.9 46 98.2 74
Q4 S&P+ 119.8 12 101.8 63
1st Down S&P+ 111.4 31 102.7 55
2nd Down S&P+ 114.0 32 86.9 109
3rd Down S&P+ 108.2 50 86.8 114
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.6% 94 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 25.9% 106 34.0%
Adj. Pace +4.4 23 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 81.8% 14 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.5% 41 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.2% 80 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.6% 119 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 2.7% 119 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.5% 116 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.0% 36 6.3%
PD to INC 27.5% 110 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Will Parks S 6'1, 194 SR 64.5 7.9% 7.0 0.0 0 7 2 0
Paul Magloire Jr. S 6'1, 210 JR 63.0 7.7% 4.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
DaVonte' Neal CB 5'10, 173 JR 56.5 6.9% 2.0 0.0 1 5 0 0
Jamar Allah FS 6'1, 186 SR 53.5 6.5% 2.0 0.0 3 1 0 1
Tellas Jones S 6'0, 189 JR 48.5 5.9% 7.0 3.0 0 2 1 0
DeAndre' Miller LB 6'3, 230 SO 43.0 5.3% 8.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Jake Matthews LB 6'3, 221 JR 38.5 4.7% 2.0 1.5 0 0 0 0
Reggie Gilbert DL 6'4, 262 SR 36.5 4.5% 8.5 3.5 0 1 1 0
Cam Denson CB 5'11, 168 SO 35.5 4.3% 1.0 1.0 3 1 1 0
Sir Thomas Jackson LB 6'0, 222 SR 33.0 4.0% 1.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Anthony Lopez S 5'11, 211 SR 31.0 3.8% 4.0 3.0 1 0 0 0
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles FS 6'2, 182 FR 24.5 3.0% 1.0 0.0 1 0 1 0
Jarvis McCall Jr. CB 6'2, 182 SO 24.5 3.0% 0.0 0.0 1 5 0 0
Luca Bruno DL 6'4, 264 SO 23.5 2.9% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Jace Whittaker CB 5'10, 163 FR 22.0 2.7% 1.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Jeff Worthy DL 6'2, 287 SR 20.5 2.5% 4.0 3.0 0 0 1 0
Scooby Wright III LB 6'1, 246 JR 19.5 2.4% 3.5 2.0 0 0 0 0
Sani Fuimaono DL 6'1, 288 JR 18.5 2.3% 3.0 1.5 0 1 0 0
Carter Hehr S 5'10, 188 SO 16.5 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Parker Zellers DL 6'1, 247 SO 16.0 2.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Derrick Turituri LB 6'1, 265 JR 11.0 1.3% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Haden Gregory LB 6'2, 231 SR 10.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Jonathan Haden RB 5'6, 181 FR 10.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Trey Griffey WR 6'3, 195 JR 9.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Tre Tyler LB 5'11, 205 FR 8.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.0 26
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.39 18
Punt Success Rate 62.3% 30
Kickoff Success Rate 69.7% 70
Punt Return Success Rate 44.4% 83
Kick Return Success Rate 31.3% 114
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Casey Skowron 5'10, 160 SR 59-61 18-22 81.8%
Josh Pollack 5'10, 180 FR 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Drew Riggleman 6'2, 213 SR 52 45.3 6 3 15 34.6%
Anu Solomon 6'2, 205 SO 2 16.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Casey Skowron 5'10, 160 SR 87 60.9 33 37.9% 1 4 2 0
Josh Pollack 5'10, 180 FR 2 65.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Nate Phillips 5'7, 180 JR 7 17.3 1 22 0 (0)
Trey Griffey 6'3, 195 JR 1 -3.0 0 0 1 (1)
DaVonte' Neal 5'10, 173 JR 1 26.0 0 7 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tyrell Johnson 5'7, 160 SO 16 25.5 0 0 0 (0)
Nate Phillips 5'7, 180 JR 8 19.5 0 0 0 (0)
Shun Brown 5'8, 167 FR 4 20.5 0 1 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics