Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
Oregon State Beavers (Pac-12 North)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 102 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 4-Sep | Weber State | N/A | 26-7 | W | 100% | 30.4 | 73% | 8% | 85% |
| 12-Sep | at Michigan | 6 | 7-35 | L | 0% | -31.6 | 46% | 26% | 45% |
| 19-Sep | San Jose State | 89 | 35-21 | W | 83% | 7.5 | 89% | 57% | 65% |
| 25-Sep | Stanford | 10 | 24-42 | L | 0% | -21.5 | 63% | 57% | 17% |
| 10-Oct | at Arizona | 77 | 7-44 | L | 0% | -23.8 | 13% | 15% | 19% |
| 17-Oct | at Washington State | 63 | 31-52 | L | 0% | -30.7 | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| 24-Oct | Colorado | 98 | 13-17 | L | 27% | -4.9 | 16% | 28% | 47% |
| 31-Oct | at Utah | 27 | 12-27 | L | 6% | -12.3 | 17% | 40% | 25% |
| 7-Nov | UCLA | 23 | 0-41 | L | 0% | -38.1 | 4% | 7% | 7% |
| 14-Nov | at California | 34 | 24-54 | L | 0% | -21.9 | 9% | 46% | 8% |
| 21-Nov | Washington | 12 | 7-52 | L | 0% | -40.6 | 11% | 14% | 8% |
| 27-Nov | at Oregon | 25 | 42-52 | L | 2% | -16.1 | 17% | 50% | 17% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 24.0 | 97 | 35.4 | 110 |
| Points Per Game | 19.0 | 115 | 37.0 | 114 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.17 | 108 | 1.25 | 63 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 37.7% | 107 | 50.4% | 127 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 26.5 | 123 | 31.3 | 102 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.15 | 105 | 5.22 | 112 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -3.54 | 99 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.19 |
||
| ACTUAL | -4 | 92 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 94.9 | 98 | 90.2 | 97 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 42.2% | 71 | 53.4% | 126 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.09 | 50 | 0.94 | 12 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 95.1 | 96 | 88.6 | 112 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 44.5% | 11 | 47.1% | 126 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 64.3% | 77 | 82.0% | 125 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.9% | 55 | 13.8% | 123 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Seth Collins | QB | 6'3, 195 | FR | 102 | 613 | 8 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 50.0% | 2 (1) |
| Storm Woods | RB | 6'0, 207 | SR | 99 | 491 | 1 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 40.4% | 1 (0) |
| Ryan Nall | TE | 6'2, 255 | FR | 73 | 455 | 3 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 50.7% | 0 (0) |
| Victor Bolden | WR | 5'9, 174 | JR | 36 | 185 | 0 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 47.2% | 1 (1) |
| Chris Brown | RB | 5'10, 202 | JR | 32 | 141 | 1 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 37.5% | 0 (0) |
| Nick Mitchell | QB | 6'3, 198 | FR | 27 | 127 | 1 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 51.9% | 4 (2) |
| Paul Lucas | WR | 5'11, 172 | FR | 23 | 172 | 0 | 7.5 | 14.6 | 30.4% | 0 (0) |
| Marcus McMaryion | QB | 6'1, 200 | FR | 12 | 47 | 1 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| Damien Haskins | RB | 5'9, 223 | SO | 7 | 62 | 0 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 42.9% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 78.5 | 115 | 86.8 | 110 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 31.9% | 119 | 47.0% | 119 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.30 | 109 | 1.64 | 113 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 115.9 | 43 | 87.1 | 85 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Seth Collins | 6'3, 195 | FR | 83 | 160 | 935 | 6 | 4 | 51.9% | 6 | 3.6% | 5.4 |
| Nick Mitchell | 6'3, 198 | FR | 51 | 113 | 571 | 3 | 4 | 45.1% | 8 | 6.6% | 4.3 |
| Marcus McMaryion | 6'1, 200 | FR | 27 | 67 | 403 | 1 | 3 | 40.3% | 4 | 5.6% | 5.3 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Jordan Villamin | WR | 6'5, 231 | SO | 88 | 43 | 660 | 5 | 15.4 | 7.5 | 48.9% | 40.9% | 27.8% |
| Victor Bolden | WR | 5'9, 174 | JR | 88 | 46 | 461 | 3 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 52.3% | 36.4% | 27.8% |
| Hunter Jarmon | WR | 5'11, 201 | SO | 30 | 16 | 177 | 1 | 11.1 | 5.9 | 53.3% | 33.3% | 9.5% |
| Datrin Guyton | WR | 6'5, 203 | FR | 27 | 14 | 178 | 0 | 12.7 | 6.6 | 51.9% | 40.7% | 8.5% |
| Noah Togiai | TE | 6'4, 214 | FR | 20 | 10 | 73 | 1 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 50.0% | 30.0% | 6.3% |
| Storm Woods | RB | 6'0, 207 | SR | 18 | 12 | 162 | 0 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 66.7% | 55.6% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Nall | TE | 6'2, 255 | FR | 9 | 7 | 109 | 0 | 15.6 | 12.1 | 77.8% | 55.6% | 2.8% |
| Xavier Hawkins | WR | 5'8, 176 | SO | 9 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 2.8% |
| Paul Lucas | WR | 5'11, 172 | FR | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 1.9% |
| Brent VanderVeen | TE | 6'5, 241 | JR | 4 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 1.3% |
| Rahmel Dockery | WR | 5'10, 180 | JR | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 0.9% |
| Chris Brown | RB | 5'10, 202 | JR | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
| Seth Collins | QB | 6'3, 195 | FR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Smith | TE | 6'6, 265 | SR | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.6% |
| Deltron Sands | RB | 5'8, 185 | FR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| Kellen Clute | TE | 6'5, 256 | SR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 95.3 | 92 | 91.1 | 99 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 46.7% | 64 | 54.3% | 121 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.01 | 104 | 1.11 | 69 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.30 | 13 | 3.40 | 121 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.8% | 64 | 5.4% | 54 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 72.6 | 123 | 87.1 | 105 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 20.7% | 127 | 38.3% | 123 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.85 | 48 | 1.87 | 98 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.32 | 120 | 4.12 | 127 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.7% | 31 | 4.6% | 112 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 94.0 | 97 | 89.1 | 99 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 86.1 | 112 | 92.0 | 93 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 94.2 | 90 | 93.7 | 90 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 93.2 | 99 | 94.6 | 87 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 92.6 | 99 | 87.4 | 111 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 103.2 | 61 | 91.4 | 100 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 80.0 | 119 | 104.9 | 53 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 61.1% | 57 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 46.5% | 12 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | -5.7 | 116 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 75.3% | 60 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 59.3% | 76 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 32.7% | 77 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 10.3% | 128 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 2.8% | 118 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.8% | 110 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.1% | 123 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 25.6% | 121 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Rommel Mageo | LB | 6'2, 233 | JR | 67.0 | 8.9% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jonathan Willis | LB | 6'1, 216 | FR | 53.5 | 7.1% | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb Saulo | LB | 6'1, 225 | JR | 50.0 | 6.7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Strong | S | 5'11, 198 | SO | 44.5 | 5.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Treston Decoud | CB | 6'3, 208 | JR | 40.5 | 5.4% | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Peko | DT | 6'1, 305 | SR | 34.5 | 4.6% | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Cyril Noland-Lewis | S | 6'1, 206 | JR | 34.5 | 4.6% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Manase Hungalu | LB | 6'1, 230 | SO | 33.0 | 4.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Hill | CB | 6'2, 204 | JR | 33.0 | 4.4% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin Chappell | CB | 6'2, 200 | JR | 32.0 | 4.3% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaswha James | LB | 6'2, 266 | SR | 31.5 | 4.2% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon Arnold | S | 5'11, 198 | SO | 30.5 | 4.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ricky Ortiz | TE | 6'0, 242 | JR | 23.0 | 3.1% | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Titus Failauga | DE | 6'3, 258 | SO | 22.0 | 2.9% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Baker Pritchard | DE | 6'3, 258 | SO | 21.0 | 2.8% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lavonte Barnett | DE | 6'3, 265 | SR | 19.5 | 2.6% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Adam Soesman | S | 6'1, 201 | FR | 17.0 | 2.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Gabe Ovgard | S | 5'10, 192 | FR | 17.0 | 2.3% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Haley | LB | 6'0, 220 | JR | 17.0 | 2.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dwayne Williams | CB | 5'9, 176 | FR | 16.0 | 2.1% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Larry Scott | CB | 6'0, 192 | SR | 15.5 | 2.1% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sumner Houston | DE | 6'2, 280 | FR | 14.5 | 1.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bright Ugwoegbu | LB | 6'2, 217 | FR | 14.0 | 1.9% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Grimble | DT | 6'2, 279 | SR | 12.0 | 1.6% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kalani Vakameilalo | DT | 6'3, 305 | FR | 8.5 | 1.1% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.3 | 78 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.14 | 46 |
| Punt Success Rate | 58.3% | 46 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 45.8% | 125 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 25.0% | 125 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 36.0% | 102 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Garrett Owens | 5'9, 181 | SO | 23-23 | 11-15 | 73.3% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Nick Porebski | 5'10, 185 | SO | 72 | 41.1 | 1 | 34 | 26 | 83.3% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Garrett Owens | 5'9, 181 | SO | 46 | 57.1 | 7 | 15.2% | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Ian Crist | 5'10, 181 | JR | 2 | 51.5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Rahmel Dockery | 5'10, 180 | JR | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | 15 | 1 (1) |
| Victor Bolden | 5'9, 174 | JR | 1 | 78.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Chris Brown | 5'10, 202 | JR | 1 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Victor Bolden | 5'9, 174 | JR | 23 | 25.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Rahmel Dockery | 5'10, 180 | JR | 13 | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Naji Patrick | 5'9, 194 | SR | 6 | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics