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2015 Oregon State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Oregon State Beavers (Pac-12 North)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 102
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
4-Sep Weber State N/A 26-7 W 100% 30.4 73% 8% 85%
12-Sep at Michigan 6 7-35 L 0% -31.6 46% 26% 45%
19-Sep San Jose State 89 35-21 W 83% 7.5 89% 57% 65%
25-Sep Stanford 10 24-42 L 0% -21.5 63% 57% 17%
10-Oct at Arizona 77 7-44 L 0% -23.8 13% 15% 19%
17-Oct at Washington State 63 31-52 L 0% -30.7 6% 4% 7%
24-Oct Colorado 98 13-17 L 27% -4.9 16% 28% 47%
31-Oct at Utah 27 12-27 L 6% -12.3 17% 40% 25%
7-Nov UCLA 23 0-41 L 0% -38.1 4% 7% 7%
14-Nov at California 34 24-54 L 0% -21.9 9% 46% 8%
21-Nov Washington 12 7-52 L 0% -40.6 11% 14% 8%
27-Nov at Oregon 25 42-52 L 2% -16.1 17% 50% 17%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 24.0 97 35.4 110
Points Per Game 19.0 115 37.0 114
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.17 108 1.25 63 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 37.7% 107 50.4% 127 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.5 123 31.3 102 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.15 105 5.22 112 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.54 99 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.19
ACTUAL -4 92
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 94.9 98 90.2 97 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.2% 71 53.4% 126 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.09 50 0.94 12 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 95.1 96 88.6 112 100.0
Opportunity Rate 44.5% 11 47.1% 126 38.9%
Power Success Rate 64.3% 77 82.0% 125 66.3%
Stuff Rate 18.9% 55 13.8% 123 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Seth Collins QB 6'3, 195 FR 102 613 8 6.0 5.2 50.0% 2 (1)
Storm Woods RB 6'0, 207 SR 99 491 1 5.0 3.8 40.4% 1 (0)
Ryan Nall TE 6'2, 255 FR 73 455 3 6.2 5.0 50.7% 0 (0)
Victor Bolden WR 5'9, 174 JR 36 185 0 5.1 3.4 47.2% 1 (1)
Chris Brown RB 5'10, 202 JR 32 141 1 4.4 3.6 37.5% 0 (0)
Nick Mitchell QB 6'3, 198 FR 27 127 1 4.7 2.6 51.9% 4 (2)
Paul Lucas WR 5'11, 172 FR 23 172 0 7.5 14.6 30.4% 0 (0)
Marcus McMaryion QB 6'1, 200 FR 12 47 1 3.9 1.3 33.3% 0 (0)
Damien Haskins RB 5'9, 223 SO 7 62 0 8.9 14.0 42.9% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 78.5 115 86.8 110 100.0
Passing Success Rate 31.9% 119 47.0% 119 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.30 109 1.64 113 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 115.9 43 87.1 85 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Seth Collins 6'3, 195 FR 83 160 935 6 4 51.9% 6 3.6% 5.4
Nick Mitchell 6'3, 198 FR 51 113 571 3 4 45.1% 8 6.6% 4.3
Marcus McMaryion 6'1, 200 FR 27 67 403 1 3 40.3% 4 5.6% 5.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Jordan Villamin WR 6'5, 231 SO 88 43 660 5 15.4 7.5 48.9% 40.9% 27.8%
Victor Bolden WR 5'9, 174 JR 88 46 461 3 10.0 5.2 52.3% 36.4% 27.8%
Hunter Jarmon WR 5'11, 201 SO 30 16 177 1 11.1 5.9 53.3% 33.3% 9.5%
Datrin Guyton WR 6'5, 203 FR 27 14 178 0 12.7 6.6 51.9% 40.7% 8.5%
Noah Togiai TE 6'4, 214 FR 20 10 73 1 7.3 3.7 50.0% 30.0% 6.3%
Storm Woods RB 6'0, 207 SR 18 12 162 0 13.5 9.0 66.7% 55.6% 5.7%
Ryan Nall TE 6'2, 255 FR 9 7 109 0 15.6 12.1 77.8% 55.6% 2.8%
Xavier Hawkins WR 5'8, 176 SO 9 3 24 0 8.0 2.7 33.3% 33.3% 2.8%
Paul Lucas WR 5'11, 172 FR 6 1 7 0 7.0 1.2 16.7% 16.7% 1.9%
Brent VanderVeen TE 6'5, 241 JR 4 1 14 0 14.0 3.5 25.0% 25.0% 1.3%
Rahmel Dockery WR 5'10, 180 JR 3 2 15 0 7.5 5.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.9%
Chris Brown RB 5'10, 202 JR 3 2 6 0 3.0 2.0 66.7% 0.0% 0.9%
Seth Collins QB 6'3, 195 FR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.9%
Caleb Smith TE 6'6, 265 SR 2 1 9 0 9.0 4.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Deltron Sands RB 5'8, 185 FR 2 1 3 0 3.0 1.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Kellen Clute TE 6'5, 256 SR 2 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 95.3 92 91.1 99 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.7% 64 54.3% 121 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.01 104 1.11 69 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.30 13 3.40 121 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.8% 64 5.4% 54 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 72.6 123 87.1 105 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 20.7% 127 38.3% 123 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.85 48 1.87 98 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.32 120 4.12 127 3.20
PD Sack Rate 5.7% 31 4.6% 112 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 94.0 97 89.1 99
Q2 S&P+ 86.1 112 92.0 93
Q3 S&P+ 94.2 90 93.7 90
Q4 S&P+ 93.2 99 94.6 87
1st Down S&P+ 92.6 99 87.4 111
2nd Down S&P+ 103.2 61 91.4 100
3rd Down S&P+ 80.0 119 104.9 53
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.1% 57 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 46.5% 12 34.0%
Adj. Pace -5.7 116 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.3% 60 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.3% 76 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.7% 77 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 10.3% 128 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 2.8% 118 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.8% 110 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 4.1% 123 6.3%
PD to INC 25.6% 121 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Rommel Mageo LB 6'2, 233 JR 67.0 8.9% 2.0 2.0 2 1 2 0
Jonathan Willis LB 6'1, 216 FR 53.5 7.1% 3.5 2.0 0 0 1 0
Caleb Saulo LB 6'1, 225 JR 50.0 6.7% 0.5 0.0 1 0 1 0
Justin Strong S 5'11, 198 SO 44.5 5.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Treston Decoud CB 6'3, 208 JR 40.5 5.4% 3.5 1.0 0 5 0 0
Kyle Peko DT 6'1, 305 SR 34.5 4.6% 4.5 2.0 0 2 0 0
Cyril Noland-Lewis S 6'1, 206 JR 34.5 4.6% 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 0
Manase Hungalu LB 6'1, 230 SO 33.0 4.4% 2.5 0.0 1 0 0 0
Kendall Hill CB 6'2, 204 JR 33.0 4.4% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Devin Chappell CB 6'2, 200 JR 32.0 4.3% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jaswha James LB 6'2, 266 SR 31.5 4.2% 2.5 1.0 0 1 1 0
Brandon Arnold S 5'11, 198 SO 30.5 4.1% 0.5 0.0 1 0 0 0
Ricky Ortiz TE 6'0, 242 JR 23.0 3.1% 3.5 2.0 1 0 0 0
Titus Failauga DE 6'3, 258 SO 22.0 2.9% 3.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Baker Pritchard DE 6'3, 258 SO 21.0 2.8% 1.5 1.5 0 1 0 0
Lavonte Barnett DE 6'3, 265 SR 19.5 2.6% 4.0 2.0 0 1 1 0
Adam Soesman S 6'1, 201 FR 17.0 2.3% 2.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Gabe Ovgard S 5'10, 192 FR 17.0 2.3% 1.5 0.0 1 0 0 0
Kyle Haley LB 6'0, 220 JR 17.0 2.3% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Dwayne Williams CB 5'9, 176 FR 16.0 2.1% 2.5 0.0 0 2 0 0
Larry Scott CB 6'0, 192 SR 15.5 2.1% 2.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Sumner Houston DE 6'2, 280 FR 14.5 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Bright Ugwoegbu LB 6'2, 217 FR 14.0 1.9% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Jalen Grimble DT 6'2, 279 SR 12.0 1.6% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Kalani Vakameilalo DT 6'3, 305 FR 8.5 1.1% 3.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.3 78
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.14 46
Punt Success Rate 58.3% 46
Kickoff Success Rate 45.8% 125
Punt Return Success Rate 25.0% 125
Kick Return Success Rate 36.0% 102
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Garrett Owens 5'9, 181 SO 23-23 11-15 73.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Nick Porebski 5'10, 185 SO 72 41.1 1 34 26 83.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Garrett Owens 5'9, 181 SO 46 57.1 7 15.2% 2 1 3 0
Ian Crist 5'10, 181 JR 2 51.5 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Rahmel Dockery 5'10, 180 JR 10 6.8 0 15 1 (1)
Victor Bolden 5'9, 174 JR 1 78.0 1 0 0 (0)
Chris Brown 5'10, 202 JR 1 8.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Victor Bolden 5'9, 174 JR 23 25.2 1 0 0 (0)
Rahmel Dockery 5'10, 180 JR 13 19.0 0 0 0 (0)
Naji Patrick 5'9, 194 SR 6 15.8 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics