clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2016 San Jose State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

SJSU Spartans (MWC West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.4 (-0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 112
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Tulsa 54 10-45 L 1% -19.1 19% 28% 38%
10-Sep Portland State N/A 66-35 W 99% 18.7 65% 88% 12%
17-Sep Utah 43 17-34 L 0% -24.6 12% 17% 17%
24-Sep at Iowa State 64 10-44 L 0% -31.9 4% 6% 13%
1-Oct at New Mexico 81 41-48 L 63% 2.7 53% 80% 46%
8-Oct Hawaii 97 17-34 L 0% -23.1 6% 7% 27%
15-Oct Nevada 124 14-10 W 28% -4.7 19% 7% 80%
21-Oct at San Diego State 33 3-42 L 0% -39.2 6% 19% 15%
29-Oct UNLV 110 30-24 W 39% -2.2 29% 27% 46%
4-Nov at Boise State 19 31-45 L 7% -11.4 43% 81% 27%
19-Nov Air Force 62 38-41 L 29% -4.4 43% 79% 22%
26-Nov at Fresno State 116 16-14 W 74% 5.0 41% 20% 66%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 24.2 100 36.5 112
Points Per Game 24.4 102 34.7 103
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.21 92 1.35 106 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.0% 97 44.6% 94 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.4 46 27.9 34 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.92 111 5.66 128 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -5.5 111 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.88
ACTUAL -1 71
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 99.4 78 91.6 99 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 44.3% 59 46.5% 101 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.98 107 1.20 110 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 95.3 98 95.4 86 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.1% 88 42.9% 107 39.7%
Power Success Rate 63.9% 88 59.1% 17 67.9%
Stuff Rate 19.5% 81 14.8% 118 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Deontae Cooper RB 6'0, 200 SR 112 484 2 4.3 4.0 32.1% 2 (1)
Malik Roberson RB 5'8, 185 SO 99 508 2 5.1 7.2 33.3% 0 (0)
Kenny Potter QB 6'2, 208 SR 98 548 7 5.6 4.4 45.9% 3 (1)
Zamore Zigler RB 5'10, 168 FR 79 423 3 5.4 7.0 36.7% 0 (0)
Tim Crawley WR 5'7, 169 SR 17 91 2 5.4 10.3 35.3% 2 (2)
Rahshead Johnson WR 5'11, 169 SO 8 53 0 6.6 3.2 62.5% 0 (0)
Josh Love QB 6'2, 199 FR 4 5 0 1.3 1.8 50.0% 3 (0)
Bailey Gaither WR 6'1, 179 FR 3 19 0 6.3 3.0 66.7% 1 (1)
Shane Smith RB 6'2, 247 SR 2 10 0 5.0 0.5 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 82.6 117 94.6 83 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.4% 112 41.5% 68 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.52 49 1.61 115 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 48.9 128 139 15 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Kenny Potter 6'2, 208 SR 183 308 2273 16 10 59.4% 40 11.5% 5.9
Josh Love 6'2, 199 FR 31 60 392 2 5 51.7% 10 14.3% 4.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tim Crawley WR 5'7, 169 SR 81 55 648 3 11.8 8.0 67.9% 51.9% 23.4%
Justin Holmes WR 6'2, 211 SO 69 39 613 3 15.7 8.9 56.5% 50.7% 19.9%
Tre Hartley WR 6'0, 183 SO 61 33 572 4 17.3 9.4 54.1% 42.6% 17.6%
Billy Freeman TE 6'3, 231 SR 32 18 212 1 11.8 6.6 56.2% 34.4% 9.2%
Rahshead Johnson WR 5'11, 169 SO 23 16 202 2 12.6 8.8 69.6% 52.2% 6.6%
Malik Roberson RB 5'8, 185 SO 22 18 102 1 5.7 4.6 81.8% 31.8% 6.4%
Zamore Zigler RB 5'10, 168 FR 13 10 79 1 7.9 6.1 76.9% 30.8% 3.8%
Deontae Cooper RB 6'0, 200 SR 11 10 108 1 10.8 9.8 90.9% 45.5% 3.2%
Shane Smith RB 6'2, 247 SR 9 5 36 0 7.2 4.0 55.6% 33.3% 2.6%
Thai Cottrell RB 5'7, 171 SO 9 3 24 0 8.0 2.7 33.3% 11.1% 2.6%
Bailey Gaither WR 6'1, 179 FR 7 4 43 1 10.8 6.1 57.1% 28.6% 2.0%
Josh Oliver TE 6'5, 246 SO 6 3 26 1 8.7 4.3 50.0% 33.3% 1.7%
Brandon Monroe RB 6'1, 242 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.6%
LeVander Brown TE 6'4, 246 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 93.9 97 93.1 101 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.3% 94 50.0% 92 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.12 63 1.21 107 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.08 50 3.15 93 2.98
SD Sack Rate 9.0% 120 6.6% 30 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 84.4 113 96.3 85 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.9% 91 31.1% 64 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.49 124 1.90 110 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.38 123 3.77 112 3.24
PD Sack Rate 15.4% 127 10.7% 12 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 90.8 95 91.9 95
Q2 S&P+ 93.8 95 89.3 101
Q3 S&P+ 86.2 112 91.1 102
Q4 S&P+ 93.2 99 91.9 91
1st Down S&P+ 98.9 73 92.4 95
2nd Down S&P+ 79.6 126 83.1 119
3rd Down S&P+ 94.3 96 122.4 15
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.5% 38 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 24.9% 116 34.6%
Adj. Pace -1.2 70 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.1% 62 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 71.5% 3 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.3% 36 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.3% 69 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.4% 46 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.1% 103 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.9% 38 6.4%
PD to INC 41.5% 2 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Frank Ginda LB 6'0, 241 SO 74.5 11.4% 11.5 6.5 1 1 2
Maurice McKnight S 6'0, 180 JR 59.5 9.1% 0.0 0.0 2 3 1
Christian Tago LB 6'1, 242 SR 58.5 8.9% 7.5 0.0 0 1 0
Owen Roberts DT 6'2, 285 SO 41.5 6.3% 8.5 3.0 0 0 1
Ethan Aguayo S 6'2, 196 FR 41.5 6.3% 5.0 1.0 0 1 0
Trevon Bierria S 6'0, 186 FR 41.5 6.3% 2.0 0.0 2 6 2
Isaiah Irving DE 6'3, 241 SR 37.0 5.6% 11.0 7.0 0 0 1
Nick Oreglia DE 6'3, 281 SR 35.0 5.3% 11.0 2.0 0 2 1
Andre Chachere CB 6'0, 192 JR 31.5 4.8% 0.5 0.0 4 14 2
Mark Amann LB 6'0, 225 SR 28.0 4.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Bryson Bridges DT 6'2, 282 SO 24.5 3.7% 5.5 3.0 0 0 0
Jermaine Kelly CB 6'1, 192 JR 24.0 3.7% 1.0 0.0 0 5 0
William Ossai LB 6'2, 231 JR 22.5 3.4% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Chad Miller S 6'0, 185 SO 21.0 3.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Dominic Barnes CB 5'11, 197 SR 16.0 2.4% 1.0 0.0 1 0 0
Jeremy Kelly S 6'2, 185 SO 14.5 2.2% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Eugene Taylor DE 6'3, 247 SR 14.5 2.2% 0.5 0.5 0 1 0
Dakari Monroe DB 5'11, 181 SO 13.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
David Williams S 6'0, 207 SO 12.5 1.9% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Chandler Hawkins S 5'11, 194 SO 9.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Noah Failauga LB 6'1, 232 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Terrell Townsend DT 6'4, 256 FR 4.0 0.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Cameron Woodard TE 6'4, 260 FR 3.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Justin Holmes WR 6'2, 211 SO 3.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nico Aimonetti DT 6'5, 272 JR 2.0 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 38
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.25 34
Punt Success Rate 59.0% 47
Kickoff Success Rate 77.0% 46
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 34.1% 104
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Bryce Crawford 6'3, 211 SO 31-33 16-18 88.9%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Michael Carrizosa 5'10, 219 JR 61 44.3 6 17 18 57.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Michael Carrizosa 5'10, 219 JR 60 60.8 41 68.3% 0 4 0 0
Bryce Crawford 6'3, 211 SO 1 43.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Thai Cottrell 5'7, 171 SO 10 7.6 0 18 1 (0)
Tim Crawley 5'7, 169 SR 2 -7.5 0 2 2 (2)
David Williams 6'0, 207 SO 1 30.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Rahshead Johnson 5'11, 169 SO 26 20.6 0 0 0 (0)
Bailey Gaither 6'1, 179 FR 7 18.3 0 0 0 (0)
Deontae Cooper 6'0, 200 SR 5 23.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics