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2015 California advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

California Golden Bears (Pac-12 North)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.9 (-0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 34
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Grambling State N/A 73-14 W 100% 52.6 70% 88% 81%
12-Sep San Diego State 45 35-7 W 99% 17.8 97% 95% 85%
19-Sep at Texas 72 45-44 W 52% 0.4 72% 79% 15%
26-Sep at Washington 12 30-24 W 95% 12.8 94% 74% 90%
3-Oct Washington State 63 34-28 W 59% 1.9 91% 76% 53%
10-Oct at Utah 27 24-30 L 42% -1.6 42% 74% 47%
22-Oct at UCLA 23 24-40 L 1% -18.2 10% 50% 11%
31-Oct USC 17 21-27 L 45% -0.9 43% 52% 61%
7-Nov at Oregon 25 28-44 L 3% -14.7 15% 49% 21%
14-Nov Oregon State 102 54-24 W 100% 21.9 59% 82% 18%
21-Nov at Stanford 10 22-35 L 4% -14.3 25% 71% 25%
28-Nov Arizona State 57 48-46 W 88% 9.4 64% 96% 29%
29-Dec vs. Air Force 52 55-36 W 98% 16.3 89% 91% 70%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 40.5 13 30.6 84
Points Per Game 37.9 17 30.7 89
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.33 31 1.22 50 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 49.9% 6 45.8% 106 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.9 91 30.2 74 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.74 69 4.99 98 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.4 49 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.62
ACTUAL 4 37
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 111.5 29 98.3 74 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 48.5% 14 46.9% 109 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 102 1.04 53 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 108.8 31 95.5 86 100.0
Opportunity Rate 44.3% 13 42.7% 112 38.9%
Power Success Rate 59.1% 108 74.5% 108 66.3%
Stuff Rate 18.9% 55 15.7% 108 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Vic Enwere RB 6'1, 230 SO 106 505 8 4.8 5.1 36.8% 2 (2)
Tre Watson RB 5'10, 195 SO 88 494 3 5.6 5.0 42.0% 0 (0)
Khalfani Muhammad RB 5'9, 170 JR 87 586 1 6.7 6.7 49.4% 2 (2)
Daniel Lasco RB 6'1, 205 SR 65 331 3 5.1 4.0 41.5% 1 (1)
Jared Goff QB 6'4, 215 JR 30 202 0 6.7 3.3 66.7% 3 (1)
Jeffrey Coprich RB 5'8, 175 JR 14 49 1 3.5 2.3 21.4% 0 (0)
Fabiano Hale RB 5'11, 225 SO 5 24 0 4.8 1.2 80.0% 0 (0)
Cole Webb QB 6'0, 180 SR 3 18 0 6.0 2.3 66.7% 0 (0)
Trevor Davis WR 6'2, 185 SR 3 4 0 1.3 10.9 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 130.3 6 94.2 84 100.0
Passing Success Rate 50.8% 5 44.5% 105 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.54 45 1.46 63 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 162.3 19 104.6 54 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Jared Goff 6'4, 215 JR 341 529 4719 43 13 64.5% 26 4.7% 8.1
Chase Forrest 6'2, 190 FR 10 18 162 1 1 55.6% 1 5.3% 8.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Kenny Lawler WR 6'3, 195 JR 85 52 658 13 12.7 7.7 61.2% 57.6% 16.1%
Bryce Treggs WR 6'0, 185 SR 73 45 937 7 20.8 12.8 61.6% 54.8% 13.9%
Darius Powe WR 6'3, 220 SR 69 47 560 8 11.9 8.1 68.1% 58.0% 13.1%
Stephen Anderson TE 6'3, 230 SR 60 41 474 2 11.6 7.9 68.3% 61.7% 11.4%
Trevor Davis WR 6'2, 185 SR 55 40 672 2 16.8 12.2 72.7% 54.5% 10.4%
Maurice Harris WR 6'3, 195 SR 55 40 577 6 14.4 10.5 72.7% 56.4% 10.4%
Khalfani Muhammad RB 5'9, 170 JR 29 17 189 2 11.1 6.5 58.6% 37.9% 5.5%
Chad Hansen WR 6'2, 195 SO 28 19 249 1 13.1 8.9 67.9% 50.0% 5.3%
Raymond Hudson TE 6'3, 235 SO 19 10 140 0 14.0 7.4 52.6% 36.8% 3.6%
Tre Watson RB 5'10, 195 SO 12 10 106 1 10.6 8.8 83.3% 50.0% 2.3%
Kanawai Noa WR 6'0, 175 FR 11 7 76 0 10.9 6.9 63.6% 54.5% 2.1%
Vic Enwere RB 6'1, 230 SO 10 7 31 0 4.4 3.1 70.0% 20.0% 1.9%
Jeffrey Coprich RB 5'8, 175 JR 5 5 51 0 10.2 10.2 100.0% 80.0% 0.9%
Daniel Lasco RB 6'1, 205 SR 5 4 24 0 6.0 4.8 80.0% 40.0% 0.9%
Patrick Worstell WR 6'2, 190 JR 4 3 25 0 8.3 6.3 75.0% 75.0% 0.8%
Bug Rivera WR 5'8, 185 JR 3 3 101 1 33.7 33.7 100.0% 100.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 118.9 12 95.4 84 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 52.2% 17 51.8% 112 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.22 20 1.10 61 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.99 50 3.26 116 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.1% 47 5.6% 46 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 141.7 5 102.3 63 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 43.9% 1 30.3% 63 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.68 86 1.77 70 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.84 13 3.49 92 3.20
PD Sack Rate 4.4% 14 8.3% 45 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 114.5 35 103.2 50
Q2 S&P+ 134.3 7 93.9 86
Q3 S&P+ 136.4 2 96.6 83
Q4 S&P+ 115.7 21 92.3 100
1st Down S&P+ 124.4 8 96.9 78
2nd Down S&P+ 127.6 9 93.7 92
3rd Down S&P+ 125.6 12 97.4 82
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 46.8% 121 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 20.4% 124 34.0%
Adj. Pace +2.4 35 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 70.7% 99 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.5% 27 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.9% 72 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.8% 100 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.1% 83 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.6% 114 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.8% 43 6.3%
PD to INC 35.0% 44 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Hardy Nickerson LB 6'0, 225 JR 82.5 10.7% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Damariay Drew S 5'11, 200 JR 56.5 7.3% 4.0 0.0 2 1 0 0
Kyle Kragen DE 6'2, 245 SR 54.5 7.1% 8.0 7.0 0 1 2 0
Stefan McClure S 5'11, 205 SR 48.0 6.2% 3.5 1.0 0 3 0 1
Darius White CB 6'0, 180 SR 48.0 6.2% 2.0 0.0 3 8 1 0
Jalen Jefferson LB 6'2, 240 SR 46.5 6.0% 5.0 2.0 1 3 0 0
Darius Allensworth CB 6'0, 190 SO 35.0 4.5% 1.5 0.0 1 11 2 0
Luke Rubenzer S 6'0, 195 SO 33.5 4.3% 0.0 0.0 2 1 0 0
Cameron Walker DB 5'10, 185 JR 31.0 4.0% 4.0 2.0 1 2 0 0
James Looney DT 6'3, 280 SO 26.0 3.4% 3.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Raymond Davison LB 6'2, 225 SO 23.5 3.0% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Devante Downs LB 6'3, 240 SO 21.0 2.7% 0.5 0.0 2 0 1 0
Griffin Piatt S 6'3, 205 JR 18.0 2.3% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0 0
Michael Barton LB 6'0, 240 JR 17.5 2.3% 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
DeVante Wilson DE 6'5, 265 JR 16.5 2.1% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Jake Kearney LB 6'2, 225 JR 15.5 2.0% 3.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Jonathan Johnson DE 6'2, 245 SR 15.0 1.9% 4.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Mustafa Jalil DT 6'4, 315 SR 14.0 1.8% 2.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Khari Vanderbilt S 6'1, 195 JR 14.0 1.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Todd Barr DE 6'2, 240 SR 11.0 1.4% 6.0 4.0 0 0 0 0
Trey Turner S 6'0, 180 FR 10.0 1.3% 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Puka Lopa DE 6'1, 250 SR 9.5 1.2% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Tony Mekari DT 6'1, 280 SO 9.5 1.2% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Nathan Broussard LB 6'3, 245 SR 9.5 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 1 1 0
Cedric Dozier CB 5'10, 180 JR 8.5 1.1% 0.5 0.0 0 2 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 89
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.24 38
Punt Success Rate 46.8% 111
Kickoff Success Rate 43.5% 127
Punt Return Success Rate 64.3% 21
Kick Return Success Rate 37.2% 95
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Matt Anderson 6'0, 185 SO 50-52 18-21 85.7%
Noah Beito 6'0, 185 JR 2-2 0-0 #DIV/0!
Robbie McInerny 5'10, 170 SO 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Cole Leininger 6'1, 210 SR 37 41.2 1 21 11 86.5%
Jared Goff 6'4, 215 JR 6 34.8 1 0 3 50.0%
Harry Adolphus 6'1, 170 JR 3 49.3 1 1 1 66.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Matt Anderson 6'0, 185 SO 87 56.3 15 17.2% 4 5 1 1
Noah Beito 6'0, 185 JR 4 57.8 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Trevor Davis 6'2, 185 SR 6 7.5 0 11 0 (0)
Kanawai Noa 6'0, 175 FR 4 3.8 0 6 1 (1)
Maurice Harris 6'3, 195 SR 3 5.3 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Trevor Davis 6'2, 185 SR 32 21.4 0 0 0 (0)
Kanawai Noa 6'0, 175 FR 4 23.5 0 0 0 (0)
Khalfani Muhammad 5'9, 170 JR 3 17.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics