Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
Colorado Buffaloes (Pac-12 South)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 4-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 98 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | at Hawaii | 118 | 20-28 | L | 20% | -6.8 | 31% | 5% | 35% |
| 12-Sep | Massachusetts | 97 | 48-14 | W | 100% | 21.6 | 94% | 88% | 56% |
| 19-Sep | vs. Colorado State | 81 | 27-24 | W | 47% | -0.5 | 75% | 47% | 73% |
| 26-Sep | Nicholls State | N/A | 48-0 | W | 100% | 46.4 | 57% | 30% | 39% |
| 3-Oct | Oregon | 25 | 24-41 | L | 2% | -16.5 | 41% | 10% | 46% |
| 10-Oct | at Arizona State | 57 | 23-48 | L | 0% | -22.2 | 7% | 11% | 13% |
| 17-Oct | Arizona | 77 | 31-38 | L | 12% | -9.4 | 19% | 38% | 33% |
| 24-Oct | at Oregon State | 102 | 17-13 | W | 73% | 4.9 | 9% | 24% | 44% |
| 31-Oct | at UCLA | 23 | 31-35 | L | 21% | -6.4 | 24% | 68% | 38% |
| 7-Nov | Stanford | 10 | 10-42 | L | 2% | -16.1 | 17% | 42% | 52% |
| 13-Nov | USC | 17 | 24-27 | L | 35% | -3.1 | 26% | 24% | 79% |
| 21-Nov | at Washington State | 63 | 3-27 | L | 0% | -24.4 | 5% | 3% | 30% |
| 28-Nov | at Utah | 27 | 14-20 | L | 21% | -6.3 | 18% | 23% | 72% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 23.8 | 99 | 32.3 | 92 |
| Points Per Game | 24.6 | 97 | 27.5 | 70 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.10 | 124 | 1.24 | 60 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 42.6% | 55 | 43.8% | 90 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.8 | 67 | 30.8 | 89 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.10 | 110 | 4.64 | 62 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 8.48 | 10 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.88 |
||
| ACTUAL | 1 | 58 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 96.8 | 88 | 91.1 | 96 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 44.8% | 41 | 46.6% | 107 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.93 | 118 | 1.10 | 79 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 98.1 | 83 | 90.3 | 105 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 38.4% | 74 | 40.9% | 94 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 76.4% | 11 | 70.0% | 93 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.9% | 12 | 15.6% | 110 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Phillip Lindsay | TB | 5'8, 180 | SO | 140 | 653 | 6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 34.3% | 1 (1) |
| Sefo Liufau | QB | 6'4, 240 | JR | 84 | 413 | 5 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 44.0% | 3 (2) |
| Christian Powell | TB | 6'0, 235 | SR | 71 | 339 | 4 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 40.8% | 3 (3) |
| Patrick Carr | RB | 5'8, 195 | FR | 66 | 272 | 1 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 31.8% | 0 (0) |
| Donovan Lee | WR | 5'9, 175 | SO | 49 | 286 | 3 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 42.9% | 2 (0) |
| Michael Adkins II | RB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 42 | 212 | 3 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 42.9% | 0 (0) |
| Kyle Evans | TB | 5'6, 175 | FR | 18 | 52 | 1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 27.8% | 0 (0) |
| Cade Apsay | QB | 6'1, 195 | FR | 14 | 52 | 0 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 35.7% | 2 (0) |
| Jaleel Awini | DE | 6'2, 220 | JR | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 75.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 88.4 | 100 | 99.1 | 64 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 40.6% | 66 | 40.9% | 68 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.29 | 114 | 1.41 | 47 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 83.4 | 92 | 103.2 | 58 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Sefo Liufau | 6'4, 240 | JR | 214 | 344 | 2418 | 9 | 6 | 62.2% | 23 | 6.3% | 6.2 |
| Cade Apsay | 6'1, 195 | FR | 59 | 92 | 582 | 3 | 5 | 64.1% | 14 | 13.2% | 4.7 |
| Jordan Gehrke | 6'1, 200 | JR | 12 | 24 | 116 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% | 4 | 14.3% | 2.8 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Nelson Spruce | WR | 6'1, 205 | SR | 123 | 90 | 1043 | 4 | 11.6 | 8.5 | 73.2% | 62.6% | 27.6% |
| Shay Fields | WR | 5'11, 175 | SO | 76 | 42 | 598 | 4 | 14.2 | 7.9 | 55.3% | 39.5% | 17.1% |
| Bryce Bobo | WR | 6'2, 195 | SO | 42 | 24 | 207 | 0 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 57.1% | 45.2% | 9.4% |
| Devin Ross | WR | 5'9, 180 | SO | 41 | 26 | 331 | 2 | 12.7 | 8.1 | 63.4% | 43.9% | 9.2% |
| Phillip Lindsay | TB | 5'8, 180 | SO | 34 | 26 | 221 | 1 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 76.5% | 41.2% | 7.6% |
| Donovan Lee | WR | 5'9, 175 | SO | 33 | 27 | 143 | 0 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 81.8% | 27.3% | 7.4% |
| Sean Irwin | TE | 6'3, 245 | JR | 21 | 15 | 248 | 0 | 16.5 | 11.8 | 71.4% | 57.1% | 4.7% |
| Jay MacIntyre | WR | 5'10, 190 | FR | 13 | 8 | 84 | 1 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 61.5% | 30.8% | 2.9% |
| Christian Powell | TB | 6'0, 235 | SR | 12 | 6 | 64 | 0 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 2.7% |
| Dylan Keeney | TE | 6'6, 220 | FR | 11 | 6 | 71 | 0 | 11.8 | 6.5 | 54.5% | 54.5% | 2.5% |
| George Frazier | FB | 6'2, 260 | SO | 11 | 6 | 31 | 1 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 54.5% | 36.4% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Carr | RB | 5'8, 195 | FR | 8 | 5 | 52 | 0 | 10.4 | 6.5 | 62.5% | 37.5% | 1.8% |
| Lee Walker | WR | 6'0, 180 | FR | 7 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 11.5 | 3.3 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 1.6% |
| Ken Crawley | DB | 6'1, 180 | SR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Adkins II | RB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 0.9% |
| Sefo Liufau | QB | 6'4, 240 | JR | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 96.7 | 86 | 93.7 | 90 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 49.3% | 33 | 49.2% | 93 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 0.94 | 124 | 1.10 | 66 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.11 | 30 | 3.24 | 113 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.1% | 73 | 5.1% | 62 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 83.2 | 109 | 99.1 | 74 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 27.4% | 93 | 31.4% | 74 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.76 | 70 | 1.74 | 64 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.16 | 74 | 3.73 | 116 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 9.4% | 95 | 7.6% | 63 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 102.4 | 66 | 90.6 | 96 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 94.0 | 89 | 104.1 | 64 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 93.9 | 93 | 96.7 | 82 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 84.2 | 116 | 101.1 | 66 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 99.1 | 78 | 97.1 | 77 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 87.7 | 103 | 102.7 | 63 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 91.1 | 101 | 97.6 | 80 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 60.8% | 61 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 24.1% | 115 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +5.5 | 19 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 84.9% | 6 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 56.8% | 103 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 37.7% | 31 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 15.6% | 71 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 5.7% | 48 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 1.8% | 125 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 7.6% | 21 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 35.5% | 40 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Chidobe Awuzie | DB | 6'0, 195 | JR | 78.5 | 10.2% | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Rick Gamboa | ILB | 6'0, 230 | FR | 65.5 | 8.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Tedric Thompson | DB | 6'0, 205 | JR | 58.5 | 7.6% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenneth Olugbode | ILB | 6'1, 220 | JR | 53.5 | 6.9% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek McCartney | DE | 6'3, 240 | SO | 42.0 | 5.4% | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jered Bell | DB | 6'1, 205 | SR | 40.0 | 5.2% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ken Crawley | DB | 6'1, 180 | SR | 38.5 | 5.0% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Carrell | DL | 6'3, 280 | JR | 36.5 | 4.7% | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan Moeller | DB | 6'1, 210 | SO | 35.5 | 4.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Ahkello Witherspoon | DB | 6'3, 190 | JR | 35.0 | 4.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Solis | DL | 6'2, 325 | SR | 33.5 | 4.3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmie Gilbert | DE | 6'5, 230 | JR | 25.5 | 3.3% | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Grant Watanabe | LB | 5'11, 240 | FR | 21.5 | 2.8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Samson Kafovalu | DL | 6'4, 260 | JR | 21.0 | 2.7% | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Isaiah Oliver | DB | 6'1, 185 | FR | 20.5 | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Leo Jackson III | DL | 6'3, 280 | SO | 19.0 | 2.5% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaleel Awini | DE | 6'2, 220 | JR | 16.5 | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan Severson | ILB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 16.5 | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Afolabi Laguda | DB | 6'1, 205 | SO | 15.0 | 1.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jase Franke | DE | 6'3, 270 | FR | 11.0 | 1.4% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| N.J. Falo | OLB | 6'2, 230 | FR | 10.0 | 1.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Shaver | LB | 6'3, 230 | SO | 9.0 | 1.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Walker | DB | 5'9, 180 | JR | 8.0 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Phillip Lindsay | TB | 5'8, 180 | SO | 6.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Mathewes | DE | 6'4, 240 | FR | 6.0 | 0.8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.2 | 113 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.27 | 107 |
| Punt Success Rate | 55.6% | 61 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 69.7% | 68 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 25.0% | 125 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 41.2% | 79 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Diego Gonzalez | 6'0, 215 | JR | 35-35 | 18-29 | 62.1% |
| Chris Graham | 6'3, 225 | SO | 1-1 | 0-0 | #DIV/0! |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Alex Kinney | 6'1, 210 | FR | 66 | 40.1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | 63.6% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Chris Graham | 6'3, 225 | SO | 64 | 62.9 | 18 | 28.1% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Diego Gonzalez | 6'0, 215 | JR | 2 | 37.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Nelson Spruce | 6'1, 205 | SR | 10 | 6.1 | 0 | 20 | 0 (0) |
| Jay MacIntyre | 5'10, 190 | FR | 4 | 9.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
| Shay Fields | 5'11, 175 | SO | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Donovan Lee | 5'9, 175 | SO | 22 | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Phillip Lindsay | 5'8, 180 | SO | 7 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Chris Hill | 6'2, 235 | SO | 3 | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics