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2015 Colorado advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Colorado Buffaloes (Pac-12 South)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 98
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Hawaii 118 20-28 L 20% -6.8 31% 5% 35%
12-Sep Massachusetts 97 48-14 W 100% 21.6 94% 88% 56%
19-Sep vs. Colorado State 81 27-24 W 47% -0.5 75% 47% 73%
26-Sep Nicholls State N/A 48-0 W 100% 46.4 57% 30% 39%
3-Oct Oregon 25 24-41 L 2% -16.5 41% 10% 46%
10-Oct at Arizona State 57 23-48 L 0% -22.2 7% 11% 13%
17-Oct Arizona 77 31-38 L 12% -9.4 19% 38% 33%
24-Oct at Oregon State 102 17-13 W 73% 4.9 9% 24% 44%
31-Oct at UCLA 23 31-35 L 21% -6.4 24% 68% 38%
7-Nov Stanford 10 10-42 L 2% -16.1 17% 42% 52%
13-Nov USC 17 24-27 L 35% -3.1 26% 24% 79%
21-Nov at Washington State 63 3-27 L 0% -24.4 5% 3% 30%
28-Nov at Utah 27 14-20 L 21% -6.3 18% 23% 72%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 23.8 99 32.3 92
Points Per Game 24.6 97 27.5 70
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.10 124 1.24 60 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.6% 55 43.8% 90 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.8 67 30.8 89 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.10 110 4.64 62 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 8.48 10 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.88
ACTUAL 1 58
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 96.8 88 91.1 96 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 44.8% 41 46.6% 107 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.93 118 1.10 79 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 98.1 83 90.3 105 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.4% 74 40.9% 94 38.9%
Power Success Rate 76.4% 11 70.0% 93 66.3%
Stuff Rate 15.9% 12 15.6% 110 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Phillip Lindsay TB 5'8, 180 SO 140 653 6 4.7 4.7 34.3% 1 (1)
Sefo Liufau QB 6'4, 240 JR 84 413 5 4.9 3.0 44.0% 3 (2)
Christian Powell TB 6'0, 235 SR 71 339 4 4.8 3.5 40.8% 3 (3)
Patrick Carr RB 5'8, 195 FR 66 272 1 4.1 4.5 31.8% 0 (0)
Donovan Lee WR 5'9, 175 SO 49 286 3 5.8 6.0 42.9% 2 (0)
Michael Adkins II RB 5'10, 205 JR 42 212 3 5.0 3.1 42.9% 0 (0)
Kyle Evans TB 5'6, 175 FR 18 52 1 2.9 1.1 27.8% 0 (0)
Cade Apsay QB 6'1, 195 FR 14 52 0 3.7 3.8 35.7% 2 (0)
Jaleel Awini DE 6'2, 220 JR 4 20 0 5.0 1.0 75.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 88.4 100 99.1 64 100.0
Passing Success Rate 40.6% 66 40.9% 68 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.29 114 1.41 47 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 83.4 92 103.2 58 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Sefo Liufau 6'4, 240 JR 214 344 2418 9 6 62.2% 23 6.3% 6.2
Cade Apsay 6'1, 195 FR 59 92 582 3 5 64.1% 14 13.2% 4.7
Jordan Gehrke 6'1, 200 JR 12 24 116 1 1 50.0% 4 14.3% 2.8

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Nelson Spruce WR 6'1, 205 SR 123 90 1043 4 11.6 8.5 73.2% 62.6% 27.6%
Shay Fields WR 5'11, 175 SO 76 42 598 4 14.2 7.9 55.3% 39.5% 17.1%
Bryce Bobo WR 6'2, 195 SO 42 24 207 0 8.6 4.9 57.1% 45.2% 9.4%
Devin Ross WR 5'9, 180 SO 41 26 331 2 12.7 8.1 63.4% 43.9% 9.2%
Phillip Lindsay TB 5'8, 180 SO 34 26 221 1 8.5 6.5 76.5% 41.2% 7.6%
Donovan Lee WR 5'9, 175 SO 33 27 143 0 5.3 4.3 81.8% 27.3% 7.4%
Sean Irwin TE 6'3, 245 JR 21 15 248 0 16.5 11.8 71.4% 57.1% 4.7%
Jay MacIntyre WR 5'10, 190 FR 13 8 84 1 10.5 6.5 61.5% 30.8% 2.9%
Christian Powell TB 6'0, 235 SR 12 6 64 0 10.7 5.3 50.0% 16.7% 2.7%
Dylan Keeney TE 6'6, 220 FR 11 6 71 0 11.8 6.5 54.5% 54.5% 2.5%
George Frazier FB 6'2, 260 SO 11 6 31 1 5.2 2.8 54.5% 36.4% 2.5%
Patrick Carr RB 5'8, 195 FR 8 5 52 0 10.4 6.5 62.5% 37.5% 1.8%
Lee Walker WR 6'0, 180 FR 7 2 23 0 11.5 3.3 28.6% 14.3% 1.6%
Ken Crawley DB 6'1, 180 SR 5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Michael Adkins II RB 5'10, 205 JR 4 3 7 0 2.3 1.8 75.0% 25.0% 0.9%
Sefo Liufau QB 6'4, 240 JR 1 1 12 0 12.0 12.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 96.7 86 93.7 90 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.3% 33 49.2% 93 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.94 124 1.10 66 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.11 30 3.24 113 2.90
SD Sack Rate 5.1% 73 5.1% 62 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 83.2 109 99.1 74 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.4% 93 31.4% 74 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.76 70 1.74 64 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.16 74 3.73 116 3.20
PD Sack Rate 9.4% 95 7.6% 63 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 102.4 66 90.6 96
Q2 S&P+ 94.0 89 104.1 64
Q3 S&P+ 93.9 93 96.7 82
Q4 S&P+ 84.2 116 101.1 66
1st Down S&P+ 99.1 78 97.1 77
2nd Down S&P+ 87.7 103 102.7 63
3rd Down S&P+ 91.1 101 97.6 80
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.8% 61 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 24.1% 115 34.0%
Adj. Pace +5.5 19 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 84.9% 6 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.8% 103 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.7% 31 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.6% 71 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.7% 48 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 1.8% 125 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.6% 21 6.3%
PD to INC 35.5% 40 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Chidobe Awuzie DB 6'0, 195 JR 78.5 10.2% 12.0 4.0 2 7 2 0
Rick Gamboa ILB 6'0, 230 FR 65.5 8.5% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Tedric Thompson DB 6'0, 205 JR 58.5 7.6% 3.5 0.0 3 5 0 0
Kenneth Olugbode ILB 6'1, 220 JR 53.5 6.9% 2.5 0.0 1 4 0 0
Derek McCartney DE 6'3, 240 SO 42.0 5.4% 11.5 5.0 1 1 1 0
Jered Bell DB 6'1, 205 SR 40.0 5.2% 1.5 0.0 3 2 0 0
Ken Crawley DB 6'1, 180 SR 38.5 5.0% 1.5 0.0 1 10 0 0
Jordan Carrell DL 6'3, 280 JR 36.5 4.7% 7.5 1.0 0 0 2 0
Ryan Moeller DB 6'1, 210 SO 35.5 4.6% 1.0 0.0 1 2 1 0
Ahkello Witherspoon DB 6'3, 190 JR 35.0 4.5% 0.0 0.0 2 3 0 0
Justin Solis DL 6'2, 325 SR 33.5 4.3% 3.0 3.0 0 0 0 0
Jimmie Gilbert DE 6'5, 230 JR 25.5 3.3% 7.0 6.0 0 0 1 0
Grant Watanabe LB 5'11, 240 FR 21.5 2.8% 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 0
Samson Kafovalu DL 6'4, 260 JR 21.0 2.7% 5.5 3.0 0 0 0 1
Isaiah Oliver DB 6'1, 185 FR 20.5 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0 6 0 0
Leo Jackson III DL 6'3, 280 SO 19.0 2.5% 2.0 2.0 0 0 2 0
Jaleel Awini DE 6'2, 220 JR 16.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 1
Ryan Severson ILB 5'10, 205 JR 16.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Afolabi Laguda DB 6'1, 205 SO 15.0 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Jase Franke DE 6'3, 270 FR 11.0 1.4% 2.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
N.J. Falo OLB 6'2, 230 FR 10.0 1.3% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Christian Shaver LB 6'3, 230 SO 9.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
John Walker DB 5'9, 180 JR 8.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Phillip Lindsay TB 5'8, 180 SO 6.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Michael Mathewes DE 6'4, 240 FR 6.0 0.8% 1.0 1.0 0 1 1 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.2 113
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.27 107
Punt Success Rate 55.6% 61
Kickoff Success Rate 69.7% 68
Punt Return Success Rate 25.0% 125
Kick Return Success Rate 41.2% 79
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Diego Gonzalez 6'0, 215 JR 35-35 18-29 62.1%
Chris Graham 6'3, 225 SO 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alex Kinney 6'1, 210 FR 66 40.1 1 21 21 63.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Chris Graham 6'3, 225 SO 64 62.9 18 28.1% 0 0 1 0
Diego Gonzalez 6'0, 215 JR 2 37.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Nelson Spruce 6'1, 205 SR 10 6.1 0 20 0 (0)
Jay MacIntyre 5'10, 190 FR 4 9.3 0 2 0 (0)
Shay Fields 5'11, 175 SO 2 0.5 0 0 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Donovan Lee 5'9, 175 SO 22 24.5 0 0 1 (0)
Phillip Lindsay 5'8, 180 SO 7 22.0 0 0 0 (0)
Chris Hill 6'2, 235 SO 3 12.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics