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2016 Oregon advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Oregon Ducks (Pac-12 North)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.2 (1.2) | S&P+ Rk: 74
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep UC Davis N/A 53-28 W 100% 20.8 58% 44% 18%
10-Sep Virginia 88 44-26 W 100% 24.7 86% 96% 43%
17-Sep at Nebraska 46 32-35 L 84% 7.7 76% 89% 33%
24-Sep Colorado 18 38-41 L 37% -2.7 62% 91% 23%
1-Oct at Washington State 41 33-51 L 4% -13.6 31% 71% 12%
8-Oct Washington 7 21-70 L 0% -42.2 13% 54% 9%
21-Oct at California 51 49-52 L 23% -5.8 40% 27% 29%
29-Oct Arizona State 83 54-35 W 94% 12.1 67% 80% 22%
5-Nov at USC 9 20-45 L 0% -23.6 27% 30% 23%
12-Nov Stanford 23 27-52 L 1% -19.9 23% 73% 5%
19-Nov at Utah 43 30-28 W 63% 2.6 66% 84% 34%
26-Nov at Oregon State 65 24-34 L 16% -7.7 33% 47% 20%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.8 20 38.7 119
Points Per Game 35.4 27 41.4 125
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.37 23 1.18 26 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.7% 35 50.6% 128 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.2 55 28.9 56 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.84 35 5.50 127 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -6.12 115 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.30
ACTUAL -3 84
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 110.1 38 79.4 126 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 47.5% 21 52.6% 128 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.16 31 1.10 70 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 108.7 36 86 119 100.0
Opportunity Rate 45.0% 11 49.7% 128 39.7%
Power Success Rate 68.4% 60 75.0% 102 67.9%
Stuff Rate 17.3% 44 17.3% 93 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Royce Freeman RB 5'11, 230 JR 169 945 9 5.6 7.0 39.1% 4 (2)
Tony Brooks-James RB 5'9, 185 SO 101 771 9 7.6 7.3 51.5% 3 (1)
Kani Benoit RB 6'0, 210 JR 51 300 3 5.9 5.5 43.1% 1 (1)
Dakota Prukop QB 6'2, 195 0 46 244 2 5.3 3.4 45.7% 1 (0)
Justin Herbert QB 6'6, 215 FR 39 273 2 7.0 4.4 56.4% 1 (0)
Taj Griffin RB 5'10, 175 SO 37 183 3 4.9 8.0 32.4% 0 (0)
Jarret LaCoste RB 5'11, 210 SR 11 57 0 5.2 2.3 54.5% 2 (0)
Charles Nelson WR 5'8, 170 JR 4 37 1 9.3 6.7 75.0% 3 (2)
Devon Allen WR 6'0, 185 JR 3 13 0 4.3 1.0 66.7% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 111.0 38 88.5 110 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.8% 54 48.6% 125 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.61 27 1.27 7 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 89.2 88 90.7 83 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Justin Herbert 6'6, 225 FR 162 255 1936 19 4 63.5% 19 6.9% 6.7
Dakota Prukop 6'2, 205 0 94 143 1214 8 2 65.7% 10 6.5% 7.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Charles Nelson WR 5'8, 170 JR 81 52 554 5 10.7 6.8 64.2% 44.4% 20.9%
Darren Carrington II WR 6'2, 205 JR 69 43 606 5 14.1 8.8 62.3% 53.6% 17.8%
Pharaoh Brown TE 6'6, 245 SR 46 33 426 5 12.9 9.3 71.7% 50.0% 11.9%
Johnny Mundt TE 6'4, 240 SR 40 23 334 4 14.5 8.4 57.5% 45.0% 10.3%
Jalen Brown WR 6'1, 200 SO 37 19 318 3 16.7 8.6 51.4% 35.1% 9.5%
Royce Freeman RB 5'11, 230 JR 25 23 144 1 6.3 5.8 92.0% 40.0% 6.4%
Tony Brooks-James RB 5'9, 185 SO 19 17 155 1 9.1 8.2 89.5% 47.4% 4.9%
Evan Baylis TE 6'6, 250 SR 18 9 68 1 7.6 3.8 50.0% 27.8% 4.6%
Dwayne Stanford WR 6'5, 205 SR 17 13 175 1 13.5 10.3 76.5% 64.7% 4.4%
Jacob Breeland TE 6'5, 240 FR 8 6 123 0 20.5 15.4 75.0% 62.5% 2.1%
Taj Griffin RB 5'10, 180 SO 8 7 89 1 12.7 11.1 87.5% 50.0% 2.1%
Devon Allen WR 6'0, 185 JR 7 4 141 1 35.3 20.1 57.1% 57.1% 1.8%
Kani Benoit RB 6'0, 210 JR 6 5 33 0 6.6 5.5 83.3% 33.3% 1.5%
Dillon Mitchell WR 6'1, 195 FR 6 2 9 0 4.5 1.5 33.3% 0.0% 1.5%
Alex Ofodile WR 6'3, 200 FR 1 1 8 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 108.1 40 88.0 116 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 50.7% 28 55.4% 127 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.14 56 1.01 21 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.25 28 3.48 123 2.98
SD Sack Rate 6.9% 106 5.6% 48 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 115.4 28 79.2 123 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 31.6% 56 37.7% 125 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.16 4 1.84 103 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.62 29 3.99 124 3.24
PD Sack Rate 6.7% 48 3.9% 119 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 105.7 56 75.5 128
Q2 S&P+ 115.3 30 98.5 70
Q3 S&P+ 112.6 33 81.7 123
Q4 S&P+ 117.1 16 75.9 128
1st Down S&P+ 110.6 36 89.8 109
2nd Down S&P+ 109.2 38 77.2 127
3rd Down S&P+ 110.9 36 75.3 125
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.5% 52 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 28.1% 103 34.6%
Adj. Pace +3.3 30 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.5% 71 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.6% 97 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 28.8% 111 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.3% 115 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.1% 81 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.5% 85 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.6% 118 6.4%
PD to INC 34.8% 48 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Troy Dye LB 6'4, 225 FR 74.0 10.1% 13.0 6.5 1 1 0
Brenden Schooler DB 6'2, 190 FR 60.5 8.3% 1.0 0.5 4 0 0
Jimmie Swain LB 6'2, 235 JR 53.0 7.3% 2.0 0.0 0 2 1
Tyree Robinson DB 6'4, 205 JR 48.5 6.6% 1.0 1.0 1 6 0
Johnny Ragin III LB 6'3, 225 SR 41.0 5.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Justin Hollins DL 6'6, 235 SO 39.0 5.3% 9.5 3.0 0 2 0
Ugo Amadi DB 5'10, 195 SO 36.5 5.0% 0.0 0.0 0 6 0
Khalil Oliver DB 6'0, 205 SO 35.5 4.9% 2.5 0.0 1 2 0
Arrion Springs DB 5'11, 205 JR 34.0 4.7% 3.5 0.0 0 12 1
A.J. Hotchkins LB 5'11, 230 JR 26.5 3.6% 2.5 1.5 0 0 0
Jalen Jelks DL 6'6, 260 SO 26.0 3.6% 4.0 2.0 1 2 0
Kaulana Apelu LB 5'11, 200 SO 24.0 3.3% 1.0 0.0 1 2 1
Henry Mondeaux DL 6'5, 280 JR 23.5 3.2% 4.0 1.0 0 0 0
De'Quan McDowell LB 6'1, 210 SR 22.0 3.0% 2.0 1.0 0 1 0
Austin Maloata DL 6'1, 305 JR 19.5 2.7% 3.0 1.5 0 0 0
Reggie Daniels DB 6'1, 208 SR 16.5 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Jonah Moi LB 6'4, 245 JR 14.5 2.0% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0
T.J. Daniel DL 6'6, 280 SR 14.0 1.9% 3.0 3.0 0 1 0
Malik Lovette DB 5'11, 200 FR 13.5 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Elijah George DL 6'5, 290 JR 13.0 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Fotu T. Leiato II DB 6'1, 200 SO 12.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Gary Baker DL 6'4, 305 FR 10.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Rex Manu DL 6'3, 305 SO 9.5 1.3% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0
Bryson Young DL 6'5, 235 FR 8.5 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 2 0
Wayne Tei-Kirby DL 6'3, 315 FR 7.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.4 78
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.10 49
Punt Success Rate 39.0% 121
Kickoff Success Rate 91.0% 8
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 40.0% 81
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Aidan Schneider 6'4, 235 JR 42-43 9-12 75.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ian Wheeler 6'0, 205 JR 59 37.8 3 28 14 71.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Matt Wogan 6'2, 210 SR 78 64.6 52 66.7% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Dillon Mitchell 6'1, 195 FR 7 3.7 0 5 1 (1)
Charles Nelson 5'8, 170 JR 6 17.8 0 6 1 (1)
Darren Carrington II 6'2, 205 JR 6 2.2 0 3 1 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Charles Nelson 5'8, 170 JR 34 25.9 1 0 2 (1)
Tony Brooks-James 5'9, 185 SO 8 17.1 0 0 1 (0)
Dillon Mitchell 6'1, 195 FR 3 16.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics