Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
Oregon Ducks (Pac-12 North)
2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.2 (1.2) | S&P+ Rk: 74 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
3-Sep | UC Davis | N/A | 53-28 | W | 100% | 20.8 | 58% | 44% | 18% |
10-Sep | Virginia | 88 | 44-26 | W | 100% | 24.7 | 86% | 96% | 43% |
17-Sep | at Nebraska | 46 | 32-35 | L | 84% | 7.7 | 76% | 89% | 33% |
24-Sep | Colorado | 18 | 38-41 | L | 37% | -2.7 | 62% | 91% | 23% |
1-Oct | at Washington State | 41 | 33-51 | L | 4% | -13.6 | 31% | 71% | 12% |
8-Oct | Washington | 7 | 21-70 | L | 0% | -42.2 | 13% | 54% | 9% |
21-Oct | at California | 51 | 49-52 | L | 23% | -5.8 | 40% | 27% | 29% |
29-Oct | Arizona State | 83 | 54-35 | W | 94% | 12.1 | 67% | 80% | 22% |
5-Nov | at USC | 9 | 20-45 | L | 0% | -23.6 | 27% | 30% | 23% |
12-Nov | Stanford | 23 | 27-52 | L | 1% | -19.9 | 23% | 73% | 5% |
19-Nov | at Utah | 43 | 30-28 | W | 63% | 2.6 | 66% | 84% | 34% |
26-Nov | at Oregon State | 65 | 24-34 | L | 16% | -7.7 | 33% | 47% | 20% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 37.8 | 20 | 38.7 | 119 |
Points Per Game | 35.4 | 27 | 41.4 | 125 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.37 | 23 | 1.18 | 26 | 1.27 |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 44.7% | 35 | 50.6% | 128 | 40.9% |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 30.2 | 55 | 28.9 | 56 | 29.7 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.84 | 35 | 5.50 | 127 | 4.47 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -6.12 | 115 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.30 |
||
ACTUAL | -3 | 84 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 110.1 | 38 | 79.4 | 126 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 47.5% | 21 | 52.6% | 128 | 43.1% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 1.16 | 31 | 1.10 | 70 | 1.08 |
Adj. Line Yards | 108.7 | 36 | 86 | 119 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 45.0% | 11 | 49.7% | 128 | 39.7% |
Power Success Rate | 68.4% | 60 | 75.0% | 102 | 67.9% |
Stuff Rate | 17.3% | 44 | 17.3% | 93 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Royce Freeman | RB | 5'11, 230 | JR | 169 | 945 | 9 | 5.6 | 7.0 | 39.1% | 4 (2) |
Tony Brooks-James | RB | 5'9, 185 | SO | 101 | 771 | 9 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 51.5% | 3 (1) |
Kani Benoit | RB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 51 | 300 | 3 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 43.1% | 1 (1) |
Dakota Prukop | QB | 6'2, 195 | 0 | 46 | 244 | 2 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 45.7% | 1 (0) |
Justin Herbert | QB | 6'6, 215 | FR | 39 | 273 | 2 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 56.4% | 1 (0) |
Taj Griffin | RB | 5'10, 175 | SO | 37 | 183 | 3 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 32.4% | 0 (0) |
Jarret LaCoste | RB | 5'11, 210 | SR | 11 | 57 | 0 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 54.5% | 2 (0) |
Charles Nelson | WR | 5'8, 170 | JR | 4 | 37 | 1 | 9.3 | 6.7 | 75.0% | 3 (2) |
Devon Allen | WR | 6'0, 185 | JR | 3 | 13 | 0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 66.7% | 0 (0) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 111.0 | 38 | 88.5 | 110 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 41.8% | 54 | 48.6% | 125 | 40.9% |
Passing IsoPPP | 1.61 | 27 | 1.27 | 7 | 1.49 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 89.2 | 88 | 90.7 | 83 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Justin Herbert | 6'6, 225 | FR | 162 | 255 | 1936 | 19 | 4 | 63.5% | 19 | 6.9% | 6.7 |
Dakota Prukop | 6'2, 205 | 0 | 94 | 143 | 1214 | 8 | 2 | 65.7% | 10 | 6.5% | 7.6 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Charles Nelson | WR | 5'8, 170 | JR | 81 | 52 | 554 | 5 | 10.7 | 6.8 | 64.2% | 44.4% | 20.9% |
Darren Carrington II | WR | 6'2, 205 | JR | 69 | 43 | 606 | 5 | 14.1 | 8.8 | 62.3% | 53.6% | 17.8% |
Pharaoh Brown | TE | 6'6, 245 | SR | 46 | 33 | 426 | 5 | 12.9 | 9.3 | 71.7% | 50.0% | 11.9% |
Johnny Mundt | TE | 6'4, 240 | SR | 40 | 23 | 334 | 4 | 14.5 | 8.4 | 57.5% | 45.0% | 10.3% |
Jalen Brown | WR | 6'1, 200 | SO | 37 | 19 | 318 | 3 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 51.4% | 35.1% | 9.5% |
Royce Freeman | RB | 5'11, 230 | JR | 25 | 23 | 144 | 1 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 92.0% | 40.0% | 6.4% |
Tony Brooks-James | RB | 5'9, 185 | SO | 19 | 17 | 155 | 1 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 89.5% | 47.4% | 4.9% |
Evan Baylis | TE | 6'6, 250 | SR | 18 | 9 | 68 | 1 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 50.0% | 27.8% | 4.6% |
Dwayne Stanford | WR | 6'5, 205 | SR | 17 | 13 | 175 | 1 | 13.5 | 10.3 | 76.5% | 64.7% | 4.4% |
Jacob Breeland | TE | 6'5, 240 | FR | 8 | 6 | 123 | 0 | 20.5 | 15.4 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 2.1% |
Taj Griffin | RB | 5'10, 180 | SO | 8 | 7 | 89 | 1 | 12.7 | 11.1 | 87.5% | 50.0% | 2.1% |
Devon Allen | WR | 6'0, 185 | JR | 7 | 4 | 141 | 1 | 35.3 | 20.1 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 1.8% |
Kani Benoit | RB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 6 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 83.3% | 33.3% | 1.5% |
Dillon Mitchell | WR | 6'1, 195 | FR | 6 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.5% |
Alex Ofodile | WR | 6'3, 200 | FR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 108.1 | 40 | 88.0 | 116 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 50.7% | 28 | 55.4% | 127 | 47.3% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.14 | 56 | 1.01 | 21 | 1.12 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.25 | 28 | 3.48 | 123 | 2.98 |
SD Sack Rate | 6.9% | 106 | 5.6% | 48 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 115.4 | 28 | 79.2 | 123 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 31.6% | 56 | 37.7% | 125 | 31.1% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 2.16 | 4 | 1.84 | 103 | 1.76 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.62 | 29 | 3.99 | 124 | 3.24 |
PD Sack Rate | 6.7% | 48 | 3.9% | 119 | 7.9% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 105.7 | 56 | 75.5 | 128 |
Q2 S&P+ | 115.3 | 30 | 98.5 | 70 |
Q3 S&P+ | 112.6 | 33 | 81.7 | 123 |
Q4 S&P+ | 117.1 | 16 | 75.9 | 128 |
1st Down S&P+ | 110.6 | 36 | 89.8 | 109 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 109.2 | 38 | 77.2 | 127 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 110.9 | 36 | 75.3 | 125 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 62.5% | 52 | 60.2% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 28.1% | 103 | 34.6% |
Adj. Pace | +3.3 | 30 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 73.5% | 71 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 56.6% | 97 | 60.2% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 28.8% | 111 | 34.5% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 12.3% | 115 | 15.8% |
DL Havoc Rate | 4.1% | 81 | 5.0% |
LB Havoc Rate | 3.5% | 85 | 4.3% |
DB Havoc Rate | 4.6% | 118 | 6.4% |
PD to INC | 34.8% | 48 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
Troy Dye | LB | 6'4, 225 | FR | 74.0 | 10.1% | 13.0 | 6.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Brenden Schooler | DB | 6'2, 190 | FR | 60.5 | 8.3% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Jimmie Swain | LB | 6'2, 235 | JR | 53.0 | 7.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Tyree Robinson | DB | 6'4, 205 | JR | 48.5 | 6.6% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Johnny Ragin III | LB | 6'3, 225 | SR | 41.0 | 5.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Justin Hollins | DL | 6'6, 235 | SO | 39.0 | 5.3% | 9.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Ugo Amadi | DB | 5'10, 195 | SO | 36.5 | 5.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Khalil Oliver | DB | 6'0, 205 | SO | 35.5 | 4.9% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Arrion Springs | DB | 5'11, 205 | JR | 34.0 | 4.7% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
A.J. Hotchkins | LB | 5'11, 230 | JR | 26.5 | 3.6% | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jalen Jelks | DL | 6'6, 260 | SO | 26.0 | 3.6% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Kaulana Apelu | LB | 5'11, 200 | SO | 24.0 | 3.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Henry Mondeaux | DL | 6'5, 280 | JR | 23.5 | 3.2% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
De'Quan McDowell | LB | 6'1, 210 | SR | 22.0 | 3.0% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Austin Maloata | DL | 6'1, 305 | JR | 19.5 | 2.7% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Reggie Daniels | DB | 6'1, 208 | SR | 16.5 | 2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jonah Moi | LB | 6'4, 245 | JR | 14.5 | 2.0% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
T.J. Daniel | DL | 6'6, 280 | SR | 14.0 | 1.9% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Malik Lovette | DB | 5'11, 200 | FR | 13.5 | 1.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Elijah George | DL | 6'5, 290 | JR | 13.0 | 1.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Fotu T. Leiato II | DB | 6'1, 200 | SO | 12.0 | 1.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Gary Baker | DL | 6'4, 305 | FR | 10.5 | 1.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rex Manu | DL | 6'3, 305 | SO | 9.5 | 1.3% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bryson Young | DL | 6'5, 235 | FR | 8.5 | 1.2% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Wayne Tei-Kirby | DL | 6'3, 315 | FR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | -0.4 | 78 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | 0.10 | 49 |
Punt Success Rate | 39.0% | 121 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 91.0% | 8 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 58 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 40.0% | 81 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Aidan Schneider | 6'4, 235 | JR | 42-43 | 9-12 | 75.0% |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
Ian Wheeler | 6'0, 205 | JR | 59 | 37.8 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 71.2% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Matt Wogan | 6'2, 210 | SR | 78 | 64.6 | 52 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Dillon Mitchell | 6'1, 195 | FR | 7 | 3.7 | 0 | 5 | 1 (1) |
Charles Nelson | 5'8, 170 | JR | 6 | 17.8 | 0 | 6 | 1 (1) |
Darren Carrington II | 6'2, 205 | JR | 6 | 2.2 | 0 | 3 | 1 (0) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Charles Nelson | 5'8, 170 | JR | 34 | 25.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 (1) |
Tony Brooks-James | 5'9, 185 | SO | 8 | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
Dillon Mitchell | 6'1, 195 | FR | 3 | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics