clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2016 Navy advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Navy Midshipmen (American West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.2 (-1.8) | S&P+ Rk: 52
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Fordham N/A 52-16 W 97% 14.8 62% 80% 12%
10-Sep Connecticut 123 28-24 W 72% 4.7 42% 52% 23%
17-Sep at Tulane 106 21-14 W 61% 2.2 49% 42% 52%
1-Oct at Air Force 62 14-28 L 0% -23.1 15% 5% 51%
8-Oct Houston 39 46-40 W 36% -2.9 60% 76% 40%
22-Oct Memphis 44 42-28 W 96% 13.3 86% 80% 69%
28-Oct at South Florida 55 45-52 L 36% -2.8 57% 90% 8%
5-Nov vs. Notre Dame 26 28-27 W 33% -3.5 59% 70% 39%
12-Nov Tulsa 54 42-40 W 22% -6.1 49% 91% 23%
19-Nov at East Carolina 100 66-31 W 100% 26.0 88% 96% 38%
26-Nov at SMU 90 75-31 W 100% 31.2 93% 98% 39%
3-Dec Temple 32 10-34 L 5% -12.8 41% 60% 47%
10-Dec vs. Army 101 17-21 L 14% -8.5 31% 54% 48%
23-Dec vs. Louisiana Tech 59 45-48 L 44% -1.2 60% 77% 48%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.9 17 34.4 100
Points Per Game 37.9 20 31.0 84
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.27 63 1.27 73 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 50.0% 6 46.8% 115 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.1 36 28.1 37 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.41 4 4.84 99 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 7.62 11 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.01
ACTUAL 2 47
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 131.7 4 102.1 55 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 51.6% 7 43.9% 76 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.11 46 0.99 26 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 129.8 3 99.8 69 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.9% 23 39.8% 73 39.7%
Power Success Rate 79.8% 7 75.9% 112 67.9%
Stuff Rate 13.1% 3 16.3% 108 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Will Worth QB 6'1, 205 SR 251 1283 25 5.1 5.0 36.3% 5 (2)
Chris High FB 6'0, 224 JR 86 546 7 6.3 6.7 41.9% 2 (1)
Shawn White FB 6'1, 255 SR 79 450 7 5.7 6.2 34.2% 1 (1)
Zach Abey QB 6'2, 218 SO 65 412 6 6.3 9.1 35.4% 3 (1)
Dishan Romine SB 5'11, 178 SR 48 463 1 9.6 6.3 70.8% 1 (1)
Toneo Gulley SB 5'8, 196 SR 43 427 4 9.9 6.9 67.4% 0 (0)
Darryl Bonner SB 5'7, 171 JR 33 238 2 7.2 8.0 48.5% 2 (1)
Calvin Cass Jr. SB 5'10, 206 SR 31 169 2 5.5 4.3 48.4% 0 (0)
Myles Swain FB 5'11, 223 SR 22 121 1 5.5 3.9 40.9% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 126.5 10 83.1 121 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.4% 48 50.4% 128 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 2.14 3 1.57 108 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 53.1 127 66.9 112 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Will Worth 6'1, 205 SR 72 117 1397 8 3 61.5% 14 10.7% 10.0
Zach Abey 6'2, 218 SO 20 35 352 1 4 57.1% 7 16.7% 7.7
Tago Smith 5'10, 201 SR 1 1 45 0 0 100.0% 2 66.7% 11.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Jamir Tillman WR 6'4, 212 SR 64 40 631 2 15.8 9.9 62.5% 54.7% 44.4%
Darryl Bonner SB 5'7, 171 JR 15 10 278 3 27.8 18.5 66.7% 66.7% 10.4%
Dishan Romine SB 5'11, 178 SR 14 8 166 0 20.8 11.9 57.1% 50.0% 9.7%
Calvin Cass Jr. SB 5'10, 206 SR 13 10 197 0 19.7 15.2 76.9% 69.2% 9.0%
Brandon Colon WR 6'4, 223 JR 10 6 149 1 24.8 14.9 60.0% 60.0% 6.9%
Tyler Carmona WR 6'4, 222 JR 9 6 128 2 21.3 14.2 66.7% 66.7% 6.3%
Toneo Gulley SB 5'8, 196 SR 5 4 110 1 27.5 22.0 80.0% 60.0% 3.5%
Shawn White FB 6'1, 255 SR 4 4 46 0 11.5 11.5 100.0% 50.0% 2.8%
Craig Scott WR 6'2, 189 JR 4 1 7 0 7.0 1.8 25.0% 25.0% 2.8%
Chris High FB 6'0, 224 JR 1 1 38 0 38.0 38.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.7%
Taylor Jackson WR 6'3, 210 SO 1 1 21 0 21.0 21.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.7%
John Brown III SB 5'9, 203 JR 1 1 16 0 16.0 16.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.7%
Josh Brown SB 5'9, 189 JR 1 1 7 0 7.0 7.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Tre Walker SB 5'9, 190 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Daniel Gonzales LB 6'2, 240 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 113.6 22 95.3 84 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 53.5% 10 51.3% 108 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.10 68 1.12 70 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.43 6 3.12 88 2.98
SD Sack Rate 12.3% 128 4.8% 68 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 141.9 4 83.9 118 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 38.9% 10 35.8% 118 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.98 13 1.82 95 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.80 16 2.93 35 3.24
PD Sack Rate 11.9% 116 2.8% 124 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 115.8 33 89.7 105
Q2 S&P+ 124.3 7 99.6 69
Q3 S&P+ 133.6 4 92.0 96
Q4 S&P+ 125.0 6 87.8 112
1st Down S&P+ 113.1 29 100.2 61
2nd Down S&P+ 134.3 3 94.9 88
3rd Down S&P+ 143.8 2 78.1 123
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 87.1% 3 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 67.2% 2 34.6%
Adj. Pace -2.1 80 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.7% 67 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.0% 58 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 41.3% 15 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.1% 106 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 3.2% 108 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.6% 46 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.4% 99 6.4%
PD to INC 36.3% 34 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Micah Thomas LB 6'1, 249 JR 86.0 11.1% 3.0 1.0 0 3 0
Alohi Gilman S 6'0, 200 FR 63.0 8.1% 5.0 0.0 0 5 1
Sean Williams S 6'1, 190 SO 62.0 8.0% 2.0 0.0 1 2 0
D.J. Palmore OLB 6'3, 236 JR 46.0 5.9% 11.5 6.0 0 4 1
Amos Mason DE 6'1, 266 SR 46.0 5.9% 8.5 2.0 0 1 1
Tyris Wooten CB 6'1, 180 JR 46.0 5.9% 1.0 0.0 2 10 0
Jarvis Polu DE 6'3, 280 SO 41.5 5.3% 4.0 3.0 0 2 0
Hudson Sullivan LB 6'2, 220 SO 36.5 4.7% 1.0 0.0 0 1 1
Josiah Powell OLB 6'3, 224 SR 33.5 4.3% 3.5 1.0 2 0 1
Daiquan Thomasson S 6'0, 205 SR 33.0 4.2% 0.5 0.0 1 4 1
Patrick Forrestal NG 6'4, 305 SR 28.0 3.6% 1.0 1.0 0 3 0
Jarid Ryan CB 5'11, 203 SO 24.5 3.1% 0.0 0.0 0 3 2
Taylor Heflin LB 6'2, 230 SO 24.5 3.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Justin Norton OLB 6'2, 202 JR 18.5 2.4% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0
Brandon Jones OLB 6'4, 225 JR 17.5 2.2% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Mike Kelly LB 6'1, 230 SR 17.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Ted Colburn OLB 6'3, 230 SR 17.0 2.2% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Elijah Merchant CB 5'10, 196 JR 16.5 2.1% 1.5 0.0 0 4 3
Daniel Gonzales LB 6'2, 240 SR 16.5 2.1% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nnamdi Uzoma DE 6'3, 251 SR 13.0 1.7% 3.0 2.0 0 0 0
Tyler Sayles DE 6'2, 255 JR 12.5 1.6% 2.0 2.0 0 0 2
Ryan Harris LB 5'11, 213 SR 8.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Jackson Pittman NG 6'3, 315 FR 8.0 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 2
Kevin McCoy OLB 6'4, 212 JR 7.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Khaylan Williams S 6'0, 192 SO 6.5 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 1
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.9 31
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.00 67
Punt Success Rate 60.6% 42
Kickoff Success Rate 75.6% 52
Punt Return Success Rate 66.7% 22
Kick Return Success Rate 77.1% 1
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Bennett Moehring 5'9, 180 SO 65-68 8-10 80.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alex Barta 6'3, 213 SR 23 42.7 1 7 7 60.9%
Erik Harris 5'10, 184 SO 10 45.1 0 5 6 110.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Bennett Moehring 5'9, 180 SO 87 57.9 21 24.1% 4 3 3 0
Erik Harris 5'10, 184 SO 3 63.0 1 33.3% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Calvin Cass Jr. 5'10, 206 SR 9 9.2 0 3 0 (0)
Craig Scott 6'2, 189 JR 6 10.5 0 5 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Dishan Romine 5'11, 178 SR 28 24.9 0 0 0 (0)
Tre Walker 5'9, 190 SO 6 23.0 0 0 0 (0)
John Brown III 5'9, 203 JR 4 21.0 0 0 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics