Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
Colorado State Rams (MWC Mountain)
2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.1 (1.1) | S&P+ Rk: 38 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
2-Sep | vs. Colorado | 18 | 7-44 | L | 0% | -40.4 | 7% | 11% | 14% |
10-Sep | UTSA | 103 | 23-14 | W | 97% | 14.6 | 74% | 45% | 90% |
17-Sep | Northern Colorado | N/A | 47-21 | W | 100% | 33.6 | 81% | 97% | 22% |
24-Sep | at Minnesota | 42 | 24-31 | L | 2% | -15.5 | 25% | 59% | 13% |
1-Oct | Wyoming | 61 | 17-38 | L | 15% | -8.2 | 33% | 35% | 34% |
8-Oct | Utah State | 70 | 31-24 | W | 90% | 10.1 | 72% | 86% | 46% |
15-Oct | at Boise State | 19 | 23-28 | L | 53% | 0.5 | 72% | 76% | 74% |
22-Oct | at UNLV | 110 | 42-23 | W | 100% | 22.8 | 81% | 84% | 73% |
5-Nov | Fresno State | 116 | 37-0 | W | 100% | 44.7 | 93% | 84% | 97% |
12-Nov | at Air Force | 62 | 46-49 | L | 40% | -1.9 | 51% | 93% | 9% |
19-Nov | New Mexico | 81 | 49-31 | W | 100% | 28.1 | 92% | 98% | 78% |
26-Nov | at San Diego State | 33 | 63-31 | W | 99% | 19.0 | 92% | 97% | 57% |
22-Dec | vs. Idaho | 89 | 50-61 | L | 9% | -10.3 | 22% | 79% | 8% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 37.4 | 21 | 31.4 | 81 |
Points Per Game | 35.3 | 28 | 30.4 | 81 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.36 | 25 | 1.28 | 78 | 1.27 |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 45.6% | 29 | 44.1% | 84 | 40.9% |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 30.0 | 59 | 27.8 | 29 | 29.7 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.51 | 2 | 5.14 | 118 | 4.47 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -0.8 | 78 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.08 |
||
ACTUAL | -1 | 71 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 116.2 | 19 | 91.0 | 100 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 45.9% | 40 | 46.8% | 104 | 43.1% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 1.10 | 47 | 1.12 | 83 | 1.08 |
Adj. Line Yards | 112.2 | 22 | 89.7 | 106 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 41.0% | 50 | 39.3% | 64 | 39.7% |
Power Success Rate | 78.0% | 9 | 70.8% | 88 | 67.9% |
Stuff Rate | 15.0% | 11 | 17.7% | 84 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Dalyn Dawkins | RB | 5'9, 175 | JR | 161 | 919 | 4 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 41.6% | 2 (0) |
Izzy Matthews | RB | 6'0, 210 | SO | 153 | 734 | 13 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 37.3% | 0 (0) |
Marvin Kinsey, Jr. | RB | 6'1, 190 | FR | 93 | 546 | 7 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 39.8% | 3 (2) |
Detrich Clark | WR | 5'10, 180 | JR | 36 | 247 | 3 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 44.4% | 0 (0) |
Faton Bauta | QB | 6'2, 220 | SR | 19 | 124 | 0 | 6.5 | 5.3 | 47.4% | 0 (0) |
Collin Hill | QB | 6'5, 210 | FR | 17 | 124 | 1 | 7.3 | 8.6 | 41.2% | 2 (1) |
Nick Stevens | QB | 6'3, 200 | JR | 11 | 88 | 2 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 63.6% | 1 (1) |
Anthony Hawkins | WR | 5'10, 185 | FR | 11 | 81 | 0 | 7.4 | 5.9 | 45.5% | 2 (1) |
Bryce Peters | RB | 5'10, 210 | JR | 11 | 43 | 0 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 36.4% | 0 (0) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 121.1 | 18 | 99.1 | 65 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 45.0% | 27 | 40.1% | 57 | 40.9% |
Passing IsoPPP | 1.72 | 13 | 1.57 | 107 | 1.49 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 214.1 | 7 | 129.3 | 20 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Nick Stevens | 6'3, 200 | JR | 129 | 201 | 1936 | 19 | 5 | 64.2% | 4 | 2.0% | 9.3 |
Collin Hill | 6'5, 210 | FR | 75 | 129 | 1096 | 8 | 2 | 58.1% | 9 | 6.5% | 7.4 |
Faton Bauta | 6'2, 220 | SR | 12 | 29 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 41.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 3.9 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Michael Gallup | WR | 6'1, 195 | JR | 118 | 76 | 1285 | 14 | 16.9 | 10.9 | 64.4% | 57.6% | 33.7% |
Olabisi Johnson | WR | 6'0, 190 | SO | 47 | 28 | 613 | 4 | 21.9 | 13.0 | 59.6% | 55.3% | 13.4% |
Robert Ruiz | WR | 5'10, 170 | SR | 35 | 23 | 342 | 3 | 14.9 | 9.8 | 65.7% | 51.4% | 10.0% |
Danny Nwosu | TE | 6'3, 245 | SR | 26 | 14 | 155 | 1 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 53.8% | 46.2% | 7.4% |
Dalyn Dawkins | RB | 5'9, 175 | JR | 24 | 20 | 162 | 1 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 83.3% | 29.2% | 6.9% |
Nolan Peralta | TE | 6'3, 240 | SR | 20 | 11 | 91 | 2 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 55.0% | 30.0% | 5.7% |
Dalton Fackrell | TE | 6'4, 240 | JR | 15 | 7 | 66 | 0 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 46.7% | 33.3% | 4.3% |
Elroy Masters, Jr. | WR | 6'2, 215 | JR | 12 | 7 | 108 | 1 | 15.4 | 9.0 | 58.3% | 50.0% | 3.4% |
Detrich Clark | WR | 5'10, 180 | JR | 12 | 9 | 90 | 1 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 75.0% | 41.7% | 3.4% |
Izzy Matthews | RB | 6'0, 210 | SO | 11 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 72.7% | 27.3% | 3.1% |
Marcus Wilson | WR | 5'10, 190 | SO | 8 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 50.0% | 12.5% | 2.3% |
Sammie Long IV | WR | 6'3, 195 | JR | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 2.0% |
Anthony Hawkins | WR | 5'10, 185 | FR | 6 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 1.7% |
Xavier Williams | WR | 6'3, 200 | JR | 5 | 4 | 91 | 0 | 22.8 | 18.2 | 80.0% | 80.0% | 1.4% |
Marvin Kinsey, Jr. | RB | 6'1, 190 | FR | 2 | 2 | 47 | 0 | 23.5 | 23.5 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.6% |
Braylin Scott | DB | 6'3, 185 | SO | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 120.3 | 11 | 94.3 | 89 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 51.4% | 20 | 48.4% | 76 | 47.3% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.26 | 15 | 1.16 | 93 | 1.12 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.30 | 19 | 3.28 | 107 | 2.98 |
SD Sack Rate | 1.9% | 4 | 8.0% | 11 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 106.3 | 55 | 94.6 | 88 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 32.0% | 48 | 35.0% | 109 | 31.1% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.74 | 65 | 1.63 | 27 | 1.76 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.13 | 81 | 3.89 | 120 | 3.24 |
PD Sack Rate | 3.9% | 10 | 9.6% | 21 | 7.9% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 123.5 | 22 | 99.8 | 69 |
Q2 S&P+ | 113.7 | 35 | 92.8 | 95 |
Q3 S&P+ | 121.7 | 19 | 91.0 | 103 |
Q4 S&P+ | 118.3 | 12 | 91.5 | 94 |
1st Down S&P+ | 121.5 | 11 | 96.9 | 78 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 127.4 | 10 | 102.3 | 59 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 101.7 | 73 | 77.6 | 124 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 66.5% | 26 | 60.2% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 36.5% | 38 | 34.6% |
Adj. Pace | -1.6 | 73 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 72.2% | 87 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 68.0% | 14 | 60.2% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 42.5% | 9 | 34.5% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 14.8% | 81 | 15.8% |
DL Havoc Rate | 3.5% | 101 | 5.0% |
LB Havoc Rate | 6.3% | 11 | 4.3% |
DB Havoc Rate | 4.9% | 112 | 6.4% |
PD to INC | 30.8% | 90 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
Kevin Davis | LB | 6'2, 240 | SR | 88.0 | 12.1% | 10.5 | 3.0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Josh Watson | LB | 6'2, 235 | SO | 65.0 | 9.0% | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jake Schlager | DB | 5'11, 195 | JR | 60.5 | 8.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Evan Colorito | LB | 6'4, 245 | JR | 52.0 | 7.2% | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Tyree Simmons | DB | 5'11, 190 | SR | 37.0 | 5.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
Justin Sweet | DB | 5'10, 185 | JR | 36.5 | 5.0% | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Patrick Elsenbast | LB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 31.5 | 4.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Tre Thomas | LB | 6'2, 215 | SO | 30.0 | 4.1% | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Braylin Scott | DB | 6'3, 185 | SO | 29.0 | 4.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kevin Nutt, Jr. | DB | 5'10, 190 | JR | 25.5 | 3.5% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Toby McBride | DL | 6'3, 245 | FR | 24.5 | 3.4% | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jordon Vaden | DB | 6'3, 195 | SR | 23.5 | 3.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Darnell Thompson | DL | 6'4, 270 | JR | 22.0 | 3.0% | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jamal Hicks | DB | 6'1, 175 | FR | 20.5 | 2.8% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Johnny Schupp | DL | 6'5, 290 | SR | 19.5 | 2.7% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jakob Buys | DL | 6'4, 265 | JR | 18.5 | 2.6% | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kiel Robinson | LB | 6'2, 225 | JR | 17.5 | 2.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Josh Lovingood | DL | 6'4, 310 | JR | 17.0 | 2.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Deshon Mayes | LB | 6'2, 215 | JR | 16.0 | 2.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Bryan Ohene-Gyeni | LB | 6'2, 225 | SR | 15.5 | 2.1% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
O'Shea Jackson | DL | 6'1, 305 | FR | 12.0 | 1.7% | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arjay Jean | DL | 6'4, 230 | FR | 9.5 | 1.3% | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Shun Johnson | DB | 5'11, 170 | JR | 9.0 | 1.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Richard King | DL | 6'4, 260 | FR | 8.0 | 1.1% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Robert Awunganyi | DB | 6'0, 170 | FR | 5.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | 1.1 | 24 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | 0.15 | 44 |
Punt Success Rate | 66.1% | 22 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 77.6% | 43 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 42.9% | 97 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 45.7% | 54 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Wyatt Bryan | 6'1, 175 | SO | 53-55 | 11-14 | 78.6% |
Braxton Davis | 6'0, 170 | SO | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
Hayden Hunt | 6'0, 220 | SR | 56 | 44.1 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 69.6% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Braxton Davis | 6'0, 170 | SO | 70 | 61.6 | 39 | 55.7% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Tavis Guerra | 5'11, 195 | SO | 5 | 64.4 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hayden Hunt | 6'0, 220 | SR | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Robert Ruiz | 5'10, 170 | SR | 21 | 8.3 | 1 | 20 | 4 (1) |
Tyree Simmons | 5'11, 190 | SR | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Detrich Clark | 5'10, 180 | JR | 20 | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Dalyn Dawkins | 5'9, 175 | JR | 7 | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Kevin Nutt, Jr. | 5'10, 190 | JR | 6 | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics