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2016 Colorado State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Colorado State Rams (MWC Mountain)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.1 (1.1) | S&P+ Rk: 38
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
2-Sep vs. Colorado 18 7-44 L 0% -40.4 7% 11% 14%
10-Sep UTSA 103 23-14 W 97% 14.6 74% 45% 90%
17-Sep Northern Colorado N/A 47-21 W 100% 33.6 81% 97% 22%
24-Sep at Minnesota 42 24-31 L 2% -15.5 25% 59% 13%
1-Oct Wyoming 61 17-38 L 15% -8.2 33% 35% 34%
8-Oct Utah State 70 31-24 W 90% 10.1 72% 86% 46%
15-Oct at Boise State 19 23-28 L 53% 0.5 72% 76% 74%
22-Oct at UNLV 110 42-23 W 100% 22.8 81% 84% 73%
5-Nov Fresno State 116 37-0 W 100% 44.7 93% 84% 97%
12-Nov at Air Force 62 46-49 L 40% -1.9 51% 93% 9%
19-Nov New Mexico 81 49-31 W 100% 28.1 92% 98% 78%
26-Nov at San Diego State 33 63-31 W 99% 19.0 92% 97% 57%
22-Dec vs. Idaho 89 50-61 L 9% -10.3 22% 79% 8%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.4 21 31.4 81
Points Per Game 35.3 28 30.4 81
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.36 25 1.28 78 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.6% 29 44.1% 84 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.0 59 27.8 29 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.51 2 5.14 118 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -0.8 78 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.08
ACTUAL -1 71
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 116.2 19 91.0 100 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.9% 40 46.8% 104 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.10 47 1.12 83 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 112.2 22 89.7 106 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.0% 50 39.3% 64 39.7%
Power Success Rate 78.0% 9 70.8% 88 67.9%
Stuff Rate 15.0% 11 17.7% 84 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Dalyn Dawkins RB 5'9, 175 JR 161 919 4 5.7 5.6 41.6% 2 (0)
Izzy Matthews RB 6'0, 210 SO 153 734 13 4.8 3.9 37.3% 0 (0)
Marvin Kinsey, Jr. RB 6'1, 190 FR 93 546 7 5.9 6.2 39.8% 3 (2)
Detrich Clark WR 5'10, 180 JR 36 247 3 6.9 7.2 44.4% 0 (0)
Faton Bauta QB 6'2, 220 SR 19 124 0 6.5 5.3 47.4% 0 (0)
Collin Hill QB 6'5, 210 FR 17 124 1 7.3 8.6 41.2% 2 (1)
Nick Stevens QB 6'3, 200 JR 11 88 2 8.0 4.6 63.6% 1 (1)
Anthony Hawkins WR 5'10, 185 FR 11 81 0 7.4 5.9 45.5% 2 (1)
Bryce Peters RB 5'10, 210 JR 11 43 0 3.9 2.9 36.4% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 121.1 18 99.1 65 100.0
Passing Success Rate 45.0% 27 40.1% 57 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.72 13 1.57 107 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 214.1 7 129.3 20 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nick Stevens 6'3, 200 JR 129 201 1936 19 5 64.2% 4 2.0% 9.3
Collin Hill 6'5, 210 FR 75 129 1096 8 2 58.1% 9 6.5% 7.4
Faton Bauta 6'2, 220 SR 12 29 114 1 0 41.4% 0 0.0% 3.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Michael Gallup WR 6'1, 195 JR 118 76 1285 14 16.9 10.9 64.4% 57.6% 33.7%
Olabisi Johnson WR 6'0, 190 SO 47 28 613 4 21.9 13.0 59.6% 55.3% 13.4%
Robert Ruiz WR 5'10, 170 SR 35 23 342 3 14.9 9.8 65.7% 51.4% 10.0%
Danny Nwosu TE 6'3, 245 SR 26 14 155 1 11.1 6.0 53.8% 46.2% 7.4%
Dalyn Dawkins RB 5'9, 175 JR 24 20 162 1 8.1 6.8 83.3% 29.2% 6.9%
Nolan Peralta TE 6'3, 240 SR 20 11 91 2 8.3 4.6 55.0% 30.0% 5.7%
Dalton Fackrell TE 6'4, 240 JR 15 7 66 0 9.4 4.4 46.7% 33.3% 4.3%
Elroy Masters, Jr. WR 6'2, 215 JR 12 7 108 1 15.4 9.0 58.3% 50.0% 3.4%
Detrich Clark WR 5'10, 180 JR 12 9 90 1 10.0 7.5 75.0% 41.7% 3.4%
Izzy Matthews RB 6'0, 210 SO 11 8 56 0 7.0 5.1 72.7% 27.3% 3.1%
Marcus Wilson WR 5'10, 190 SO 8 4 15 1 3.8 1.9 50.0% 12.5% 2.3%
Sammie Long IV WR 6'3, 195 JR 7 2 4 0 2.0 0.6 28.6% 14.3% 2.0%
Anthony Hawkins WR 5'10, 185 FR 6 2 27 1 13.5 4.5 33.3% 33.3% 1.7%
Xavier Williams WR 6'3, 200 JR 5 4 91 0 22.8 18.2 80.0% 80.0% 1.4%
Marvin Kinsey, Jr. RB 6'1, 190 FR 2 2 47 0 23.5 23.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Braylin Scott DB 6'3, 185 SO 1 1 29 0 29.0 29.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 120.3 11 94.3 89 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.4% 20 48.4% 76 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.26 15 1.16 93 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.30 19 3.28 107 2.98
SD Sack Rate 1.9% 4 8.0% 11 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 106.3 55 94.6 88 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.0% 48 35.0% 109 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.74 65 1.63 27 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.13 81 3.89 120 3.24
PD Sack Rate 3.9% 10 9.6% 21 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 123.5 22 99.8 69
Q2 S&P+ 113.7 35 92.8 95
Q3 S&P+ 121.7 19 91.0 103
Q4 S&P+ 118.3 12 91.5 94
1st Down S&P+ 121.5 11 96.9 78
2nd Down S&P+ 127.4 10 102.3 59
3rd Down S&P+ 101.7 73 77.6 124
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.5% 26 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 36.5% 38 34.6%
Adj. Pace -1.6 73 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.2% 87 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 68.0% 14 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 42.5% 9 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.8% 81 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 3.5% 101 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 6.3% 11 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.9% 112 6.4%
PD to INC 30.8% 90 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Kevin Davis LB 6'2, 240 SR 88.0 12.1% 10.5 3.0 1 2 4
Josh Watson LB 6'2, 235 SO 65.0 9.0% 7.5 1.5 0 1 0
Jake Schlager DB 5'11, 195 JR 60.5 8.3% 2.0 0.0 1 2 0
Evan Colorito LB 6'4, 245 JR 52.0 7.2% 10.0 2.0 0 1 1
Tyree Simmons DB 5'11, 190 SR 37.0 5.1% 1.0 0.0 0 6 1
Justin Sweet DB 5'10, 185 JR 36.5 5.0% 3.5 2.0 1 6 1
Patrick Elsenbast LB 6'0, 210 JR 31.5 4.3% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Tre Thomas LB 6'2, 215 SO 30.0 4.1% 7.0 1.0 0 0 0
Braylin Scott DB 6'3, 185 SO 29.0 4.0% 0.0 0.0 3 0 0
Kevin Nutt, Jr. DB 5'10, 190 JR 25.5 3.5% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0
Toby McBride DL 6'3, 245 FR 24.5 3.4% 7.0 4.0 0 0 0
Jordon Vaden DB 6'3, 195 SR 23.5 3.2% 1.0 0.0 1 3 1
Darnell Thompson DL 6'4, 270 JR 22.0 3.0% 4.5 3.5 0 1 0
Jamal Hicks DB 6'1, 175 FR 20.5 2.8% 2.0 1.0 1 2 0
Johnny Schupp DL 6'5, 290 SR 19.5 2.7% 1.0 0.5 0 1 0
Jakob Buys DL 6'4, 265 JR 18.5 2.6% 4.0 3.0 0 1 0
Kiel Robinson LB 6'2, 225 JR 17.5 2.4% 2.5 0.0 0 1 0
Josh Lovingood DL 6'4, 310 JR 17.0 2.3% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Deshon Mayes LB 6'2, 215 JR 16.0 2.2% 2.0 0.0 0 0 1
Bryan Ohene-Gyeni LB 6'2, 225 SR 15.5 2.1% 2.0 1.0 0 0 1
O'Shea Jackson DL 6'1, 305 FR 12.0 1.7% 2.5 1.5 0 0 0
Arjay Jean DL 6'4, 230 FR 9.5 1.3% 4.5 2.5 0 0 1
Shun Johnson DB 5'11, 170 JR 9.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Richard King DL 6'4, 260 FR 8.0 1.1% 2.0 2.0 0 0 0
Robert Awunganyi DB 6'0, 170 FR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.1 24
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.15 44
Punt Success Rate 66.1% 22
Kickoff Success Rate 77.6% 43
Punt Return Success Rate 42.9% 97
Kick Return Success Rate 45.7% 54
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Wyatt Bryan 6'1, 175 SO 53-55 11-14 78.6%
Braxton Davis 6'0, 170 SO 3-3 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Hayden Hunt 6'0, 220 SR 56 44.1 4 19 20 69.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Braxton Davis 6'0, 170 SO 70 61.6 39 55.7% 0 2 0 0
Tavis Guerra 5'11, 195 SO 5 64.4 2 40.0% 0 0 0 0
Hayden Hunt 6'0, 220 SR 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 7 3
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Robert Ruiz 5'10, 170 SR 21 8.3 1 20 4 (1)
Tyree Simmons 5'11, 190 SR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Detrich Clark 5'10, 180 JR 20 20.9 0 0 0 (0)
Dalyn Dawkins 5'9, 175 JR 7 24.1 0 0 0 (0)
Kevin Nutt, Jr. 5'10, 190 JR 6 19.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics