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2016 Penn State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Penn State Nittany Lions (Big Ten East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 8
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Kent State 113 33-13 W 100% 24.9 88% 67% 92%
10-Sep at Pittsburgh 20 39-42 L 35% -3.1 67% 52% 61%
17-Sep Temple 32 34-27 W 91% 10.5 91% 86% 90%
24-Sep at Michigan 3 10-49 L 0% -40.9 23% 36% 32%
1-Oct Minnesota 42 29-26 W 85% 8.3 84% 95% 57%
8-Oct Maryland 87 38-14 W 100% 20.8 89% 72% 68%
22-Oct Ohio State 5 24-21 W 36% -2.8 81% 60% 74%
29-Oct at Purdue 105 62-24 W 100% 23.8 87% 83% 57%
5-Nov Iowa 30 41-14 W 100% 22.4 96% 98% 63%
12-Nov at Indiana 53 45-31 W 70% 4.1 76% 89% 50%
19-Nov at Rutgers 114 39-0 W 100% 46.2 96% 54% 86%
26-Nov Michigan State 57 45-12 W 100% 28.4 96% 91% 85%
3-Dec vs. Wisconsin 11 38-31 W 87% 8.8 91% 99% 38%
2-Jan vs. USC 9 49-52 L 54% 0.7 82% 93% 31%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.8 18 19.8 14
Points Per Game 37.6 21 25.4 47
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.47 2 1.23 51 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.2% 80 39.1% 36 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.2 11 28.7 48 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.12 15 4.15 36 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.2 50 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.43
ACTUAL 1 54
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 102.0 68 113.6 26 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.2% 100 38.4% 30 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.05 72 1.09 69 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 85.8 120 112.1 21 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.2% 84 37.4% 43 39.7%
Power Success Rate 56.5% 118 64.4% 40 67.9%
Stuff Rate 23.9% 119 22.8% 23 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Saquon Barkley RB 5'11, 223 SO 272 1496 18 5.5 8.2 35.3% 2 (2)
Trace McSorley QB 6'0, 205 SO 123 525 7 4.3 3.5 39.8% 10 (4)
Andre Robinson RB 5'9, 216 FR 29 141 5 4.9 3.5 34.5% 0 (0)
Mark Allen RB 5'6, 181 SO 29 115 1 4.0 2.8 37.9% 0 (0)
Miles Sanders RB 5'11, 205 FR 25 184 1 7.4 10.2 48.0% 4 (3)
Tommy Stevens QB 6'4, 218 FR 20 199 2 10.0 8.4 60.0% 0 (0)
Blake Gillikin P 6'2, 182 FR 2 -30 0 -15.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Chris Godwin WR 6'1, 205 JR 1 13 0 13.0 5.5 100.0% 0 (0)
Irvine Paye RB 5'6, 168 JR 1 7 0 7.0 1.5 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 141.1 2 103.8 48 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.4% 50 39.8% 54 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.95 4 1.37 21 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 132.1 25 116.6 36 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Trace McSorley 6'0, 205 SO 224 387 3614 29 8 57.9% 23 5.6% 8.4
Tommy Stevens 6'4, 218 FR 2 3 36 0 0 66.7% 1 25.0% 8.8

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Chris Godwin WR 6'1, 205 JR 99 59 982 11 16.6 9.9 59.6% 50.5% 26.5%
Mike Gesicki TE 6'6, 252 JR 71 48 679 5 14.2 9.6 67.6% 45.1% 19.0%
DaeSean Hamilton WR 6'1, 205 JR 62 34 506 1 14.9 8.2 54.8% 45.2% 16.6%
DeAndre Thompkins WR 5'11, 190 SO 46 27 440 1 16.3 9.6 58.7% 45.7% 12.3%
Saquon Barkley RB 5'11, 223 SO 37 28 402 4 14.4 10.9 75.7% 56.8% 9.9%
Saeed Blacknall WR 6'3, 212 JR 27 15 347 3 23.1 12.9 55.6% 51.9% 7.2%
Juwan Johnson WR 6'4, 218 FR 6 2 70 0 35.0 11.7 33.3% 33.3% 1.6%
Irvin Charles WR 6'4, 219 FR 5 2 106 1 53.0 21.2 40.0% 40.0% 1.3%
Mark Allen RB 5'6, 181 SO 4 4 24 1 6.0 6.0 100.0% 25.0% 1.1%
Andre Robinson RB 5'9, 216 FR 3 2 42 1 21.0 14.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
Miles Sanders RB 5'11, 205 FR 3 2 24 1 12.0 8.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
Brandon Bell LB 6'1, 233 SR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Tom Pancoast TE 6'3, 235 JR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Brandon Polk WR 5'9, 175 SO 2 2 18 0 9.0 9.0 100.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Irvine Paye RB 5'6, 168 JR 1 1 10 0 10.0 10.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
John Reid CB 5'10, 191 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 116.5 15 108.9 34 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.0% 97 43.6% 32 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.26 16 1.08 46 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.37 123 2.64 26 2.98
SD Sack Rate 4.4% 55 5.3% 54 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 130.5 10 105.5 52 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.8% 42 30.4% 54 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.12 6 1.68 41 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 1.64 127 2.85 30 3.24
PD Sack Rate 6.6% 46 9.4% 25 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 104.0 62 101.7 61
Q2 S&P+ 117.8 27 106.5 48
Q3 S&P+ 153.6 1 116.0 20
Q4 S&P+ 128.7 4 124.6 8
1st Down S&P+ 123.1 9 119.4 14
2nd Down S&P+ 133.3 4 104.6 51
3rd Down S&P+ 106.1 62 106.0 55
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.3% 44 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 33.6% 68 34.6%
Adj. Pace -4.6 105 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.2% 50 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.8% 50 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 29.4% 106 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.9% 30 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 6.5% 25 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 5.4% 29 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.9% 78 6.4%
PD to INC 32.8% 67 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Marcus Allen S 6'2, 202 JR 83.5 10.3% 6.0 0.0 0 3 1
Brandon Bell LB 6'1, 233 SR 64.0 7.9% 7.5 4.0 2 3 3
Malik Golden S 6'0, 205 SR 61.5 7.6% 6.0 0.0 1 3 1
Jason Cabinda LB 6'1, 232 JR 58.5 7.2% 4.0 1.0 0 3 0
Manny Bowen LB 6'1, 220 SO 51.5 6.3% 8.5 2.0 0 2 0
Brandon Smith LB 6'0, 228 JR 37.5 4.6% 4.0 0.5 2 3 0
Garrett Sickels DE 6'4, 260 JR 35.0 4.3% 12.5 6.0 0 0 0
Grant Haley CB 5'9, 185 JR 31.0 3.8% 1.5 0.0 0 4 0
John Reid CB 5'10, 191 SO 29.5 3.6% 5.0 0.5 1 8 0
Torrence Brown DE 6'3, 257 SO 24.5 3.0% 6.0 0.5 0 0 3
Evan Schwan DE 6'6, 263 SR 24.0 3.0% 8.5 6.0 0 2 1
Christian Campbell CB 6'1, 194 JR 24.0 3.0% 1.0 0.0 1 6 0
Cam Brown LB 6'5, 215 FR 23.5 2.9% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0
Koa Farmer LB 6'1, 222 SO 21.5 2.6% 4.5 3.0 0 1 1
Troy Apke S 6'1, 206 JR 19.5 2.4% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0
Kevin Givens DT 6'1, 275 FR 19.0 2.3% 7.0 4.5 0 1 0
Amani Oruwariye CB 6'1, 201 SO 18.0 2.2% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0
Shareef Miller DE 6'5, 255 FR 17.5 2.2% 5.5 2.0 0 0 1
Parker Cothren DT 6'4, 295 JR 17.5 2.2% 5.5 2.0 0 0 0
Curtis Cothran DT 6'5, 280 JR 16.0 2.0% 4.5 0.5 0 0 0
Robert Windsor DT 6'4, 305 FR 16.0 2.0% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0
Jordan Smith CB 5'10, 185 SR 14.5 1.8% 1.0 0.0 1 4 0
Ryan Buchholz DE 6'6, 270 FR 13.0 1.6% 4.5 3.0 0 0 0
Antoine White DT 6'2, 290 SO 11.5 1.4% 1.5 1.5 0 0 0
Nyeem Wartman-White LB 6'1, 240 SR 11.0 1.4% 3.5 0.5 0 2 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.4 11
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.38 19
Punt Success Rate 64.1% 28
Kickoff Success Rate 81.2% 30
Punt Return Success Rate 43.3% 96
Kick Return Success Rate 44.9% 59
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Tyler Davis 5'11, 180 JR 62-62 22-24 91.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Blake Gillikin 6'2, 182 FR 61 42.8 6 18 19 60.7%
Daniel Pasquariello 6'1, 197 JR 2 37.5 0 1 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Joey Julius 5'10, 258 SO 93 62.1 45 48.4% 0 4 0 0
Tyler Davis 5'11, 180 JR 8 57.6 1 12.5% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
John Reid 5'10, 191 SO 22 7.5 0 10 1 (1)
Gregg Garrity 5'10, 170 SR 4 8.0 0 12 0 (0)
Cam Brown 6'5, 215 FR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Miles Sanders 5'11, 205 FR 33 20.8 0 0 2 (1)
Nick Scott 5'11, 200 SO 6 23.0 0 0 0 (0)
Saquon Barkley 5'11, 223 SO 3 24.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics