Updated on 1/3/18
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Air Force Falcons (MWC Mountain)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.0 (0.0) | S&P+ Rk: 100 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | VMI | N/A | 62-0 | W | 100% | 49.0 | 93% | 96% | 99% |
| 16-Sep | at Michigan | 27 | 13-29 | L | 2% | -19.9 | 16% | 7% | 58% |
| 23-Sep | San Diego State | 34 | 24-28 | L | 73% | 5.7 | 65% | 49% | 67% |
| 30-Sep | at New Mexico | 104 | 38-56 | L | 1% | -23.0 | 11% | 62% | 5% |
| 7-Oct | at Navy | 69 | 45-48 | L | 63% | 3.0 | 57% | 93% | 7% |
| 14-Oct | UNLV | 95 | 34-30 | W | 57% | 1.5 | 54% | 83% | 25% |
| 20-Oct | at Nevada | 108 | 45-42 | W | 90% | 11.8 | 72% | 91% | 14% |
| 28-Oct | at Colorado State | 45 | 45-28 | W | 82% | 8.3 | 71% | 75% | 41% |
| 4-Nov | Army | 59 | 0-21 | L | 0% | -30.9 | 8% | 3% | NULL |
| 11-Nov | Wyoming | 53 | 14-28 | L | 10% | -11.9 | 26% | 16% | 48% |
| 18-Nov | at Boise State | 23 | 19-44 | L | 18% | -8.5 | 33% | 51% | 21% |
| 25-Nov | Utah State | 57 | 38-35 | W | 10% | -11.6 | 27% | 54% | 24% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 29.5 | 54 | 35.2 | 118 |
| Points Per Game | 31.4 | 57 | 32.4 | 97 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 45.1% | 26 | 42.1% | 76 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.01 | 122 | 1.46 | 130 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 26.8 | 123 | 31.7 | 116 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.46 | 2 | 5.34 | 128 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -8.2 | 125 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.77 |
||
| ACTUAL | -10 | 118 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 108.2 | 50 | 98.5 | 69 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 46.6% | 24 | 43.7% | 85 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.82 | 96 | 1.22 | 130 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 104.5 | 47 | 98.2 | 68 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 43.3% | 15 | 37.2% | 60 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 77.8% | 14 | 78.1% | 117 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.2% | 13 | 18.6% | 74 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Arion Worthman | QB | 5'11, 205 | JR | 205 | 935 | 13 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 38.5% | 15 (7) |
| Tim McVey | RB | 5'9, 190 | SR | 131 | 744 | 7 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 49.6% | 4 (0) |
| Taven Birdow | FB | 6'1, 220 | SO | 88 | 384 | 5 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 40.9% | 1 (1) |
| Jacob Stafford | FB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 68 | 398 | 1 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 38.2% | 1 (0) |
| Ronald Cleveland | WR | 5'9, 174 | JR | 50 | 421 | 3 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 56.0% | 3 (1) |
| Isaiah Sanders | QB | 6'2, 213 | SO | 48 | 225 | 3 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 45.8% | 0 (0) |
| Parker Wilson | RB | 5'11, 230 | JR | 44 | 200 | 0 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 36.4% | 0 (0) |
| Nolan Eriksen | RB | 5'9, 192 | SO | 40 | 228 | 1 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 45.0% | 1 (1) |
| Nate Romine | QB | 5'11, 190 | SR | 17 | 120 | 1 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 52.9% | 3 (2) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 98.9 | 73 | 88.1 | 109 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 37.7% | 99 | 39.2% | 54 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 2.16 | 3 | 1.94 | 130 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 49.7 | 127 | 61.6 | 117 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Arion Worthman | 5'11, 205 | JR | 54 | 109 | 1100 | 10 | 4 | 49.5% | 16 | 12.8% | 7.9 |
| Nate Romine | 5'11, 190 | SR | 9 | 16 | 133 | 0 | 1 | 56.3% | 4 | 20.0% | 5.4 |
| Isaiah Sanders | 6'2, 213 | SO | 4 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 26.7% | 2 | 11.8% | 1.5 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Marcus Bennett | WR | 6'0, 186 | JR | 35 | 19 | 398 | 3 | 21.0 | 11.4 | 54.3% | 54.3% | 25.5% |
| Ronald Cleveland | WR | 5'9, 174 | JR | 25 | 11 | 261 | 2 | 23.7 | 10.4 | 44.0% | 40.0% | 18.2% |
| Geraud Sanders | WR | 6'3, 210 | SO | 20 | 9 | 194 | 3 | 21.6 | 9.7 | 45.0% | 40.0% | 14.6% |
| Ryan Reffitt | TE | 6'5, 240 | SR | 16 | 8 | 173 | 2 | 21.6 | 10.8 | 50.0% | 43.8% | 11.7% |
| Tim McVey | RB | 5'9, 190 | SR | 15 | 6 | 136 | 0 | 22.7 | 9.1 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 10.9% |
| Kade Waguespack | TE | 6'2, 230 | SO | 4 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 17.5 | 8.8 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2.9% |
| Nolan Eriksen | RB | 5'9, 192 | SO | 4 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 2.9% |
| Jake Matkovich | WR | 6'5, 195 | JR | 4 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 18.0 | 4.5 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Stafford | FB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 2.2% |
| Garrett Amy | WR | 5'8, 185 | JR | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1.5% |
| Ja'Mel Sanders | LB | 6'1, 205 | SR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% |
| Arion Worthman | QB | 5'11, 205 | JR | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.7% |
| Adam Farah | WR | 6'1, 185 | SO | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Smith | WR | 5'8, 165 | JR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Williams | WR | 5'10, 185 | SR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| Taven Birdow | FB | 6'1, 220 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 102.1 | 60 | 94.8 | 95 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 50.3% | 25 | 48.4% | 92 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 0.89 | 124 | 1.36 | 129 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.23 | 24 | 3.25 | 108 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 11.4% | 129 | 4.3% | 81 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 107.6 | 50 | 95.1 | 86 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.9% | 65 | 28.5% | 42 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.56 | 51 | 1.85 | 129 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.49 | 120 | 3.19 | 71 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 14.7% | 124 | 3.6% | 124 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 98.8 | 74 | 79.0 | 125 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 100.3 | 75 | 99.5 | 71 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 105.8 | 56 | 89.3 | 101 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 114.5 | 21 | 84.9 | 123 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 97.2 | 74 | 82.7 | 124 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 105.9 | 50 | 94.5 | 91 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 112.1 | 39 | 89.2 | 104 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 88.2% | 4 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 69.1% | 3 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | -4.1 | 5 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 64.7% | 123 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 73.0% | 1 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 44.5% | 5 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 12.2% | 121 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 2.6% | 118 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 5.5% | 33 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.0% | 127 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 28.7% | 115 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Jack Flor | LB | 6'2, 225 | SR | 72.5 | 3 (3) | 9 | 0 (1) | 1 | 41.3% |
| Grant Ross | LB | 6'1, 225 | SR | 69.5 | 9.5 (1) | 20 | 0 (1) | 4 | 40.2% |
| Marquis Griffin | DB | 5'11, 195 | SR | 54.0 | 4.5 (0) | 9 | 0 (6) | 0 | 60.0% |
| Kyle Floyd | DB | 6'2, 210 | JR | 43.0 | 0 (0) | 5 | 1 (7) | 0 | 48.3% |
| James Jones | DB | 6'2, 171 | SO | 36.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 1 (1) | 0 | 72.0% |
| Lakota Wills | LB | 6'3, 220 | FR | 34.5 | 6 (2) | 11 | 1 (0) | 0 | 27.3% |
| Jeremy Fejedelem | DB | 5'10, 190 | SO | 28.5 | 1 (0) | 2 | 0 (4) | 0 | 62.1% |
| Santo Coppola | DL | 6'4, 270 | SR | 28.0 | 3.5 (1) | 6 | 0 (1) | 0 | 28.2% |
| Shaquille Vereen | LB | 5'9, 186 | SR | 27.5 | 3 (0) | 7 | 1 (1) | 0 | 30.6% |
| Micah Capra | DL | 6'2, 270 | JR | 21.0 | 2 (0) | 11 | 0 (0) | 0 | 15.6% |
| Ja'Mel Sanders | LB | 6'1, 205 | SR | 18.5 | 1.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (1) | 0 | 57.1% |
| Mosese Fifita | DL | 6'1, 320 | SO | 13.5 | 3 (1) | 3 | 0 (0) | 1 | 20.0% |
| Garrett Kauppila | DB | 6'2, 200 | JR | 13.0 | 1.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 1 | 20.0% |
| Cody Gessler | DL | 5'11, 263 | JR | 12.0 | 2.5 (1) | 3 | 0 (0) | 0 | 25.0% |
| Robert Bullard | DB | 5'9, 180 | JR | 8.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 50.0% |
| Brett Baldwin | DB | 6'0, 175 | SR | 7.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 83.3% |
| Jordan Jackson | DT | 6'5, 260 | FR | 6.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (1) | 0 | 28.6% |
| Brody Bagnall | LB | 6'2, 230 | JR | 5.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 50.0% |
| Zane Lewis | DB | 6'1, 186 | SO | 4.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 50.0% |
| Arion Worthman | QB | 5'11, 205 | JR | 4.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 66.7% |
| Malik Dawkins | DB | 6'0, 177 | SO | 3.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kyle Johnson | LB | 6'0, 221 | SO | 3.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 50.0% |
| Abraham Nuno | LB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 3.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0.0% |
| Ryan Darby | DL | 6'3, 245 | JR | 2.5 | 1 (0) | 1 | 0 (1) | 0 | 0.0% |
| Dailen Sutton | DB | 6'1, 181 | JR | 2.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0.0% |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.3 | 43 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.28 | 23 |
| Punt Success Rate | 61.0% | 48 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 74.6% | 60 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 40.0% | 86 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 23.1% | 127 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Luke Strebel | 5'10, 175 | SR | 43-43 | 9-12 | 75.0% |
| Matthew Philichi | 5'9, 180 | JR | 2-2 | 1-1 | 100.0% |
| Noah Crabbe | , | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | #DIV/0! |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Charlie Scott | 6'1, 192 | SO | 41 | 42.1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 61.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Luke Strebel | 5'10, 175 | SR | 54 | 60.8 | 29 | 53.7% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Matthew Philichi | 5'9, 180 | JR | 11 | 62.5 | 4 | 36.4% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Noah Crabbe | , | 0 | 1 | 65.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Ronald Cleveland | 5'9, 174 | JR | 9 | 5.8 | 0 | 15 | 0 (0) |
| Garrett Kauppila | 6'2, 200 | JR | 1 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Lesley Dalger | 6'4, 225 | SO | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Tim McVey | 5'9, 190 | SR | 21 | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Malik Miller | 5'10, 200 | JR | 2 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Garrett Amy | 5'8, 185 | JR | 2 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Jeremy Fejedelem | DB | 5'10, 190 | SO | 4.0 | 20.0 | |
| Zane Lewis | DB | 6'1, 186 | SO | 3.5 | 22.3 | |
| Malik Dawkins | DB | 6'0, 177 | SO | 3.0 | 20.7 | |
| Lakota Wills | LB | 6'3, 220 | FR | 2.5 | 15.0 | |
| Abraham Nuno | LB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 2.5 | 17.3 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics