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2016 Michigan advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Michigan Wolverines (Big Ten East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.7 (0.7) | S&P+ Rk: 3
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Hawaii 97 63-3 W 100% 72.4 99% 94% 99%
10-Sep Central Florida 75 51-14 W 100% 35.3 97% 93% 95%
17-Sep Colorado 18 45-28 W 84% 7.7 86% 76% 71%
24-Sep Penn State 8 49-10 W 100% 40.9 100% 92% 100%
1-Oct Wisconsin 11 14-7 W 98% 16.2 95% 55% 99%
8-Oct at Rutgers 114 78-0 W 100% 82.0 99% 95% 98%
22-Oct Illinois 95 41-8 W 100% 43.6 97% 82% 92%
29-Oct at Michigan State 57 32-23 W 94% 11.9 82% 76% 60%
5-Nov Maryland 87 59-3 W 100% 50.7 98% 97% 83%
12-Nov at Iowa 30 13-14 L 33% -3.5 61% 20% 82%
19-Nov Indiana 53 20-10 W 73% 4.8 74% 22% 89%
26-Nov at Ohio State 5 27-30 L 83% 7.4 92% 67% 86%
30-Dec vs. Florida State 6 32-33 L 6% -12.0 57% 34% 74%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 33.8 41 7.7 2
Points Per Game 40.3 11 14.1 2
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.25 73 1.18 23 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.5% 59 29.5% 1 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 36.0 1 26.9 16 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.04 17 3.09 1 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 4.76 29 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.86
ACTUAL 7 24
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 106.2 49 133.2 4 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 43.1% 69 34.1% 6 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.05 68 1.01 36 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 102.3 64 136.8 3 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.4% 82 32.0% 7 39.7%
Power Success Rate 70.2% 50 59.0% 16 67.9%
Stuff Rate 19.5% 81 27.6% 3 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
De'Veon Smith RB 5'11, 228 SR 181 846 10 4.7 5.5 33.1% 1 (1)
Chris Evans RB 5'11, 200 FR 89 614 4 6.9 7.1 47.2% 2 (0)
Ty Isaac RB 6'3, 230 SR 74 417 5 5.6 4.7 43.2% 0 (0)
Karan Higdon RB 5'10, 189 SO 72 425 6 5.9 6.2 43.1% 0 (0)
Jabrill Peppers LB 6'1, 205 JR 27 167 3 6.2 8.9 37.0% 1 (0)
Khalid Hill FB 6'2, 263 SR 25 39 10 1.6 0.0 0.0% 2 (1)
Eddie McDoom WR 6'0, 180 FR 16 160 0 10.0 7.6 75.0% 0 (0)
Wilton Speight QB 6'6, 243 JR 15 76 1 5.1 3.4 40.0% 3 (2)
Jehu Chesson WR 6'3, 203 SR 12 63 1 5.3 3.5 58.3% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 115.3 28 165.8 1 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.9% 52 24.3% 1 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.50 55 1.43 48 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 128 28 185.2 1 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Wilton Speight 6'6, 243 JR 204 331 2538 18 7 61.6% 20 5.7% 6.8
John O'Korn 6'4, 215 SR 20 34 173 2 0 58.8% 2 5.6% 4.6
Shane Morris 6'3, 213 SR 4 5 45 0 0 80.0% 0 0.0% 9.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Amara Darboh WR 6'2, 215 SR 101 57 862 7 15.1 8.5 56.4% 47.5% 27.8%
Jake Butt TE 6'6, 250 SR 68 47 558 4 11.9 8.2 69.1% 52.9% 18.7%
Jehu Chesson WR 6'3, 203 SR 63 35 500 2 14.3 7.9 55.6% 46.0% 17.4%
Grant Perry WR 6'0, 196 SO 25 13 183 1 14.1 7.3 52.0% 40.0% 6.9%
De'Veon Smith RB 5'11, 228 SR 21 16 66 0 4.1 3.1 76.2% 28.6% 5.8%
Khalid Hill FB 6'2, 263 SR 18 16 118 3 7.4 6.6 88.9% 66.7% 5.0%
Kekoa Crawford WR 6'2, 195 FR 9 4 47 1 11.8 5.2 44.4% 33.3% 2.5%
Henry Poggi FB 6'4, 257 SR 9 6 45 0 7.5 5.0 66.7% 44.4% 2.5%
Chris Evans RB 5'11, 200 FR 8 6 87 0 14.5 10.9 75.0% 25.0% 2.2%
Eddie McDoom WR 6'0, 180 FR 7 5 59 0 11.8 8.4 71.4% 28.6% 1.9%
Ian Bunting TE 6'7, 252 JR 7 5 46 0 9.2 6.6 71.4% 28.6% 1.9%
Tyrone Wheatley TE 6'6, 276 SO 5 3 35 1 11.7 7.0 60.0% 60.0% 1.4%
Devin Asiasi TE 6'3, 287 FR 5 2 18 1 9.0 3.6 40.0% 40.0% 1.4%
Drake Harris WR 6'4, 188 JR 4 2 11 0 5.5 2.8 50.0% 25.0% 1.1%
Jabrill Peppers LB 6'1, 205 JR 3 2 3 0 1.5 1.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
Ty Isaac RB 6'3, 230 SR 2 2 42 0 21.0 21.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 110.1 36 141.7 2 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.5% 66 34.6% 1 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.09 74 1.05 34 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.92 79 2.09 1 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.3% 26 10.7% 2 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 108.7 47 150.2 5 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.5% 71 21.9% 4 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.83 41 1.48 4 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.62 113 2.43 10 3.24
PD Sack Rate 9.2% 87 15.5% 2 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 120.1 27 136.4 6
Q2 S&P+ 123.2 9 158.7 2
Q3 S&P+ 124.2 15 151.5 3
Q4 S&P+ 107.6 43 117.2 19
1st Down S&P+ 112.7 30 136.6 3
2nd Down S&P+ 121.3 15 128.8 6
3rd Down S&P+ 124.7 16 152.8 3
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.1% 55 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.6% 29 34.6%
Adj. Pace +2.1 45 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.6% 70 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.6% 32 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.6% 47 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 23.9% 1 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 8.6% 7 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 7.4% 7 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 7.9% 17 6.4%
PD to INC 35.7% 40 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Ben Gedeon LB 6'3, 247 SR 68.5 10.9% 15.0 4.5 0 2 0
Jabrill Peppers LB 6'1, 205 JR 59.5 9.4% 15.0 3.5 1 0 1
Mike McCray LB 6'4, 248 SR 58.5 9.3% 13.0 4.5 2 6 1
Dymonte Thomas S 6'2, 199 SR 56.0 8.9% 0.0 0.0 1 9 0
Delano Hill S 6'1, 215 SR 44.5 7.1% 4.5 0.0 3 3 1
Taco Charlton DE 6'6, 272 SR 30.5 4.8% 13.5 10.0 0 2 0
Ryan Glasgow DT 6'4, 299 SR 30.0 4.8% 9.5 4.0 0 1 1
Chris Wormley DE 6'6, 302 SR 28.0 4.4% 8.5 5.5 0 0 0
Maurice Hurst DT 6'2, 282 SR 26.0 4.1% 11.5 4.5 0 1 1
Chase Winovich DE 6'3, 245 JR 23.5 3.7% 9.0 5.5 0 0 1
Channing Stribling CB 6'2, 175 SR 23.5 3.7% 3.0 1.0 4 13 0
Jourdan Lewis CB 5'11, 186 SR 21.5 3.4% 3.5 0.0 2 11 0
Matthew Godin DT 6'6, 294 SR 21.5 3.4% 2.5 1.0 0 0 0
Rashan Gary DE 6'5, 287 FR 17.5 2.8% 5.0 1.0 0 0 0
Tyree Kinnel S 5'11, 206 SO 12.5 2.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Josh Metellus S 6'0, 204 FR 11.0 1.7% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
Jordan Glasgow S 6'1, 210 SO 10.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Brandon Watson CB 5'11, 203 JR 9.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Devin Bush LB 5'11, 232 FR 9.0 1.4% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Jeremy Clark CB 6'4, 206 SR 8.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Bryan Mone DT 6'4, 310 JR 7.0 1.1% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Noah Furbush LB 6'5, 238 JR 7.0 1.1% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Khaleke Hudson S 6'0, 205 FR 5.5 0.9% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0
AJ Pearson S 6'0, 197 SR 4.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Lawrence Marshall DE 6'4, 268 JR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 39
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.04 60
Punt Success Rate 57.4% 56
Kickoff Success Rate 82.1% 25
Punt Return Success Rate 84.0% 1
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 34
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Kenny Allen 6'4, 222 SR 53-53 19-23 82.6%
Ryan Tice 6'1, 170 SO 10-10 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kenny Allen 6'4, 222 SR 54 43.3 6 10 21 57.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Kenny Allen 6'4, 222 SR 84 64.2 51 60.7% 0 0 0 0
James Foug 5'11, 175 SO 8 57.5 2 25.0% 0 0 0 0
Ryan Tice 6'1, 170 SO 3 63.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jabrill Peppers 6'1, 205 JR 21 14.8 1 20 1 (0)
Jourdan Lewis 5'11, 186 SR 2 -0.5 0 1 0 (0)
Michael Jocz 6'4, 239 SR 1 27.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jabrill Peppers 6'1, 205 JR 10 26.0 0 0 0 (0)
Jourdan Lewis 5'11, 186 SR 7 18.1 0 0 0 (0)
Khalid Hill 6'2, 263 SR 3 9.3 0 0 2 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics