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2017 Boise State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Boise State Broncos (MWC Mountain)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.2 (-0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 23
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Troy 31 24-13 W 99% 23.0 90% 37% 96%
9-Sep at Washington State 39 44-47 L 52% 0.5 52% 70% 33%
14-Sep New Mexico 104 28-14 W 88% 10.8 72% 38% 86%
22-Sep Virginia 85 23-42 L 0% -28.8 8% 31% 7%
6-Oct at BYU 101 24-7 W 90% 11.5 73% 43% 77%
14-Oct at San Diego State 34 31-14 W 84% 9.2 72% 33% 84%
21-Oct Wyoming 53 24-14 W 87% 10.2 73% 46% 78%
28-Oct at Utah State 57 41-14 W 100% 29.6 93% 83% 85%
4-Nov Nevada 108 41-14 W 100% 34.2 92% 92% 82%
11-Nov at Colorado State 45 59-52 W 61% 2.6 59% 96% 3%
18-Nov Air Force 100 44-19 W 82% 8.5 67% 79% 49%
25-Nov at Fresno State 24 17-28 L 14% -10.1 30% 26% 54%
2-Dec Fresno State 24 17-14 W 76% 6.4 66% 22% 90%
16-Dec vs. Oregon 47 38-28 W 91% 12.2 77% 61% 74%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 30.8 40 23.1 30
Points Per Game 35.0 36 24.6 38
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.9% 44 39.3% 48 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.15 69 1.01 8 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.6 14 28.2 32 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.37 76 4.85 106 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 10.1 4 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.04
ACTUAL 13 5
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 110.5 38 122.3 14 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 43.4% 57 36.7% 22 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.82 102 0.75 8 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 105.1 44 116.1 22 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.5% 92 33.0% 14 38.5%
Power Success Rate 70.2% 47 68.4% 73 67.7%
Stuff Rate 20.9% 90 19.2% 65 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Alexander Mattison RB 5'11, 214 SO 213 1086 12 5.1 5.4 36.2% 2 (1)
Ryan Wolpin RB 5'8, 195 SR 122 448 6 3.7 2.3 31.1% 0 (0)
Montell Cozart QB 6'1, 205 SR 78 390 4 5.0 3.3 43.6% 0 (0)
Robert Mahone RB 5'10, 211 FR 35 115 1 3.3 1.9 45.7% 1 (0)
Brett Rypien QB 6'2, 208 JR 17 113 0 6.6 8.3 41.2% 4 (3)
Cedrick Wilson WR 6'3, 188 SR 9 13 0 1.4 2.4 22.2% 0 (0)
Jake Roh TE 6'3, 227 SR 7 28 2 4.0 2.8 28.6% 0 (0)
CT Thomas WR 5'8, 152 FR 2 8 0 4.0 1.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Akilian Butler WR 5'10, 193 JR 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 116.0 22 98.7 73 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.4% 28 41.8% 79 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.48 52 1.22 4 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 116.9 43 142 6 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brett Rypien 6'2, 208 JR 218 348 2877 16 6 62.6% 20 5.4% 7.5
Montell Cozart 6'1, 205 SR 61 97 754 10 1 62.9% 8 7.6% 6.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Cedrick Wilson WR 6'3, 188 SR 136 83 1531 7 18.5 11.3 61.0% 49.3% 31.6%
A.J. Richardson WR 6'0, 209 JR 54 33 494 2 15.0 9.2 61.1% 51.9% 12.5%
Sean Modster WR 5'11, 196 JR 54 32 331 3 10.3 6.1 59.3% 37.0% 12.5%
Jake Roh TE 6'3, 227 SR 50 39 410 9 10.5 8.2 78.0% 62.0% 11.6%
Alexander Mattison RB 5'11, 214 SO 35 28 268 1 9.6 7.7 80.0% 40.0% 8.1%
Alec Dhaenens TE 6'3, 246 SR 24 13 175 2 13.5 7.3 54.2% 45.8% 5.6%
Octavius Evans WR 6'1, 195 FR 23 15 131 2 8.7 5.7 65.2% 47.8% 5.3%
CT Thomas WR 5'8, 152 FR 20 15 121 0 8.1 6.1 75.0% 45.0% 4.6%
Ryan Wolpin RB 5'8, 195 SR 15 12 107 0 8.9 7.1 80.0% 60.0% 3.5%
John Bates TE 6'6, 253 FR 5 3 34 0 11.3 6.8 60.0% 60.0% 1.2%
Montell Cozart QB 6'1, 205 SR 4 3 45 0 15.0 11.3 75.0% 50.0% 0.9%
Robert Mahone RB 5'10, 211 FR 3 1 3 0 3.0 1.0 33.3% 0.0% 0.7%
Chase Blakley TE 6'4, 233 JR 2 1 13 0 13.0 6.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Michael Young CB 6'0, 211 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Akilian Butler WR 5'10, 193 JR 2 2 -1 0 -0.5 -0.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Brett Rypien QB 6'2, 208 JR 1 1 15 0 15.0 15.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 107.6 41 109.2 29 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.3% 45 45.5% 57 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 74 0.94 16 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.91 65 2.58 28 2.92
SD Sack Rate 3.8% 39 6.4% 36 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 129.4 10 107.8 49 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.7% 20 26.0% 21 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.49 73 1.27 7 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.76 110 2.86 32 3.22
PD Sack Rate 8.4% 79 8.9% 33 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 113.0 39 113.5 31
Q2 S&P+ 119.7 17 119.5 22
Q3 S&P+ 109.2 45 112.4 31
Q4 S&P+ 108.8 39 103.8 46
1st Down S&P+ 103.5 52 106.5 40
2nd Down S&P+ 113.1 35 117.0 25
3rd Down S&P+ 129.3 7 115.2 25
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.9% 64 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 30.3% 88 35.3%
Adj. Pace +1.1 88 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 71.7% 88 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.4% 92 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 29.5% 110 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.5% 55 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 2.7% 117 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 0.6% 130 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 6.9% 51 6.5%
PD to INC 34.7% 57 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Leighton Vander Esch WLB 6'4, 240 JR 116.0 8.5 (4) 19 3 (4) 4 41.3%
Kekoa Nawahine S 6'2, 199 SO 86.5 4.5 (0) 7 3 (4) 0 67.0%
DeAndre Pierce CB 5'11, 174 SO 67.5 4 (0) 6 1 (2) 0 56.4%
Tyson Maeva MLB 6'0, 214 SO 63.5 2.5 (1) 5 0 (3) 0 35.4%
Avery Williams CB 5'9, 194 FR 40.5 0 (0) 2 2 (8) 0 71.4%
Tyler Horton CB 5'11, 188 JR 35.0 3 (0) 3 2 (11) 2 68.3%
Jabril Frazier STUD 6'4, 243 JR 29.0 6.5 (6) 6 0 (2) 2 21.2%
Kekaula Kaniho S 5'10, 175 FR 27.5 6.5 (1) 4 1 (4) 1 41.9%
Curtis Weaver STUD 6'3, 252 FR 26.5 13 (11) 4 1 (2) 1 27.3%
Durrant Miles DE 6'5, 253 JR 23.5 6 (2) 8 1 (3) 2 12.5%
Desmond Williams SLB 5'11, 201 FR 23.5 3 (2) 1 0 (2) 2 42.3%
Reid Harrison-Ducros CB 5'10, 180 SO 21.5 1 (0) 2 0 (3) 0 63.6%
David Moa DT 6'3, 271 JR 16.5 3.5 (2) 4 0 (1) 0 28.6%
Sam Whitney STUD 6'2, 231 SO 16.5 1.5 (1) 3 0 (0) 1 28.6%
Sonatane Lui NT 6'1, 305 SO 13.0 2.5 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 11.1%
Gabe Perez SLB 6'4, 246 SR 12.0 2 (0) 4 0 (1) 0 35.7%
Riley Whimpey WLB 6'1, 212 FR 12.0 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 37.5%
Jordan Happle S 5'11, 198 FR 12.0 0.5 (0) 1 1 (1) 0 60.0%
Benton Wickersham LB 6'2, 231 FR 12.0 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 53.3%
Matt Locher NT 6'2, 281 SO 8.5 3 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 36.4%
Chase Hatada DT 6'3, 267 SO 8.5 2.5 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 36.4%
Cameron Hartsfield S 5'10, 197 SR 8.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 90.0%
Daniel Auelua DT 6'2, 298 SR 8.0 0 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 45.5%
Jalen Walker S 6'0, 172 FR 7.0 1 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 66.7%
Ryan Wolpin RB 5'8, 195 SR 6.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.4 29
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.00 67
Punt Success Rate 60.3% 52
Kickoff Success Rate 86.9% 15
Punt Return Success Rate 63.3% 25
Kick Return Success Rate 51.4% 31
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Haden Hoggarth 6'0, 198 JR 57-57 18-23 78.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Quinn Skillin 6'4, 185 JR 40 40.7 3 16 13 72.5%
Joel Velazquez 6'0, 228 FR 22 40.6 0 8 1 40.9%
John Mackesy 6'1, 221 JR 1 29.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Joel Velazquez 6'0, 228 FR 84 64.0 53 63.1% 0 1 2 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Avery Williams 5'9, 194 FR 27 11.2 2 32 0 (0)
Jordan Happle 5'11, 198 FR 1 0.0 0 0 1 (0)
Reid Harrison-Ducros 5'10, 180 SO 1 0.0 0 0 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Cedrick Wilson 6'3, 188 SR 18 25.8 0 0 0 (0)
Avery Williams 5'9, 194 FR 15 24.7 0 0 0 (0)
Ryan Wolpin 5'8, 195 SR 4 20.3 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Ryan Wolpin RB 5'8, 195 SR 6.0 3.0 20.3
DeAndre Pierce CB 5'11, 174 SO 4.5 24.6
Austin Cottrell WR 6'2, 203 SR 3.5 16.8
Leighton Vander Esch WLB 6'4, 240 JR 3.0 0.0
Avery Williams CB 5'9, 194 FR 2.5 25.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics