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2017 Arizona advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Arizona Wildcats (Pac-12 South)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.5 (0.5) | S&P+ Rk: 48
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Northern Arizona N/A 62-24 W 99% 22.2 85% 92% 48%
9-Sep Houston 36 16-19 L 15% -9.7 31% 18% 59%
15-Sep at UTEP 130 63-16 W 100% 35.6 91% 94% 77%
22-Sep Utah 33 24-30 L 55% 1.1 54% 45% 60%
7-Oct at Colorado 93 45-42 W 67% 4.0 59% 86% 21%
14-Oct UCLA 77 47-30 W 97% 17.8 82% 86% 46%
21-Oct at California 87 45-44 W 49% -0.2 49% 90% 12%
28-Oct Washington State 39 58-37 W 65% 3.6 59% 89% 15%
4-Nov at USC 26 35-49 L 2% -19.7 17% 58% 10%
11-Nov Oregon State 127 49-28 W 100% 24.0 86% 94% 50%
18-Nov at Oregon 47 28-48 L 0% -30.5 9% 36% 5%
25-Nov at Arizona State 81 30-42 L 24% -6.5 33% 58% 25%
27-Dec vs. Purdue 41 35-38 L 80% 7.6 67% 87% 23%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 38.1 8 33.8 115
Points Per Game 44.8 5 37.3 117
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.5% 33 44.8% 97 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.40 8 1.15 55 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.1 51 29.9 74 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.08 15 4.85 107 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 7.1 16 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.58
ACTUAL 3 45
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 112.8 27 91.5 95 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.5% 36 46.6% 101 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.28 3 0.93 71 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 109.5 30 101.3 57 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.6% 26 39.5% 83 38.5%
Power Success Rate 76.7% 17 71.0% 89 67.7%
Stuff Rate 14.7% 8 16.5% 99 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
J.J. Taylor RB 5'6, 180 FR 147 847 5 5.8 7.4 34.7% 2 (1)
Khalil Tate QB 6'2, 215 SO 140 1492 12 10.7 13.2 51.4% 3 (3)
Nick Wilson RB 5'10, 208 SR 128 614 6 4.8 5.0 33.6% 0 (0)
Zach Green RB 5'10, 229 SR 66 312 11 4.7 4.2 31.8% 0 (0)
Brandon Dawkins QB 6'3, 210 JR 64 504 8 7.9 7.4 54.7% 3 (2)
Nathan Tilford RB 6'2, 206 FR 13 121 2 9.3 13.7 38.5% 0 (0)
Branden Leon RB 5'8, 201 SO 13 81 1 6.2 2.5 61.5% 0 (0)
Tyrell Johnson WR 5'7, 164 SR 8 96 1 12.0 13.0 62.5% 0 (0)
Shun Brown WR 5'9, 177 JR 5 51 0 10.2 5.6 80.0% 2 (2)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 112.0 29 94.5 91 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.7% 41 43.0% 89 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.62 26 1.39 50 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 109.1 54 97.4 73 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Khalil Tate 6'2, 215 SO 111 179 1591 14 9 62.0% 13 6.8% 7.9
Brandon Dawkins 6'3, 210 JR 70 114 732 5 4 61.4% 6 5.0% 5.7
Donavan Tate 6'2, 207 FR 1 1 10 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 10.0
Rhett Rodriguez 6'0, 186 FR 1 1 10 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 10.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tony Ellison WR 5'11, 188 JR 58 37 598 5 16.2 10.3 63.8% 53.4% 21.6%
Shun Brown WR 5'9, 177 JR 56 43 573 6 13.3 10.2 76.8% 57.1% 20.8%
Shawn Poindexter WR 6'5, 212 SR 38 19 294 1 15.5 7.7 50.0% 42.1% 14.1%
Tyrell Johnson WR 5'7, 164 SR 31 22 301 1 13.7 9.7 71.0% 51.6% 11.5%
Bryce Wolma TE 6'3, 239 FR 31 28 241 2 8.6 7.8 90.3% 64.5% 11.5%
Cedric Peterson WR 5'11, 188 SO 18 8 57 0 7.1 3.2 44.4% 27.8% 6.7%
J.J. Taylor RB 5'6, 180 FR 13 12 49 2 4.1 3.8 92.3% 38.5% 4.8%
Jamie Nunley TE 6'5, 230 FR 9 6 159 1 26.5 17.7 66.7% 66.7% 3.3%
Trevor Wood TE 6'6, 265 JR 4 2 14 1 7.0 3.5 50.0% 50.0% 1.5%
Nick Wilson RB 5'10, 208 SR 4 1 6 0 6.0 1.5 25.0% 0.0% 1.5%
Devaughn Cooper WR 5'10, 175 FR 3 2 12 0 6.0 4.0 66.7% 33.3% 1.1%
Brian Casteel WR 6'0, 214 FR 1 1 24 0 24.0 24.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.4%
Jack Banda DE 6'3, 247 SR 1 1 10 0 10.0 10.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.4%
Cam Denson WR 5'11, 187 SR 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Donovan Walker WR 6'1, 179 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 108.6 38 98.8 72 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.3% 32 48.1% 87 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.24 13 1.00 40 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.28 19 2.98 75 2.92
SD Sack Rate 4.1% 45 6.1% 42 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 110.9 41 82.3 119 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 31.9% 50 36.7% 117 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.04 2 1.63 99 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.67 20 2.61 17 3.22
PD Sack Rate 7.5% 65 6.1% 93 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 120.9 22 83.4 117
Q2 S&P+ 114.5 30 95.7 85
Q3 S&P+ 115.4 32 88.6 104
Q4 S&P+ 116.2 19 90.6 107
1st Down S&P+ 108.0 40 94.8 93
2nd Down S&P+ 128.1 8 81.9 121
3rd Down S&P+ 114.3 33 87.8 108
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 73.8% 10 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 38.0% 44 35.3%
Adj. Pace -3.0 13 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 81.7% 12 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.8% 65 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.0% 124 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.6% 87 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.8% 88 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 3.5% 91 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 6.9% 47 6.5%
PD to INC 36.6% 38 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Tony Fields II LB 6'1, 225 FR 84.5 7.5 (5) 9 1 (1) 0 42.3%
Colin Schooler LB 6'0, 226 FR 81.0 13.5 (4) 16 2 (1) 1 36.6%
Lorenzo Burns CB 5'10, 173 FR 70.0 3.5 (1) 2 5 (7) 0 72.8%
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles S 6'2, 205 JR 69.0 0 (0) 4 3 (3) 0 82.7%
Dane Cruikshank CB 6'1, 206 SR 65.0 5.5 (1.5) 10 3 (5) 1 45.3%
Scottie Young Jr. S 5'11, 195 FR 45.5 3.5 (0) 6 1 (1) 0 60.4%
Jace Whittaker CB 5'11, 182 JR 42.5 2 (0) 2 3 (13) 0 56.5%
Dereck Boles DL 6'2, 296 JR 36.0 1.5 (0) 5 0 (2) 0 35.7%
Kylan Wilborn DE 6'2, 245 FR 30.5 9.5 (7.5) 4 0 (1) 4 26.5%
Brandon Rutt LB 6'3, 227 SR 25.0 2.5 (1) 2 0 (0) 1 43.3%
Luca Bruno DL 6'4, 305 SR 21.5 1.5 (1.5) 2 0 (2) 0 23.1%
Jarrius Wallace S 6'1, 180 FR 21.5 0 (0) 0 1 (3) 0 76.9%
Justin Belknap DE 6'3, 259 SO 19.0 3 (2.5) 3 0 (0) 0 47.8%
DeAndre' Miller DE 6'3, 236 SR 17.5 2 (1) 4 0 (0) 0 28.6%
Finton Connolly DL 6'5, 275 SO 15.0 4.5 (2.5) 4 0 (0) 0 35.0%
Parker Zellers DL 6'1, 250 SR 14.5 1 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 33.3%
Larry Tharpe Jr. DL 6'5, 279 JR 10.0 2 (0.5) 3 0 (0) 0 23.1%
Kwesi Mashack CB 5'8, 198 SR 9.5 2 (0) 2 0 (1) 0 60.0%
Anthony Pandy LB 6'0, 225 FR 8.0 2.5 (1) 2 0 (1) 0 25.0%
Kurtis Brown DL 6'1, 285 FR 7.0 2 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 37.5%
Antonio Parks CB 5'10, 188 FR 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 50.0%
Jacob Colacion LB 6'1, 218 FR 5.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 50.0%
Chacho Ulloa S 5'11, 192 SO 5.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 60.0%
Troy Young S 6'0, 205 FR 5.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 75.0%
Malcolm Holland CB 5'11, 182 SO 4.5 1 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 50.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.2 85
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.05 63
Punt Success Rate 38.5% 126
Kickoff Success Rate 80.0% 39
Punt Return Success Rate 33.3% 104
Kick Return Success Rate 48.4% 43
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Josh Pollack 5'10, 184 JR 65-67 11-15 73.3%
Lucas Havrisik 6'2, 173 FR 2-2 3-4 75.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jake Glatting 6'3, 218 JR 31 35.9 2 10 8 58.1%
Josh Pollack 5'10, 184 JR 15 34.6 0 2 5 46.7%
Trevor Wood 6'6, 265 JR 2 38.0 0 0 1 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Lucas Havrisik 6'2, 173 FR 93 63.2 63 67.7% 0 3 0 0
Josh Pollack 5'10, 184 JR 2 49.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Shun Brown 5'9, 177 JR 17 10.6 2 20 1 (1)
Tony Ellison 5'11, 188 JR 1 5.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tyrell Johnson 5'7, 164 SR 27 26.0 0 0 0 (0)
Cedric Peterson 5'11, 188 SO 3 19.3 0 0 0 (0)
Donovan Moore 5'9, 165 JR 1 12.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Anthony Pandy LB 6'0, 225 FR 4.5 19.6
Kwesi Mashack CB 5'8, 198 SR 4.5 5.0 55.0
Antonio Parks CB 5'10, 188 FR 4.5 48.0 22.3
Nathan Tilford RB 6'2, 206 FR 3.5 25.8
Jacob Colacion LB 6'1, 218 FR 3.5 8.0 19.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics