2017 UCLA advanced statistical profile

_{Updated on
1/3/18}

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_{Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.}

_{2015 | 2016 | 2017}

UCLA Bruins (Pac-12 South)

2017 Schedule & Results

Record: 6-7 \| Second-order wins (diff.): 6.3 (0.3) \| S&P+ Rk: 77
Date	Opponent	Opp. S&P+ Rk	Score	W-L	Win Expectancy	Adj. Scoring Margin	Percentile Performance	Off. Percentile	Def. Percentile
3-Sep	Texas A&M	61	45-44	W	80%	7.8	66%	84%	18%
9-Sep	Hawaii	121	56-23	W	99%	23.0	86%	91%	54%
16-Sep	at Memphis	20	45-48	L	85%	9.5	73%	96%	17%
23-Sep	at Stanford	32	34-58	L	8%	-12.9	24%	83%	3%
30-Sep	Colorado	93	27-23	W	83%	8.7	69%	55%	65%
14-Oct	at Arizona	48	30-47	L	3%	-17.8	18%	54%	14%
21-Oct	Oregon	47	31-14	W	96%	15.9	82%	58%	76%
28-Oct	at Washington	5	23-44	L	0%	-30.0	11%	19%	11%
3-Nov	at Utah	33	17-48	L	0%	-34.5	8%	21%	8%
11-Nov	Arizona State	81	44-37	W	88%	10.8	71%	89%	31%
18-Nov	at USC	26	23-28	L	32%	-4.4	41%	51%	35%
24-Nov	California	87	30-27	W	53%	0.8	51%	62%	42%
26-Dec	vs. Kansas State	64	17-35	L	8%	-13.2	24%	31%	31%

Category	Offense	Rk	Defense	Rk
S&P+	35.4	15	35.4	120
Points Per Game	35.2	34	39.7	122

Five Factors

		Offense		Defense
	Category	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY	Success Rate	44.3%	39	46.1%	109	40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS	IsoPPP	1.23	35	1.19	84	1.17
FIELD POSITION	Avg. FP	26.9	122	29.9	77	29.6
FINISHING DRIVES	Pts. Per Trip in 40	4.95	22	4.81	103	4.42

TURNOVER MARGIN	EXPECTED	-7.7	122	Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.51
	ACTUAL	-9	115	Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.51

Rushing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+	101.5	64	90.8	100	100.0
Rushing Success Rate	44.2%	47	48.6%	116	42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP	0.78	118	1.03	111	0.92
Adj. Line Yards	93.5	105	92.1	97	100.0
Opportunity Rate	36.3%	94	43.8%	120	38.5%
Power Success Rate	79.2%	9	80.4%	125	67.7%
Stuff Rate	21.5%	98	15.1%	117	19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Rushes	Yards	TD	Yards/ Carry	Hlt Yds/ Opp.	Opp. Rate	Fumbles (Lost)
Bolu Olorunfunmi	RB	5'10, 215	JR	117	565	5	4.8	4.6	38.5%	3 (3)
Soso Jamabo	RB	6'2, 210	JR	90	446	6	5.0	5.3	35.6%	1 (1)
Brandon Stephens	RB	6'1, 210	SO	46	182	1	4.0	8.5	23.9%	1 (1)
Jalen Starks	RB	6'0, 265	SO	35	136	4	3.9	3.0	34.3%	0 (0)
Josh Rosen	QB	6'4, 218	JR	24	107	2	4.5	2.1	45.8%	7 (3)
Demetric Felton	WR	5'10, 185	FR	10	75	1	7.5	9.4	40.0%	0 (0)
Nate Starks	RB	5'11, 210	SR	10	46	0	4.6	10.8	20.0%	0 (0)
Devon Modster	QB	6'2, 210	FR	7	51	0	7.3	2.4	71.4%	1 (1)
Darren Andrews	WR	5'10, 195	SR	4	49	0	12.3	8.7	75.0%	1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.

Passing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+	112.4	27	103.3	49	100.0
Passing Success Rate	44.4%	29	42.0%	80	40.3%
Passing IsoPPP	1.53	42	1.50	84	1.48
Adj. Sack Rate	149.5	20	76	102	100

Individual Passing Stats

Player	Ht, Wt	Year	Comp	Att	Yards	TD	INT	Comp Rate	Sacks	Sack Rate	Yards/ Att.
Josh Rosen	6'4, 218	JR	283	452	3756	26	10	62.6%	26	5.4%	7.4
Devon Modster	6'2, 210	FR	51	79	671	4	0	64.6%	3	3.7%	8.0
Matt Lynch	6'4, 218	FR	2	3	11	1	0	66.7%	0	0.0%	3.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Targets	Catches	Yards	TD	Yds/ Catch	Yds/ Target	Catch Rate	Success Rate	Target Rate
Jordan Lasley	WR	6'1, 210	JR	108	69	1264	9	18.3	11.7	63.9%	53.7%	21.0%
Darren Andrews	WR	5'10, 195	SR	90	60	773	10	12.9	8.6	66.7%	55.6%	17.5%
Theo Howard	WR	6'0, 180	SO	84	56	594	4	10.6	7.1	66.7%	46.4%	16.3%
Caleb Wilson	TE	6'4, 235	SO	48	38	490	1	12.9	10.2	79.2%	75.0%	9.3%
Austin Roberts	TE	6'2, 230	JR	34	19	220	2	11.6	6.5	55.9%	38.2%	6.6%
Christian Pabico	WR	6'0, 195	JR	33	18	280	1	15.6	8.5	54.5%	39.4%	6.4%
Jordan Wilson	TE	6'4, 250	FR	29	16	155	2	9.7	5.3	55.2%	41.4%	5.6%
Soso Jamabo	RB	6'2, 210	JR	24	17	204	0	12.0	8.5	70.8%	45.8%	4.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi	RB	5'10, 215	JR	15	10	118	0	11.8	7.9	66.7%	40.0%	2.9%
Eldridge Massington	WR	6'2, 210	SR	14	9	111	2	12.3	7.9	64.3%	57.1%	2.7%
Giovanni Gentosi	RB	6'2, 250	JR	9	6	51	0	8.5	5.7	66.7%	33.3%	1.8%
Brandon Stephens	RB	6'1, 210	SO	8	8	69	0	8.6	8.6	100.0%	25.0%	1.6%
Jalen Starks	RB	6'0, 265	SO	6	3	66	0	22.0	11.0	50.0%	16.7%	1.2%
Nate Starks	RB	5'11, 210	SR	5	4	74	0	18.5	14.8	80.0%	60.0%	1.0%
Demetric Felton	WR	5'10, 185	FR	3	2	-2	0	-1.0	-0.7	66.7%	0.0%	0.6%
Alex Van Dyke	WR	6'4, 215	SR	1	1	6	0	6.0	6.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.2%

Standard Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+	113.0	19	93.1	98	100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate	51.0%	19	52.0%	113	46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP	1.13	36	1.09	82	1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry	2.70	98	3.30	114	2.92
SD Sack Rate	3.9%	40	4.4%	76	5.3%

Passing Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+	95.2	81	108.0	47	100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate	30.0%	74	31.4%	85	30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP	1.62	36	1.62	98	1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry	2.87	103	3.93	121	3.22
PD Sack Rate	5.4%	33	5.6%	100	7.8%

Situational

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk
Q1 S&P+	91.9	91	102.7	56
Q2 S&P+	123.5	13	104.7	55
Q3 S&P+	116.6	29	98.8	77
Q4 S&P+	126.8	4	100.5	60
1st Down S&P+	127.3	7	99.5	71
2nd Down S&P+	104.0	56	96.6	82
3rd Down S&P+	98.0	78	126.5	12

Offensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	46.7%	125	60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate	25.2%	117	35.3%
Adj. Pace	-1.8	27	+0.0
% of Solo Tackles	86.0%	1	73.8%

Defensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	69.9%	3	59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate	42.0%	10	35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate	13.1%	110	16.0%
DL Havoc Rate	6.1%	38	4.9%
LB Havoc Rate	1.7%	128	4.4%
DB Havoc Rate	5.0%	112	6.5%
PD to INC	32.2%	85	33.9%

Individual Defensive Stats

Name	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	Tackles	TFL (Sacks)	Run Stuffs*	Int (PBU)	FF	Succ. Rate**
Kenny Young	LB	6'1, 235	SR	93.5	8.5 (1)	18	0 (3)	0	50.9%
Adarius Pickett	DB	5'11, 195	JR	74.0	4 (0)	4	1 (3)	0	54.2%
Jaleel Wadood	DB	5'9, 180	SR	72.0	2 (0)	3	1 (3)	1	72.4%
Jacob Tuioti-Mariner	DL	6'2, 285	SR	47.0	9.5 (7.5)	4	0 (1)	0	21.2%
Nate Meadors	DB	5'11, 195	JR	47.0	2 (1)	1	1 (9)	1	75.9%
Krys Barnes	LB	6'2, 240	SO	42.5	1 (0)	3	0 (0)	0	54.0%
Chigozie Nnoruka	DL	6'2, 295	SO	42.0	8.5 (2)	14	0 (0)	0	18.4%
Keisean Lucier-South	DL	6'4, 235	SO	40.0	5.5 (1)	9	0 (2)	1	34.0%
Darnay Holmes	DB	5'10, 195	FR	34.0	1 (0)	1	3 (3)	0	71.4%
Octavius Spencer	DB	5'11, 180	JR	28.0	0 (0)	0	1 (4)	0	83.9%
Rick Wade	DL	6'6, 275	SO	27.0	5 (1)	9	0 (0)	0	33.3%
Josh Woods	LB	6'2, 235	JR	26.5	3.5 (1)	5	0 (0)	0	46.7%
Boss Tagaloa	DL	6'2, 305	SO	26.5	2.5 (1)	3	0 (0)	0	18.8%
Jaelan Phillips	DL	6'5, 255	FR	18.5	7 (3.5)	5	0 (2)	0	19.0%
Matt Dickerson	DL	6'4, 290	SR	18.0	1 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	28.6%
Mo Osling III	DB	6'2, 185	FR	17.5	0 (0)	0	0 (1)	0	85.7%
Marcus Moore	DL	6'2, 250	FR	16.5	5.5 (1)	8	0 (1)	1	21.1%
Lokeni Toailoa	LB	6'2, 245	SO	15.0	1 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	28.6%
Mossi Johnson	WR	6'0, 195	SR	14.5	0 (0)	0	0 (1)	1	66.7%
Osa Odighizuwa	DL	6'2, 275	FR	12.5	5.5 (1)	6	0 (0)	1	33.3%
Will Lockett	DB	5'11, 190	SO	10.5	0 (0)	0	0 (1)	0	84.6%
Greg Rogers	DL	6'3, 310	FR	10.0	2 (0)	2	0 (0)	0	30.0%
Denzel Fisher	DB	6'1, 175	JR	9.0	0 (0)	0	0 (2)	0	70.0%
Colin Samuel	DB	6'3, 205	SO	8.0	0 (0)	0	1 (4)	0	80.0%
Quentin Lake	DB	6'1, 185	FR	7.5	0 (0)		0 (0)	0

_{* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.}

_{** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.}

Special Teams

	Rating	Rank
Special Teams S&P+	0.0	65

Category	Rate	Rank
FG Value (per kick)	0.20	40
Punt Success Rate	55.2%	79
Kickoff Success Rate	72.9%	70
Punt Return Success Rate	28.6%	115
Kick Return Success Rate	37.0%	100

Place-Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	PAT	FG	Pct
JJ Molson	6'0, 185	SO	49-50	17-21	81.0%

Punter	Ht, Wt	Year	Punts	Avg	TB	FC	I20	FC/I20 Ratio
Stefan Flintoft	6'3, 190	JR	56	42.9	1	21	16	66.1%

Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	Kickoffs	Avg	TB	TB%	OOB	Fair Catches	Onside Att	Onside Success
JJ Molson	6'0, 185	SO	84	62.7	34	40.5%	1	0	0	0

Punt Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Adarius Pickett	5'11, 195	JR	10	7.2	0	17	0 (0)
Darren Andrews	5'10, 195	SR	3	3.3	0	3	0 (0)
Mossi Johnson	6'0, 195	SR	1	-9.0	0	0	1 (1)

Kick Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Darnay Holmes	5'10, 195	FR	33	21.7	0	0	0 (0)
Mo Osling III	6'2, 185	FR	9	18.0	0	0	0 (0)
Mossi Johnson	6'0, 195	SR	4	15.5	0	0	0 (0)

Tackler	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	ST Tackles	PR Avg	KR Avg
Mo Osling III	DB	6'2, 185	FR	11.0	7.8	24.7
Mossi Johnson	WR	6'0, 195	SR	8.0	8.0	34.2
Quentin Lake	DB	6'1, 185	FR	7.5	12.3	17.3
Brandon Burton	LB	6'0, 215	SO	5.5	9.0	19.4
Leni Toailoa	LB	6'1, 225	FR	4.5	4.0	26.0

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}