2017 USC advanced statistical profile

_{Updated on
1/4/18}

_{Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.}

_{Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.}

_{2015 | 2016 | 2017}

USC Trojans (Pac-12 South)

2017 Schedule & Results

Record: 11-3 \| Second-order wins (diff.): 10.4 (-0.6) \| S&P+ Rk: 26
Date	Opponent	Opp. S&P+ Rk	Score	W-L	Win Expectancy	Adj. Scoring Margin	Percentile Performance	Off. Percentile	Def. Percentile
2-Sep	Western Michigan	74	49-31	W	100%	30.9	93%	91%	71%
9-Sep	Stanford	32	42-24	W	96%	16.1	82%	89%	50%
16-Sep	Texas	50	27-24	W	83%	8.6	70%	54%	65%
23-Sep	at California	87	30-20	W	59%	2.2	54%	49%	56%
29-Sep	at Washington State	39	27-30	L	75%	6.3	65%	58%	59%
7-Oct	Oregon State	127	38-10	W	100%	27.2	88%	88%	74%
14-Oct	Utah	33	28-27	W	73%	5.5	64%	67%	50%
21-Oct	at Notre Dame	13	14-49	L	0%	-27.9	10%	33%	7%
28-Oct	at Arizona State	81	48-17	W	100%	26.5	89%	83%	78%
4-Nov	Arizona	48	49-35	W	98%	19.7	87%	90%	42%
11-Nov	at Colorado	93	38-24	W	95%	14.9	79%	80%	51%
18-Nov	UCLA	77	28-23	W	68%	4.4	58%	65%	49%
1-Dec	vs. Stanford	32	31-28	W	55%	1.1	53%	70%	32%
29-Dec	vs. Ohio State	2	7-24	L	36%	-3.4	42%	19%	70%

Category	Offense	Rk	Defense	Rk
S&P+	35.0	16	26.7	55
Points Per Game	35.1	35	28.2	64

Five Factors

		Offense		Defense
	Category	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY	Success Rate	46.6%	12	38.6%	39	40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS	IsoPPP	1.26	25	1.18	75	1.17
FIELD POSITION	Avg. FP	29.7	64	28.8	49	29.6
FINISHING DRIVES	Pts. Per Trip in 40	4.17	92	4.08	33	4.42

TURNOVER MARGIN	EXPECTED	5.2	23	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.58
	ACTUAL	-2	80	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.58

Rushing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+	109.8	42	106.0	47	100.0
Rushing Success Rate	45.9%	31	44.4%	91	42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP	0.97	37	0.93	72	0.92
Adj. Line Yards	107.6	38	96.5	82	100.0
Opportunity Rate	40.2%	46	41.1%	102	38.5%
Power Success Rate	68.0%	60	60.0%	19	67.7%
Stuff Rate	19.5%	65	15.3%	113	19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Rushes	Yards	TD	Yards/ Carry	Hlt Yds/ Opp.	Opp. Rate	Fumbles (Lost)
Ronald Jones II	TB	6'0, 200	JR	261	1550	19	5.9	6.6	39.1%	0 (0)
Stephen Carr	TB	6'0, 210	FR	65	363	3	5.6	6.2	40.0%	2 (2)
Vavae Malepeai	TB	6'0, 210	FR	49	261	0	5.3	4.1	40.8%	0 (0)
Aca'Cedric Ware	TB	6'0, 195	JR	49	247	1	5.0	5.8	36.7%	0 (0)
Sam Darnold	QB	6'4, 220	SO	46	288	5	6.3	5.3	52.2%	12 (9)
Matt Fink	QB	6'3, 190	FR	6	90	1	15.0	15.3	66.7%	1 (0)
Velus Jones Jr.	WR	6'0, 190	FR	5	15	0	3.0	5.9	20.0%	0 (0)
James Toland IV	TB	5'11, 195	SR	4	13	0	3.3	1.0	50.0%	0 (0)
Corbin Jountti	TB	6'0, 205	SR	2	5	0	2.5	0.0	0.0%	0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.

Passing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+	123.9	11	123.9	9	100.0
Passing Success Rate	47.3%	10	33.3%	9	40.3%
Passing IsoPPP	1.53	41	1.49	79	1.48
Adj. Sack Rate	129.1	31	141.6	8	100

Individual Passing Stats

Player	Ht, Wt	Year	Comp	Att	Yards	TD	INT	Comp Rate	Sacks	Sack Rate	Yards/ Att.
Sam Darnold	6'4, 220	SO	303	480	4143	26	13	63.1%	29	5.7%	7.7
Matt Fink	6'3, 190	FR	6	9	43	0	0	66.7%	1	10.0%	3.5

Individual Receiving Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Targets	Catches	Yards	TD	Yds/ Catch	Yds/ Target	Catch Rate	Success Rate	Target Rate
Deontay Burnett	WR	6'0, 170	JR	131	86	1114	9	13.0	8.5	65.6%	53.4%	27.9%
Tyler Vaughns	WR	6'2, 185	FR	75	57	809	5	14.2	10.8	76.0%	60.0%	16.0%
Steven Mitchell Jr.	WR	5'10, 195	SR	70	41	644	4	15.7	9.2	58.6%	52.9%	14.9%
Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	6'4, 215	SO	39	23	404	2	17.6	10.4	59.0%	51.3%	8.3%
Tyler Petite	TE	6'4, 250	JR	39	23	307	3	13.4	7.9	59.0%	43.6%	8.3%
Stephen Carr	TB	6'0, 210	FR	21	17	188	0	11.1	9.0	81.0%	47.6%	4.5%
Ronald Jones II	TB	6'0, 200	JR	17	14	187	1	13.4	11.0	82.4%	47.1%	3.6%
Jalen Greene	WR	6'2, 200	JR	15	8	98	0	12.3	6.5	53.3%	46.7%	3.2%
Daniel Imatorbhebhe	TE	6'3, 235	SO	14	8	144	0	18.0	10.3	57.1%	50.0%	3.0%
Velus Jones Jr.	WR	6'0, 190	FR	11	6	46	0	7.7	4.2	54.5%	18.2%	2.3%
Joseph Lewis IV	WR	6'2, 205	FR	7	4	39	0	9.8	5.6	57.1%	57.1%	1.5%
Aca'Cedric Ware	TB	6'0, 195	JR	6	6	62	0	10.3	10.3	100.0%	66.7%	1.3%
Josh Falo	TE	6'6, 235	FR	5	4	65	2	16.3	13.0	80.0%	80.0%	1.1%
Trevon Sidney	WR	5'11, 170	FR	5	3	35	0	11.7	7.0	60.0%	40.0%	1.1%
Vavae Malepeai	TB	6'0, 210	FR	5	3	5	0	1.7	1.0	60.0%	0.0%	1.1%
Josh Imatorbhebhe	WR	6'2, 215	FR	4	2	11	0	5.5	2.8	50.0%	0.0%	0.9%

Standard Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+	114.3	14	113.5	24	100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate	51.6%	15	43.2%	36	46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP	1.13	34	1.05	64	1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry	3.16	30	3.07	84	2.92
SD Sack Rate	3.2%	25	7.8%	15	5.3%

Passing Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+	120.7	19	110.3	39	100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate	34.6%	23	30.0%	69	30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP	1.74	15	1.56	86	1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry	3.06	87	3.86	118	3.22
PD Sack Rate	6.6%	53	10.4%	16	7.8%

Situational

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk
Q1 S&P+	118.7	27	106.5	44
Q2 S&P+	119.7	18	126.6	15
Q3 S&P+	117.3	27	109.1	38
Q4 S&P+	115.0	20	100.7	59
1st Down S&P+	118.8	19	106.6	39
2nd Down S&P+	118.3	21	118.6	19
3rd Down S&P+	118.7	22	111.1	36

Offensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	59.6%	58	60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate	24.6%	121	35.3%
Adj. Pace	-0.2	58	+0.0
% of Solo Tackles	76.6%	48	73.8%

Defensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	59.5%	70	59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate	25.3%	129	35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate	17.7%	37	16.0%
DL Havoc Rate	5.1%	55	4.9%
LB Havoc Rate	5.9%	18	4.4%
DB Havoc Rate	6.4%	71	6.5%
PD to INC	37.8%	21	33.9%

Individual Defensive Stats

Name	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	Tackles	TFL (Sacks)	Run Stuffs*	Int (PBU)	FF	Succ. Rate**
Cameron Smith	ILB	6'2, 250	JR	86.0	11 (0.5)	16	1 (3)	0	32.1%
Chris Hawkins	S	5'11, 190	SR	69.5	6.5 (3)	4	1 (2)	1	54.0%
Marvell Tell III	S	6'2, 195	JR	63.5	2.5 (1)	2	3 (2)	0	68.2%
John Houston Jr.	ILB	6'3, 210	SO	62.0	3.5 (1.5)	7	1 (4)	0	42.2%
Uchenna Nwosu	OLB	6'2, 240	SR	61.0	11.5 (9.5)	8	1 (13)	0	34.7%
Ajene Harris	CB	5'10, 190	JR	47.0	1.5 (0.5)	2	3 (6)	0	62.7%
Iman Marshall	CB	6'1, 205	JR	42.5	1 (0)	1	0 (10)	0	64.7%
Jack Jones	CB	5'11, 170	SO	35.5	0 (0)	0	4 (7)	1	79.5%
Isaiah Langley	CB	6'0, 175	JR	33.5	0 (0)	0	0 (6)	0	89.2%
Rasheem Green	DT	6'4, 275	JR	31.0	12.5 (10)	7	0 (4)	1	9.3%
Christian Rector	DL	6'4, 275	SO	28.0	11 (7.5)	5	0 (0)	2	22.9%
Jordan Iosefa	ILB	6'2, 225	SO	25.5	3 (1)	4	0 (2)	1	20.7%
Josh Fatu	DT	6'2, 315	SR	25.0	8 (6)	6	0 (1)	1	11.8%
Matt Lopes	S	5'11, 200	SR	23.0	1 (0)	2	0 (1)	0	66.7%
Malik Dorton	DT	6'2, 280	JR	17.5	3.5 (2.5)	5	0 (5)	1	33.3%
Porter Gustin	OLB	6'5, 255	JR	12.5	3 (3)	1	0 (0)	0	12.5%
Levi Jones	ILB	6'3, 220	FR	12.0	0 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	40.0%
Ykili Ross	S	6'1, 190	SO	10.0	1 (0)	1	2 (0)	0	54.5%
Brandon Pili	DT	6'4, 320	FR	8.5	0 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	28.6%
Bubba Bolden	S	6'3, 190	FR	7.5	0 (0)		0 (0)	0
Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	6'4, 215	SO	5.5	0 (0)		0 (0)	0
Juliano Falaniko	ILB	6'4, 220	FR	5.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	0.0%
Liam Jimmons	DL	6'4, 285	FR	3.5	0 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	50.0%
C.J. Pollard	S	6'1, 185	FR	3.0	1 (0)	1	0 (0)	0	25.0%
Vavae Malepeai	TB	6'0, 210	FR	3.0	0 (0)		0 (0)	0

_{* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.}

_{** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.}

Special Teams

	Rating	Rank
Special Teams S&P+	-0.3	89

Category	Rate	Rank
FG Value (per kick)	-0.15	96
Punt Success Rate	52.6%	94
Kickoff Success Rate	69.5%	83
Punt Return Success Rate	52.4%	51
Kick Return Success Rate	57.5%	17

Place-Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	PAT	FG	Pct
Chase McGrath	6'0, 190	FR	58-59	12-17	70.6%

Punter	Ht, Wt	Year	Punts	Avg	TB	FC	I20	FC/I20 Ratio
Reid Budrovich	5'11, 185	JR	55	41.6	3	18	20	69.1%

Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	Kickoffs	Avg	TB	TB%	OOB	Fair Catches	Onside Att	Onside Success
Chase McGrath	6'0, 190	FR	57	61.5	19	33.3%	0	3	0	0
Reid Budrovich	5'11, 185	JR	16	63.9	8	50.0%	0	0	0	0
Michael Brown	6'1, 195	FR	9	64.7	3	33.3%	0	1	0	0

Punt Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Ajene Harris	5'10, 190	JR	14	5.1	0	16	2 (1)
Jack Jones	5'11, 170	SO	4	12.0	0	0	1 (1)
Michael Pittman Jr.	6'4, 215	SO	2	44.5	1	0	0 (0)

Kick Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Velus Jones Jr.	6'0, 190	FR	31	24.5	0	0	0 (0)
Jack Jones	5'11, 170	SO	3	15.0	0	0	1 (0)
Stephen Carr	6'0, 210	FR	3	21.3	0	0	0 (0)

Tackler	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	ST Tackles	PR Avg	KR Avg
Matt Lopes	S	5'11, 200	SR	10.0		20.4
Levi Jones	ILB	6'3, 220	FR	9.0		26.1
Bubba Bolden	S	6'3, 190	FR	7.5	1.5	22.5
Juliano Falaniko	ILB	6'4, 220	FR	4.5		19.6
Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	6'4, 215	SO	4.5	5.5	25.0

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}