clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 Oregon State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Oregon State Beavers (Pac-12 North)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.2 (1.2) | S&P+ Rk: 65
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep at Minnesota 42 23-30 L 20% -6.6 48% 28% 65%
17-Sep Idaho State N/A 37-7 W 99% 19.1 58% 16% 37%
24-Sep Boise State 19 24-38 L 0% -20.7 32% 19% 53%
1-Oct at Colorado 18 6-47 L 0% -39.3 10% 14% 12%
8-Oct California 51 47-44 W 98% 16.0 86% 73% 86%
15-Oct Utah 43 14-19 L 45% -0.9 61% 26% 91%
22-Oct at Washington 7 17-41 L 0% -31.7 23% 49% 30%
29-Oct Washington State 41 31-35 L 41% -1.7 61% 70% 40%
5-Nov at Stanford 23 15-26 L 16% -7.7 50% 36% 46%
12-Nov at UCLA 58 24-38 L 15% -8.1 38% 18% 49%
19-Nov Arizona 96 42-17 W 100% 28.0 90% 84% 74%
26-Nov Oregon 74 34-24 W 84% 7.7 69% 40% 74%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.3 73 27.3 49
Points Per Game 26.2 85 30.5 82
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.31 47 1.22 43 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.1% 105 44.4% 89 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.7 65 30.3 90 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.42 77 4.04 29 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 3.72 38 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.13
ACTUAL 1 54
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 116.2 20 86.5 115 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 47.8% 20 50.8% 120 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.15 33 1.06 58 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 101.7 70 91.8 100 100.0
Opportunity Rate 43.4% 19 46.2% 123 39.7%
Power Success Rate 62.1% 102 66.0% 56 67.9%
Stuff Rate 15.6% 13 14.6% 119 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Ryan Nall RB 6'2, 234 SO 147 951 13 6.5 7.5 40.8% 2 (1)
Artavis Pierce RB 5'11, 201 FR 98 523 4 5.3 3.8 43.9% 0 (0)
Paul Lucas WR 5'11, 188 SO 33 113 0 3.4 2.1 42.4% 0 (0)
Tim Cook RB 6'1, 233 SR 30 137 1 4.6 3.5 33.3% 0 (0)
Darell Garretson QB 6'0, 209 JR 29 247 3 8.5 5.6 69.0% 4 (2)
Victor Bolden Jr. WR 5'9, 183 SR 28 329 2 11.8 16.9 50.0% 4 (1)
Marcus McMaryion QB 6'1, 204 SO 22 129 1 5.9 5.2 45.5% 1 (1)
Seth Collins WR 6'3, 188 SO 15 30 0 2.0 1.2 26.7% 1 (1)
Conor Blount QB 6'1, 190 FR 8 32 0 4.0 1.2 37.5% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 83.6 112 110.1 31 100.0
Passing Success Rate 30.1% 128 37.5% 33 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.57 34 1.45 61 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 95.8 74 84.4 96 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Marcus McMaryion 6'1, 204 SO 101 170 1286 10 5 59.4% 7 4.0% 7.0
Darell Garretson 6'0, 209 JR 73 146 617 3 4 50.0% 12 7.6% 3.4
Conor Blount 6'1, 190 FR 19 35 183 0 2 54.3% 6 14.6% 3.8

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Victor Bolden Jr. WR 5'9, 183 SR 87 46 536 2 11.7 6.2 52.9% 34.5% 25.8%
Seth Collins WR 6'3, 188 SO 65 36 420 1 11.7 6.5 55.4% 33.8% 19.3%
Jordan Villamin WR 6'5, 220 JR 40 21 253 1 12.1 6.3 52.5% 37.5% 11.9%
Timmy Hernandez WR 6'0, 195 SO 38 20 274 1 13.7 7.2 52.6% 36.8% 11.3%
Ryan Nall RB 6'2, 234 SO 34 22 211 2 9.6 6.2 64.7% 29.4% 10.1%
Artavis Pierce RB 5'11, 201 FR 26 21 132 1 6.3 5.1 80.8% 26.9% 7.7%
Paul Lucas WR 5'11, 188 SO 9 5 76 0 15.2 8.4 55.6% 44.4% 2.7%
Trevon Bradford WR 6'0, 183 FR 9 5 60 1 12.0 6.7 55.6% 44.4% 2.7%
Hunter Jarmon WR 5'11, 190 JR 8 5 44 1 8.8 5.5 62.5% 37.5% 2.4%
Ricky Ortiz TE 6'0, 232 SR 6 5 34 1 6.8 5.7 83.3% 66.7% 1.8%
Noah Togiai TE 6'4, 244 SO 4 4 31 1 7.8 7.8 100.0% 100.0% 1.2%
Tim Cook RB 6'1, 233 SR 4 2 28 1 14.0 7.0 50.0% 50.0% 1.2%
Xavier Hawkins WR 5'8, 183 JR 4 2 13 0 6.5 3.3 50.0% 50.0% 1.2%
Landry Payne S 6'0, 195 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Tuli Wily-Matagi TE 6'4, 254 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 107.1 42 95.7 82 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.4% 82 50.7% 106 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.15 51 1.08 53 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.26 26 3.51 124 2.98
SD Sack Rate 5.7% 86 2.8% 109 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 88.2 105 106.9 46 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 26.3% 113 30.5% 57 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.80 52 1.71 57 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.00 91 2.93 35 3.24
PD Sack Rate 7.1% 52 7.6% 64 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 106.9 53 93.7 90
Q2 S&P+ 95.2 88 98.0 76
Q3 S&P+ 110.8 37 97.4 75
Q4 S&P+ 85.3 116 109.1 33
1st Down S&P+ 108.1 41 98.4 69
2nd Down S&P+ 100.6 73 100.5 63
3rd Down S&P+ 87.4 108 103.8 60
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.6% 50 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 30.0% 91 34.6%
Adj. Pace -5.5 109 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.3% 32 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.9% 86 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.8% 31 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.0% 107 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 1.4% 127 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 5.3% 32 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.3% 61 6.4%
PD to INC 30.1% 97 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Caleb Saulo ILB 6'1, 235 SR 72.0 10.3% 7.5 4.0 1 3 2
Manase Hungalu ILB 6'1, 232 JR 66.0 9.5% 3.0 0.0 1 4 0
Xavier Crawford CB 6'1, 188 FR 60.0 8.6% 2.0 1.0 1 10 1
Devin Chappell S 6'2, 203 SR 57.5 8.2% 6.0 1.0 1 7 4
Brandon Arnold S 5'11, 206 JR 54.0 7.7% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0
Treston Decoud CB 6'3, 208 SR 52.0 7.5% 2.0 0.0 2 10 0
Bright Ugwoegbu OLB 6'2, 226 SO 43.0 6.2% 11.0 5.5 0 2 1
Jonathan Willis OLB 6'1, 228 SO 21.5 3.1% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Andrzej Hughes-Murray OLB 6'2, 237 FR 19.5 2.8% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0
Baker Pritchard DE 6'3, 272 JR 18.5 2.7% 1.5 0.5 0 3 0
Phillip Napoleon DE 6'4, 284 JR 18.5 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Kendall Hill CB 6'2, 204 JR 18.0 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jalen Moore S 6'0, 212 FR 18.0 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 2
Dwayne Williams CB 5'9, 180 SO 15.5 2.2% 2.0 1.0 0 1 0
Elu Aydon DT 6'3, 327 FR 15.5 2.2% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Titus Failauga OLB 6'3, 249 JR 14.5 2.1% 3.0 2.0 0 0 1
Kyle Haley ILB 6'0, 228 SR 13.5 1.9% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0
Kalani Vakameilalo DT 6'3, 311 SO 13.5 1.9% 2.0 2.0 0 1 0
Paisa Savea DT 6'4, 293 JR 12.5 1.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Shemiah Unutoa-Whitson OLB 6'2, 226 FR 10.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Omar Hicks-Onu S 6'1, 198 FR 10.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Drew Kell S 6'1, 198 SO 9.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Sumner Houston DE 6'2, 289 SO 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Ricky Ortiz TE 6'0, 232 SR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Noke Tago DT 6'4, 303 SR 6.0 0.9% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.7 88
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.30 106
Punt Success Rate 62.1% 36
Kickoff Success Rate 69.5% 78
Punt Return Success Rate 33.3% 116
Kick Return Success Rate 44.4% 60
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Garrett Owens 5'9, 182 JR 37-38 10-17 58.8%
Jordan Choukair 6'1, 194 FR 0-0 1-1 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Nick Porebski 5'10, 198 JR 64 41.3 5 27 18 70.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Adley Rutschman 6'1, 206 FR 53 61.0 20 37.7% 1 2 3 1
Garrett Owens 5'9, 182 JR 4 57.0 0 0.0% 0 1 1 0
Jordan Choukair 6'1, 194 FR 1 65.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Victor Bolden Jr. 5'9, 183 SR 14 4.6 0 8 2 (0)
Rahmel Dockery 5'10, 191 SR 5 10.4 0 4 0 (0)
Andre Bodden 6'0, 180 FR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Victor Bolden Jr. 5'9, 183 SR 27 23.8 1 0 1 (0)
Jaylynn Bailey 5'9, 223 JR 3 23.3 0 0 1 (0)
Paul Lucas 5'11, 188 SO 2 20.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics