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2016 New Mexico State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

NMSU Aggies (Sun Belt)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 119
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at UTEP 122 22-38 L 1% -18.4 6% 15% 18%
10-Sep New Mexico 81 32-31 W 40% -1.9 43% 22% 81%
17-Sep at Kentucky 67 42-62 L 3% -15.4 18% 75% 6%
24-Sep at Troy 63 6-52 L 0% -22.2 14% 35% 24%
1-Oct UL-Lafayette 102 37-31 W 63% 2.6 45% 56% 36%
15-Oct at Idaho 89 23-55 L 0% -22.6 8% 54% 4%
22-Oct Georgia Southern 91 19-22 L 37% -2.6 37% 33% 59%
29-Oct at Texas A&M 24 10-52 L 0% -27.6 14% 17% 21%
12-Nov at Arkansas State 80 22-41 L 1% -19.3 13% 53% 11%
19-Nov Texas State 128 50-10 W 100% 37.7 73% 83% 65%
26-Nov Appalachian State 40 7-37 L 0% -31.6 11% 31% 21%
3-Dec at South Alabama 93 28-35 L 13% -8.8 26% 68% 5%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.7 91 38.9 120
Points Per Game 24.8 96 38.8 120
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.24 82 1.39 117 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.8% 100 46.1% 110 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.1 103 31.2 102 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.09 99 4.84 100 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.54 97 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.89
ACTUAL 1 54
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 109.1 41 95.1 87 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 47.4% 23 44.8% 84 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.03 83 1.20 109 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 107.1 43 99.1 73 100.0
Opportunity Rate 45.6% 6 39.9% 77 39.7%
Power Success Rate 64.3% 85 62.5% 30 67.9%
Stuff Rate 21.2% 100 20.2% 47 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Larry Rose III RB 5'11, 190 JR 160 865 4 5.4 5.4 43.8% 2 (0)
Tyler Rogers QB 6'3, 218 SR 93 548 4 5.9 4.0 52.7% 2 (0)
Xavier Hall RB 5'8, 185 SR 80 396 1 5.0 3.0 46.3% 1 (0)
Jason Huntley RB 5'9, 165 FR 40 167 1 4.2 2.9 40.0% 0 (0)
Conner Cramer QB 6'2, 195 JR 19 198 1 10.4 12.0 52.6% 1 (1)
Gamar Girdy WR 5'9, 190 FR 10 64 0 6.4 12.2 30.0% 2 (1)
Royce Caldwell WR 5'8, 172 SO 7 35 0 5.0 4.6 42.9% 0 (0)
Nick Jeanty QB 6'2, 204 SO 4 1 0 0.3 4.1 25.0% 1 (1)
Sebastian Anderson OL 6'6, 290 FR 2 1 1 0.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 81.4 119 79.3 126 100.0
Passing Success Rate 33.3% 122 48.0% 123 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.49 58 1.63 117 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 71.1 110 45.1 125 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Rogers 6'3, 218 SR 224 404 2603 16 12 55.4% 31 7.1% 5.5
Conner Cramer 6'2, 195 JR 17 39 188 2 3 43.6% 3 7.1% 4.1
Nick Jeanty 6'2, 204 SO 10 15 108 2 0 66.7% 1 6.3% 6.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Gregory Hogan WR 6'1, 190 JR 76 32 377 3 11.8 5.0 42.1% 30.3% 17.4%
OJ Clark WR 5'7, 160 FR 63 43 338 1 7.9 5.4 68.3% 34.9% 14.4%
Jaleel Scott WR 6'6, 215 JR 45 23 283 5 12.3 6.3 51.1% 40.0% 10.3%
Izaiah Lottie WR 6'0, 193 FR 44 26 339 2 13.0 7.7 59.1% 43.2% 10.1%
Johnathan Boone WR 6'3, 185 SO 44 22 323 4 14.7 7.3 50.0% 29.5% 10.1%
Tyrian Taylor WR 5'9, 160 SR 40 22 391 2 17.8 9.8 55.0% 37.5% 9.2%
Larry Rose III RB 5'11, 190 JR 31 25 180 0 7.2 5.8 80.6% 48.4% 7.1%
Royce Caldwell WR 5'8, 172 SO 18 11 217 1 19.7 12.1 61.1% 50.0% 4.1%
Anthony Muse WR 6'0, 163 FR 17 10 100 1 10.0 5.9 58.8% 41.2% 3.9%
Xavier Hall RB 5'8, 185 SR 15 11 136 0 12.4 9.1 73.3% 40.0% 3.4%
Josh Aganon WR 5'10, 185 JR 14 8 71 0 8.9 5.1 57.1% 35.7% 3.2%
Clayton Granch TE 6'3, 255 SR 11 6 101 2 16.8 9.2 54.5% 45.5% 2.5%
Jason Huntley RB 5'9, 165 FR 10 8 35 0 4.4 3.5 80.0% 40.0% 2.3%
Cameron Loos TE 6'3, 235 FR 4 2 32 0 16.0 8.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.9%
Jackson Solbeck TE 6'4, 260 SO 2 2 12 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Tyler Rogers QB 6'3, 218 SR 1 1 9 1 9.0 9.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 92.1 101 88.7 113 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.1% 103 50.3% 100 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.09 77 1.27 121 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.93 77 3.04 79 2.98
SD Sack Rate 6.8% 104 2.8% 109 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 100.1 74 85.1 114 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.3% 45 35.5% 114 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.60 109 1.83 100 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 4.20 3 3.31 72 3.24
PD Sack Rate 9.8% 98 2.3% 127 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 96.2 87 86.1 115
Q2 S&P+ 96.0 85 91.8 97
Q3 S&P+ 92.0 97 87.2 116
Q4 S&P+ 96.0 94 83.5 121
1st Down S&P+ 95.2 87 89.9 108
2nd Down S&P+ 89.4 110 92.9 97
3rd Down S&P+ 98.7 84 73.7 127
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.4% 94 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 31.5% 80 34.6%
Adj. Pace +3.5 28 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 65.2% 120 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.3% 18 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.9% 43 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.7% 98 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 2.9% 113 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 5.9% 17 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.8% 117 6.4%
PD to INC 31.3% 85 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Rodney Butler LB 6'1, 240 SR 114.0 15.3% 8.0 0.0 1 2 3
Dalton Herrington LB 6'2, 225 JR 80.0 10.7% 5.5 0.0 1 3 1
Terrill Hanks LB 6'3, 230 SO 70.5 9.4% 12.5 2.0 2 5 2
Jacob Nwangwa DB 6'0, 207 JR 60.5 8.1% 5.5 0.0 0 3 0
Jaden Wright DB 6'0, 215 JR 56.5 7.6% 2.5 0.0 5 2 4
Shamad Lomax DB 5'10, 195 FR 51.0 6.8% 4.5 1.0 2 1 0
Kourtland Busby DL 6'3, 255 JR 28.0 3.7% 5.5 1.0 0 0 0
DeMarcus Owens DB 5'10, 181 SO 24.0 3.2% 1.5 0.0 1 6 1
Jassavia Reese DL 6'4, 265 SO 23.5 3.1% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0
Jared Phipps DB 5'9, 165 FR 23.0 3.1% 0.5 0.0 1 2 0
Stody Bradley DL 6'2, 254 JR 22.0 2.9% 6.5 1.0 0 0 1
Austin Perkins DB 5'9, 175 FR 21.0 2.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Tymon Locklin DB 6'2, 200 SO 17.0 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Noah Brown DL 6'1, 230 SR 16.5 2.2% 4.5 2.0 0 1 1
Derek Ibekwe LB 6'0, 243 JR 13.0 1.7% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Roy Lopez DL 6'2, 290 FR 12.5 1.7% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Robert Wagner LB 6'1, 251 SR 11.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Cedric Wilcots II DL 6'4, 265 FR 10.5 1.4% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Samuel Oyenuga DB 5'11, 198 SR 9.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Drew James DL 6'2, 310 SR 7.5 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0
Jerrion Burton DB 5'11, 175 JR 7.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Dalton Rocha LB 6'1, 253 JR 7.0 0.9% 5.0 2.0 0 0 0
Gamar Girdy WR 5'9, 190 FR 6.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jonathan Hood LB 6'0, 215 SO 6.0 0.8% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
DeShawnte Lloyd DL 6'1, 325 JR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.8 93
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.14 47
Punt Success Rate 44.9% 111
Kickoff Success Rate 72.9% 66
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 21.4% 126
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Parker Davidson 5'11, 164 SO 29-34 15-19 78.9%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Payton Theisler 5'8, 160 FR 74 41.6 2 19 17 48.6%
Tyler Rogers 6'3, 218 SR 1 21.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Parker Davidson 5'11, 164 SO 58 62.4 27 46.6% 0 1 1 0
Sy Slater 6'1, 184 FR 1 67.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tyrian Taylor 5'9, 160 SR 2 2.0 0 9 0 (0)
Jaden Wright 6'0, 215 JR 2 6.0 0 5 0 (0)
OJ Clark 5'7, 160 FR 1 5.0 0 5 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Gregory Hogan 6'1, 190 JR 12 15.0 0 0 1 (1)
Tyrian Taylor 5'9, 160 SR 8 19.3 0 0 0 (0)
Jason Huntley 5'9, 165 FR 4 22.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics