Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
NMSU Aggies (Sun Belt)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 119 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | at UTEP | 122 | 22-38 | L | 1% | -18.4 | 6% | 15% | 18% |
| 10-Sep | New Mexico | 81 | 32-31 | W | 40% | -1.9 | 43% | 22% | 81% |
| 17-Sep | at Kentucky | 67 | 42-62 | L | 3% | -15.4 | 18% | 75% | 6% |
| 24-Sep | at Troy | 63 | 6-52 | L | 0% | -22.2 | 14% | 35% | 24% |
| 1-Oct | UL-Lafayette | 102 | 37-31 | W | 63% | 2.6 | 45% | 56% | 36% |
| 15-Oct | at Idaho | 89 | 23-55 | L | 0% | -22.6 | 8% | 54% | 4% |
| 22-Oct | Georgia Southern | 91 | 19-22 | L | 37% | -2.6 | 37% | 33% | 59% |
| 29-Oct | at Texas A&M | 24 | 10-52 | L | 0% | -27.6 | 14% | 17% | 21% |
| 12-Nov | at Arkansas State | 80 | 22-41 | L | 1% | -19.3 | 13% | 53% | 11% |
| 19-Nov | Texas State | 128 | 50-10 | W | 100% | 37.7 | 73% | 83% | 65% |
| 26-Nov | Appalachian State | 40 | 7-37 | L | 0% | -31.6 | 11% | 31% | 21% |
| 3-Dec | at South Alabama | 93 | 28-35 | L | 13% | -8.8 | 26% | 68% | 5% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 25.7 | 91 | 38.9 | 120 |
| Points Per Game | 24.8 | 96 | 38.8 | 120 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.24 | 82 | 1.39 | 117 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 39.8% | 100 | 46.1% | 110 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 28.1 | 103 | 31.2 | 102 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.09 | 99 | 4.84 | 100 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -3.54 | 97 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.89 |
||
| ACTUAL | 1 | 54 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 109.1 | 41 | 95.1 | 87 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 47.4% | 23 | 44.8% | 84 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.03 | 83 | 1.20 | 109 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 107.1 | 43 | 99.1 | 73 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 45.6% | 6 | 39.9% | 77 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 64.3% | 85 | 62.5% | 30 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.2% | 100 | 20.2% | 47 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Larry Rose III | RB | 5'11, 190 | JR | 160 | 865 | 4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 43.8% | 2 (0) |
| Tyler Rogers | QB | 6'3, 218 | SR | 93 | 548 | 4 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 52.7% | 2 (0) |
| Xavier Hall | RB | 5'8, 185 | SR | 80 | 396 | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 46.3% | 1 (0) |
| Jason Huntley | RB | 5'9, 165 | FR | 40 | 167 | 1 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 40.0% | 0 (0) |
| Conner Cramer | QB | 6'2, 195 | JR | 19 | 198 | 1 | 10.4 | 12.0 | 52.6% | 1 (1) |
| Gamar Girdy | WR | 5'9, 190 | FR | 10 | 64 | 0 | 6.4 | 12.2 | 30.0% | 2 (1) |
| Royce Caldwell | WR | 5'8, 172 | SO | 7 | 35 | 0 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 42.9% | 0 (0) |
| Nick Jeanty | QB | 6'2, 204 | SO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 4.1 | 25.0% | 1 (1) |
| Sebastian Anderson | OL | 6'6, 290 | FR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 81.4 | 119 | 79.3 | 126 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 33.3% | 122 | 48.0% | 123 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.49 | 58 | 1.63 | 117 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 71.1 | 110 | 45.1 | 125 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Tyler Rogers | 6'3, 218 | SR | 224 | 404 | 2603 | 16 | 12 | 55.4% | 31 | 7.1% | 5.5 |
| Conner Cramer | 6'2, 195 | JR | 17 | 39 | 188 | 2 | 3 | 43.6% | 3 | 7.1% | 4.1 |
| Nick Jeanty | 6'2, 204 | SO | 10 | 15 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 66.7% | 1 | 6.3% | 6.6 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Gregory Hogan | WR | 6'1, 190 | JR | 76 | 32 | 377 | 3 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 42.1% | 30.3% | 17.4% |
| OJ Clark | WR | 5'7, 160 | FR | 63 | 43 | 338 | 1 | 7.9 | 5.4 | 68.3% | 34.9% | 14.4% |
| Jaleel Scott | WR | 6'6, 215 | JR | 45 | 23 | 283 | 5 | 12.3 | 6.3 | 51.1% | 40.0% | 10.3% |
| Izaiah Lottie | WR | 6'0, 193 | FR | 44 | 26 | 339 | 2 | 13.0 | 7.7 | 59.1% | 43.2% | 10.1% |
| Johnathan Boone | WR | 6'3, 185 | SO | 44 | 22 | 323 | 4 | 14.7 | 7.3 | 50.0% | 29.5% | 10.1% |
| Tyrian Taylor | WR | 5'9, 160 | SR | 40 | 22 | 391 | 2 | 17.8 | 9.8 | 55.0% | 37.5% | 9.2% |
| Larry Rose III | RB | 5'11, 190 | JR | 31 | 25 | 180 | 0 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 80.6% | 48.4% | 7.1% |
| Royce Caldwell | WR | 5'8, 172 | SO | 18 | 11 | 217 | 1 | 19.7 | 12.1 | 61.1% | 50.0% | 4.1% |
| Anthony Muse | WR | 6'0, 163 | FR | 17 | 10 | 100 | 1 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 58.8% | 41.2% | 3.9% |
| Xavier Hall | RB | 5'8, 185 | SR | 15 | 11 | 136 | 0 | 12.4 | 9.1 | 73.3% | 40.0% | 3.4% |
| Josh Aganon | WR | 5'10, 185 | JR | 14 | 8 | 71 | 0 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 57.1% | 35.7% | 3.2% |
| Clayton Granch | TE | 6'3, 255 | SR | 11 | 6 | 101 | 2 | 16.8 | 9.2 | 54.5% | 45.5% | 2.5% |
| Jason Huntley | RB | 5'9, 165 | FR | 10 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 80.0% | 40.0% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Loos | TE | 6'3, 235 | FR | 4 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Solbeck | TE | 6'4, 260 | SO | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Rogers | QB | 6'3, 218 | SR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 92.1 | 101 | 88.7 | 113 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 44.1% | 103 | 50.3% | 100 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.09 | 77 | 1.27 | 121 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.93 | 77 | 3.04 | 79 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 6.8% | 104 | 2.8% | 109 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 100.1 | 74 | 85.1 | 114 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 32.3% | 45 | 35.5% | 114 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.60 | 109 | 1.83 | 100 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 4.20 | 3 | 3.31 | 72 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 9.8% | 98 | 2.3% | 127 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 96.2 | 87 | 86.1 | 115 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 96.0 | 85 | 91.8 | 97 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 92.0 | 97 | 87.2 | 116 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 96.0 | 94 | 83.5 | 121 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 95.2 | 87 | 89.9 | 108 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 89.4 | 110 | 92.9 | 97 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 98.7 | 84 | 73.7 | 127 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 54.4% | 94 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 31.5% | 80 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +3.5 | 28 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 65.2% | 120 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 66.3% | 18 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 36.9% | 43 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 13.7% | 98 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 2.9% | 113 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 5.9% | 17 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.8% | 117 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 31.3% | 85 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Rodney Butler | LB | 6'1, 240 | SR | 114.0 | 15.3% | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Dalton Herrington | LB | 6'2, 225 | JR | 80.0 | 10.7% | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Terrill Hanks | LB | 6'3, 230 | SO | 70.5 | 9.4% | 12.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Jacob Nwangwa | DB | 6'0, 207 | JR | 60.5 | 8.1% | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jaden Wright | DB | 6'0, 215 | JR | 56.5 | 7.6% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Shamad Lomax | DB | 5'10, 195 | FR | 51.0 | 6.8% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Kourtland Busby | DL | 6'3, 255 | JR | 28.0 | 3.7% | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeMarcus Owens | DB | 5'10, 181 | SO | 24.0 | 3.2% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Jassavia Reese | DL | 6'4, 265 | SO | 23.5 | 3.1% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Phipps | DB | 5'9, 165 | FR | 23.0 | 3.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Stody Bradley | DL | 6'2, 254 | JR | 22.0 | 2.9% | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Austin Perkins | DB | 5'9, 175 | FR | 21.0 | 2.8% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tymon Locklin | DB | 6'2, 200 | SO | 17.0 | 2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Brown | DL | 6'1, 230 | SR | 16.5 | 2.2% | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Derek Ibekwe | LB | 6'0, 243 | JR | 13.0 | 1.7% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roy Lopez | DL | 6'2, 290 | FR | 12.5 | 1.7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Wagner | LB | 6'1, 251 | SR | 11.5 | 1.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cedric Wilcots II | DL | 6'4, 265 | FR | 10.5 | 1.4% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samuel Oyenuga | DB | 5'11, 198 | SR | 9.0 | 1.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drew James | DL | 6'2, 310 | SR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jerrion Burton | DB | 5'11, 175 | JR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalton Rocha | LB | 6'1, 253 | JR | 7.0 | 0.9% | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gamar Girdy | WR | 5'9, 190 | FR | 6.5 | 0.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Hood | LB | 6'0, 215 | SO | 6.0 | 0.8% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeShawnte Lloyd | DL | 6'1, 325 | JR | 5.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.8 | 93 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.14 | 47 |
| Punt Success Rate | 44.9% | 111 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 72.9% | 66 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 58 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 21.4% | 126 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Parker Davidson | 5'11, 164 | SO | 29-34 | 15-19 | 78.9% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Payton Theisler | 5'8, 160 | FR | 74 | 41.6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 48.6% |
| Tyler Rogers | 6'3, 218 | SR | 1 | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Parker Davidson | 5'11, 164 | SO | 58 | 62.4 | 27 | 46.6% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sy Slater | 6'1, 184 | FR | 1 | 67.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Tyrian Taylor | 5'9, 160 | SR | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 (0) |
| Jaden Wright | 6'0, 215 | JR | 2 | 6.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 (0) |
| OJ Clark | 5'7, 160 | FR | 1 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Gregory Hogan | 6'1, 190 | JR | 12 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Tyrian Taylor | 5'9, 160 | SR | 8 | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Jason Huntley | 5'9, 165 | FR | 4 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics