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2016 Central Florida advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

UCF Golden Knights (American East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.0 (0.0) | S&P+ Rk: 75
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
3-Sep SC State N/A 38-0 W 100% 23.5 59% 5% 70%
10-Sep at Michigan 3 14-51 L 0% -35.3 20% 42% 39%
17-Sep Maryland 87 24-30 L 45% -1.0 39% 37% 52%
24-Sep at Florida International 120 53-14 W 100% 28.9 84% 85% 89%
1-Oct at East Carolina 100 47-29 W 61% 2.2 42% 33% 58%
15-Oct Temple 32 25-26 L 29% -4.4 55% 61% 81%
22-Oct at Connecticut 123 24-16 W 71% 4.3 36% 41% 29%
29-Oct at Houston 39 24-31 L 4% -13.6 31% 28% 73%
5-Nov Tulane 106 37-6 W 84% 7.7 56% 36% 70%
12-Nov Cincinnati 85 24-3 W 98% 16.6 77% 30% 90%
19-Nov Tulsa 54 20-35 L 0% -22.7 15% 9% 50%
26-Nov at South Florida 55 31-48 L 8% -10.9 33% 30% 67%
17-Dec vs. Arkansas State 80 13-31 L 4% -13.9 20% 21% 65%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 20.5 117 23.6 30
Points Per Game 28.8 66 24.6 42
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.16 114 1.29 90 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 35.2% 124 36.9% 23 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.2 54 33.9 125 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.21 89 3.71 15 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 5.58 22 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.76
ACTUAL 1 54
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 82.8 120 96.8 79 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 35.2% 122 40.5% 40 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.01 92 1.14 98 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 77.2 127 98.3 75 100.0
Opportunity Rate 32.3% 119 35.3% 31 39.7%
Power Success Rate 62.7% 97 64.4% 40 67.9%
Stuff Rate 26.7% 127 20.8% 42 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Jawon Hamilton RB 5'9, 190 FR 139 495 4 3.6 4.7 25.2% 4 (3)
Dontravious Wilson RB 5'10, 210 SR 120 463 8 3.9 4.9 29.2% 1 (0)
McKenzie Milton QB 5'11, 170 FR 75 365 3 4.9 4.6 46.7% 8 (5)
Adrian Killins RB 5'8, 155 FR 50 325 4 6.5 15.6 28.0% 1 (1)
Taj McGowan RB 6'1, 202 SO 35 156 2 4.5 5.5 31.4% 0 (0)
Justin Holman QB 6'4, 225 SR 29 174 2 6.0 7.7 37.9% 3 (2)
Nick Patti QB 5'11, 195 SR 9 57 1 6.3 7.9 44.4% 1 (0)
C.J. Jones RB 5'10, 220 SO 6 29 1 4.8 2.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Cedric Jordan-Williams RB 5'9, 226 JR 6 24 0 4.0 2.3 50.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 85.6 108 116.6 19 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.2% 114 32.6% 8 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.30 115 1.51 86 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 93.1 85 144 13 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
McKenzie Milton 5'11, 170 FR 194 336 1983 10 7 57.7% 25 6.9% 4.9
Justin Holman 6'4, 225 SR 36 83 510 3 2 43.4% 9 9.8% 5.0
Nick Patti 5'11, 195 SR 12 23 137 0 0 52.2% 2 8.0% 5.1
Pete DiNovo 6'2, 202 JR 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tre'Quan Smith WR 6'1, 200 SO 106 57 853 5 15.0 8.1 53.8% 41.5% 24.9%
Taylor Oldham WR 6'2, 205 SR 51 35 366 1 10.5 7.2 68.6% 52.9% 12.0%
Jordan Akins TE 6'3, 237 SO 35 23 347 2 15.1 9.9 65.7% 62.9% 8.2%
Cam Stewart WR 6'3, 195 SO 34 18 172 0 9.6 5.1 52.9% 50.0% 8.0%
Jordan Franks TE 6'3, 225 JR 28 11 143 0 13.0 5.1 39.3% 28.6% 6.6%
Jawon Hamilton RB 5'9, 190 FR 28 17 73 0 4.3 2.6 60.7% 21.4% 6.6%
Adrian Killins RB 5'8, 155 FR 27 18 198 2 11.0 7.3 66.7% 29.6% 6.3%
Dredrick Snelson WR 6'0, 190 FR 26 17 136 2 8.0 5.2 65.4% 38.5% 6.1%
Tristan Payton WR 6'0, 186 SO 21 12 132 1 11.0 6.3 57.1% 47.6% 4.9%
Dontravious Wilson RB 5'10, 210 SR 19 11 78 1 7.1 4.1 57.9% 36.8% 4.5%
Jaquarius Bargnare WR 5'9, 191 FR 18 6 15 0 2.5 0.8 33.3% 5.6% 4.2%
Taj McGowan RB 6'1, 202 SO 9 6 48 0 8.0 5.3 66.7% 33.3% 2.1%
Hayden Jones WR 5'10, 180 SR 8 5 70 0 14.0 8.8 62.5% 37.5% 1.9%
Cal Bloom TE 6'4, 250 SR 5 2 20 0 10.0 4.0 40.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Michael Colubiale TE 6'1, 225 JR 3 2 17 0 8.5 5.7 66.7% 66.7% 0.7%
D'erren Wilson WR 6'3, 200 SO 2 1 29 0 29.0 14.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 86.6 114 103.2 49 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 43.3% 113 43.8% 36 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.91 127 1.10 59 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.12 127 2.90 57 2.98
SD Sack Rate 5.2% 70 7.5% 13 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 81.9 118 113.6 28 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 20.8% 128 23.1% 9 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.09 8 2.02 121 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.60 116 2.76 24 3.24
PD Sack Rate 9.6% 96 10.9% 11 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 85.1 107 111.3 33
Q2 S&P+ 86.9 114 120.3 18
Q3 S&P+ 100.3 68 112.1 28
Q4 S&P+ 86.8 110 108.0 40
1st Down S&P+ 90.1 109 101.7 56
2nd Down S&P+ 91.2 106 112.2 32
3rd Down S&P+ 83.6 113 130.8 7
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.7% 85 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 36.1% 40 34.6%
Adj. Pace +3.1 31 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.6% 69 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.6% 33 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 35.9% 54 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.1% 9 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.1% 83 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 9.3% 1 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.6% 47 6.4%
PD to INC 40.2% 7 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Shaquem Griffin LB 6'1, 213 JR 74.5 9.6% 20.0 11.5 1 7 2
Mark Rucker LB 5'9, 217 SR 73.0 9.4% 11.5 3.5 0 2 1
Demeitre Brim LB 6'3, 228 SR 58.0 7.4% 6.5 1.0 0 3 2
T.J. Mutcherson DB 5'11, 195 SR 57.5 7.4% 3.5 1.0 2 2 1
Errol Clarke LB 6'3, 230 SR 53.0 6.8% 12.5 6.5 0 3 2
Drico Johnson DB 6'1, 215 SR 52.0 6.7% 2.5 0.0 2 6 1
Tony Guerad DL 6'3, 275 JR 45.0 5.8% 10.0 3.5 0 1 1
Shaquill Griffin DB 6'1, 200 SR 40.0 5.1% 3.0 0.0 4 15 0
D.J. Killings DB 6'0, 185 SR 36.0 4.6% 3.0 1.0 3 11 0
Pat Jasinski LB 6'1, 220 SO 32.5 4.2% 4.5 3.5 0 0 0
Chequan Burkett LB 6'2, 230 JR 29.0 3.7% 1.5 0.0 0 3 0
Kyle Gibson DB 5'11, 182 SO 21.5 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Jamiyus Pittman DL 6'0, 295 JR 21.0 2.7% 4.5 2.0 0 1 0
Joey Connors DL 6'1, 285 SO 17.5 2.2% 2.5 1.0 0 4 1
Tre Neal DB 6'1, 200 SO 16.0 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
A.J. Wooten DL 6'4, 274 SO 15.0 1.9% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Trysten Hill DL 6'1, 295 FR 13.0 1.7% 5.0 1.0 0 0 1
Nevelle Clarke DB 6'1, 180 FR 13.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Jeremy Boykins DB 6'2, 190 SR 11.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 3 0
Justin McDonald LB 6'2, 207 SR 10.5 1.3% 3.5 1.0 0 0 1
Maurice Russell LB 5'11, 272 SR 10.5 1.3% 1.0 0.0 0 2 1
Jock Petree DL 6'1, 275 JR 9.0 1.2% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0
Titus Davis LB 6'2, 230 FR 9.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Jerod Boykins LB 6'3, 215 SR 8.5 1.1% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Seyvon Lowry DL 6'3, 245 JR 8.5 1.1% 0.5 0.0 1 2 0
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.4 13
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.37 22
Punt Success Rate 59.8% 44
Kickoff Success Rate 72.6% 67
Punt Return Success Rate 70.4% 16
Kick Return Success Rate 55.0% 20
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Matthew Wright 6'0, 185 SO 39-41 17-22 77.3%
Nick Patti 5'11, 195 SR 0-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Caleb Houston 6'1, 225 SR 74 42.1 2 30 22 70.3%
Mac Loudermilk 6'1, 228 SO 6 35.0 0 0 1 16.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Donald De La Haye 5'9, 170 SO 73 61.1 37 50.7% 0 3 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chris Johnson 5'10, 176 JR 26 6.5 0 26 2 (2)
Tre Neal 6'1, 200 SO 1 12.0 0 0 0 (0)
Justin McDonald 6'2, 207 SR 0 0.0 1 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Adrian Killins 5'8, 155 FR 18 25.1 1 0 0 (0)
Tristan Payton 6'0, 186 SO 10 17.9 0 0 0 (0)
Hayden Jones 5'10, 180 SR 6 19.8 0 0 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics