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2016 Western Kentucky advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

WKU Hilltoppers (Conference USA East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 11.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 16
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep Rice 121 46-14 W 100% 34.0 85% 82% 71%
10-Sep at Alabama 1 10-38 L 0% -22.2 41% 46% 61%
17-Sep at Miami-OH 98 31-24 W 75% 5.4 54% 63% 65%
24-Sep Vanderbilt 71 30-31 L 73% 4.9 53% 74% 35%
1-Oct Houston Baptist N/A 50-3 W 100% 45.7 75% 60% 43%
6-Oct at Louisiana Tech 59 52-55 L 7% -11.5 29% 50% 45%
15-Oct at Middle Tennessee 94 44-43 W 56% 1.3 46% 75% 48%
22-Oct Old Dominion 73 59-24 W 100% 40.4 97% 98% 98%
29-Oct at Florida Atlantic 115 52-3 W 100% 44.3 92% 83% 96%
5-Nov Florida International 120 49-21 W 100% 21.1 73% 88% 55%
12-Nov North Texas 107 45-7 W 100% 40.5 92% 80% 91%
26-Nov at Marshall 118 60-6 W 100% 53.5 95% 87% 95%
3-Dec Louisiana Tech 59 58-44 W 99% 18.5 88% 96% 72%
20-Dec vs. Memphis 44 51-31 W 97% 14.7 83% 83% 65%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 38.8 13 26.5 43
Points Per Game 45.5 1 24.6 41
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.41 13 1.28 79 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 52.4% 2 39.2% 37 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 34.3 3 27.7 27 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.90 29 4.31 49 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 3.18 42 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.42
ACTUAL 2 47
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 119.7 13 138.8 2 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 54.8% 1 33.9% 5 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.00 98 0.99 27 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 101 74 128.1 5 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.9% 23 31.5% 6 39.7%
Power Success Rate 76.0% 18 58.7% 15 67.9%
Stuff Rate 18.3% 58 24.9% 9 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Anthony Wales RB 5'10, 195 SR 237 1621 27 6.8 6.6 47.3% 2 (1)
Quinton Baker RB 5'10, 195 FR 99 542 4 5.5 7.3 34.3% 5 (4)
Marquez Trigg RB 6'0, 220 FR 71 298 2 4.2 2.9 38.0% 0 (0)
Nicholas Norris WR 5'9, 175 SR 13 222 1 17.1 17.7 69.2% 2 (1)
Mike White QB 6'4, 215 JR 11 39 0 3.5 5.4 36.4% 5 (1)
Taywan Taylor WR 6'1, 195 SR 6 36 0 6.0 7.0 50.0% 2 (1)
Nacarius Fant WR 5'9, 185 JR 6 26 0 4.3 7.0 33.3% 0 (0)
Lucky Jackson WR 6'1, 185 FR 2 14 0 7.0 1.5 100.0% 0 (0)
Forrest Lamp OL 6'4, 300 SR 1 9 1 9.0 2.5 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 133.5 5 95.2 81 100.0
Passing Success Rate 50.4% 8 42.7% 79 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.79 7 1.44 52 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 116.8 40 92.8 75 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Mike White 6'4, 215 JR 280 416 4363 37 7 67.3% 18 4.1% 9.8
Tyler Ferguson 6'4, 225 SR 19 41 234 3 0 46.3% 2 4.7% 4.7
Drew Eckels 6'4, 210 SO 6 12 118 2 0 50.0% 2 14.3% 7.8

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Taywan Taylor WR 6'1, 195 SR 144 98 1730 17 17.7 12.0 68.1% 56.2% 31.7%
Nicholas Norris WR 5'9, 175 SR 111 77 1333 14 17.3 12.0 69.4% 58.6% 24.4%
Nacarius Fant WR 5'9, 185 JR 43 29 407 2 14.0 9.5 67.4% 60.5% 9.5%
Lucky Jackson WR 6'1, 185 FR 42 26 395 2 15.2 9.4 61.9% 54.8% 9.3%
Anthony Wales RB 5'10, 195 SR 38 30 323 2 10.8 8.5 78.9% 50.0% 8.4%
Stevie Donatell TE 6'6, 235 SR 20 13 125 2 9.6 6.3 65.0% 50.0% 4.4%
Shaquille Johnson TE 6'4, 235 SR 17 9 110 2 12.2 6.5 52.9% 35.3% 3.7%
Quinton Baker RB 5'10, 195 FR 11 8 43 0 5.4 3.9 72.7% 36.4% 2.4%
Quin Jernighan WR 6'3, 205 FR 9 5 59 1 11.8 6.6 55.6% 55.6% 2.0%
Will Bush WR 5'11, 195 SO 6 2 41 0 20.5 6.8 33.3% 16.7% 1.3%
Kylen Towner WR 5'8, 175 JR 5 5 69 0 13.8 13.8 100.0% 60.0% 1.1%
Marquez Trigg RB 6'0, 220 FR 3 2 13 0 6.5 4.3 66.7% 33.3% 0.7%
Deon Yelder TE 6'4, 240 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Stephon Brown WR 5'9, 190 SR 1 1 74 0 74.0 74.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Desmond Maxwell TE 6'2, 250 SR 1 1 8 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Devin Nixon WR 6'0, 190 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 123.6 6 115.3 16 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 55.6% 4 43.6% 34 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.28 10 1.10 60 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.15 40 2.19 3 2.98
SD Sack Rate 4.7% 61 4.1% 86 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 139.3 5 96.4 84 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 44.3% 2 31.1% 63 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.82 45 1.76 77 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.74 22 2.83 29 3.24
PD Sack Rate 5.1% 22 8.2% 51 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 133.3 7 117.7 20
Q2 S&P+ 132.9 3 115.0 28
Q3 S&P+ 129.8 11 104.5 46
Q4 S&P+ 100.5 68 112.5 28
1st Down S&P+ 133.4 2 109.6 35
2nd Down S&P+ 128.6 9 131.1 5
3rd Down S&P+ 106.5 59 96.4 81
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.3% 102 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.4% 95 34.6%
Adj. Pace -4.0 99 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.3% 75 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 46.9% 127 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.5% 119 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 18.2% 26 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.8% 38 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 5.3% 33 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.6% 51 6.4%
PD to INC 39.1% 11 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Keith Brown LB 6'1, 240 SR 95.5 12.2% 13.0 6.0 2 9 0
Branden Leston DB 6'3, 205 SR 78.0 10.0% 1.0 0.0 1 9 0
T.J. McCollum LB 6'3, 240 JR 65.0 8.3% 4.0 0.0 0 3 1
Joel Iyiegbuniwe LB 6'2, 225 SO 51.5 6.6% 10.0 3.5 0 3 1
Joe Brown DB 5'10, 195 JR 38.5 4.9% 4.0 2.0 1 10 1
Leverick Johnson DB 6'1, 185 JR 38.5 4.9% 2.0 0.0 2 8 0
Chris Johnson DL 6'2, 290 JR 31.5 4.0% 12.5 4.0 0 0 0
Ben Holt RB 5'11, 220 FR 28.5 3.7% 1.0 0.5 1 3 0
Nick Dawson-Brents DL 6'3, 275 SR 27.5 3.5% 11.0 7.0 0 6 1
Juwan Gardner DB 6'1, 205 JR 27.5 3.5% 0.5 0.0 0 4 0
Omarius Bryant DL 6'3, 310 SR 27.0 3.5% 9.5 3.0 0 1 0
De'Andre Simmons DB 5'11, 195 JR 26.0 3.3% 0.0 0.0 1 8 0
Masai Whyte LB 6'0, 220 SO 25.5 3.3% 2.0 1.0 0 0 1
Drew Davis LB 6'1, 225 SR 25.0 3.2% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0
Derik Overstreet DL 6'2, 255 JR 24.5 3.1% 8.5 4.0 1 0 0
Devante Duclos DL 6'1, 240 SR 19.0 2.4% 1.0 0.5 0 1 0
Drell Greene DB 6'1, 200 SO 18.0 2.3% 1.5 1.0 0 2 0
Nathan Roush DB 6'2, 190 SO 14.5 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jason Johnson DB 6'0, 205 FR 14.0 1.8% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0
Daeshawn Bertram LB 5'11, 225 JR 12.0 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1
Tanner Reeves DL 6'4, 255 JR 11.5 1.5% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Julien Lewis DL 6'3, 300 SO 10.5 1.3% 1.5 0.5 0 0 1
Martavius Mims DB 6'1, 205 SO 8.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Kylen Towner WR 5'8, 175 JR 7.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
DeAndre Farris DB 5'10, 190 SO 7.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.5 43
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.10 86
Punt Success Rate 60.0% 43
Kickoff Success Rate 76.4% 49
Punt Return Success Rate 53.3% 48
Kick Return Success Rate 62.5% 6
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Skyler Simcox 6'0, 175 SO 70-71 16-22 72.7%
Ryan Nuss 5'10, 190 SO 8-9 5-8 62.5%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jake Collins 6'1, 200 SO 39 42.7 5 7 9 41.0%
Joseph Occhipinti 6'3, 190 SR 1 35.0 0 1 0 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Alex Rinella 6'1, 220 FR 100 61.7 27 27.0% 1 1 1 0
Josh Cole 6'0, 200 SO 8 60.4 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Ryan Nuss 5'10, 190 SO 2 62.5 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Nacarius Fant 5'9, 185 JR 11 15.6 2 16 0 (0)
Kylen Towner 5'8, 175 JR 3 20.7 1 19 1 (1)
Shaquille Johnson 6'4, 235 SR 1 35.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Kylen Towner 5'8, 175 JR 26 40.3 1 0 3 (1)
Shaquille Johnson 6'4, 235 SR 8 6.4 0 1 1 (1)
Stevie Donatell 6'6, 235 SR 6 7.2 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics