clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 USC advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

USC Trojans (Pac-12 South)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.4 (-0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 9
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep vs. Alabama 1 6-52 L 0% -39.5 33% 18% 29%
10-Sep Utah State 70 45-7 W 100% 25.2 95% 75% 94%
17-Sep at Stanford 23 10-27 L 7% -11.7 48% 51% 26%
23-Sep at Utah 43 27-31 L 44% -1.2 67% 77% 29%
1-Oct Arizona State 83 41-20 W 100% 28.7 93% 68% 83%
8-Oct Colorado 18 21-17 W 85% 8.0 89% 79% 68%
15-Oct at Arizona 96 48-14 W 100% 28.6 93% 73% 82%
27-Oct California 51 45-24 W 100% 22.7 95% 88% 88%
5-Nov Oregon 74 45-20 W 100% 23.6 93% 64% 94%
12-Nov at Washington 7 26-13 W 96% 13.3 97% 86% 96%
19-Nov at UCLA 58 36-14 W 98% 15.7 90% 90% 67%
26-Nov Notre Dame 26 45-27 W 68% 3.7 81% 73% 56%
2-Jan vs. Penn State 8 52-49 W 46% -0.7 81% 90% 27%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 39.1 12 21.0 20
Points Per Game 34.4 36 24.2 38
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.23 83 1.35 107 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 49.0% 9 36.4% 17 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.7 41 27.4 26 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.57 65 4.70 88 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.6 66 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.23
ACTUAL 0 67
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 117.1 15 119.7 16 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 46.5% 32 37.0% 19 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.06 62 1.17 104 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 112.6 21 111.1 28 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.5% 71 33.3% 15 39.7%
Power Success Rate 65.9% 76 78.0% 121 67.9%
Stuff Rate 19.4% 76 18.0% 80 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Ronald Jones II TB 6'1, 195 SO 177 1082 12 6.1 7.6 38.4% 1 (1)
Justin Davis TB 6'1, 200 SR 110 607 2 5.5 6.0 39.1% 2 (2)
Aca'Cedric Ware TB 6'0, 195 SO 78 397 2 5.1 4.7 34.6% 0 (0)
Sam Darnold QB 6'4, 225 FR 56 291 2 5.2 3.2 50.0% 8 (5)
Dominic Davis TB 5'10, 180 SO 23 132 0 5.7 16.5 26.1% 0 (0)
James Toland IV TB 5'11, 195 JR 13 69 0 5.3 1.6 61.5% 0 (0)
Adoree' Jackson DB 5'11, 185 JR 7 51 0 7.3 4.9 57.1% 3 (1)
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 6'2, 220 JR 5 27 0 5.4 6.9 40.0% 0 (0)
Jalen Greene WR 6'1, 200 SO 4 12 0 3.0 14.1 25.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 135.0 4 119.6 13 100.0
Passing Success Rate 51.2% 5 35.8% 18 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.37 101 1.53 93 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 229.2 5 86.8 93 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Sam Darnold 6'4, 225 FR 246 366 3086 31 9 67.2% 6 1.6% 8.2
Max Browne 6'5, 220 JR 58 93 507 2 2 62.4% 6 6.1% 4.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 6'2, 220 JR 104 70 917 10 13.1 8.8 67.3% 55.8% 24.0%
Darreus Rogers WR 6'1, 215 SR 78 56 696 4 12.4 8.9 71.8% 66.7% 18.0%
Deontay Burnett WR 6'0, 170 SO 73 56 622 7 11.1 8.5 76.7% 58.9% 16.8%
Steven Mitchell Jr. WR 5'10, 190 JR 31 24 226 1 9.4 7.3 77.4% 51.6% 7.1%
Daniel Imatorbhebhe TE 6'4, 240 FR 21 17 250 4 14.7 11.9 81.0% 66.7% 4.8%
Justin Davis TB 6'1, 200 SR 21 14 112 0 8.0 5.3 66.7% 33.3% 4.8%
Ronald Jones II TB 6'1, 195 SO 20 11 76 1 6.9 3.8 55.0% 30.0% 4.6%
Taylor McNamara TE 6'5, 245 SR 18 12 111 1 9.3 6.2 66.7% 50.0% 4.1%
Tyler Petite TE 6'5, 235 SO 16 10 156 2 15.6 9.8 62.5% 43.8% 3.7%
Jalen Greene WR 6'1, 200 SO 15 8 116 0 14.5 7.7 53.3% 40.0% 3.5%
De'Quan Hampton WR 6'4, 225 SR 12 7 73 2 10.4 6.1 58.3% 50.0% 2.8%
Michael Pittman Jr. WR 6'4, 210 FR 8 6 82 0 13.7 10.3 75.0% 50.0% 1.8%
Adoree' Jackson DB 5'11, 185 JR 5 2 76 1 38.0 15.2 40.0% 40.0% 1.2%
Dominic Davis TB 5'10, 180 SO 5 4 19 0 4.8 3.8 80.0% 40.0% 1.2%
Aca'Cedric Ware TB 6'0, 195 SO 4 4 29 0 7.3 7.3 100.0% 50.0% 0.9%
Isaac Whitney WR 6'3, 220 SR 3 3 32 0 10.7 10.7 100.0% 100.0% 0.7%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 121.3 9 116.3 15 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 52.5% 14 40.7% 14 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.08 82 1.22 110 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.24 29 2.77 38 2.98
SD Sack Rate 2.1% 6 5.1% 58 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 142.7 3 125.8 14 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 40.7% 6 28.5% 35 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.71 77 1.69 42 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.78 104 2.82 28 3.24
PD Sack Rate 4.0% 12 6.2% 92 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 128.0 15 122.5 16
Q2 S&P+ 131.9 4 132.4 10
Q3 S&P+ 120.8 22 101.2 57
Q4 S&P+ 111.3 27 120.1 14
1st Down S&P+ 118.2 20 114.9 22
2nd Down S&P+ 127.0 11 122.2 14
3rd Down S&P+ 130.5 8 112.1 38
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.9% 84 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 25.1% 113 34.6%
Adj. Pace +2.5 40 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.8% 29 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.1% 73 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.6% 99 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.2% 35 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.2% 78 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.3% 56 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 8.4% 12 6.4%
PD to INC 39.2% 10 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Cameron Smith ILB 6'2, 245 SO 64.0 9.5% 7.0 1.0 0 4 1
Porter Gustin DE 6'5, 260 SO 55.5 8.2% 13.0 5.5 0 4 0
Adoree' Jackson DB 5'11, 185 JR 50.5 7.5% 2.0 0.0 5 11 0
Michael Hutchings ILB 6'1, 215 SR 50.0 7.4% 8.0 3.0 0 2 0
Iman Marshall DB 6'1, 200 SO 44.0 6.5% 3.0 0.0 3 8 0
Leon McQuay III DB 6'1, 195 SR 41.0 6.1% 4.0 1.0 2 6 0
Chris Hawkins DB 5'11, 185 JR 41.0 6.1% 4.0 1.0 0 2 2
Stevie Tu'ikolovatu DT 6'1, 320 SR 41.0 6.1% 2.0 0.5 0 1 0
Uchenna Nwosu ILB 6'3, 235 JR 40.5 6.0% 7.5 3.0 0 5 1
Rasheem Green DT 6'5, 280 SO 39.5 5.9% 6.5 6.0 0 4 2
Marvell Tell III DB 6'3, 190 SO 35.0 5.2% 2.0 0.0 1 2 0
Ajene Harris DB 5'11, 190 SO 24.0 3.6% 3.5 1.0 2 4 2
Josh Fatu DT 6'3, 290 JR 16.5 2.4% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0
Jonathan Lockett DB 5'11, 180 JR 14.0 2.1% 0.5 0.0 1 3 0
John Houston Jr. ILB 6'3, 220 FR 14.0 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jack Jones DB 5'11, 170 FR 12.0 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Quinton Powell ILB 6'2, 200 SR 11.5 1.7% 2.0 1.0 0 1 0
Olajuwon Tucker ILB 6'3, 230 JR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jordan Iosefa ILB 6'2, 215 FR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Malik Dorton DT 6'2, 280 SO 7.0 1.0% 1.5 1.0 0 1 0
Isaiah Langley DB 6'0, 170 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Michael Pittman Jr. WR 6'4, 210 FR 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Connor Murphy DE 6'7, 255 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jacob Daniel DT 6'4, 310 SO 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Matt Lopes DB 5'11, 195 JR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.2 19
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.22 38
Punt Success Rate 57.1% 58
Kickoff Success Rate 83.9% 20
Punt Return Success Rate 59.3% 37
Kick Return Success Rate 57.5% 14
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Matt Boermeester 6'0, 180 JR 53-54 18-25 72.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Chris Tilbey 6'5, 205 SO 50 38.3 2 20 17 74.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Matt Boermeester 6'0, 180 JR 86 63.2 43 50.0% 0 3 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Adoree' Jackson 5'11, 185 JR 20 15.8 2 12 2 (1)
Deontay Burnett 6'0, 170 SO 4 6.5 0 0 0 (0)
Michael Pittman Jr. 6'4, 210 FR 2 31.5 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Adoree' Jackson 5'11, 185 JR 26 29.5 2 0 1 (0)
Steven Mitchell Jr. 5'10, 190 JR 5 18.2 0 0 1 (0)
Michael Pittman Jr. 6'4, 210 FR 4 7.8 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics