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2017 Fresno State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Fresno State Bulldogs (MWC West)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.0 (0.0) | S&P+ Rk: 24
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Incarnate Word N/A 66-0 W 100% 53.7 93% 96% 99%
9-Sep at Alabama 1 10-41 L 0% -40.5 8% 8% 10%
16-Sep at Washington 5 16-48 L 0% -35.5 9% 12% 8%
30-Sep Nevada 108 41-21 W 100% 33.2 91% 91% 82%
7-Oct at San Jose State 129 27-10 W 82% 8.6 67% 39% 71%
14-Oct New Mexico 104 38-0 W 100% 29.4 91% 81% 90%
21-Oct at San Diego State 34 27-3 W 100% 32.0 95% 62% 97%
28-Oct UNLV 95 16-26 L 45% -1.3 47% 42% 55%
4-Nov BYU 101 20-13 W 84% 9.2 69% 31% 85%
11-Nov at Hawaii 121 31-21 W 97% 17.8 81% 65% 77%
18-Nov at Wyoming 53 13-7 W 88% 10.9 74% 18% 94%
25-Nov Boise State 23 28-17 W 86% 10.1 73% 46% 74%
2-Dec at Boise State 23 14-17 L 24% -6.4 37% 10% 78%
24-Dec vs. Houston 36 33-27 W 95% 15.3 82% 60% 77%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.1 68 20.2 13
Points Per Game 29.2 68 19.3 10
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.2% 42 40.0% 57 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.09 99 0.97 2 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.1 53 28.2 33 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.47 68 3.61 12 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.8 57 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.57
ACTUAL 8 20
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 111.8 31 107.2 45 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 46.0% 29 40.3% 51 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.70 129 0.78 15 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 106.3 39 107.5 39 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.9% 50 35.3% 40 38.5%
Power Success Rate 68.6% 54 55.3% 10 67.7%
Stuff Rate 13.7% 6 22.6% 32 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jordan Mims RB 5'11, 190 FR 151 627 6 4.2 2.3 36.4% 2 (0)
Josh Hokit RB 6'1, 220 SO 128 583 7 4.6 3.5 36.7% 0 (0)
Ronnie Rivers RB 5'8, 175 FR 101 480 5 4.8 3.6 37.6% 2 (1)
Marcus McMaryion QB 6'2, 195 JR 49 362 4 7.4 5.2 59.2% 5 (1)
Dejonte O'Neal RB 5'7, 170 JR 25 106 0 4.2 3.6 36.0% 3 (1)
Da'Mari Scott WR 6'1, 210 SR 14 93 0 6.6 2.9 64.3% 1 (1)
Deonte Perry RB 6'0, 185 FR 8 31 0 3.9 1.2 50.0% 0 (0)
Saevion Johnson RB 6'0, 194 FR 7 20 0 2.9 3.9 14.3% 0 (0)
Chason Virgil QB 6'1, 192 SO 3 15 0 5.0 3.2 66.7% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 101.5 60 102.1 54 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.2% 49 39.8% 60 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.55 37 1.13 1 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 302 2 111.2 48 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Marcus McMaryion 6'2, 195 JR 218 351 2726 14 5 62.1% 8 2.2% 7.4
Chason Virgil 6'1, 192 SO 48 83 524 3 2 57.8% 2 2.4% 6.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
KeeSean Johnson WR 6'2, 202 JR 135 77 1013 8 13.2 7.5 57.0% 44.4% 31.9%
Da'Mari Scott WR 6'1, 210 SR 83 57 566 1 9.9 6.8 68.7% 43.4% 19.6%
Jamire Jordan WR 5'11, 171 JR 52 27 562 3 20.8 10.8 51.9% 36.5% 12.3%
Jared Rice TE 6'5, 228 SO 31 22 388 2 17.6 12.5 71.0% 67.7% 7.3%
Ronnie Rivers RB 5'8, 175 FR 28 20 129 1 6.5 4.6 71.4% 35.7% 6.6%
Derrion Grim WR 6'1, 186 SO 20 13 193 1 14.9 9.7 65.0% 55.0% 4.7%
Jordan Mims RB 5'11, 190 FR 20 14 143 0 10.2 7.2 70.0% 45.0% 4.7%
Josh Hokit RB 6'1, 220 SO 17 13 107 0 8.2 6.3 76.5% 35.3% 4.0%
Dejonte O'Neal RB 5'7, 170 JR 16 11 98 0 8.9 6.1 68.8% 56.2% 3.8%
Kyle Riddering TE 6'6, 240 JR 12 8 54 1 6.8 4.5 66.7% 50.0% 2.8%
Justin Allen WR 5'11, 188 JR 3 2 51 1 25.5 17.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.7%
Saevion Johnson RB 6'0, 194 FR 2 2 23 0 11.5 11.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.5%
David Tangipa TE 6'5, 240 JR 2 1 3 1 3.0 1.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Namani Parker WR 6'4, 198 JR 1 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
James Bailey LB 6'1, 225 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 111.1 29 100.4 62 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.7% 13 47.4% 78 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.02 86 0.91 8 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.00 54 2.83 52 2.92
SD Sack Rate 2.4% 6 3.1% 108 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 88.4 103 121.4 17 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 25.4% 119 24.0% 6 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.46 87 1.20 2 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.06 87 2.83 26 3.22
PD Sack Rate 1.3% 1 13.3% 4 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 123.1 19 98.6 72
Q2 S&P+ 119.2 19 113.3 33
Q3 S&P+ 117.0 28 112.7 29
Q4 S&P+ 89.9 104 111.7 24
1st Down S&P+ 115.6 25 99.9 66
2nd Down S&P+ 116.0 30 109.6 40
3rd Down S&P+ 96.5 81 127.2 10
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.5% 47 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 28.6% 103 35.3%
Adj. Pace +1.8 100 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 77.1% 38 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.4% 123 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 35.3% 61 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.2% 45 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.6% 45 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 5.3% 39 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 6.3% 74 6.5%
PD to INC 30.1% 99 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Jeffrey Allison LB 6'0, 250 SO 102.5 5.5 (2) 10 0 (3) 2 45.5%
George Helmuth LB 6'1, 220 JR 73.5 8 (4) 13 0 (1) 1 33.3%
Mike Bell DB 6'3, 205 SO 64.0 3 (0) 7 1 (3) 1 62.7%
Juju Hughes DB 5'11, 180 SO 62.5 7 (1) 7 1 (7) 1 66.2%
Jaron Bryant DB 6'1, 183 SO 58.5 2.5 (0) 2 4 (7) 1 76.3%
James Bailey LB 6'1, 225 JR 55.0 4.5 (0) 4 0 (2) 1 54.3%
Anthoula Kelly DB 5'10, 185 JR 40.0 3 (0) 1 1 (8) 0 80.6%
Malik Forrester DT 6'1, 295 SR 31.5 9.5 (5) 6 0 (1) 1 21.6%
Robert Stanley ILB 6'3, 245 SR 30.0 11.5 (5) 9 0 (3) 1 25.0%
Tobenna Okeke DE 6'3, 245 SR 30.0 11 (6) 9 0 (1) 3 23.7%
Johnny Johnson, Jr. DB 5'9, 185 SR 22.5 0 (0) 1 1 (4) 0 68.0%
Jasad Haynes DT 6'0, 275 SO 15.5 2 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 42.1%
Nathan Madsen DE 6'4, 298 SR 13.0 4.5 (2) 3 0 (1) 0 6.3%
Kevin Atkins DT 6'2, 297 FR 13.0 2 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 22.2%
Stephen Van Hook DE 6'2, 245 SR 8.5 3.5 (2) 1 0 (0) 0 44.4%
Emeka Ndoh DL 6'0, 252 JR 8.0 5 (4) 0 0 (1) 1 33.3%
Kwami Jones DE 6'2, 240 SO 8.0 2 (1) 2 0 (1) 0 33.3%
DeShawn Potts DB 6'0, 200 JR 8.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 77.8%
Sherman Coleman, Jr. DB 5'9, 165 JR 8.0 0 (0) 0 1 (0) 0 100.0%
Trent Soechting LB 6'3, 220 JR 8.0 0 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 33.3%
Justin Rice LB 6'2, 210 SO 7.5 2 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 37.5%
Ka'Lonn Milton DB 6'0, 185 SO 6.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
Damien DeGruy DE 6'3, 235 FR 5.5 2 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Justin Green LB 6'4, 210 SR 5.5 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 62.5%
Nela Otukolo ILB 5'11, 240 JR 4.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.2 50
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.19 43
Punt Success Rate 54.7% 85
Kickoff Success Rate 84.3% 24
Punt Return Success Rate 36.4% 99
Kick Return Success Rate 38.9% 90
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jimmy Camacho 5'10, 180 SR 41-42 25-32 78.1%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Blake Cusick 6'2, 185 SO 64 42.1 8 32 19 79.7%
Marcus McMaryion 6'2, 195 JR 1 23.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jimmy Camacho 5'10, 180 SR 81 62.4 40 49.4% 1 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ronnie Rivers 5'8, 175 FR 8 4.4 0 30 0 (0)
KeeSean Johnson 6'2, 202 JR 4 5.3 0 12 1 (1)
Dejonte O'Neal 5'7, 170 JR 3 13.3 0 0 2 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Dejonte O'Neal 5'7, 170 JR 18 19.7 0 0 0 (0)
Da'Mari Scott 6'1, 210 SR 11 23.6 0 0 1 (1)
Jamire Jordan 5'11, 171 JR 5 35.8 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Mike Bell DB 6'3, 205 SO 7.5 0.0 22.9
Jaron Bryant DB 6'1, 183 SO 5.0 12.7 28.3
Arron Mosby DB 6'4, 210 FR 3.5 11.3
Juju Hughes DB 5'11, 180 SO 3.5 21.0
Damien DeGruy DE 6'3, 235 FR 2.5 18.3

Stats via SportSource Analytics