clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 Kentucky advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Kentucky Wildcats (SEC East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.7 (-0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 67
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Southern Miss 78 35-44 L 78% 5.9 63% 74% 44%
10-Sep at Florida 15 7-45 L 0% -39.6 7% 19% 6%
17-Sep New Mexico State 119 62-42 W 97% 15.4 63% 91% 10%
24-Sep South Carolina 79 17-10 W 77% 5.8 56% 26% 65%
1-Oct at Alabama 1 6-34 L 0% -30.4 34% 24% 58%
8-Oct Vanderbilt 71 20-13 W 89% 9.5 69% 23% 81%
22-Oct Mississippi State 56 40-38 W 64% 2.8 62% 67% 41%
29-Oct at Missouri 69 35-21 W 82% 7.2 67% 66% 61%
5-Nov Georgia 68 24-27 L 13% -8.8 32% 41% 22%
12-Nov at Tennessee 28 36-49 L 6% -12.4 34% 80% 13%
19-Nov Austin Peay N/A 49-13 W 100% 36.7 67% 66% 52%
26-Nov at Louisville 12 41-38 W 49% -0.2 76% 94% 41%
31-Dec vs. Georgia Tech 45 18-33 L 11% -9.4 36% 23% 53%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 31.6 53 31.6 86
Points Per Game 30.0 58 31.3 86
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.42 12 1.17 21 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.9% 74 47.4% 117 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.0 80 29.8 76 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.83 36 4.59 75 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -1.89 85 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.97
ACTUAL -7 107
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 120.2 11 92.8 93 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 46.1% 39 51.9% 124 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.24 17 1.01 31 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 118.2 10 86 119 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.6% 31 48.5% 127 39.7%
Power Success Rate 80.0% 6 75.0% 102 67.9%
Stuff Rate 16.8% 34 12.8% 126 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Benjamin Snell, Jr. RB 5'11, 220 FR 186 1091 13 5.9 5.2 44.1% 2 (2)
Stanley Boom Williams RB 5'9, 196 JR 172 1170 7 6.8 7.7 42.4% 3 (2)
Stephen Johnson QB 6'2, 183 JR 77 480 3 6.2 5.8 45.5% 10 (6)
Jojo Kemp RB 5'10, 200 SR 70 349 6 5.0 7.1 34.3% 0 (0)
Sihiem King RB 5'9, 172 SO 11 81 1 7.4 8.1 45.5% 0 (0)
Drew Barker QB 6'3, 225 SO 6 31 0 5.2 3.2 50.0% 2 (2)
Mikel Horton RB 6'1, 230 JR 3 12 0 4.0 0.5 33.3% 0 (0)
Jeff Badet WR 6'0, 180 JR 1 25 0 25.0 17.5 100.0% 0 (0)
Ryan Timmons WR 5'10, 198 SR 1 11 0 11.0 3.5 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 100.2 66 99.2 64 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.7% 111 40.9% 62 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.74 11 1.46 65 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 82.6 98 89.6 87 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Stephen Johnson 6'2, 183 JR 145 265 2037 13 6 54.7% 20 7.0% 6.6
Drew Barker 6'3, 225 SO 18 36 334 4 5 50.0% 8 18.2% 6.4
Luke Wright 6'4, 206 SO 3 4 28 0 1 75.0% 0 0.0% 7.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Garrett Johnson WR 5'11, 175 JR 63 39 585 5 15.0 9.3 61.9% 44.4% 21.4%
Jeff Badet WR 6'0, 180 JR 56 31 648 4 20.9 11.6 55.4% 46.4% 19.0%
Dorian Baker WR 6'3, 208 JR 36 14 208 2 14.9 5.8 38.9% 30.6% 12.2%
Ryan Timmons WR 5'10, 198 SR 35 23 266 0 11.6 7.6 65.7% 48.6% 11.9%
C.J. Conrad TE 6'5, 245 SO 33 19 262 4 13.8 7.9 57.6% 45.5% 11.2%
Tavin Richardson WR 6'3, 216 SO 16 9 160 0 17.8 10.0 56.2% 43.8% 5.4%
Stanley Boom Williams RB 5'9, 196 JR 11 8 56 1 7.0 5.1 72.7% 36.4% 3.7%
Blake Bone WR 6'5, 213 JR 9 5 82 0 16.4 9.1 55.6% 44.4% 3.1%
Charles Walker WR 5'11, 203 JR 8 4 34 0 8.5 4.3 50.0% 37.5% 2.7%
Greg Hart TE 6'5, 245 JR 8 6 32 0 5.3 4.0 75.0% 37.5% 2.7%
Kayaune Ross WR 6'6, 225 SO 5 2 10 1 5.0 2.0 40.0% 20.0% 1.7%
Jojo Kemp RB 5'10, 200 SR 4 2 5 0 2.5 1.3 50.0% 0.0% 1.4%
Benjamin Snell, Jr. RB 5'11, 220 FR 3 2 39 0 19.5 13.0 66.7% 33.3% 1.0%
Sihiem King RB 5'9, 172 SO 3 3 14 0 4.7 4.7 100.0% 0.0% 1.0%
David Bouvier WR 5'9, 171 SO 2 1 9 0 9.0 4.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Stephen Johnson QB 6'2, 183 JR 1 1 19 0 19.0 19.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 112.0 26 98.6 68 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.8% 45 52.4% 118 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.24 23 1.02 27 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.36 13 3.63 127 2.98
SD Sack Rate 6.0% 90 5.0% 60 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 105.3 57 88.1 106 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.3% 104 35.5% 115 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.09 7 1.68 40 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.76 19 3.76 111 3.24
PD Sack Rate 8.8% 81 7.8% 61 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 116.1 31 97.3 78
Q2 S&P+ 99.5 76 94.3 89
Q3 S&P+ 122.3 18 89.8 108
Q4 S&P+ 110.7 33 90.3 104
1st Down S&P+ 107.9 42 96.3 82
2nd Down S&P+ 109.1 39 84.2 116
3rd Down S&P+ 118.8 25 97.8 76
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 68.3% 17 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 41.0% 23 34.6%
Adj. Pace -3.1 91 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.9% 39 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.3% 19 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 42.0% 11 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.3% 104 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 3.7% 94 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.3% 57 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.3% 102 6.4%
PD to INC 31.3% 83 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Jordan Jones LB 6'2, 220 SO 91.5 11.9% 15.5 4.0 0 4 1
Mike Edwards S 6'0, 200 SO 78.0 10.1% 5.5 0.5 3 8 0
Courtney Love LB 6'2, 242 JR 57.5 7.4% 1.0 1.0 0 1 1
Denzil Ware DE 6'2, 255 SO 53.5 6.9% 12.0 5.5 0 0 0
Blake McClain DB 5'11, 200 SR 50.5 6.5% 0.5 0.0 3 2 0
Marcus McWilson S 6'0, 210 SR 47.5 6.2% 4.5 0.0 1 0 0
Josh Allen LB 6'5, 230 SO 47.0 6.1% 8.5 7.0 0 0 4
Derrick Baity CB 6'3, 182 SO 39.0 5.1% 2.0 0.0 3 7 0
Chris Westry CB 6'4, 195 SO 39.0 5.1% 0.5 0.0 1 3 0
J.D. Harmon CB 6'2, 200 SR 33.5 4.3% 1.0 0.0 2 1 0
Naquez Pringle DT 6'3, 320 JR 28.0 3.6% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Adrian Middleton DT 6'3, 303 SO 26.5 3.4% 5.5 0.0 0 0 0
Courtney Miggins DT 6'5, 285 SR 20.0 2.6% 4.0 0.5 0 5 1
Alvonte Bell DE 6'5, 260 JR 20.0 2.6% 1.0 0.5 0 2 0
Eli Brown LB 6'2, 215 FR 20.0 2.6% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Kash Daniel LB 6'1, 241 FR 15.0 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Kendall Randolph CB 6'0, 182 JR 12.0 1.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
De'Niro Laster LB 6'4, 241 JR 10.5 1.4% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Jordan Bonner LB 6'5, 220 SO 9.0 1.2% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Marcus Walker S 6'1, 202 FR 8.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
T.J. Carter DE 6'4, 275 FR 8.0 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0
Kobie Walker LB 6'3, 215 SO 6.0 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Matt Elam DT 6'7, 360 JR 5.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Sihiem King RB 5'9, 172 SO 5.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Tymere Dubose DT 6'5, 320 SO 5.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.1 66
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.37 21
Punt Success Rate 31.1% 128
Kickoff Success Rate 75.0% 55
Punt Return Success Rate 81.3% 3
Kick Return Success Rate 38.5% 89
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Austin MacGinnis 5'10, 180 JR 44-45 16-19 84.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Grant McKinniss 6'1, 210 FR 58 39.2 4 14 11 43.1%
Stephen Johnson 6'2, 183 JR 1 38.0 1 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Austin MacGinnis 5'10, 180 JR 76 61.1 24 31.6% 1 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Charles Walker 5'11, 203 JR 15 7.8 1 22 3 (1)
Nico Firios 6'2, 242 SO 1 14.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jeff Badet 6'0, 180 JR 15 22.9 0 0 0 (0)
Sihiem King 5'9, 172 SO 10 21.3 0 0 0 (0)
Benjamin Snell, Jr. 5'11, 220 FR 7 19.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics