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Baylor 28, Texas 7
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Baylor | Texas | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 82 | 74 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 80.1% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 31.8 | 23.2 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 13 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 4 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.50 | 1.75 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 59.8% | 51.4% | 68.4% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.472 | 0.423 | 0.508 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Baylor | Texas | |
| Total | 24.4 | 16.1 | |
| Rushing | 15.6 | 10.7 | |
| Passing | 8.9 | 5.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Baylor | Texas | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 42.7% | 40.4% | 42.2% |
| Rushing (close) | 54.4% | 48.3% | 43.6% |
| Passing (close) | 18.2% | 32.1% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 44.9% | 47.4% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 36.8% | 26.3% | 30.7% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Baylor | Texas | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.31 | 0.48 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.67 | 0.54 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.61 | 0.35 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Baylor | Texas | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 4.21 | 3.25 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 18.8% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Baylor | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 15.6 |
| Turnover Margin | Baylor +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Baylor +1.83 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Baylor +1.17 | |
| TO Points Margin | Baylor +15.6 points | |
| Situational | Baylor | Texas |
| Q1 S&P | 0.231 | 0.384 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.495 | 0.590 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.507 | 0.347 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.572 | 0.414 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.445 | 0.522 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.510 | 0.360 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.398 | 0.368 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Baylor by 23.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Baylor by 21 | ||
This was a "see what you want to see" game. Those who believe Baylor can become/remain a legitimate power will note that Baylor shut down another offense and was able to win comfortably on the road when the offense wasn't clicking. Those who believe Baylor isn't and will never be an elite power will point out that Texas slowed the offense down, and they were lucky UT's offense stinks.
Here's where stats can come in handy. Baylor ranked ninth in F/+ before the game and ranks ninth after it. And while the final margin was aided by turnovers, Baylor was still the superior team. Texas ganed up on the pass, and it worked, so Baylor simply rushed Linwood and Jefferson 39 times for 220 yards.