Florida State 31, Notre Dame 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Basics||Florida State||Notre Dame||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||25.9||32.3||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||6.20||3.86||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Florida State||Notre Dame|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Florida State||Notre Dame||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Florida State||Notre Dame||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Florida State||Notre Dame||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||1.80||3.72||2.93|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||4.6%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||16.7%||7.4%|
|Turnovers||Florida State||Notre Dame|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||3.4||9.2|
|Turnover Margin||Florida State +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Florida State +3|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Notre Dame +2|
|TO Points Margin||Florida State +5.8 points|
|Situational||Florida State||Notre Dame|
|1st Down S&P||0.599||0.490|
|2nd Down S&P||0.638||0.567|
|3rd Down S&P||0.468||0.436|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Florida State by 1.4|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Florida State by 4|
That Notre Dame's success rate was actually better on passing downs is pretty impressive. The Irish faced 25 passing downs and were successful on 11 -- 6-for-7 rushing, and 5-for-18 passing.
Shoulda run more. #analysis
(Actually, they really probably should have.)
Meanwhile, the FSU passing game is clicking at an incredibly high level, but that run game still just isn't. And it's still a bit confusing to me.