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Florida State 31, Notre Dame 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Florida State | Notre Dame | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 57 | 87 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 25.9 | 32.3 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 13 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 6.20 | 3.86 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 75.4% | 71.3% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.584 | 0.501 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Florida State | Notre Dame | |
| Total | 24.5 | 28.9 | |
| Rushing | 5.8 | 8.6 | |
| Passing | 18.7 | 20.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Florida State | Notre Dame | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 52.6% | 43.7% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 40.0% | 53.1% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 62.5% | 38.2% | 40.4% |
| Standard Downs | 60.5% | 43.6% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 28.6% | 44.0% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Florida State | Notre Dame | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.58 | 0.51 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.93 | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.69 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.63 | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Florida State | Notre Dame | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.80 | 3.72 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.6% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 16.7% | 7.4% |
| Turnovers | Florida State | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 3.4 | 9.2 |
| Turnover Margin | Florida State +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Florida State +3 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Notre Dame +2 | |
| TO Points Margin | Florida State +5.8 points | |
| Situational | Florida State | Notre Dame |
| Q1 S&P | 0.605 | 0.463 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.421 | 0.546 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.717 | 0.617 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.598 | 0.430 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.599 | 0.490 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.638 | 0.567 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.468 | 0.436 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Florida State by 1.4 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Florida State by 4 | ||
That Notre Dame's success rate was actually better on passing downs is pretty impressive. The Irish faced 25 passing downs and were successful on 11 -- 6-for-7 rushing, and 5-for-18 passing.
Shoulda run more. #analysis
(Actually, they really probably should have.)
Meanwhile, the FSU passing game is clicking at an incredibly high level, but that run game still just isn't. And it's still a bit confusing to me.
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