Updated on 1/13/2017
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
TCU Horned Frogs (Big 12)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 6-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.4 (1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 47 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | South Dakota State | N/A | 59-41 | W | 90% | 10.2 | 68% | 91% | 14% |
| 10-Sep | Arkansas | 48 | 38-41 | L | 71% | 4.4 | 66% | 56% | 52% |
| 17-Sep | Iowa State | 64 | 41-20 | W | 100% | 26.1 | 91% | 76% | 82% |
| 23-Sep | at SMU | 90 | 33-3 | W | 100% | 27.2 | 90% | 67% | 91% |
| 1-Oct | Oklahoma | 10 | 46-52 | L | 17% | -7.6 | 61% | 72% | 50% |
| 8-Oct | at Kansas | 104 | 24-23 | W | 48% | -0.4 | 34% | 23% | 33% |
| 22-Oct | at West Virginia | 29 | 10-34 | L | 14% | -8.5 | 43% | 19% | 66% |
| 29-Oct | Texas Tech | 66 | 24-27 | L | 86% | 8.4 | 71% | 22% | 91% |
| 5-Nov | at Baylor | 50 | 62-22 | W | 100% | 21.9 | 92% | 86% | 86% |
| 19-Nov | Oklahoma State | 22 | 6-31 | L | 1% | -18.5 | 27% | 19% | 67% |
| 25-Nov | at Texas | 36 | 31-9 | W | 99% | 20.1 | 92% | 77% | 96% |
| 3-Dec | Kansas State | 31 | 6-30 | L | 0% | -32.8 | 9% | 16% | 24% |
| 30-Dec | vs. Georgia | 68 | 23-31 | L | 11% | -9.5 | 31% | 41% | 19% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 32.8 | 45 | 27.5 | 51 |
| Points Per Game | 31.0 | 52 | 28.0 | 64 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.22 | 86 | 1.33 | 102 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 44.9% | 34 | 39.8% | 39 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 30.7 | 42 | 28.9 | 53 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.38 | 81 | 4.36 | 54 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -0.52 | 76 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -1.34 |
||
| ACTUAL | -4 | 90 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 109.3 | 40 | 100.0 | 63 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 48.9% | 14 | 42.2% | 62 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.08 | 51 | 1.13 | 92 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 112 | 23 | 96.4 | 83 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 45.5% | 8 | 36.1% | 36 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 65.9% | 76 | 75.0% | 102 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.3% | 24 | 16.3% | 108 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kyle Hicks | RB | 5'10, 210 | JR | 205 | 1042 | 12 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 40.5% | 1 (1) |
| Kenny Hill | QB | 6'1, 205 | JR | 97 | 755 | 10 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 58.8% | 5 (2) |
| Trevorris Johnson | RB | 5'11, 226 | JR | 41 | 225 | 4 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 43.9% | 0 (0) |
| Derrick Green | RB | 5'11, 234 | SR | 38 | 141 | 2 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 28.9% | 0 (0) |
| Darius Anderson | RB | 5'11, 194 | FR | 27 | 229 | 1 | 8.5 | 6.2 | 66.7% | 0 (0) |
| Sewo Olonilua | RB | 6'3, 225 | FR | 15 | 122 | 1 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 60.0% | 0 (0) |
| Foster Sawyer | QB | 6'5, 230 | SO | 11 | 45 | 0 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 27.3% | 1 (0) |
| KaVontae Turpin | WR | 5'9, 153 | SO | 9 | 84 | 0 | 9.3 | 8.9 | 55.6% | 1 (0) |
| Deanté Gray | WR | 5'10, 183 | SR | 5 | 37 | 0 | 7.4 | 6.5 | 60.0% | 3 (3) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 95.0 | 83 | 115.1 | 22 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 41.8% | 53 | 37.1% | 30 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.34 | 109 | 1.58 | 112 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 99.3 | 66 | 152.4 | 10 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Kenny Hill | 6'1, 205 | JR | 269 | 440 | 3208 | 17 | 13 | 61.1% | 28 | 6.0% | 6.5 |
| Foster Sawyer | 6'5, 230 | SO | 26 | 55 | 278 | 1 | 1 | 47.3% | 3 | 5.2% | 4.5 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Taj Williams | WR | 6'4, 193 | JR | 77 | 40 | 727 | 5 | 18.2 | 9.4 | 51.9% | 42.9% | 15.9% |
| Kyle Hicks | RB | 5'10, 210 | JR | 60 | 47 | 417 | 2 | 8.9 | 7.0 | 78.3% | 43.3% | 12.4% |
| John Diarse | WR | 6'1, 209 | JR | 50 | 33 | 442 | 3 | 13.4 | 8.8 | 66.0% | 58.0% | 10.3% |
| Desmon White | WR | 5'7, 160 | JR | 42 | 30 | 276 | 1 | 9.2 | 6.6 | 71.4% | 35.7% | 8.7% |
| Jaelan Austin | WR | 6'2, 200 | SO | 41 | 23 | 332 | 5 | 14.4 | 8.1 | 56.1% | 53.7% | 8.5% |
| KaVontae Turpin | WR | 5'9, 153 | SO | 41 | 30 | 302 | 1 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 73.2% | 58.5% | 8.5% |
| Emanuel Porter | WR | 6'4, 210 | JR | 35 | 15 | 245 | 0 | 16.3 | 7.0 | 42.9% | 34.3% | 7.2% |
| Ty Slanina | WR | 6'0, 195 | JR | 28 | 17 | 152 | 0 | 8.9 | 5.4 | 60.7% | 42.9% | 5.8% |
| Jarrison Stewart | WR | 6'0, 188 | SO | 21 | 12 | 96 | 0 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 57.1% | 47.6% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Walsh | WR | 6'2, 190 | SR | 20 | 14 | 157 | 0 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 70.0% | 65.0% | 4.1% |
| Deanté Gray | WR | 5'10, 183 | SR | 19 | 10 | 112 | 0 | 11.2 | 5.9 | 52.6% | 36.8% | 3.9% |
| Isaiah Graham | WR | 6'1, 185 | FR | 10 | 6 | 68 | 0 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 2.1% |
| Cole Hunt | TE | 6'7, 250 | JR | 10 | 5 | 61 | 1 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Thomas | WR | 6'1, 186 | FR | 7 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 11.7 | 5.0 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 1.4% |
| Darius Anderson | RB | 5'11, 194 | FR | 7 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 71.4% | 28.6% | 1.4% |
| Trevorris Johnson | RB | 5'11, 226 | JR | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 0.8% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 102.2 | 63 | 111.3 | 26 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 51.3% | 21 | 43.4% | 30 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.06 | 89 | 1.17 | 94 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.32 | 18 | 2.92 | 62 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 6.2% | 93 | 9.4% | 6 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 98.8 | 78 | 104.0 | 57 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 31.1% | 64 | 32.4% | 82 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.80 | 53 | 1.75 | 75 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 4.15 | 5 | 4.07 | 127 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.4% | 26 | 9.6% | 21 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 100.4 | 72 | 127.6 | 11 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 91.1 | 106 | 118.7 | 22 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 104.6 | 57 | 91.8 | 97 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 117.3 | 15 | 113.9 | 25 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 100.7 | 66 | 116.3 | 18 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 105.9 | 52 | 116.1 | 23 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 100.2 | 79 | 100.4 | 66 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 50.4% | 113 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 30.0% | 92 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +3.6 | 26 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 76.3% | 41 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 62.1% | 47 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 35.3% | 60 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 15.3% | 70 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 6.4% | 28 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.1% | 124 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.6% | 50 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 32.6% | 70 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Travin Howard | LB | 6'1, 210 | JR | 101.0 | 12.3% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Ty Summers | LB | 6'2, 235 | SO | 90.0 | 11.0% | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Niko Small | S | 5'10, 180 | SO | 69.5 | 8.5% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Nick Orr | S | 5'10, 187 | JR | 66.5 | 8.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Denzel Johnson | S | 6'2, 210 | SR | 66.0 | 8.1% | 11.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Sammy Douglas | LB | 6'3, 215 | JR | 47.0 | 5.7% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ranthony Texada | CB | 5'10, 170 | JR | 40.5 | 5.0% | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Aaron Curry | DT | 6'2, 270 | SR | 39.0 | 4.8% | 9.0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeff Gladney | CB | 6'0, 175 | FR | 38.0 | 4.6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Josh Carraway | DE | 6'4, 250 | SR | 37.0 | 4.5% | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| James McFarland | DE | 6'2, 250 | SR | 25.5 | 3.1% | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Mat Boesen | DE | 6'4, 235 | JR | 23.5 | 2.9% | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Chris Bradley | DT | 6'2, 275 | JR | 23.0 | 2.8% | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ridwan Issahaku | S | 6'1, 193 | SO | 18.5 | 2.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Joseph Broadnax Jr. | DT | 6'0, 300 | SO | 16.5 | 2.0% | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tipa Galeai | DE | 6'5, 235 | SO | 16.0 | 2.0% | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Julius Lewis | CB | 5'10, 170 | SO | 15.0 | 1.8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| L.J. Collier | DT | 6'4, 275 | SO | 14.5 | 1.8% | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Downing Jr. | S | 5'11, 184 | JR | 11.0 | 1.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deanté Gray | WR | 5'10, 183 | SR | 8.5 | 1.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tony James | CB | 5'10, 162 | SO | 7.0 | 0.9% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Dunham | LB | 6'1, 213 | SO | 6.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montrel Wilson | LB | 6'3, 210 | SO | 4.5 | 0.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Markell Simmons | S | 6'1, 200 | SO | 4.0 | 0.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Whitmill | LB | 6'0, 230 | JR | 4.0 | 0.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.1 | 71 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.08 | 79 |
| Punt Success Rate | 54.2% | 80 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 74.0% | 64 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 43.5% | 92 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 55.8% | 17 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Brandon Hatfield | 6'3, 230 | JR | 27-29 | 13-19 | 68.4% |
| Ryan Graf | 6'0, 180 | FR | 20-20 | 5-6 | 83.3% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Adam Nunez | 6'0, 180 | FR | 72 | 39.6 | 2 | 28 | 22 | 69.4% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Cole Bunce | 5'10, 165 | FR | 74 | 61.9 | 27 | 36.5% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Graf | 6'0, 180 | FR | 3 | 39.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Desmon White | 5'7, 160 | JR | 13 | 7.8 | 0 | 12 | 0 (0) |
| KaVontae Turpin | 5'9, 153 | SO | 10 | 12.5 | 1 | 12 | 1 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Deanté Gray | 5'10, 183 | SR | 19 | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 (2) |
| KaVontae Turpin | 5'9, 153 | SO | 17 | 28.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Isaiah Graham | 6'1, 185 | FR | 3 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics