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2016 Rice advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Rice Owls (Conference USA West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.9 (0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 121
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep at Western Kentucky 16 14-46 L 0% -34.0 11% 41% 21%
10-Sep at Army 101 14-31 L 44% -1.2 39% 77% 44%
16-Sep Baylor 50 10-38 L 0% -31.7 5% 18% 22%
24-Sep North Texas 107 35-42 L 11% -9.7 15% 36% 19%
1-Oct at Southern Miss 78 28-44 L 1% -17.7 11% 57% 8%
15-Oct UTSA 103 13-14 L 46% -0.7 35% 26% 63%
22-Oct Prairie View A&M N/A 65-44 W 100% 37.5 74% 91% 19%
29-Oct at Louisiana Tech 59 16-61 L 0% -49.0 2% 7% 3%
5-Nov Florida Atlantic 115 25-42 L 0% -31.7 1% 5% 5%
12-Nov at Charlotte 125 22-21 W 92% 11.2 48% 21% 76%
19-Nov UTEP 122 44-24 W 100% 32.4 83% 79% 88%
26-Nov at Stanford 23 17-41 L 0% -34.6 7% 14% 9%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 24.7 97 39.1 122
Points Per Game 25.3 92 37.3 113
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.13 123 1.55 126 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.1% 94 43.1% 75 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.7 91 29.5 73 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.50 71 5.11 117 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -8.27 123 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.53
ACTUAL -7 107
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 91.8 102 91.7 97 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.2% 81 45.5% 88 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.97 109 1.24 119 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 100.3 78 90.5 104 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.8% 104 43.1% 110 39.7%
Power Success Rate 73.9% 30 67.4% 65 67.9%
Stuff Rate 15.6% 13 17.4% 90 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Darik Dillard RB 5'10, 215 SR 95 452 3 4.8 5.1 33.7% 1 (1)
Samuel Stewart RB 5'9, 205 SO 77 479 3 6.2 6.5 37.7% 3 (1)
Tyler Stehling QB 6'6, 225 SR 75 453 4 6.0 4.4 50.7% 6 (1)
Jowan Davis RB 5'7, 200 SR 71 299 4 4.2 4.9 28.2% 2 (0)
Austin Walter RB 5'8, 190 SO 68 343 4 5.0 5.3 33.8% 1 (1)
Jackson Tyner QB 6'5, 240 FR 17 64 1 3.8 1.7 41.2% 1 (1)
Emmanuel Esukpa RB 5'11, 220 FR 17 56 2 3.3 4.1 17.6% 0 (0)
Nate German QB 6'2, 205 JR 13 66 0 5.1 3.0 53.8% 1 (1)
J.T. Granato QB 6'3, 225 FR 5 17 1 3.4 1.5 20.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 80.1 121 79.7 125 100.0
Passing Success Rate 38.1% 91 39.9% 55 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.30 113 2.01 128 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 82.1 99 101.2 61 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Stehling 6'6, 225 SR 194 316 2049 12 7 61.4% 27 7.9% 5.6
Jackson Tyner 6'5, 240 FR 32 67 318 2 1 47.8% 3 4.3% 4.3
J.T. Granato 6'3, 225 FR 8 19 96 0 2 42.1% 2 9.5% 3.5
Nate German 6'2, 205 JR 5 8 68 0 0 62.5% 1 11.1% 5.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Zach Wright WR 6'1, 200 SR 68 38 346 1 9.1 5.1 55.9% 42.6% 17.0%
Kylen Granson WR 6'3, 220 FR 51 33 381 2 11.6 7.5 64.7% 49.0% 12.8%
Temi Alaka WR 6'2, 205 JR 47 28 458 2 16.4 9.7 59.6% 48.9% 11.8%
Connor Cella TE 6'3, 260 SR 40 31 302 1 9.7 7.6 77.5% 55.0% 10.0%
Nate German QB 6'2, 205 JR 34 13 157 0 12.1 4.6 38.2% 29.4% 8.5%
James Mayden WR 6'3, 195 JR 29 16 232 0 14.5 8.0 55.2% 48.3% 7.3%
Lance Wright WR 6'3, 205 SO 21 10 136 1 13.6 6.5 47.6% 38.1% 5.3%
Samuel Stewart RB 5'9, 205 SO 20 16 124 3 7.8 6.2 80.0% 50.0% 5.0%
Parker Smith WR 6'2, 200 SO 18 9 144 0 16.0 8.0 50.0% 38.9% 4.5%
Austin Walter RB 5'8, 190 SO 16 12 51 2 4.3 3.2 75.0% 25.0% 4.0%
Darrion Pollard WR 5'8, 180 SR 13 7 29 0 4.1 2.2 53.8% 23.1% 3.3%
Darik Dillard RB 5'10, 215 SR 11 8 51 1 6.4 4.6 72.7% 36.4% 2.8%
Jowan Davis RB 5'7, 200 SR 10 8 45 0 5.6 4.5 80.0% 50.0% 2.5%
Cameron Decell WR 6'4, 210 SR 5 4 53 1 13.3 10.6 80.0% 40.0% 1.3%
Robby Wells III TE 6'6, 270 JR 5 3 20 0 6.7 4.0 60.0% 20.0% 1.3%
Nahshon Ellerbe RB 5'9, 205 FR 3 3 6 0 2.0 2.0 100.0% 33.3% 0.8%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 87.1 113 94.2 92 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.8% 86 46.9% 57 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.98 121 1.24 117 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.95 72 3.22 100 2.98
SD Sack Rate 4.3% 50 6.2% 37 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 81.6 120 69.0 128 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.4% 97 35.3% 111 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.62 107 2.38 128 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.07 85 3.58 101 3.24
PD Sack Rate 11.6% 114 8.6% 44 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 72.3 126 85.0 119
Q2 S&P+ 90.2 109 92.9 94
Q3 S&P+ 97.4 77 81.3 125
Q4 S&P+ 104.2 55 79.8 126
1st Down S&P+ 90.8 107 92.1 98
2nd Down S&P+ 105.6 54 74.8 128
3rd Down S&P+ 68.0 127 88.3 107
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.7% 80 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 34.6% 62 34.6%
Adj. Pace +3.0 35 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 75.5% 48 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.1% 26 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 41.8% 12 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.2% 75 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.3% 51 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.8% 40 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.1% 109 6.4%
PD to INC 34.7% 49 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Emmanuel Ellerbee LB 6'1, 235 JR 94.0 14.4% 8.0 3.5 1 1 0
Alex Lyons LB 6'1, 225 SR 69.5 10.6% 5.5 1.0 0 4 1
Destri White S 6'0, 215 JR 50.0 7.6% 4.0 0.5 1 0 2
Tabari McGaskey LB 6'0, 230 SR 43.5 6.6% 11.0 1.0 0 6 1
J.T. Ibe S 6'0, 200 SO 37.0 5.6% 1.5 0.0 0 4 1
V.J. Banks CB 6'1, 190 JR 32.5 5.0% 1.0 0.0 1 4 1
Blain Padgett DE 6'5, 250 SO 32.0 4.9% 5.5 2.0 0 0 0
J.T. Blasingame CB 5'9, 180 SR 28.0 4.3% 1.0 0.0 1 4 1
Preston Gordon DT 6'1, 285 SO 25.0 3.8% 6.5 3.5 0 0 0
Graysen Schantz DE 6'3, 240 JR 21.0 3.2% 5.0 2.0 0 1 1
Brian Womac DE 6'2, 240 JR 19.0 2.9% 9.0 2.0 0 0 1
Cole Thomas S 6'1, 200 JR 19.0 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Carl Thompson DT 6'3, 280 SO 16.5 2.5% 2.5 0.5 0 1 0
Roe Wilkins DT 6'3, 265 FR 16.5 2.5% 2.0 1.0 0 2 0
D Angelo Ellis DB 5'11, 160 FR 15.5 2.4% 0.0 0.0 1 4 0
Christian Bertrand DB 5'11, 200 SO 14.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
J.P. Thompson S 6'0, 185 SO 12.0 1.8% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Brady Wright DE 6'3, 250 SO 10.5 1.6% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nick Uretsky LB 6'0, 230 JR 10.0 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Zach Abercrumbia DT 6'2, 290 SO 9.0 1.4% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0
Derek Brown DE 6'3, 230 SR 8.5 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0 0 0
Parker Hanusa DL 6'4, 250 SO 8.0 1.2% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
Myles Adams DL 6'2, 290 FR 8.0 1.2% 1.0 1.0 0 0 1
Brandon Douglas CB 5'9, 180 SO 7.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Jorian Clark CB 5'10, 190 SO 5.5 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.7 87
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.17 96
Punt Success Rate 57.7% 54
Kickoff Success Rate 67.8% 85
Punt Return Success Rate 47.1% 74
Kick Return Success Rate 43.8% 68
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Haden Tobola 6'1, 180 SO 31-34 7-11 63.6%
Jack Fox 6'1, 215 SO 2-2 1-1 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jack Fox 6'1, 215 SO 75 40.7 3 28 23 68.0%
Haden Tobola 6'1, 180 SO 1 38.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Nate German 6'2, 205 JR 1 5.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jack Fox 6'1, 215 SO 59 61.0 25 42.4% 0 3 1 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Nahshon Ellerbe 5'9, 205 FR 7 4.7 0 4 2 (1)
Samuel Stewart 5'9, 205 SO 4 5.3 0 1 0 (0)
V.J. Banks 6'1, 190 JR 3 -0.3 0 7 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Austin Walter 5'8, 190 SO 17 19.2 0 0 0 (0)
Nahshon Ellerbe 5'9, 205 FR 6 27.8 0 0 0 (0)
Aston Walter 5'8, 200 SO 5 18.6 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics