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Study Hall: Texas Tech 20, TCU 10

Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Texas Tech 20, TCU 10

TCU Texas Tech TCU Texas Tech
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 28.4% 46.5% Success Rate 47.9% 29.7%
Leverage % 59.3% 52.1% PPP 0.37 0.28
S&P 0.847 0.581
TOTAL
EqPts 34.0 32.4 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 38.3% 29.6% Success Rate 24.2% 29.4%
Close PPP 0.42 0.46 PPP 0.49 0.64
Close S&P 0.802 0.752 S&P 0.736 0.938
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 18.0 6.4 Number 2 3
Close Success Rate 36.4% 27.3% Turnover Pts 10.1 9.9
Close PPP 0.41 0.29 Turnover Pts Margin -0.2 +0.2
Close S&P 0.773 0.566
Line Yards/carry 3.25 2.00 Q1 S&P 0.520 1.062
Q2 S&P 0.598 0.527
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.901 0.387
EqPts 16.0 25.9 Q4 S&P 1.011 0.879
Close Success Rate 40.5% 30.6%
Close PPP 0.43 0.53 1st Down S&P 0.730 0.476
Close S&P 0.837 0.835 2nd Down S&P 1.024 1.237
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 8.7% / 7.7% 3rd Down S&P 0.691 0.626
Projected Pt. Margin: TCU +1.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: Texas Tech +10

"Projected Pt. Margin: TCU +1.4." Ouch. I've got my own ideas for why TCU might have figured out how to lose this game, but I don't want to go too far down that road because it would detract from the Davis Webb story. The freshman quarterback came in for the injured Baker Mayfield and completed three of four passes for 77 yards to salt the game away. Granted, his 48-yarder to DeAndre Washington was tipped and lucky, but it all counts. TCU could rue this one for a while.