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Study Hall: UCLA 41, Nebraska 21

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By Bill C.
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Bruce Thorson-USA TODAY Sports

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Nebraska fans: What the hell has happened to the Huskers' big-play ability in the run game? I know one of the problems people have with Saturday is that they gave up on the run too quickly, but aside from a couple of big gains by Ameer Abdullah, this running game hasn't been much of anything this year. What changed?

UCLA 41, Nebraska 21
UCLA Nebraska UCLA Nebraska
Close % 80.5% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 49.4% 31.2% Success Rate 64.4% 32.4%
Leverage % 75.0% 57.8% PPP 0.78 0.30
S&P 1.423 0.620
TOTAL
EqPts 48.4 29.5 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 56.7% 32.8% Success Rate 33.3% 33.3%
Close PPP 0.72 0.35 PPP 0.52 0.43
Close S&P 1.282 0.680 S&P 0.858 0.761
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 19.8 11.2 Number 1 1
Close Success Rate 57.6% 31.4% Turnover Pts 6.0 5.5
Close PPP 0.43 0.27 Turnover Pts Margin -0.5 +0.5
Close S&P 1.008 0.581
Line Yards/carry 2.90 2.60 Q1 S&P 0.757 0.934
Q2 S&P 1.032 0.641
PASSING Q3 S&P 1.951 0.434
EqPts 28.7 18.3 Q4 S&P 0.617 1.000
Close Success Rate 55.6% 34.5%
Close PPP 1.06 0.45 1st Down S&P 1.513 0.489
Close S&P 1.617 0.799 2nd Down S&P 0.731 1.123
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 6.3% 5.9% / 20.0% 3rd Down S&P 0.986 0.407
Projected Pt. Margin: UCLA +18.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: UCLA +20

We know what changed within the game, of course. UCLA's offense was mediocre in the first quarter, good in the second, and unstoppable in the third. Nebraska's, meanwhile, went from good to subpar to awful. Stats and eyeballs agree sometimes.

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