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Study Hall: Stanford 34, Army 20

Ron Antonelli

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Stanford 34, Army 20

Stanford Army Stanford Army
Close % 81.7% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 50.9% 40.9% Success Rate 54.6% 31.4%
Leverage % 68.8% 63.6% PPP 0.78 0.28
S&P 1.329 0.597
TOTAL
EqPts 39.8 29.4 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 50.0% 32.7% Success Rate 40.0% 35.0%
Close PPP 0.78 0.39 PPP 0.79 0.58
Close S&P 1.284 0.718 S&P 1.186 0.929
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 19.4 25.0 Number 2 1
Close Success Rate 53.6% 30.6% Turnover Pts 8.4 4.0
Close PPP 0.67 0.38 Turnover Pts Margin -4.4 +4.4
Close S&P 1.203 0.690
Line Yards/carry 4.41 2.69 Q1 S&P 1.094 0.619
Q2 S&P 1.496 0.924
PASSING Q3 S&P 1.399 0.631
EqPts 20.4 4.4 Q4 S&P 0.882 0.929
Close Success Rate 45.0% 50.0%
Close PPP 0.95 0.45 1st Down S&P 1.117 0.669
Close S&P 1.399 0.947 2nd Down S&P 1.309 0.977
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 9.1% / 11.1% 3rd Down S&P 1.357 0.768
Projected Pt. Margin: Stanford +5.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Stanford +14

At first glance, Army's 284 rushing yards seem like a potential concern for Stanford. If they can do that, what might Oregon do, right? But a) Oregon doesn't run the Flexbone, and b) Army still only averaged 4.7 yards per carry. That doesn't suggest amazing defense from Stanford by any means, but it's good enough to pass a funky test at 9 a.m. PT. Stanford's offense managed some big plays, and Army's really did not, though Army's passing downs S&P is a bit disconcerting.