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2017 Ole Miss advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Ole Miss Rebels (SEC West)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.4 (1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 42
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep South Alabama 98 47-27 W 99% 22.6 86% 93% 50%
9-Sep UT Martin N/A 45-23 W 100% 25.7 87% 92% 59%
16-Sep at California 87 16-27 L 54% 0.9 51% 33% 68%
30-Sep at Alabama 1 3-66 L 0% -40.4 8% 6% 4%
7-Oct at Auburn 10 23-44 L 0% -26.1 12% 27% 14%
14-Oct Vanderbilt 80 57-35 W 99% 22.2 87% 96% 34%
21-Oct LSU 21 24-40 L 4% -16.5 20% 43% 21%
28-Oct Arkansas 91 37-38 L 97% 17.2 80% 90% 34%
4-Nov at Kentucky 90 37-34 W 64% 3.3 55% 76% 32%
11-Nov UL-Lafayette 113 50-22 W 100% 32.9 92% 94% 58%
18-Nov Texas A&M 61 24-31 L 81% 8.0 67% 57% 59%
23-Nov at Mississippi State 28 31-28 W 46% -1.0 49% 64% 36%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.8 9 33.4 113
Points Per Game 32.8 47 34.6 106
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.5% 22 43.3% 87 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.45 4 1.20 88 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.7 65 29.2 58 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.88 25 4.58 86 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -5.1 105 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.02
ACTUAL -5 97
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 109.8 41 96.6 76 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.8% 33 44.1% 88 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.02 25 1.00 100 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 108.4 35 91.7 99 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.5% 29 43.6% 118 38.5%
Power Success Rate 72.7% 36 72.2% 97 67.7%
Stuff Rate 18.9% 55 16.0% 104 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jordan Wilkins RB 6'1, 217 SR 155 1011 9 6.5 7.3 41.3% 1 (1)
D'Vaughn Pennamon RB 5'11, 238 SO 53 217 2 4.1 2.8 34.0% 1 (0)
Jordan Ta'amu QB 6'2, 212 JR 44 278 4 6.3 5.9 50.0% 2 (2)
Eric Swinney RB 5'9, 214 SO 41 195 3 4.8 5.2 39.0% 1 (0)
Shea Patterson QB 6'2, 203 SO 28 114 1 4.1 2.4 53.6% 5 (0)
D.K. Buford RB 5'11, 231 JR 8 28 0 3.5 1.0 25.0% 0 (0)
Eugene Brazley RB 5'9, 192 SR 6 12 0 2.0 1.2 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 121.4 14 99.6 70 100.0
Passing Success Rate 45.2% 21 42.2% 82 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.74 10 1.50 83 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 108.6 58 141.3 9 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Shea Patterson 6'2, 203 SO 166 260 2259 17 9 63.8% 19 6.8% 7.6
Jordan Ta'amu 6'2, 212 JR 115 173 1682 11 4 66.5% 13 7.0% 8.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
A.J. Brown WR 6'1, 225 SO 94 75 1252 11 16.7 13.3 79.8% 63.8% 23.0%
DaMarkus Lodge WR 6'2, 199 JR 74 41 698 7 17.0 9.4 55.4% 47.3% 18.1%
D.K. Metcalf WR 6'4, 225 FR 74 39 646 7 16.6 8.7 52.7% 41.9% 18.1%
Van Jefferson WR 6'2, 195 SO 56 42 456 1 10.9 8.1 75.0% 50.0% 13.7%
Dawson Knox TE 6'4, 250 SO 33 24 321 0 13.4 9.7 72.7% 54.5% 8.1%
Jordan Wilkins RB 6'1, 217 SR 30 26 241 1 9.3 8.0 86.7% 53.3% 7.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon RB 5'11, 238 SO 11 10 84 0 8.4 7.6 90.9% 45.5% 2.7%
Markell Pack WR 6'2, 185 SR 9 7 67 0 9.6 7.4 77.8% 55.6% 2.2%
Eric Swinney RB 5'9, 214 SO 9 6 23 0 3.8 2.6 66.7% 22.2% 2.2%
Octavious Cooley TE 6'3, 268 SO 5 4 66 0 16.5 13.2 80.0% 60.0% 1.2%
Braylon Sanders WR 6'0, 188 FR 5 4 65 1 16.3 13.0 80.0% 80.0% 1.2%
Tré Nixon WR 6'1, 172 FR 4 1 19 0 19.0 4.8 25.0% 25.0% 1.0%
Ty Quick TE 6'3, 264 SR 4 2 3 0 1.5 0.8 50.0% 0.0% 1.0%
Myles Hartsfield DB 5'11, 199 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 115.2 11 97.7 77 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.9% 27 47.9% 83 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.39 2 1.14 102 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.35 11 3.23 103 2.92
SD Sack Rate 5.0% 66 6.6% 33 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 119.6 22 106.0 56 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.1% 30 30.8% 78 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.71 20 1.45 45 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.28 66 3.12 59 3.22
PD Sack Rate 9.5% 92 13.8% 3 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 146.0 5 90.8 95
Q2 S&P+ 109.5 44 88.1 109
Q3 S&P+ 135.5 4 98.9 75
Q4 S&P+ 106.5 46 96.6 85
1st Down S&P+ 136.0 2 95.5 90
2nd Down S&P+ 123.3 11 89.5 107
3rd Down S&P+ 97.8 79 95.5 87
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 44.6% 128 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 25.9% 114 35.3%
Adj. Pace -1.7 28 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 70.9% 94 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 67.4% 8 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.6% 92 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.0% 97 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.5% 29 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.1% 122 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.3% 106 6.5%
PD to INC 28.8% 113 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
DeMarquis Gates LB 6'2, 221 SR 92.0 10 (2) 15 0 (3) 0 38.2%
Zedrick Woods DB 5'11, 201 JR 52.0 1 (0) 3 0 (4) 0 71.7%
Breeland Speaks DE 6'3, 285 JR 47.0 8 (7) 9 0 (1) 1 19.7%
Josiah Coatney DT 6'4, 302 SO 44.5 8 (3.5) 10 0 (0) 1 30.8%
A.J. Moore DB 5'11, 202 SR 40.0 3 (1) 3 0 (3) 0 61.0%
C.J. Moore DB 5'11, 198 JR 40.0 2.5 (0) 5 3 (2) 0 66.7%
Marquis Haynes DE 6'3, 230 SR 36.0 11 (7.5) 11 0 (0) 3 32.0%
Myles Hartsfield DB 5'11, 199 SO 35.5 2 (0) 0 2 (3) 0 82.1%
Tayler Polk LB 5'11, 220 SR 31.0 1 (1) 0 0 (2) 1 61.5%
Jaylon Jones DB 5'11, 186 SO 30.5 1.5 (0) 3 0 (3) 1 81.1%
Ken Webster DB 5'11, 194 JR 25.0 1.5 (0) 1 0 (2) 0 60.7%
Benito Jones DT 6'2, 315 SO 23.5 7.5 (1.5) 11 0 (0) 1 10.3%
C.J. Hampton DB 6'0, 190 SR 22.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 1 82.1%
Austrian Robinson DT 6'4, 280 SO 20.5 3.5 (1.5) 6 0 (1) 0 27.6%
Javien Hamilton DB 5'10, 176 JR 17.0 0 (0) 0 3 (5) 0 68.4%
Detric Bing-Dukes LB 6'1, 254 JR 16.5 0 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 29.2%
Victor Evans DE 6'3, 243 JR 13.0 5 (0.5) 6 0 (0) 0 23.5%
Donta Evans LB 6'1, 236 FR 13.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 64.7%
Jalen Julius DB 5'10, 188 SO 12.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 63.6%
Ross Donelly DT 6'1, 318 JR 12.5 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 30.0%
Montrell Custis DB 6'0, 188 SO 9.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Willie Hibbler LB 6'3, 227 SO 9.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 1 45.5%
Jarrion Street LB 6'1, 211 SO 7.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 66.7%
Cam Ordway DB 5'11, 182 JR 7.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 71.4%
Qaadir Sheppard DE 6'3, 249 SO 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 25.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.6 17
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.09 55
Punt Success Rate 73.7% 8
Kickoff Success Rate 69.7% 81
Punt Return Success Rate 42.9% 78
Kick Return Success Rate 57.9% 14
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Gary Wunderlich 6'0, 182 SR 34-36 17-21 81.0%
Luke Logan 5'11, 183 FR 9-9 2-3 66.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Will Gleeson 6'3, 192 SR 51 41.5 1 24 21 88.2%
Mac Brown 6'3, 196 FR 5 42.2 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Luke Logan 5'11, 183 FR 76 61.6 25 32.9% 0 1 2 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
A.J. Brown 6'1, 225 SO 7 6.7 0 15 0 (0)
Myles Hartsfield 5'11, 199 SO 0 0.0 0 2 0 (0)
Octavious Cooley 6'3, 268 SO 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jaylon Jones 5'11, 186 SO 31 25.0 1 0 2 (0)
D.K. Buford 5'11, 231 JR 4 17.3 0 0 0 (0)
D'Vaughn Pennamon 5'11, 238 SO 2 27.5 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Mohamed Sanogo LB 6'2, 228 FR 5.5 10.5 16.2
John-Patrick Sherling LB 5'11, 240 SR 5.0 17.7
A.J. Moore DB 5'11, 202 SR 5.0 20.1
Montrell Custis DB 6'0, 188 SO 5.0 2.0 19.4
C.J. Moore DB 5'11, 198 JR 4.5 3.0 27.2

Stats via SportSource Analytics