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Study Hall: North Texas 34, Ball State 27

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Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

North Texas 34, Ball State 27

Ball State North Texas Ball State North Texas
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 31.8% 62.0% Success Rate 45.2% 48.4%
Leverage % 63.6% 69.6% PPP 0.60 0.59
S&P 1.054 1.073
TOTAL
EqPts 44.4 48.7 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 43.9% 43.5% Success Rate 41.7% 32.1%
Close PPP 0.67 0.53 PPP 0.80 0.39
Close S&P 1.112 0.964 S&P 1.215 0.714
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 15.4 22.8 Number 5 1
Close Success Rate 30.0% 37.8% Turnover Pts 20.3 6.1
Close PPP 0.77 0.51 Turnover Pts Margin -14.2 +14.2
Close S&P 1.070 0.885
Line Yards/carry 2.35 3.01 Q1 S&P 1.608 0.721
Q2 S&P 1.177 1.066
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.901 1.249
EqPts 29.0 25.9 Q4 S&P 0.319 0.721
Close Success Rate 50.0% 48.9%
Close PPP 0.63 0.55 1st Down S&P 0.778 0.947
Close S&P 1.131 1.040 2nd Down S&P 1.361 0.930
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 0.0% / 0.0% 3rd Down S&P 1.565 1.058
Projected Pt. Margin: North Texas +18.5 | Actual Pt. Margin: North Texas +7

I love the job that Pete Lembo is doing at Ball State, and I could see him ending up with a Big Ten job some day. (Then again, he's succeeded in three different regions already -- at Lehigh, Elon, and BSU -- so perhaps limiting him to the Big Ten is a bad idea.) And when I saw that Ball State was up 20-3 early in this one, I stopped tracking it. Mistake. Ball State's pretty decent, but the Cardinals aren't good enough to overcome five turnovers and a two-touchdown turnover disadvantage on the road. And wow, did the BSU offense fold up shop late.