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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
Michigan 28, Akron 24 |
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Akron | Michigan | Akron | Michigan | |||
Close % | 100.0% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
Field Position % | 41.8% | 37.1% | Success Rate | 39.2% | 32.4% | |
Leverage % | 64.6% | 54.8% | PPP | 0.30 | 0.58 | |
S&P | 0.689 | 0.908 | ||||
TOTAL | ||||||
EqPts | 39.1 | 39.7 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
Close Success Rate | 39.2% | 33.9% | Success Rate | 39.3% | 35.7% | |
Close PPP | 0.50 | 0.64 | PPP | 0.86 | 0.71 | |
Close S&P | 0.888 | 0.979 | S&P | 1.250 | 1.065 | |
RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
EqPts | 9.4 | 16.0 | Number | 2 | 4 | |
Close Success Rate | 40.0% | 29.0% | Turnover Pts | 14.2 | 20.6 | |
Close PPP | 0.31 | 0.52 | Turnover Pts Margin | +6.4 | -6.4 | |
Close S&P | 0.715 | 0.806 | ||||
Line Yards/carry | 2.63 | 1.81 | Q1 S&P | 0.422 | 1.157 | |
Q2 S&P | 0.718 | 0.640 | ||||
PASSING | Q3 S&P | 0.991 | 1.235 | |||
EqPts | 29.7 | 23.7 | Q4 S&P | 1.217 | 0.883 | |
Close Success Rate | 38.8% | 38.7% | ||||
Close PPP | 0.61 | 0.77 | 1st Down S&P | 0.673 | 0.636 | |
Close S&P | 0.993 | 1.153 | 2nd Down S&P | 1.102 | 1.367 | |
SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 0.0% | 0.0% / 4.4% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.985 | 1.156 | |
Projected Pt. Margin: Akron +5.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Michigan +4 |
"Projected Pt. Margin: Akron +5.8." Oof. Akron did enough to win this game but came up two fourth-quarter red zone trips short. Michigan picked off a pass in the end zone and got pressure on Akron QB Kyle Pohl on the final play of the game (forcing an overthrow), and that was the difference.
Other notes:
* Under 2.0 line yards per carry is pretty bad, Michigan. So is a rushing success rate under 30 percent.
* Big plays helped Michigan significantly. The Wolverines were indeed terribly inefficient, falling into passing downs on nearly half of their snaps, but big plays -- a 36-yard run by QB Devin Gardner, a 48-yard pass to Devin Funchess, a 33-yard pass to Jehu Chesson, a 24-yard run (and 27-yard catch) by Fitzgerald Toussaint -- bought them time.
* Woof. You got lucky, Michigan. That was quite the egg you just laid. (And that was quite the effort, Akron.)