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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
You had to figure Mark Stoops was going to have his guys ready to play, and they were ... defensively, anyway. But it was only a matter of time.
Louisville 27, Kentucky 13 |
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| Louisville | Kentucky | Louisville | Kentucky | |||
| Close % | 87.6% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 43.5% | 54.4% | Success Rate | 54.7% | 42.4% | |
| Leverage % | 76.8% | 64.7% | PPP | 0.72 | 0.54 | |
| S&P | 1.271 | 0.968 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 44.4 | 34.5 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 52.2% | 35.3% | Success Rate | 43.8% | 22.2% | |
| Close PPP | 0.64 | 0.47 | PPP | 0.37 | 0.33 | |
| Close S&P | 1.165 | 0.822 | S&P | 0.812 | 0.553 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 22.9 | 16.3 | Number | 1 | 3 | |
| Close Success Rate | 52.5% | 34.8% | Turnover Pts | 4.0 | 12.1 | |
| Close PPP | 0.57 | 0.44 | Turnover Pts Margin | +8.1 | -8.1 | |
| Close S&P | 1.098 | 0.784 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 3.76 | 2.19 | Q1 S&P | 0.726 | 0.567 | |
| Q2 S&P | 0.848 | 0.753 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 1.559 | 1.162 | |||
| EqPts | 21.5 | 18.2 | Q4 S&P | 1.537 | 1.003 | |
| Close Success Rate | 51.7% | 35.7% | ||||
| Close PPP | 0.74 | 0.50 | 1st Down S&P | 1.212 | 1.010 | |
| Close S&P | 1.257 | 0.853 | 2nd Down S&P | 1.295 | 1.048 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 7.7% | 0.0% / 7.7% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.815 | 0.078 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Louisville +18.0 | Actual Pt. Margin: Louisville +14 | ||||||
We still don't really know much about Kentucky -- good enough to hang with Louisville for a half, bad enough to lose to a WKU team that hands turnovers to opponents like stripper cards in Vegas -- but we know that Louisville's quality eventually shined through against an iffy opponent. The Cardinals' offense went from okay in the first half to nearly perfect in the second, and for the game Kentucky just couldn't force enough passing downs to get stops. And turnovers turned a potential one-possession game into something worse.