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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
Bleh.
Alabama 31, Colorado State 6 |
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| CSU | Alabama | CSU | Alabama | |||
| Close % | 78.6% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 21.9% | 54.2% | Success Rate | 48.5% | 60.0% | |
| Leverage % | 64.7% | 67.6% | PPP | 0.42 | 0.90 | |
| S&P | 0.902 | 1.505 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 22.1 | 31.8 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 37.3% | 43.2% | Success Rate | 16.7% | 8.3% | |
| Close PPP | 0.36 | 0.70 | PPP | 0.26 | 0.28 | |
| Close S&P | 0.736 | 1.133 | S&P | 0.431 | 0.359 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 4.6 | 7.5 | Number | 1 | 1 | |
| Close Success Rate | 21.7% | 30.8% | Turnover Pts | 4.2 | 4.0 | |
| Close PPP | 0.19 | 0.44 | Turnover Pts Margin | -0.3 | +0.3 | |
| Close S&P | 0.406 | 0.752 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 2.00 | 2.14 | Q1 S&P | 0.663 | 1.138 | |
| Q2 S&P | 0.525 | 1.016 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 0.956 | 1.098 | |||
| EqPts | 17.6 | 24.3 | Q4 S&P | 0.420 | 1.040 | |
| Close Success Rate | 50.0% | 50.0% | ||||
| Close PPP | 0.51 | 0.84 | 1st Down S&P | 0.759 | 1.534 | |
| Close S&P | 1.007 | 1.340 | 2nd Down S&P | 0.599 | 0.487 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 6.7% / 0.0% | 0.0% / 0.0% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.713 | 0.828 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Alabama +9.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Alabama +25 | ||||||
Again, I know that Alabama typically has a game like this. And I know that I would still pick the Tide to win any single game against any team (though Oregon and LSU are each giving me pause at this point). But this was an incredibly mediocre performance by Bama, even considering the Tide were happy to cruise along in third gear. They repeatedly pinned CSU deep, kept thing relatively efficient on standard downs, and did nothing whatsoever on passing downs. If a team like LSU is able to consistently stick the Tide in second- or third-and-long situations, I'm not sure Bama can move the ball ... at least, not until Amari Cooper starts playing like Amari Cooper.
The bar's pretty high for Alabama. And the Tide failed to clear it on Saturday. (I assume they'll clear it just fine against Ole Miss, but let's not pretend that's a 100 percent certainty.)