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Penn State 31, Boston College 30
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Boston College | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 66 | 79 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 36.6 | 34.1 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 14 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 9 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.43 | 3.44 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 59.1% | 67.1% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.516 | 0.535 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Boston College | Penn State | |
| Total | 27.1 | 30.7 | |
| Rushing | 19.0 | 5.6 | |
| Passing | 8.1 | 25.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Boston College | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 28.8% | 45.6% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 31.1% | 29.6% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 23.8% | 53.9% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 38.5% | 47.2% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 14.8% | 42.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Boston College | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.43 | 0.85 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.36 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 1.62 | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.08 | 0.55 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 2.74 | 1.54 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Boston College | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.01 | 2.14 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Boston College | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 8.6 |
| Turnover Margin | Boston College +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Boston College +1.46 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Boston College +0.54 | |
| TO Points Margin | Boston College +8.6 points | |
| Situational | Boston College | Penn State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.871 | 0.590 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.282 | 0.206 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.690 | 0.524 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.401 | 0.618 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.325 | 0.355 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.641 | 0.585 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.607 | 0.743 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Boston College by 5.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Penn State by 1 | ||
If not for some dreadful drive finishing, Penn State would have won this game by 10. And if not for a missed PAT, BC would have at least sent the game to a second OT. Ifs, buts, etc. BC generated some huge plays but couldn't sustain enough of the mundane ones against Bob Shoop's defense, and while PSU couldn't even pretend to run the ball, Christian Hackenberg played wonderfully.
Again, that Christmas-to-New Year's stretch was fantastic.