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Texas Bowl Study Hall: Arkansas 31, Texas 7

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas 31, Texas 7

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Arkansas Texas Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 73 43
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 75.9%
Avg Starting FP 41.6 24.3 30.0
Possessions 10 11
Scoring Opportunities*
6 1
Points Per Opportunity 4.00 7.00 4.65
Leverage Rate** 63.6% 54.5% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.475 0.299 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Arkansas Texas
Total 23.1 5.1
Rushing 11.9 3.8
Passing 11.2 1.4
Success Rate (what's this?) Arkansas Texas Nat'l Avg
All (close) 38.2% 24.2% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 40.6% 28.6% 43.2%
Passing (close) 34.8% 21.1% 40.3%
Standard Downs 37.1% 27.8% 47.0%
Passing Downs 40.0% 20.0% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Arkansas Texas Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.85 0.53 0.86
Rushing (close) 0.51 0.94 0.74
Passing (close) 1.41 0.11 0.99
Standard Downs 0.49 0.58 0.77
Passing Downs 1.43 0.44 1.13
Line Stats Arkansas Texas Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.18 2.29 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 11.1% 16.7% 4.8%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 15.4% 7.6%
Turnovers Arkansas Texas
Turnovers 0 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 10.6
Turnover Margin Arkansas +2
Exp. TO Margin Arkansas +0.95
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Arkansas +1.05
TO Points Margin Arkansas +10.6 points
Situational Arkansas Texas
Q1 S&P 0.418 0.313
Q2 S&P 0.612 0.460
Q3 S&P 0.366 N/A
Q4 S&P 0.488 0.367
1st Down S&P 0.358 0.334
2nd Down S&P 0.528 0.351
3rd Down S&P 0.577 0.210
Projected Scoring Margin: Arkansas by 28.6
Actual Scoring Margin: Arkansas by 24

I was pretty excited about this game simply because of the helmets involved. I enjoyed the Bielema 'horns down' controversy because I enjoy silly, ridiculous, petty controversies, and I thought it would create an even more fun environment. But ... I never had any idea how Texas was supposed to move the ball in this game. That offense was so bad this year, and Arkansas' defense was so good.

The Longhorns apparently had no idea either.

I understand Tyrone Swoopes isn't horrible, but ... he's not good. And I'm not sure that footwork is salvageable. Until Texas figures out its QB situation, nothing else matters. (But in the meantime, the 'Horns should still have one hell of a defense.)

Oh, and well freaking done, Arkansas DC Robb Smith. "Arkansas' defense was so good" is something I hadn't said in a really, really long time before this year."